Friday, November16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Baiting Hollow, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 4:33PM Friday November 16, 2018 8:27 AM EST (13:27 UTC) Moonrise 2:30PMMoonset 12:31AM Illumination 60% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 729 Am Est Fri Nov 16 2018
.gale warning in effect until 6 pm est this evening...
Today..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt, becoming nw 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 40 kt late this morning, then becoming W 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 35 kt this afternoon. Seas 4 to 7 ft. Rain this morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..W winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds around 5 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Mon night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 729 Am Est Fri Nov 16 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Deep low pressure will pass over the waters this morning, then track to the northeast. High pressure will return for the weekend. Weak low pressure will pass through late Sunday through Monday. High pressure will return on Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Baiting Hollow CDP, NY
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location: 40.97, -72.74     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 161224
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
724 am est Fri nov 16 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure will move up the coast this morning. High pressure
will build in from the ohio valley over the weekend. Weak low
pressure will pass through late Sunday through Monday. High
pressure will return for Tuesday through thanksgiving day.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Last band of precip associated with upper trough moves through
this morning.

The band of wintry mix moves through, as colder air settles
southward as the winds shift around to the north across western
locales. Elsewhere, temperatures will remain above freezing, so
just plain rain is expected eastern locations. Ponding of water
is expected due to clogged drains, and snowpack.

The precipitation winds down by 9am- noon today, with fair
weather arriving this afternoon.

Winds abruptly shift to the NW as low pressure tracks to the
northeast. As the low pulls away, a few gusts up to 50 mph
cannot be ruled out from the NW near the coast. As such, issued
a wind advisory this morning for coastal locations including
nyc, long island, and coastal ct.

Nw winds remain gusty this afternoon, but do diminish some.

Max temperatures today will be in the low to mid 40s across the
interior with mid to low 50s along the coast.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Saturday
Skies should clear this evening as the low pulls away. Low
temperatures will range from the upper 20s well inland to
mid upper 30s nyc metro long island. High pressure builds into
the region on Saturday with temperatures in the mid 40s to near
50.

Long term Saturday night through Thursday
Through the long term period the pacific western ridge will remain
while a trough remains across the central and eastern us. Northern
stream flow will predominate as a series of weak impulses rotate
through the trough. One of the stronger waves moves through near
zonal flow Sunday into Monday. Timing of this wave remains a little
uncertain, and will keep probabilities at chance and slight chance.

Colder air will be in place so will have chances of light snow
inland and rain along the coast. Another wave passes generally to
the southwest and south Wednesday as the wave moves through mid and
low level higher pressure. Ensemble and model guidance keeps the
area dry with generally higher pressure dominating as the wave
passes.

Surface high pressure will be over the area for thanksgiving as
another shortwave passes to the north through the longwave trough.

Temperatures will be moderating for thanksgiving, still remaining
below seasonal normals.

A southern stream shortwave doe move under the western ridge Monday
night into Tuesday and quickly tracks through the southern states.

At this time there is no phasing with the northern trough, and this
system is expected to remain south next Thursday through Saturday.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
A coastal storm will move off to the northeast this morning with
conditions improving late this morning and early this afternoon.

As low pressure starts departing the region there will be
2 main concerns this morning.

1- precipitation moving across the terminals this morning will
produce another short period of frozen precipitation before
ending. The concern for frozen precipitation will be from the
nyc terminals and points west. (lower chances across jfk and
lga)
2- there will be a short 3 hour window (mainly between 12-15z)
for strong gusty winds as the upper low moves out of the region.

Wind gusts up to 45kt will be possible.

The precipitation comes to an end between 13-15z, with
conditions improving back toVFR. We should remainVFR for the
remainder of the TAF period.

Northwest winds will continue for much of the day with wind
speeds around 15-20 kt with gusts between 25-30kt, a few higher
gusts will be possible at the coastal terminals. Wind speeds and
gusts will continue to gradually diminish overnight.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 23 mi40 min NE 20 G 28 37°F 53°F996.5 hPa
44069 26 mi88 min N 18 G 21 45°F 42°F44°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 27 mi46 min NNW 14 G 21 37°F 52°F997.8 hPa
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 41 mi38 min SW 25 G 31 51°F 56°F18 ft992.6 hPa (-4.2)47°F
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 42 mi43 min N 19 G 22 42°F 995.1 hPa40°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 42 mi40 min 51°F 50°F992.7 hPa
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 44 mi40 min N 9.9 G 16 40°F 54°F994.9 hPa

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY11 mi35 minNE 10 G 206.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist0°F0°F%993.6 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY12 mi32 minN 14 G 203.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist41°F39°F93%995.4 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY22 mi32 minNNW 23 G 297.00 miLight Rain and Windy41°F39°F93%996.6 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT23 mi35 minN 21 G 2810.00 miOvercast and Breezy37°F34°F89%996.3 hPa

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE7NE9NE10NE10NE9NE10
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NE9NE7NE5NE7NE8NE11NE12NE15
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------NE10
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1 day agoW17
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NW14N8N8N9N8N9N6--------------NE5NE5
2 days agoE10
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NW9

Tide / Current Tables for Northville, Long Island, New York
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Fri -- 12:16 AM EST     0.97 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 03:26 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 06:38 AM EST     Sunrise
Fri -- 06:45 AM EST     -1.08 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 10:16 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 12:31 PM EST     1.05 knots Max Flood
Fri -- 01:28 PM EST     Moonrise
Fri -- 03:46 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Fri -- 04:30 PM EST     Sunset
Fri -- 07:12 PM EST     -1.30 knots Max Ebb
Fri -- 10:51 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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10.90.80.3-0.3-0.7-1-1.1-0.9-0.6-0.20.5110.90.5-0.1-0.7-1.1-1.3-1.2-0.9-0.50.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.