Wednesday, October18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Poquott, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 6:07PM Wednesday October 18, 2017 7:56 PM EDT (23:56 UTC) Moonrise 5:43AMMoonset 5:56PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 309 Pm Edt Wed Oct 18 2017
Tonight..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
ANZ300 309 Pm Edt Wed Oct 18 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure over the waters tonight will be shunted southward tomorrow as a cold front approaches the area and moves through overnight. High pressure then rebuilds across the area through late week, then shifts offshore by late weekend ahead of a slowly approaching low pressure system.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Poquott village, NY
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location: 40.95, -73.08     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 182355
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
755 pm edt Wed oct 18 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will remain in control through the end of the week
before gradually shifting offshore through the weekend. A dry
cold front will approach from the north on Thursday and move
through the local area on Friday. Another cold front will then
slowly approach and pass through during the middle of next week.

Near term until 6 am Thursday morning
Forecast is generally on track. Hourly temps dewpoints were a
few degrees cooler lower than forecast so have adjusted these
based on latest obs trends.

Otherwise, seasonable weather continues as high pressure
remains across the area. Although clear skies and light winds
will create favorable radiational cooling conditions tonight,
subtle return flow has allowed dewpoints to increase into the
mid 40s to lower 50s. As such, low temperatures tonight will be
closer to normal climatological values rather than the below
normal we have experienced the past few nights.

Short term 6 am Thursday morning through Thursday night
Southwesterly flow will strengthen into Thursday ahead of a weak
cold front. Temperatures will be 5 to 10 degrees above normal
in warm advection, particularly to the west of nyc where marine
influence will be minimal. Have trended a few degrees above
guidance in these areas, primarily for northern nj. A few gusts
will be possible by evening ahead of the front and with its
passage late. The mixing associated with the front will keep
temperatures above normal into the overnight. Given the
antecedent dry air mass, no precipitation is expected with the
frontal passage.

Long term Friday through Wednesday
Large ridge remains in place Friday and Saturday, ahead of
downstream trough that will makes its way east, deepening as it does
so.

The global models prog a southern stream cutoff low over the
southeast states Monday, and this shortwave energy quickly moves
northeast Tuesday ahead of the main longwave trough that remains to
the west, slowing down as it deepens Tuesday and Wednesday.

Surface high pressure builds behind a weak front during the Friday
through Sunday period.

By Monday, a wave of low pressure likely develops over the southeast
states along a cold front. The front will make slow eastward
progress, approaching Tuesday and passing Tuesday night as low
pressure rides along it. Still, there is much uncertainty though on
all these features and forecast details this far out as the front
could move east or stall nearby.

As for sensible weather, dry conditions are expected until Monday,
or Monday night. Increasing chances for showers Monday night
Tuesday can be expected ahead of shortwave trough front. In fact,
increasing moisture sweeps northward as the gulf of mexico is tapped
which could lead to some heavier showers Tuesday or Tuesday night.

These showers could very well linger into Wednesday depending on
speed of front and trough, a conveyor belt of moisture advecting
south to north. Have a feeling the slower solutions will pan out due
to strength of the trough. Either way, showers will be possible as
upper cold pool approaches from the west if the front passes quicker.

Temperatures through the period will remain several degrees above
normal.

Aviation 23z Wednesday through Monday
Vfr through the TAF period with high pressure remaining southeast of
the region through Thursday evening.

Sw winds 10-12 kt will continue for next few hours at city
terminals. Winds will diminish overnight to around 5 kt at city
terminals and light and variable elsewhere. SW flow increases
on Thursday and becomes gusty in the afternoon. Start time of
the gusts could vary a few hours from forecast.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information... Including hourly TAF wind component fcsts can
be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 16 mi38 min SW 5.1 G 8 1024.4 hPa
44069 17 mi56 min WSW 5.8 G 5.8 62°F 62°F58°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 25 mi38 min S 2.9 G 4.1 62°F 67°F1025.1 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 26 mi56 min SSW 12 G 14 65°F 1 ft
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 27 mi71 min SSW 12 G 14 67°F 52°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 35 mi41 min S 9.7 G 12 65°F 53°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 38 mi38 min S 8 G 9.9 63°F 65°F1025.7 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 49 mi66 min SW 14 G 16 64°F 64°F3 ft1025.4 hPa (-0.0)

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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SW8
G12
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SW12
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY10 mi60 minSW 410.00 miFair59°F53°F81%1025.2 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY15 mi60 minSSW 410.00 miFair61°F53°F75%1025.5 hPa
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT16 mi64 minSSW 810.00 miFair65°F53°F66%1024.7 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY23 mi63 minSW 710.00 miFair62°F53°F73%1025.4 hPa

Wind History from ISP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW7SW5CalmCalmCalmW5W4W8W5W4W3W4W5W6W4NW4CalmCalm3S8S9SW6SW8SW4
1 day agoN8N11
G20
N13
G20
N10N15
G21
N9N10N10N10N5N4N6N7N11N8N10NE8NE6NW7CalmE3SW5SW7S5
2 days agoSW14SW16
G25
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SW15
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W9W6NW15
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N9N15NW11N13
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NW12N18NW14
G20
N13N11

Tide / Current Tables for Port Jefferson, Long Island, New York
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Port Jefferson
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:49 AM EDT     -0.10 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:54 AM EDT     7.67 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:16 PM EDT     -0.24 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:19 PM EDT     7.28 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
6.44.93.21.50.3-0.10.62.145.87.27.77.15.742.20.6-0.201.22.94.86.47.2

Tide / Current Tables for Stratford Shoal, Long Island Sound, New York
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Stratford Shoal
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:39 AM EDT     -0.16 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:42 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:07 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 10:49 AM EDT     7.57 feet High Tide
Wed -- 05:07 PM EDT     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 06:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 11:14 PM EDT     7.19 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
6.24.731.20.1-0.10.72.34.15.97.27.56.95.53.71.80.3-0.4-01.234.96.47.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.