Friday, February23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Baxter Estates, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:34AMSunset 5:41PM Friday February 23, 2018 11:32 PM EST (04:32 UTC) Moonrise 12:13PMMoonset 1:48AM Illumination 65% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 924 Pm Est Fri Feb 23 2018
Overnight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of sprinkles late this evening and early morning. Patchy fog late this evening and early morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
Sun..E winds 20 to 25 kt, becoming ne 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Sun night..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas subsiding to 1 ft or less.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..W winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
ANZ300 924 Pm Est Fri Feb 23 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A cold front passes early Saturday. A low pressure system approaches for Saturday, with its warm front moving towards the region Saturday night. A low develops along it and this moves across Sunday. High pressure builds from the midwest Sunday night and remains in control through the middle of next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Baxter Estates, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 40.83, -73.7     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kokx 240245
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
945 pm est Fri feb 23 2018

Synopsis
A warm front moves across overnight, followed by a cold front
early Saturday. Another low pressure system approaches for
Saturday, with its warm front moving towards the region Saturday
night. A low develops along it and this moves across Sunday.

High pressure builds from the midwest Sunday night and remains
in control through the middle of next week. A frontal system
then approaches for the end of the week.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
The fcst is generally on track, although the warm front is
still a good distance from the area and will be slower to
arriver than previously fcst. It was 61 degrees at kpit at 9pm.

The front will be moving across overnight as winds switch to a
more southwest to west flow.

Expecting some fog across the region for at least the first
half of tonight before that more westerly flow develops. The 00z
okx sounding indicated a saturated airmass up to about 4500 ft.

This deep moist layer is likely limiting the density of the
fog. Still, with winds slackening off significantly there could
be some pockets of dense fog to develop. Drier conditions on
that more westerly flow can be expected for the remainder of the
night.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through Sunday
This weekend features a strengthening upper level jet from baja
california extending northeast through the great lakes and northern
new england. The jet itself approaches closer to the region on
Sunday, with the local region getting close to the right front quad
of the upper level jet.

The mid levels convey a ridge moving in with its axis oriented
southeast to northwest with a nearly steady height tendency Saturday
into Saturday evening. A shortwave from the southwest us will travel
and pivot into the great lakes Saturday night into Sunday morning.

Then for Sunday, this shortwave further pivots into ontario.

At the surface, another low pressure system developing in the south
central us will have its associated warm front approaching. The day
starts out dry but there will be increasing chances of rain in the
afternoon from southwest to northeast as this warm front approaches
and with some forecast increase in isentropic lift aloft. Used a
blend of mav and ecs MOS for high temperatures, getting well into
the 50s as a light northwest flow acts as a downslope for adiabatic
warming from higher temperatures aloft.

Saturday night into Sunday will be the bulk of the rainfall. The
warm front will be approaching and with the parent low heading into
the western great lakes and deepening, an increasing easterly flow
will take place. This will load the atmosphere with more moisture as
layer precipitable waters are forecast to increase to 1.1 to 1.4
inches. This will facilitate at times moderate to perhaps heavy
rain.

For temperatures, Saturday used the relatively warmer blend of
mav and ecs MOS as well as nam12 2 meter temperatures, mid 30s to
near 40. For Sunday, with rain much of the day used gmos with 2
meter temperatures of GFS and ecmwf, showing a range from the low
40s to near 50.

Long term Sunday night through Friday
The general north american pattern of troughing in the west and
ridging east of the rockies looks to continue into next week.

The upper pattern starts to diverge mid to late week next week
as a closed low pres system moves onshore in california and
continues into the plains. The ec is much slower than the gfs,
but has support from the cmc, therefore this idea was preferred,
but there is low confidence in the details late next week since
there is also large spread in the GEFS and ecens.

In terms of sensible weather, dry weather returns Sun night as
low pres departs and high pres builds from the midwest. The high
will remain in control through the middle of next week,
resulting in a continuation of above normal temperatures. Rain
chances will begin to increase Wed night as a WAA pattern ensues,
although due to the aforementioned uncertainty in the upper
pattern, rain could very well hold off until Thu night. Have
scaled back on the previous forecasts pops a bit in light of
the 12z data and the large amount of uncertainty. At this time,
atmospheric profiles suggest pcpn starts as rain, with colder
air aloft working in late Thu night fri. This may be enough for
a brief period of a wintry mix across locations N of nyc.

Aviation 03z Saturday through Wednesday
High pressure builds to the north through Saturday as a frontal
boundary remains stalled to the south.

Conditions are predominantly ifr-lifr in stratus and fog
tonight, but gradual improvement is anticipated overnight as
high pressure and drier air moves back in. AlthoughVFR
conditions will be possible by the early part of Saturday, rain
will once again approach from the west by evening, with MVFR
conditions possible.

Winds diminish tonight, possibly becoming light and variable
before becoming NW Saturday morning.

A brief period of llws is possible through 07z.

Outlook for 00z Sunday through Wednesday
Saturday night-Sunday MVFR ifr in rain. E wind 10-15kt,
g20-25kt.

