Sunrise 6:04 AM   Sunset 7:38 PM Moonrise 3:37 PM   Moonset 4:26 AM

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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1212 Pm Edt Fri Apr 19 2024
This afternoon - SE winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tonight - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm. Sat - W winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Patchy fog in the morning. Showers likely, mainly in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm. Sat night - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Sun - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Sun night - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Mon - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Mon night - N winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.

ANZ300 1212 Pm Edt Fri Apr 19 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - High pressure over the area will weaken this afternoon as a cold front approaches the area from the west by tonight. The cold front moves through the area tonight and into early Saturday, followed by a secondary dry cold frontal passage Saturday afternoon. High pressure builds in for the beginning of the week. A weak frontal system will impact the region mid-week. High pressure returns to end the week.

FXUS61 KOKX 191611 AFDOKX

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 1211 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure over the area will weaken this afternoon as a cold front approaches the area from the west by tonight. The cold front moves through the area tonight and into early Saturday, followed by a secondary dry cold frontal passage Saturday afternoon. High pressure builds in for the beginning of the week. A weak frontal system will impact the region mid- week. High pressure returns to end the week.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/
Forecast remains on track through the rest of the afternoon.

Surface high pressure over the area will gradually weaken and push out of the area as a cold front approaches from the west.
Chances for showers will begin to increase this evening from west to east with the closer proximity of the front and associated lift. Highs will be in the middle to upper 50s.

Showers become likely overnight for much of the area as the front pushes through. Showers should become more widespread early Saturday morning mainly east of the city as lift is enhanced by divergence aloft ahead of an approaching jet streak aloft. Lows overnight will be in the middle to upper 40s.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/
Much of the rainfall should be tapering from west to east into Saturday morning. Lingering showers appear likely across eastern Long Island and southeast CT before completely moving out of by midday Saturday. Total rainfall accumulation of generally around a quarter inch or less is expected. Some areas to the northeast of the area may see between a quarter inch and a half inch of rain. A secondary cold front moves through during the afternoon and evening Saturday and while it is expected to be a dry passage, a stray shower can't be ruled out. Temperatures on Saturday should rebound nicely with highs in the middle to potentially upper 60s for much of the area.

Surface high pressure will attempt to build back in from the west Saturday night and into the second half of the weekend, allowing for generally dry conditions with mostly clear skies.
Highs Sunday will be a bit cooler than Saturday with temperatures in the upper 50s expected. With high pressure building in and skies clearing out, lows both Saturday and Sunday night may drop into the 30s for inland areas.

LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/
High pressure will remain in control of the weather through Tuesday.

A 500mb trough will move through the Great Lakes on Tuesday with an associated weak surface low and cold front. This system will approach the region Tuesday night and move across the area on Wednesday. Expect rain chances to increase Tuesday night into Wednesday. The cold front moves east of the region Wednesday night with drier weather returning to end the week.

Temperatures will remain near normal through much of the long term period, except for Thursday, when temperatures will be a few degrees below normal.

AVIATION /16Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/
High pressure will weaken this afternoon as a cold front approaches from the west by tonight. The front will move through late tonight into early daytime Saturday.

Still mainly VFR through this afternoon. A few dissipating showers may approach the western terminals toward 22Z, after which time cigs at the NYC metros should also lower to MVFR in SE flow. Cigs should eventually lower to IFR by about 03Z-04Z at the NYC metros and 05Z-06Z farther north/east, with showers arriving from the west. Can't rule out TEMPO LIFR cigs especially at terminals closest to the coast but for now will be more optimistic.

NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...

High confidence in winds. No unscheduled AMD expected, but 18Z TAF and later AMD's will fine tune timing of arrival of lower cigs and showers late today/tonight.

OUTLOOK FOR 12Z SATURDAY THROUGH TUESDAY...

Saturday: IFR early at KISP/KBDR/KGON and MVFR elsewhere, improving to VFR by 14Z-15Z at most sites, 16Z at KGON.
W-WNW winds G15-25kt possible late.

Sunday: VFR. W winds G15-20 kt possible near the coast in the afternoon/evening.

Monday and Tuesday: VFR.

Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90

MARINE
SCA seas remain on the ocean waters through today with waves just over 5 feet. Have extended the SCA through 06z tonight as there is a likelihood of 5 ft seas lingering overnight. Seas should subside below 5 ft by early Saturday morning.

High pressure should then keep conditions at sub-advisory levels through at least Tuesday night. Conditions may build back to SCA levels on Wednesday with the next low pressure and associated cold front to approach.

HYDROLOGY
No hydrologic impacts expected through next Thursday.

OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 2 AM EDT Saturday for ANZ350-353- 355.

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Stony Brook
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Fri -- 03:13 AM EDT     0.86 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:26 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:06 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 09:17 AM EDT     5.81 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:32 PM EDT     0.82 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 03:36 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 07:37 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 09:37 PM EDT     6.06 feet High Tide
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