Monday, March27, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carlstadt, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:44AMSunset 7:17PM Monday March 27, 2017 8:27 PM EDT (00:27 UTC) Moonrise 6:42AMMoonset 6:55PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 738 Pm Edt Mon Mar 27 2017
.dense fog advisory in effect from midnight tonight to noon edt Tuesday...
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming E after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less...then 1 to 2 ft after midnight. Slight chance of light rain late this evening. Chance of light rain after midnight. Light rain likely late. Areas of fog after midnight. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late this evening...decreasing to 1 nm or less.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the morning...then 1 ft or less. Rain likely...mainly in the morning. Areas of fog in the morning...then patchy fog in the afternoon. Vsby 1 nm or less...increasing to 1 to 3 nm in the afternoon.
Tue night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Rain likely. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 nm or less.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the evening...then 1 ft or less.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming ne in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..S winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of rain after midnight.
Fri..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Rain likely.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt...diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft...then 1 ft or less. Rain likely... Mainly in the morning.
ANZ300 738 Pm Edt Mon Mar 27 2017
Synopsis for long island waters and new york harbor.. A nearly stationary front over the water this evening will sink just to the S of the coastal waters tonight...and remain there through Tuesday as weak low pres approaches from the w. The low will pass to the S Tuesday night. High pressure builds in for Wednesday and Thursday...and shifts offshore Thursday night. A low pressure system approaches from the central united states Thursday night and impacts the region Friday and Saturday. High pressure returns for Sunday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carlstadt , NJ
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location: 40.81, -74.06     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 272143
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
543 pm edt Mon mar 27 2017

Synopsis
A nearly stationary front will sink to the south tonight, and
remain just south through Tuesday. Weak low pressure will also
approach on Tuesday, and pass south Tuesday night. High pressure
will build in for Wednesday and Thursday, and shifts offshore
Thursday night. A low pressure system will approach from the
central states Thursday night, and impact the region Friday and
Saturday. High pressure will return for Sunday.

Near term /until 6 am Tuesday morning/
The front at 20z bisected the area, running from the lower half
of nyc to near groton ct. As a wave of low pressure develops
east of new england this evening, the front should sink to the
south, with winds becoming variable and then settling in from
the east late. This may bring somewhat drier air in initially,
but then with light winds and nearly saturated low levels, dense
fog is likely to develop, especially across southern ct and long
island where a dense fog advy has been issued. Rain approaching
from the west ahead of the next weak wave of low pressure may
prevent the fog from becoming dense farther west, but this
remain uncertain.

Lows tonight should range from the mid 40s INVOF nyc, to the
lower 40s most elsewhere, to the upper 30s across most of
southern ct.

Short term /6 am Tuesday morning through Tuesday night/
Rain is likely over the area in the morning as a mid level
impulse moves across. There is some elevated instability, enough
to enhance rainfall rates but not quite enough for a mention of
thunder. Then we should see a relative lull in precip until
a weak low moves off the mid atlantic coast Tue evening and its
associated upper trough move across. Once again there could be
enough elevated instability to enhance rainfall rates in the
evening, especially per the NAM which may be too unstable aloft,
so once again did not mention thunder. Also expect fog to
redevelop Tue night, though with the air mass not quite as
saturated and more of an offshore wind component, dense fog
appears less likely.

Highs on Tue should be 50-55 from nyc west, and in the upper
40s to near 50s most elsewhere. Lows Tue night should range from
40-45 nyc metro and long island, to the upper 30s inland.

Long term /Wednesday through Monday/
Typical spring pattern during this period with a deep closed low
emerging into the central us for the midweek... And then slowly
translating to the east coast by late week/weekend. The pattern then
repeats itself with another deep closed low emerging into the
southern plains by early next week.

