Saturday, June23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Carlstadt, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:24AMSunset 8:33PM Saturday June 23, 2018 5:35 PM EDT (21:35 UTC) Moonrise 4:17PMMoonset 2:42AM Illumination 80% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 343 Pm Edt Sat Jun 23 2018
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft early, then 1 ft or less. Chance of showers this evening.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and possibly a tstm in the afternoon.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Showers and tstms likely in the evening with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..NW winds around 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Mon night..N winds around 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue..E winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 343 Pm Edt Sat Jun 23 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A warm front will remain to the south tonight as a wave of low pressure moves east along it. The front will then lift to the north on Sunday, followed by a cold frontal passage Sunday afternoon and evening. High pressure will then build in through mid week, giving way to a warm front Wednesday night. A weak cold front will then approach on Thursday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Carlstadt , NJ
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location: 40.81, -74.06     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 231938
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
338 pm edt Sat jun 23 2018

Synopsis
A warm front will remain to the south tonight while a wave of
low pressure moves along it. The front will then lift to the
north on Sunday, followed by a cold frontal passage Sunday
afternoon and evening. High pressure will then build in through
mid-week, giving way to a warm front Wednesday night. A weak
cold front will then approach on Thursday and possibly dissipate
over the region Friday into Saturday.

Near term until 6 am Sunday morning
Coverage for showers remains widely scattered at most late this
afternoon NW of nyc. Meanwhile, patchy drizzle continues across
parts of long island and southern ct where temp dewpoint
depressions have been lower.

Passing upper shortwave along with warm front and sfc wave of
low pressure approaching the coastal locations may result in
somewhat higher coverage of showers this evening, with chance
pop. The warm front should lift toward long island overnight,
with any showers departing late.

Lows will be in the 60s.

Short term 6 am Sunday morning through Sunday night
On Sunday, the warm front should lift north, followed by SW to
wsw flow that will slowly steer a cold front through late in
the day and at night.

Moderate instability builds NW of nyc, and showers and
thunderstorms should redevelop during the afternoon, move east
toward nyc metro, long island, and southern ct from late day
into early evening, then dissipate overnight. Given the combo of
instability and 35-40 kt unidirectional westerly deep layer
shear, storms could produce gusty winds, perhaps an isolated
damaging wind gust.

Lows tonight will remain in the 60s, and warmer temps are
anticipated Sunday as area sits temporarily in the warm sector.

Upper 80s expected for urban NE nj, and lower mid 80s
elsewhere. Lows again fall into the 60s Sunday night.

There will be a moderate rip current risk at the ocean beaches.

Long term Monday through Saturday
High pressure builds in during Monday, but with a cyclonic flow
aloft coinciding with lift from a surface trough and shortwave,
there could be a shower or two across SE ct and eastern li. Partly
cloudy otherwise with near normal temperatures. The high pressure
center moves through on Tuesday with sunny conditions and highs
slightly cooler, but still close to normal.

The high will be to our east on Wednesday, and a return SW flow
will bring warmer and more humid conditions. It appears the
daytime hours for most areas will be dry as showers ahead of an
approaching warm front remain to the west. The warm front moves
through, then a cold front slowly approaches Thursday into Friday. A
surface trough likely forms over the area ahead of the cold front.

It's beginning to look more likely that the front never makes it
through the entire region and instead dissipates nearby sometime
Friday into Saturday. Will maintain slight chance to chance pops
Wednesday night through Friday, then go with a dry forecast
thereafter.

Rising temperatures aloft will allow for highs around 90 in the city
and some inland areas Thursday. 90s then become more widespread
across the tri-state area for Friday and Saturday. A south to
southwest flow along with sufficiently high dewpoints through the
top of the mixed layer would limit the magnitude of surface
dewpoints mixing-out each afternoon. Heat advisory criteria could
therefore be met in this period, particularly Friday and Saturday.

Aviation 20z Saturday through Thursday
High pressure retreats to the northeast into Sunday, as waves
off low pressure pass to the south of long island. A cold front
approaches from the northwest Sunday afternoon.

MVFR to ifr ceilings this afternoon, becoming ifr throughout
by around midnight. Periods of lifr are possible outside of the
city terminals overnight. Conditions should improve to MVFR by
mid-late Sunday morning. Confidence in showers occurring at any
given terminal this evening has decreased, so have removed the
prevailing showers from the TAF and left as vcsh mainly through
this evening.

Winds become light and variable throughout by evening and
remain so into Sunday morning. Seabreezes develop at coastal
terminals towards midday on Sunday, with a SW flow at under 10
kt at inland terminals.

