Tuesday, June19, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bayville, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:21AMSunset 8:31PM Tuesday June 19, 2018 10:04 PM EDT (02:04 UTC) Moonrise 11:59AMMoonset 12:36AM Illumination 41% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 732 Pm Edt Tue Jun 19 2018
Tonight..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..E winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Thu night..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening.
Sun..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
ANZ300 732 Pm Edt Tue Jun 19 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Weak high pressure builds into the the region tonight. A cold front crosses the area Wednesday and Wednesday night with an area of low pressure passing to our south. Canadian high pressure builds in through Thursday night, then gradually slides to the northeast Friday into Friday night. A frontal system affects the region Saturday into Sunday. High pressure then builds into the area early next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bayville, NY
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location: 40.9, -73.55     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 192355
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
755 pm edt Tue jun 19 2018

Synopsis
Weak high pressure builds into the the region tonight. A cold
front crosses the area Wednesday and Wednesday night with an
area of low pressure passing to our south. Canadian high
pressure builds in through Thursday night, then gradually slides
to the northeast Friday into Friday night. A frontal system
affects the region Saturday into Sunday. High pressure then
builds into the area early next week.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
Clear conditions are in place this evening. Dewpoints were
running a few degrees less than forecast and temperatures have
been running a few warmer than forecast. Temperature and
dewpoint grids this evening have been adjusted accordingly to
better match observed trends. Lows were kept the same as
previously forecast.

High pressure continues to build into the region tonight.

Northwest flow continues, with continued dry weather and minimal
cloud cover. Lows should run around normal, generally from the
middle 50s to middle 60s. Min forecast temperatures will be more
in the upper 60s in and around the nyc metro area.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through Wednesday night
High pressure over the region slides east on Wednesday. We are
generally looking at dry conditions on Wednesday, however an
increase in clouds can be expected as a cold front and an area
of low pressure approaches from the west. There is a low chance
for a few showers west of nyc late in the afternoon.

Wednesday temperatures will climb into the middle and upper
70s, with a few lower 80 degree readings in and around the nyc
metro.

Rain will continue to overspread the region Wednesday night, as
low pressure slides south of the region. There are some
differences with the forecast models with respect to the
placement of the low and the amount of precipitation. The 12z
nam was a bit of an outlier with well over an inch of qpf. Sided
more with the 12z gfs ECMWF and wpc guidance, with a general
half to three quarters of an inch across the southern half of
the cwa, with lesser amounts across the lower hudson valley and
southern connecticut. Precipitable waters increase to 1.75 to
around 2" Wednesday night, so there is the potential for locally
heavy rainfall as well. Can not rule out a few rumbles of
thunder as well.

Lows Wednesday night should run a few degrees above normal.

Long term Thursday through Tuesday
Models in general agreement with the upper air pattern through the
period. Mean upper troughing across the NE on thu, will give way to
brief ridging on Friday. The next feature of note will be an upper
low over the central us on Thu fri, eventually shearing NE towards
the region this weekend as a northern stream trough amplifies south
through ontario quebec. A few pieces of energy will work through the
ne, before the upper trough axis swings through early next week.

This appears to be followed by upper ridging.

In terms of sensible weather, tranquil and seasonable late june
conditions expected Thursday Friday as canadian high pressure builds
to the north. Unsettled weather expected Sunday as low pressure
track well to the nw, with a warm front moving through the region
Saturday, and cold front on Sunday. At this point, appears to be a
high shear low CAPE situation with warm frontal prefrontal trough
passage Sat into Sat night, bringing threat of showers and a few
thunderstorms. Brief very warm and humid interlude on Sunday may
allow for a few thunderstorms along the cold front as well.

Then return to tranquil and seasonable conditions early next week as
canadian high pressure builds from the northwest.

Aviation 00z Wednesday through Sunday
High pressure builds into the region from the north tonight into
Wednesday, moving off the new england coast Wednesday afternoon.

A wave of low pressure approaches from the west late in the
forecast period, toward 00z Thursday.

Vfr.

Winds n-ne under 10 kt tonight, becoming light and variable
outside of the nyc terminals. Light NE to E winds become
southerly Wednesday morning into midday.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 4 mi45 min N 5.8 G 5.8 71°F 61°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 13 mi47 min ENE 5.1 G 7 78°F 64°F1011.8 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 27 mi53 min N 5.1 G 7 77°F 62°F1010.3 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 28 mi47 min 81°F 68°F1011.4 hPa
44069 28 mi65 min NNE 5.8 G 7.8 79°F 75°F55°F
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 32 mi47 min N 8.9 G 11 82°F 1011.1 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 36 mi47 min 80°F 72°F1010.8 hPa
MHRN6 37 mi47 min NW 11 G 14
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 38 mi35 min SSW 5.8 G 9.7 72°F 69°F1010.7 hPa66°F
SDHN4 - 8531680 - Sandy Hook, NJ 39 mi47 min NNW 8 G 11 79°F 73°F1011.8 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 43 mi47 min NNE 5.1 G 8 76°F 66°F1011 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 49 mi75 min SW 1.9 G 1.9 75°F 71°F3 ft1010.1 hPa (+1.3)

Wind History for Kings Point, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY14 mi72 minNNE 610.00 miFair76°F53°F45%1010.1 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY15 mi69 minNNW 410.00 miFair73°F52°F48%1010.2 hPa
New York, La Guardia Airport, NY19 mi74 minNE 810.00 miA Few Clouds82°F53°F37%1010 hPa
New York, Kennedy International Airport, NY21 mi74 minN 010.00 miA Few Clouds74°F62°F67%1010.6 hPa
New York City, Central Park, NY24 mi74 minVar 410.00 miFair81°F50°F34%1010.3 hPa

Wind History from FRG (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW9W9W11SW8W8W5W7NW6NW4NW8NW7N14N11
G19
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1 day agoSW8SW8SW6SW4SW4S6SW5S7SW7SW10SW7S9S9SW11SW16S17SW16
G23
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2 days agoSW5SW5SW3SW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4Calm333S7S10S9S10S8S11S11S7S8SW10

Tide / Current Tables for Bayville Bridge, Oyster Bay, New York
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Bayville Bridge
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 04:19 AM EDT     8.16 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:57 AM EDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 11:58 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:57 PM EDT     8.12 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:26 PM EDT     0.34 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.63.55.57.28.17.96.85.13.31.60.3-0.20.424.16.17.68.17.66.34.62.81.30.4

Tide / Current Tables for Throg's Neck, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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Throg's Neck
Click for Map
Tue -- 12:36 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 01:56 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:09 AM EDT     -0.75 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 05:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:09 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:19 AM EDT     1.01 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 11:59 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 02:14 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 05:35 PM EDT     -0.77 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 08:43 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 11:46 PM EDT     1.04 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.70.3-0-0.3-0.6-0.7-0.6-0.3-00.20.610.90.40.1-0.2-0.5-0.7-0.7-0.5-0.100.30.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.