Sunday night-Wednesday Vfr.

Marine
With a decreasing pressure gradient, winds will further decrease
and likewise the seas are expected to continue to decrease as
well into this evening. The more westerly flow late tonight will
briefly increase winds but wind gusts are just marginal with
meeting SCA criteria. With further offshore flow, expect sub sca
conditions to continue.

Sub-sca conditions are expected and this
continues through Saturday evening. SCA conditions look quite
probable late Saturday night into Sunday with the possibility of
gales as well on the ocean for Sunday morning.

Hazardous ocean seas are expected to continue into mon, with sub-
advsy conds thereafter with high pressure building from the
west.

Hydrology
Less than a quarter inch of rain is expected through tonight.

The next event Saturday into Sunday is expected to produce
around 0.75 to 1.25 inches of rain. There could be some locally
higher amounts especially in any areas of orographic lift with
the higher terrain. Ponding of water and minor nuisance flooding
could be localized for Sunday.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo-35 (162.55 mhz) is off the
air for an extended period of time.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... 24 jm
near term... Jmc jm
short term... Jm
long term... 24
aviation... Md 19
marine... 24 jm
hydrology... 24 jm
equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 4 mi45 min WSW 5.1 G 8 41°F 38°F1023.5 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 19 mi45 min 39°F 40°F1023.8 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 23 mi45 min W 8.9 G 13 40°F 1023.6 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 27 mi51 min 40°F 42°F1023.1 hPa
MHRN6 28 mi45 min SW 7 G 11
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 30 mi45 min W 6 G 7 40°F 41°F1024.1 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 32 mi33 min W 7.8 G 14 40°F 39°F1023.1 hPa (-2.1)39°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 36 mi51 min NW 2.9 G 4.1 38°F 37°F1021.9 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 49 mi43 min WNW 7.8 G 12 41°F 42°F4 ft1022.9 hPa (-2.4)

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
Last
24hr
E5
G10
E4
G10
E7
G13
E4
G7
E4
G8
E3
G6
NE4
G7
E3
G6
E5
G9
E6
SE3
G7
E2
G6
E1
G4
E1
G4
E6
NE5
E3
E4
NE1
NE4
NE1
N4
--
SW5
1 day
ago
NE6
E5
G9
E9
G14
NE10
E7
G11
NE10
NE9
G13
NE10
G13
NE11
NE9
G12
NE9
G12
NE6
G9
E5
G8
E4
G8
E5
G12
E6
G11
E4
G8
NE15
NE7
G11
E8
G12
E6
E6
G10
E6
G9
E5
G8
2 days
ago
SW11
S10
SW15
SW13
SW11
G14
SW8
S12
SW12
SW13
S12
S10
S10
W14
G17
W13
W14
G19
W13
G18
W13
G18
W12
G17
SW9
SW11
S11
N6
G9
NE4
G7
NE4

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY10 mi42 minSW 1010.00 miOvercast43°F39°F86%1022.3 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY12 mi42 minSW 102.50 miFog/Mist40°F39°F100%1022.9 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY15 mi42 minW 9 G 166.00 miFog/Mist41°F39°F93%1023 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY17 mi37 minVar 40.25 miFog38°F37°F100%1022.3 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY17 mi40 minWSW 62.00 miFog/Mist40°F39°F100%1022.5 hPa
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ19 mi42 minWSW 53.00 miFog/Mist41°F39°F93%1022.4 hPa

Wind History from LGA (wind in knots)
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
Last 24hrNE13NE13NE11E10NE9NE10NE10NE11E10E7NE8NE8NE8NE10NE10NE9NE7NE6NE5SE5S4S4SW6SW10
1 day agoN8
G18
N9N12N11N9N8NE12NE9N8
G18
NE9NE10NE13NE11NE11NE13NE10NE10NE11NE10NE11E11NE9NE11NE10
2 days agoS8S6S7S8S7S5S7S6S6SW8SW13SW13SW11
G18
SW10
G19
SW13
G20
SW12SW9SW9SW8SW8NW14NW10NW9N7

Tide / Current Tables for Port Washington, Manhasset Bay, Long Island, New York
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Port Washington
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:47 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 03:09 AM EST     First Quarter
Fri -- 03:48 AM EST     7.84 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:37 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:32 AM EST     0.21 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 11:13 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:27 PM EST     6.94 feet High Tide
Fri -- 05:38 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 10:45 PM EST     0.33 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.63.15.57.47.87.26.45.13.21.30.30.30.61.43.35.66.86.86.35.43.920.60.4

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:47 AM EST     Moonset
Fri -- 01:41 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 03:09 AM EST     First Quarter
Fri -- 05:32 AM EST     -0.65 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 08:01 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 11:14 AM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 11:58 AM EST     0.93 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 02:20 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 05:39 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 06:03 PM EST     -0.63 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 08:32 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.80.3-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.6-0.4-00.20.30.70.90.60.1-0.1-0.3-0.5-0.6-0.5-0.20.10.20.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   Help
Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (23,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.