Outlook for 18z Sunday through Thursday
Sunday afternoon night MVFR or lower possible through
evening, with showers and possibly a thunderstorm as well. Best
chance for any thunderstorms mainly to the N W of nyc.

Monday-Wednesday Vfr. Nw-n winds g15-25kt Monday-Monday
night. S-sw winds g20-25kt possible Wednesday.

Wednesday night-Thursday MVFR or lower probable. Showers are
also probable and there is a chance of thunderstorms as well. Sw
winds g15-25kt possible.

Marine
Ne winds north of a warm front have diminished, but ocean seas
are still running above 5 ft E of fire island inlet. SCA for the
ocean east of there remains in effect.

The approaching warm front will allow flow to weaken, with a
subsequent decrease in seas. Ocean seas could however briefly
return to around 5 ft daytime Sunday with a building southerly
swell.

Conditions will remain tranquil through Tuesday with building
high pressure. Thereafter, the high shifts offshore with a s-sw
strengthening and sca-level gusts possible on all waters
Wednesday afternoon through Thursday evening. Ocean seas will
increase to sca-levels in response to the strengthening and
prolonged south-southwest flow.

Hydrology
There could be a few locally heavy downpours Sunday afternoon
and evening. However, no hydrologic impacts are anticipated.

Areal average rainfall totals through Sunday evening will be
under 1 2 inch, but heavier storms on Sunday could still produce
locally up to an inch.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo-35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air for an extended period of time.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 6 pm edt this evening for anz350-
353.

Synopsis... Jc goodman
near term... Goodman
short term... Goodman
long term... Jc
aviation... Maloit
marine... Jc goodman
hydrology... Jc goodman
equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 8 mi48 min 65°F 67°F1010.5 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 11 mi48 min NE 8 G 8.9 65°F 1010.3 hPa
MHRN6 13 mi48 min E 7 G 8
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 13 mi48 min 67°F 70°F1009.8 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 16 mi48 min E 4.1 G 6 63°F 65°F1010.7 hPa
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 24 mi48 min E 4.1 G 6 66°F 67°F1011.2 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 27 mi36 min E 7.8 G 9.7 63°F 1 ft61°F
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 36 mi36 min NNE 3.9 G 5.8 65°F 67°F1009.6 hPa (-0.5)62°F

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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NW10
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ3 mi45 minN 06.00 miFog/Mist67°F61°F81%1009.5 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY5 mi45 minVar 48.00 miOvercast66°F61°F84%1009.9 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ9 mi45 minNNE 510.00 miOvercast68°F61°F78%1009.7 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY10 mi45 minENE 810.00 miOvercast66°F60°F81%1009.8 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ13 mi43 minENE 310.00 miOvercast67°F62°F84%1010.5 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY18 mi45 minVar 410.00 miOvercast66°F62°F87%1010 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ19 mi51 minN 07.00 miOvercast68°F62°F83%1010.2 hPa

Wind History from TEB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE9
G15
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----------NE5NE5NE7NE4NE6NE6NE4E8
G16
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G14
E9E7NE5E5E4E5Calm
1 day agoNE6NE7N5SW6CalmNE3NE4E6SE5CalmE7NE6E3NE7NE8E8E8E6E6E9SE8SE11
G29
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G19
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G19
2 days agoS8
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S6S7S5Calm43N8N7N6NE4NE3CalmNE3CalmN56N8NE7NE75NE7N9
G15
N7

Tide / Current Tables for Mill Creek entrance, Garretts Reach, Hackensack River, New Jersey
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Mill Creek entrance
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Sat -- 12:21 AM EDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 05:25 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:18 AM EDT     5.42 feet High Tide
Sat -- 12:36 PM EDT     0.30 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:16 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:53 PM EDT     6.46 feet High Tide
Sat -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.91.93.14.155.45.34.53.42.41.40.50.41.32.74.25.36.26.564.93.72.5

Tide / Current Tables for Bayonne Bridge, Kill van Kull, New York Current
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Bayonne Bridge
Click for Map
Sat -- 01:43 AM EDT     1.63 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 02:42 AM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 04:59 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 05:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:02 AM EDT     -1.23 knots Max Ebb
Sat -- 11:51 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 02:14 PM EDT     1.82 knots Max Flood
Sat -- 04:17 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:46 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sat -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 08:52 PM EDT     -1.45 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.61.51.61.30.8-0-0.7-1.1-1.2-1.2-1.1-0.80.21.31.81.71.30.6-0.2-0.9-1.3-1.5-1.4-1.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (17,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.