Wednesday, March29, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lake Arthur Estates, PA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 7:06AMSunset 7:45PM Wednesday March 29, 2017 1:09 PM EDT (17:09 UTC) Moonrise 7:19AMMoonset 8:43PM Illumination 5% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ148 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- 950 Am Edt Wed Mar 29 2017
This afternoon..Northeast winds 10 knots or less. Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east 10 to 20 knots. Partly cloudy in the evening...then becoming mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..East winds 10 to 20 knots becoming northeast. A chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. A small craft advisory will likely be needed.
Thursday night..East winds 10 to 20 knots becoming southeast 5 to 15 knots. Showers. A chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 36 degrees...off cleveland 38 degrees and off erie 38 degrees.
LEZ148 Expires:201703292030;;262280 FZUS51 KCLE 291350 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 950 AM EDT WED MAR 29 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ144>148-292030-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lake Arthur Estates, PA
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location: 40.95, -80.15     debug


Area Discussion for - Pittsburgh, PA
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Fxus61 kpbz 291608
afdpbz
area forecast discussion
national weather service pittsburgh pa
1208 pm edt Wed mar 29 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will ensure dry weather this afternoon before
another low pressure system brings rain to the region late
Thursday through Friday.

Near term /through tonight/
With noon update, minimal changes were made to cloud cover and
hourly temperature grids as clearing occurs from north to
south. High pressure ridge building overhead will maintain dry
conditions this afternoon and tonight. Temperatures should warm
close to, if not slightly above seasonal averages.

Clear skies tonight, albeit not perfect for radiational cooling
with some surface wind, should allow for us to cool off early.

However, strengthening warm advection aloft should become a
limiting factor as we go toward Thursday morning. Thus, a non-
diurnal trend is forecast with lows close to seasonal averages.

Short term /Thursday through Saturday/
High pressure should keep the region dry through Thursday
morning, with guidance trending even a bit slower with the
arrival of precipitation. Still, will increase pops to likely by
Thursday night as deep, moist, southerly flow in advance of the
occluding low supports these values. Broad low pressure will
slowly slide eastward through Friday, maintaining rain chances
through much of the day. The weakening upper low will shift east
by Saturday morning, but lingering low level moisture may keep
widely scattered showers possible through the first part of the
day before building subsidence brings an end to precipitation.

Temperatures will continue to run slightly above seasonal
averages through the period, including on Friday, despite rain
with strong warm advection expected.

Long term /Saturday night through Tuesday/
Very little change in the pattern is expected as model guidance
continues to show a series of low pressure systems ejecting out
of the southwestern CONUS and lifting toward the ohio/tennessee
valleys. This will maintain at least chance pops through midweek
outside of dry conditions expected Sunday. With some uncertainty
in low track and speed, a blend of guidance was used.

Temperatures will generally stay close to averages for early april.

Aviation /16z Wednesday through Sunday/
Stratus deck is clearing from north to south, with all terminals
eventually becomingVFR by early this afternoon. Light north
winds will persist through much of today. These will gradually
shift easterly by Thursday, but generally remain less than
10kts.

Outlook...

restrictions are likely again from late Thursday through
Saturday as another broad low affects the upper ohio valley.

Pbz watches/warnings/advisories
Md... None.

Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Wv... None.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 74 mi44 min NNE 2.9 G 5.1 37°F 1025.1 hPa
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 77 mi110 min NNW 5.1 G 6 36°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 82 mi52 min N 8.9 G 8.9 38°F 1025 hPa36°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
New Castle, New Castle Municipal Airport, PA15 mi14 minVar 410.00 miA Few Clouds52°F34°F50%1025.2 hPa
Beaver Falls Airport, PA16 mi23 minSW 310.00 miFair52°F33°F50%1023 hPa

Wind History from UCP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN9N8NW12N12--N7NW11NW7NW4NW6NW5NW7NW6N7NW5N6N4N5N4N53NE534
1 day agoW9S8
G14
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SW7W7W4CalmCalmE3CalmE3NE4CalmE3W4E4CalmCalmN3NE3N4N8NE4N8
2 days agoSE11
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SE84SE10
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SE7S4SE8SE6SE954CalmSE9SE4S34S4SW4SW4SW6SW7SW8
G15
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Pittsburgh, PA (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Pittsburgh, PA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.