Wednesday, November22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mill Neck, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:49AMSunset 4:32PM Wednesday November 22, 2017 3:26 PM EST (20:26 UTC) Moonrise 11:07AMMoonset 9:00PM Illumination 17% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1234 Pm Est Wed Nov 22 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until midnight est tonight...
This afternoon..NW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt late. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers early.
Tonight..NW winds 20 to 25 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Thu..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..W winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
ANZ300 1234 Pm Est Wed Nov 22 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A cold front will continue to cross the waters this afternoon as low pressure develops east of cape cod this evening. High pressure builds in tonight through the end of the week. A warm front lifts well north on Saturday followed by a cold front Saturday night. High pressure builds to the west for the beginning of next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mill Neck, NY
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location: 40.89, -73.55     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 221750
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1250 pm est Wed nov 22 2017

Synopsis
A cold front crosses the area from west to east through this
afternoon. High pressure builds in Wednesday night through the
end of the week. A cold front crosses Saturday night, with high
pressure building in from the west for the beginning of next
week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Rain will continue to come to an end from west to east through
this afternoon as the cold front sweeps across the area. Behind
the front skies will begin to clear, resulting in a period of
partly to mostly sunny conditions this afternoon, especially
from nyc north and west.

Temperatures will remain nearly steady or slowly fall through
the afternoon as gusty northwest winds usher in colder air
behind the front.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
Clear, with diminishing winds overnight allows for radiational
thermal decoupling in the rural areas. A blend of MOS was used
with near freezing in the ny metro for lows forecast.

Sunny and chilly, but with a light wind for thanksgiving. Cooler
nam ECMWF blend seems best for temps (about 8 degrees below
normal).

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
High pressure at the surface, pushes off the east coast late
Friday into Friday night as a warm front over the eastern great
lakes lifts well north of the area. Warm air advection doesn't
seem to kick in until Friday evening, so dry and continued cool
for Friday, but slightly warmer than Thursday with highs in the
middle to upper 40s.

Another cold front approaches the area late Saturday and passes
through Saturday night. Southwesterly flow ahead of the front will
bring temperatures to normal levels to above normal levels, in the
upper 40s to upper 50s. 00z GEFS keeps it dry.

A secondary cold front moves through on Sunday with a
reinforcing shot of cold air. Some instability with the colder
air aloft associated with the upper level trough may produce
some light rain showers.

High pressure then keeps the area dry through the beginning of next
week.

Aviation 18z Wednesday through Monday
A coastal low passes well to the east of long island as high
pressure builds in from the west tonight.

Vfr returns most terminals, except subVFR initially eastern
terminals. After 20-22z,VFR as skies clear. TheseVFR conditions
continue through tonight and Thursday morning.

Gusty NW winds of 10-20 kt with gusts 20-30 kt are forecast for the
remainder of the afternoon. Winds taper off during the evening, with
gusts abated by around midnight. Winds diminish to less than 10 kt
throughout overnight. NW winds slowly back toward the W NW Thursday
morning.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 5 mi41 min NNW 19 G 29 49°F 2 ft40°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 9 mi41 min N 16 G 21 50°F 41°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 13 mi38 min NNE 14 G 20 49°F 51°F1013.1 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 28 mi38 min 50°F 52°F1013.3 hPa
44069 28 mi56 min NW 12 G 19 50°F 46°F44°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 28 mi44 min NNW 12 G 21 46°F 51°F1011.1 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 32 mi38 min WNW 21 G 28 49°F 1013.2 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 36 mi38 min 49°F 51°F1013.2 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 37 mi36 min NW 23 G 27 53°F 57°F3 ft1010.8 hPa (-0.0)41°F
MHRN6 37 mi38 min WNW 22 G 25
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 38 mi38 min NW 21 G 26 49°F 47°F1013.7 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 44 mi38 min N 13 G 18 46°F 51°F1011.3 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 49 mi36 min NW 21 G 25 53°F 57°F4 ft1010.3 hPa (-0.4)

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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SW14
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NE3
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G21
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G26
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N22
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G32
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY13 mi33 minN 14 G 2410.00 miOvercast49°F41°F74%1011.7 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY16 mi90 minNNW 1610.00 miMostly Cloudy47°F41°F80%1012 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY19 mi35 minNW 17 G 2410.00 miOvercast51°F36°F56%1012.2 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY20 mi35 minWNW 17 G 2110.00 miMostly Cloudy51°F39°F64%1012.3 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY23 mi35 minWNW 10 G 1910.00 miOvercast50°F33°F52%1012.7 hPa

Wind History from FRG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS12SW11SW12SW11SW8SW8SW8W3CalmSW6CalmCalmCalmSW4CalmCalmSW5SW6NW3NW6NW6NW12NW14
G21
N14
G24
1 day agoW14
G19
W10W11W10W11W10W8SW10SW10SW6SW7SW6W4SW8SW5SW5SW10SW14SW18
G26
SW15
G23
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G24
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2 days agoNW15
G31
NW15
G24
NW10
G17
NW5CalmW8NW8W10
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W12W7W7W9
G17
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W12
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W15
G21

Tide / Current Tables for Bayville Bridge, Oyster Bay, New York
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Bayville Bridge
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:11 AM EST     7.00 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:49 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:21 AM EST     0.87 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 10:06 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:19 PM EST     7.46 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:30 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 07:53 PM EST     0.36 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 08:00 PM EST     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
6.376.75.64.12.71.60.91.12.13.85.46.77.47.36.24.73.11.70.70.412.34

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Wed -- 02:01 AM EST     -0.65 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:35 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:50 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:17 AM EST     0.91 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 10:07 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 10:43 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 02:24 PM EST     -0.62 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:31 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 04:52 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:01 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 08:41 PM EST     0.90 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 11:02 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.3-0.5-0.7-0.5-0.20.10.20.50.90.80.3-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.6-0.6-0.300.20.30.80.90.40

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.