Wednesday, June28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Little Ferry, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:25AMSunset 8:33PM Wednesday June 28, 2017 1:32 PM EDT (17:32 UTC) Moonrise 10:35AMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 22% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 5 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 1056 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Today..W winds around 10 kt, becoming sw late. Waves 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon.
Thu night..S winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Fri night..S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon, then becoming sw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms at night.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms in the daytime. Winds and waves higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1056 Am Edt Wed Jun 28 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure building in this morning will pass to the south this afternoon and tonight. A warm front will pass to the north Thursday night, with bermuda high pressure following Friday into Saturday. A cold front will move across Sunday into Sunday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Little Ferry , NJ
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location: 40.85, -74.03     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 281534
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1134 am edt Wed jun 28 2017

Synopsis
High pressure builds into the region today, and offshore on
Thursday. A warm front moves north of the region Thursday
night. Bermuda high pressure then dominates Friday into
Saturday before a cold front moves through Sunday into Sunday
night. The front may then linger just south of the region early
next week.

Near term through tonight
Forecast still on track this morning.

A 1024 mb high was centered over WV late this morning. The high
will drift eastward through tonight. Sct flat CU were starting
to develop in the higher elevations and should become more
widespread this afternoon.

Below normal highs are forecast, mainly in the upper 70s to near
80 degrees. Bumped up highs a couple degrees on long island
since sea breeze (if any) will be arriving late.

Short term Thursday
As the high drifts ewd over the atlantic, the winds will begin
to respond to lowering pres over SRN ontario. This flow, coupled
with the sea breeze circulation, should produce windy conditions
along the coasts by late in the day. Otherwise, all other areas
should have a sly breeze at least. The latest modeling from the
nam, GFS and ECMWF keeps any frontal systems N of the cwa, so
pcpn has been removed from the fcst. Humidity will increase due
to the increasing flow off the ocean, and temps will warm to aoa
average as a thermal ridge begins to build in. The 00z models
have around 14-16c at h85 by the end of the day. If things
unfold as currently expected, dangerous rip currents will be
possible, particularly in the late aftn and eve, requiring a
high risk fcst.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
The main trend in the long term is for warmer and more humid
conditions to take shape over the tri-state.

On the larger scale, a shortwave passes to the north Thursday night
followed by rising heights and western atlantic ridging taking shape
Friday into Saturday. This ridge axis moves offshore Sunday as the
next shortwave trough moves across new england through Sunday night.

Another shortwave trough may follow early next week. Models and
ensembles are in good agreement overall on the large scale through
the weekend, then diverge a bit with the handling of any shortwaves
early next week.

At the surface, a warm front moves north of the region Thursday
night. Bermuda high pressure will then influence the weather Friday
into Saturday before a cold front moves through Sunday into Sunday
night. There may be weak surface trough development to the NW of nyc
each day before the cold front moves through Sunday. This front may
then linger to the south early next week.

Shower and thunderstorm chances appear slim Thursday night and
mainly to the north and west of nyc. The same holds true on Friday
into Saturday as ridging and heights build aloft. The best chance of
any convection is mainly from the city north and west. Shower storm
chances increase a bit across the entire area on Sunday with the
passage of the cold front and approaching shortwave. Drier
conditions return on Monday with the next chance at showers and
storms on Tuesday.

Temperatures Friday and Saturday will be in the upper 80s with
increasing humidity levels. A few 90 degree readings are also
possible in the nyc metro and NE nj. MAX heat indices look to stay
in the lower 90s both days at this time at these locations, with
upper 80s elsewhere. Closer to the coast, onshore flow will keep
highs in the lower to middle 80s. Temperatures should be a bit
cooler on Sunday in the lower and middle 80s due to increasing
clouds and higher coverage of showers storms. Highs should gradually
fall back closer to normal early next week.

Aviation 16z Wednesday through Sunday
High pressure builds into the region through today and offshore
on Thursday.

Vfr conditions are expected through the TAF period.

Wnw winds will back to the s-sw through the afternoon with gusts
to 15-20 kt. Winds diminish tonight before increasing further
on Thursday.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 10 mi45 min 72°F 67°F1019.7 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 13 mi63 min W 16 G 17 1020.5 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 14 mi45 min NNW 6 G 11 71°F 65°F1019.6 hPa
MHRN6 16 mi45 min W 8.9 G 13
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 16 mi45 min 74°F 71°F1020.2 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 16 mi48 min W 12 G 19 73°F 47°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 25 mi48 min WNW 9.7 G 16 71°F 50°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 26 mi45 min W 11 G 13 71°F 72°F1019.6 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 37 mi43 min W 5.8 G 7.8 68°F 69°F1 ft1020.3 hPa (+0.6)53°F

Wind History for Robbins Reef, NJ
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SE10
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S17
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G12
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G18
N9
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G12
NW16
W12

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Teterboro, Teterboro Airport, NJ1 mi42 minW 1510.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F48°F40%1019.5 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY6 mi42 minWNW 610.00 miA Few Clouds75°F48°F39%1019.9 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY9 mi42 minWNW 15 G 2110.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F48°F39%1019.7 hPa
Newark, Newark International Airport, NJ12 mi42 minW 10 G 2010.00 miMostly Cloudy77°F46°F33%1019.9 hPa
Caldwell, Essex County Airport, NJ13 mi40 minNW 8 G 1410.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F48°F37%1020.8 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY19 mi42 minW 8 G 1710.00 miPartly Cloudy74°F48°F41%1020.1 hPa
Morristown Municipal, NJ21 mi48 minWNW 12 G 2015.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F50°F41%1020.7 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY23 mi37 minWNW 1110.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F48°F41%1019.4 hPa

Wind History from TEB (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW10
G17
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6NW9N5W4NW6NW4N5NW3W4W5NW5NW7NW8N54NW9W15
1 day agoSW8W11
G16
W13SW13W14
G19
SW10W7SW6W6W5CalmCalmNW9------SE3CalmE4S3W7SW8S8--
2 days agoW10
G19
NW16
G21
--S5S4CalmW9W5W5W6W14
G31
N9N4N3NW3--------------W8W5
G14

Tide / Current Tables for Little Ferry, New Jersey
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Little Ferry
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:50 AM EDT     6.65 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:57 AM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:35 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 02:30 PM EDT     5.98 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:15 PM EDT     0.67 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:31 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.66.46.664.42.71.20.2-0.20.31.634.25.25.95.94.93.42.11.20.70.91.93.2

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:38 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:48 AM EDT     -0.79 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 05:26 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:50 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 09:56 AM EDT     1.06 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 10:34 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:55 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:13 PM EDT     -0.80 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:21 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:22 PM EDT     1.06 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.2-0.1-0.4-0.7-0.8-0.6-0.200.30.81.10.70.3-0-0.3-0.6-0.8-0.7-0.4-0.10.10.510.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.