Locally a northern stream trough over the region Wednesday slides
east Thursday... With model sensitivity and forecast challenge in the
interaction of the central plains closed low with a northern stream
shortwave over the ohio valley/great lakes Friday before it slide to
the east coast Saturday. Appears to be increasing agreement in
gefs/eps and operational gfs/ecmwf/gem on the opening shortwave
staying detached/far enough south for associated low pressure to
approach the mid atlantic and track over or just south of the region
fri/sat. Since this is still 4-5 days away will have to monitor this
interaction... As the low track could trend north if the interaction
w/ northern stream increases.

A low pressure system tracking to the south of the region would
spell potential for a period of wintry precip to start... A wind
swept rain... And at least minor coastal flood concerns fri/sat.

Farther north development/intensification would spell lesser
potential and duration of wintry precip, rain or coastal flooding.

Before then dry and seasonably mild conditions expected Wed and thu
as canadian high pressure builds into the region. In the wake of low
pressure... Generally dry and mild conditions expected sun/mon with a
generally zonal upper flow and pac airmass overspreading the area.

Aviation /22z Monday through Saturday/
A front bisecting the terminals sinks south this evening and
attempts to push back north as a warm front on Tuesday.

Mostly MVFR to ifr into this evening, except tempoVFR for the
city terminals and kswf into the evening. Fog and lowering cigs
overnight. Winds primarily variable to light ene. Could be some
light rain late at night.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:/

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 8 mi39 min 51°F 42°F1014.9 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 11 mi39 min S 6 G 7 49°F 1015.4 hPa
MHRN6 13 mi39 min S 2.9 G 2.9
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 13 mi39 min 53°F 42°F1015.1 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 16 mi39 min Calm G 0 45°F 40°F1015.4 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 24 mi39 min SSE 2.9 G 7 47°F 42°F1014.5 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 27 mi42 min E 3.9 G 5.8 39°F 39°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 36 mi37 min SSE 7.8 G 7.8 44°F 43°F3 ft1015.6 hPa (+0.0)44°F

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ3 mi36 minNE 38.00 miFair51°F46°F83%1015.1 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY5 mi36 minENE 47.00 miFair47°F43°F86%1015.4 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ9 mi36 minWSW 410.00 miMostly Cloudy54°F48°F80%1015.2 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY10 mi36 minENE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy49°F43°F80%1015.4 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ13 mi34 minN 010.00 miFair49°F46°F90%1016.2 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY18 mi36 minSE 39.00 miMostly Cloudy49°F46°F90%1015.7 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ19 mi42 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds48°F46°F94%1015.2 hPa

Wind History from TEB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4NE6E5NE7E7NE4
G15
E6NE5NE5NE3E4
G15
CalmN3N33E3CalmCalmN4CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3
1 day agoNE4N9N7N3NE5E7NE13
G19
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NE6
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2 days agoSW7SW4S7S6S7SW5Calm4SW4CalmCalmNW3CalmNE54N8N7N7N8N12
G18
NE13
G21
53N10
G20

Tide / Current Tables for Mill Creek entrance, Garretts Reach, Hackensack River, New Jersey
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Mill Creek entrance
Click for Map
Mon -- 03:33 AM EDT     -0.50 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:47 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 09:28 AM EDT     6.51 feet High Tide
Mon -- 03:55 PM EDT     -0.77 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 06:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:45 PM EDT     6.66 feet High Tide
Mon -- 10:59 PM EDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.31.70.5-0.3-0.40.82.74.55.86.46.45.642.20.7-0.3-0.801.945.66.56.66.1

Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current
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Bayonne Bridge
Click for Map
Mon -- 02:45 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:08 AM EDT     2.22 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:32 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 11:48 AM EDT     -1.83 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 03:09 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 05:32 PM EDT     2.31 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 06:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 07:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:49 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:59 PM EDT     New Moon
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.7-1.3-0.70.31.62.21.91.30.5-0.4-1.2-1.7-1.8-1.5-1-0.21.12.12.21.60.7-0.2-1-1.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.