Friday, September22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Belle Terre, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:39AMSunset 6:49PM Friday September 22, 2017 8:21 PM EDT (00:21 UTC) Moonrise 8:57AMMoonset 8:27PM Illumination 6% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 2 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 748 Pm Edt Fri Sep 22 2017
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat..N winds around 10 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Sat night..N winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..N winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 748 Pm Edt Fri Sep 22 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Post tropical cyclone jose will meander and weaken to the southeast of long island through Sunday,as high pressure remains centered over the eastern great lakes, and extends into the northeast, into the beginning of next week. Meanwhile, hurricane maria tracks offshore of the east coast. A cold front passes through the region Wednesday night into Thursday. Please refer to national hurricane center products for more details on maria.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Belle Terre village, NY
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location: 40.99, -73.08     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 230005
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
805 pm edt Fri sep 22 2017

Synopsis
Post tropical cyclone jose will meander and weaken to the southeast
of long island through Saturday night as high pressure remains
centered over the eastern great lakes, and extends into the
northeast, into the beginning of next week. Meanwhile,
hurricane maria tracks well offshore of the east coast. A cold
front passes through the region Wednesday night into Thursday.

High pressure builds to the northwest next Friday. Please refer
to national hurricane center products for more details on maria.

Near term until 6 am Saturday morning
Minor changes were made to hourly temperatures and dew point temperatures
based on the latest observations and near term forecast trends.

Upper levels still exhibit the persistent pattern of a strong high
amplitude ridge across the eastern us. Upper jet remains displaced
well north into interior SE canada.

For tonight, the weakening post tropical cyclone jose will keep clouds
and some occasional light showers across parts of long island and
southeast connecticut. Otherwise, mainly dry conditions are forecast.

North winds will still be gusty at times through the evening and
just remain gusty at the coast late tonight.

A combination of mav met nam12 gmos was used for min temperatures
tonight. Lowered min temps 1-2 degrees across far eastern long
island for late tonight. Looking at a range from the upper 50s
to upper 60s.

Short term 6 am Saturday morning through Saturday night
Upper levels still exhibit the persistent pattern of a strong
high amplitude ridge across the eastern us Saturday and Saturday
night. Upper jet remains displaced well north into interior se
canada.

For Saturday, high pressure will approach closer to the region
and along with it, bring an increase in subsidence. Jose is
forecast to further weaken.

A dry day is forecast with more Sun as clouds will be less than
the prior day. The pressure gradient will further decrease
across the area. Northerly winds will lower as a result.

The warmer mav was preferred for temperatures due to recent
better performance. A combination of mav and gmos was used for
max temperatures, yielding a range from the upper 70s to upper
80s.

For Saturday night, high pressure builds in a little more with
continued subsidence. Further weakening of jose will create an
even weaker pressure gradient with winds likewise diminishing.

Radiational cooling will result in lower minimum temperatures
Saturday night. Used relatively cooler met guidance for Saturday
night lows.

Long term Sunday through Friday
The longwave pattern will continue to be highly amplified with a
strong upper ridge over the eastern states, with a trough across the
western states, that will remain in place through the beginning of
next week with dry conditions and temperatures above seasonal
normals. There is a possibility of tying or breaking record highs
for Sunday. See the climate section for more information. Meanwhile,
hurricane maria will track slowly north, east of the eastern
seaboard, then northeast through most of the upcoming week as post
tropical jose remains southeast of CAPE cod and dissipates Sunday.

Refer to the latest advisories from the national hurricane center
for the latest forecast information on jose and maria.

The longwave pattern will transition mid to late next week as a
trough digs into the northern plains and great lakes region and then
moves east as the eastern ridge weakens. This will bring an end to
the above normal temperatures. A cold front is expected to cross the
area Wednesday night into Thursday. There is some uncertainty with
the timing of the digging trough and the cold front crossing the
area. However, there will be little moisture accompanying the front
and portions of the region may be brushed with the outer bands of
showers from maria late in the week. So, will have mainly slight
chance probabilities Wednesday night into Thursday.

Weak ridging begins to build to the west Thursday into next Friday.

Due to long period swells from both jose and maria, there will be a
prolonged period of rough surf at the ocean beaches, with the
likelihood of a high risk of rip currents.

Aviation 00z Saturday through Wednesday
Remnants of jose will meander and weaken off the southern new
england coast through Saturday.

Vfr expected tonight, except eastern terminals. Kgon should observe
MVFR CIGS most of the night, less than 2 kft. Kisp and kbdr need to
be watched. Few clouds Saturday all terminals.

N winds continue around 10 to perhaps 15 kt, with occasional gusts
tonight across nyc metro and eastern terminals. Strongest winds at
kgon with gusts well in the 20s.

N winds begin to lighten Saturday, especially by afternoon.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 14 mi52 min NNE 8 G 14 76°F 71°F1013.5 hPa
44069 20 mi67 min N 14 G 18 74°F 69°F61°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 22 mi52 min NE 12 G 18 74°F 72°F1014 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 35 mi37 min N 14 G 19 75°F 58°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 38 mi52 min NE 15 G 18 76°F 71°F1014.7 hPa
44025 - LONG ISLAND 33 NM South of Islip, NY 51 mi92 min NNE 9.7 G 12 70°F 67°F7 ft1012.6 hPa (+0.0)64°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 53 mi52 min 78°F 71°F1014.6 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 54 mi92 min N 12 G 16 75°F 70°F5 ft1012.3 hPa (-0.0)63°F
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 57 mi52 min N 9.9 G 15 78°F 1014.6 hPa
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 58 mi52 min N 11 G 19 66°F 67°F1013 hPa
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 58 mi92 min 64°F 65°F8 ft1011.7 hPa (+0.0)62°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT13 mi30 minN 15 G 2310.00 miPartly Cloudy75°F57°F54%1014.1 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY13 mi26 minNNE 1410.00 miMostly Cloudy74°F59°F60%1013.5 hPa
Shirley, Brookhaven Airport, NY17 mi26 minN 8 G 1810.00 miOvercast74°F62°F67%1013.6 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT23 mi29 minNNE 15 G 2210.00 miPartly Cloudy73°F57°F59%1013.8 hPa

Wind History from ISP (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN11N9N10N11N14
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1 day agoN14
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2 days agoN14N17
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Tide / Current Tables for Port Jefferson Harbor entrance, Long Island Sound, New York
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Port Jefferson Harbor entrance
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:08 AM EDT     7.22 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:18 AM EDT     -0.14 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:26 PM EDT     7.48 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:44 PM EDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
6.67.26.85.63.92.20.7-0.10.11.334.96.57.47.36.34.72.91.20-0.20.523.8

Tide / Current Tables for Stony Brook, Smithtown Bay, Long Island Sound, New York
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Stony Brook
Click for Map
Fri -- 01:13 AM EDT     6.63 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 07:27 AM EDT     -0.13 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:57 AM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 01:31 PM EDT     6.87 feet High Tide
Fri -- 06:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Fri -- 07:53 PM EDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:27 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
5.96.66.35.33.82.20.8-0012.64.35.86.76.85.94.52.81.30.1-0.20.41.73.3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.