Wednesday, July26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Baxter Estates, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:45AMSunset 8:17PM Wednesday July 26, 2017 12:42 AM EDT (04:42 UTC) Moonrise 9:21AMMoonset 10:29PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1029 Pm Edt Tue Jul 25 2017
Tonight..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Fri..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the evening, then becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1029 Pm Edt Tue Jul 25 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds across the waters late tonight into Wednesday morning, then to the east Wednesday night ahead of a frontal system approaching from the west. The cold front will slowly approach the area through late week before passing to the east on Friday. Brief high pressure builds across the area again for the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Baxter Estates, NY
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location: 40.83, -73.7     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 260231
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1031 pm edt Tue jul 25 2017

Synopsis
High pressure builds across the area tonight into Wednesday and
then offshore late in the day. A frontal system moves through
the area Thursday into Thursday night, with low pressure
passing to the south on Friday. Another low will pass to the
south on Saturday while high pressure builds from the north
across the area. High pressure continues to build into the area
through early next week.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
Forecast remains on track as relatively tranquil period is on
tap through Wednesday night as an upper trough moves offshore
tonight and short wave ridging builds in from the west.

At the surface, high pressure builds in from the NW tonight
with a continued light N NE flow. Skies will also gradually
clear during this time with a strong mid level subsidence
inversion.

Conditions will be mostly dry with dew points in the 50s and
unseasonably cool temperatures. Lows tonight will range from
the mid 50s to the lower 60s.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through Wednesday night
Quiet during this period with high pressure moving across the
area in the morning and then offshore in the afternoon early
evening hours. Temperatures will be below seasonable with low
humidity. NE winds Wednesday morning veer around to the SE as
the high moves offshore.

Clouds will increase late Wednesday night as a warm front
approaches from the SW and low pressure moves into the ohio
valley.

There is a moderate risk of rip currents at the ocean beaches
on Wednesday.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
Chances of showers and thunderstorms are expected to increase
through late week as a potent short wave approaches the area.

Humidity will continue to increase as well through the day on
Thursday amidst warm moist advection in southerly flow ahead of the
developing low pressure system. Both high and low temperatures will
be closer to normal. By Friday, confidence is low on the exact track
of the low pressure system with models currently trending southward
with the axis of heaviest rainfall. The exact track has implications
on temperature wind dew point forecasts, etc, though with the idea
that the track will be somewhat south compared to previous runs,
have trended a little cooler with the high temperature forecast as
north-northeasterly flow advects colder air into the area. This
system will need to be monitored for the potential for heavy
rainfall (see hydrology section for more information). For the
weekend into early next week, any lingering chance of precipitation
Saturday morning will quickly diminish as high pressure builds
southward, bringing lower humidity and more seasonable temperature
values.

Aviation 03z Wednesday through Sunday
High pressure builds over the area through around midday
Wednesday, then slides offshore into Wednesday evening.

Conditions improving toVFR throughout by early this morning.

Ceilings around 3500-5000ft then linger into the
overnight hours, lifting from W to E overnight. It should then beVFR into
Wednesday evening. Kswf though could see a period of ceilings
around 4000ft Wednesday afternoon.

Winds becoming light and variable throughout overnight, then
become se-sse from mid Wednesday morning through mid Wednesday
afternoon. The winds transition first at coastal terminals, and
last at inland terminals.

Outlook for 00z Thursday through Sunday
Wednesday night Vfr.

Thursday-Thursday night MVFR possible, with a chance of
showers and possibly a tstm. S-sw winds g15-20kt possible.

Friday Vfr.

Friday night-Saturday MVFR or lower possible, with showers
and possibly a tstm. NE winds g15-25kt possible.

Saturday night-Sunday Vfr.

Marine
Tranquil conditions are on tap through Wednesday night as high
pressure builds across the waters through tomorrow and then east
tomorrow night.

Winds and seas may gradually build to SCA levels late week into
the weekend as a series of low pressure centers move to the
south of the waters, strengthening north- northeasterly flow.

Confidence in wave heights this weekend remains low at the
moment. Seas and any remaining swells should gradually subside
into next week as high pressure builds into the area.

Hydrology
Heavy rainfall is possible Thursday night into Friday, with a low
chance for urban and poor drainage flooding.

Tides coastal flooding
Astronomical high tides continue to run high, especially during
the high tide cycle at night. Along the south shore bays of
nassau and queens, less than a foot departure is needed to reach
minor flooding thresholds. Departures there should run 1 to 1 1 2
feet above normal. A coastal flood advisory remains in effect
for these areas for tonight's high tide cycle, with a coastal
flood statement for locations adjacent to lower new york harbor
for localized minor coastal flooding.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... Coastal flood advisory until midnight edt tonight for nyz178-
179.

Nj... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Dw md
near term... Bc dw
short term... Dw
long term... Md
aviation... Maloit
marine... Bc dw md
hydrology... Dw md
tides coastal flooding...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44022 - Execution Rocks 4 mi28 min ENE 12 G 14 68°F 58°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 4 mi43 min ENE 4.1 G 7 67°F 71°F1023.2 hPa (+0.9)
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 11 mi58 min NE 12 G 14 67°F 1 ft58°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 19 mi43 min 68°F 74°F1022.9 hPa (+0.9)
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 23 mi43 min E 9.9 G 12 1023.6 hPa (+1.0)
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 27 mi43 min 69°F 76°F1023.1 hPa (+1.1)
MHRN6 28 mi43 min ENE 8 G 11
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 30 mi43 min E 7 G 8 68°F 75°F1022.4 hPa (+1.0)
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 32 mi53 min ENE 9.7 G 12 68°F 71°F3 ft1022.5 hPa (+1.2)61°F
44069 34 mi43 min NNE 7.8 G 12 66°F 75°F60°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 36 mi43 min NNE 1.9 G 4.1 65°F 1023 hPa (+0.9)
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 49 mi53 min ENE 12 G 16 67°F 73°F3 ft1022.3 hPa (+1.1)

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY10 mi52 minNNE 810.00 miOvercast68°F60°F76%1023.1 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY12 mi52 minNNE 710.00 miMostly Cloudy68°F61°F78%1023.4 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY15 mi52 minENE 510.00 miOvercast67°F57°F71%1023.3 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY17 mi47 minNNE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy64°F57°F78%1023.3 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY17 mi50 minENE 710.00 miOvercast65°F59°F81%1023.4 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ19 mi52 minNE 510.00 miOvercast68°F57°F68%1023 hPa

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8E10NE10E9E7NE6E7NE6NE8NE11NE10NE11NE10NE9NE9NE8NE9NE9NE8NE11NE9NE8NE7NE8
1 day agoE9E10NE10E8NE11E10E7E14NE9NE25
G31
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NE16N11N11N9
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NE11NE9E8E11E11NE11NE12NE13E9
2 days agoSE44CalmCalmCalmSW3CalmS3SW3NE4NE10NE12NE9CalmNE4NE7E10SE9SE9SE10SE10E10SE11SE11

Tide / Current Tables for Port Washington, Manhasset Bay, Long Island, New York
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Port Washington
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:55 AM EDT     8.73 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:45 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:44 AM EDT     -0.64 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 09:20 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:31 PM EDT     8.52 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:05 PM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
7.38.58.78.26.74.21.80.3-0.4-0.60.53.167.78.48.47.45.32.91.10.2-0.10.42.4

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:31 AM EDT     -0.83 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:36 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 05:46 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:39 AM EDT     1.11 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 09:21 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 11:40 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:55 PM EDT     -0.84 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:02 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:05 PM EDT     1.11 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 10:30 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-0.5-0.8-0.8-0.5-0.10.10.411.10.60.2-0.1-0.4-0.7-0.8-0.7-0.3-00.20.71.10.90.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.