Wednesday, September20, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Noyack, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 6:51PM Wednesday September 20, 2017 9:04 AM EDT (13:04 UTC) Moonrise 6:49AMMoonset 7:22PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ340 Peconic And Gardiners Bays- 524 Am Edt Wed Sep 20 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through late tonight...
Today..N winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves around 5 ft. Chance of showers, mainly this morning.
Tonight..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 30 kt. Waves 3 to 4 ft.
Thu..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 3 ft.
Thu night..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
Fri..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 3 ft.
Fri night..N winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt after midnight. Waves around 3 ft.
Sat..N winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Waves around 3 ft.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
ANZ300 524 Am Edt Wed Sep 20 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Tropical cyclone jose slowly moves south and east of the waters through tonight and meanders offshore on Thursday. High pressure builds to the north and west on Thursday, remaining in place through early next week as jose weakens and slowly meanders to the southeast. Please refer to national hurricane center products for more details on jose.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Noyack, NY
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location: 41, -72.33     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 201122
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
722 am edt Wed sep 20 2017

Synopsis
Tropical cyclone jose slowly moves south and east of the area today
and will remain offshore through Thursday. High pressure builds over
the area Thursday and remains in place through early next week
as jose weakens and slowly meanders to our southeast. Please
refer to national hurricane center products for more details on
jose.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
The tropical storm watch for suffolk county has been cancelled.

Jose is located about 200 mi south and east of the long island
coast and will continue moving slowly to the northeast away from
the coast through the day. Impacts will be minimal on land as
the majority of showers will stay offshore. A few bands of
showers are attempting to graze the south fork of long island,
but thinking is these will stay over the waters. Some of the
showers could work there way inland this morning across eastern
long island and southeast connecticut. However, increasing
subsidence on the backside of jose and from building upper
ridging should prevent much progress westward.

Gusty northerly winds will continue today with the strongest
gusts, 30-35 mph across long island. No tropical storm force
sustained winds are expected on land.

The main concern today will be from high surf and dangerous rip
currents at ocean beaches. Minor to locally moderate coastal
flooding
mostly cloudy to overcast skies will continue across eastern long
island and southeast connecticut through the day. Further west, at
least partial clearing is anticipated, especially this afternoon.

Above normal temperatures are forecast despite the cloud cover with
highs reaching the middle and upper 70s for most locations and the
lower 80s in NE nj and the nyc metro.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
Jose will meander south and east of CAPE cod tonight into Thursday.

Winds will weaken during this time, but still remain gusty across
long island and southeast connecticut. This is where the
tightest pressure gradient will be located between high
pressure to the north and west and jose offshore. Otherwise,
skies will continue to gradually clear overnight and should
largely be mostly sunny on Thursday.

Deep upper ridging builds to the north and west as jose meanders
offshore. Drier low level air should work in on Thursday as well
with dew points falling into the upper 50s and lower 60s.

Temperatures however will be quite warm, reaching the middle 80s in
ne nj and nyc metro with upper 70s and lower 80s elsewhere.

Dangerous rip currents will likely continue at atlantic ocean
beaches on Thursday.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
Lots of uncertainty in the long term continues. Most of this is due
to the uncertainty surrounding jose's ultimate track and strength.

Stay tuned for official track and intensity forecasts regarding jose
from the national hurricane center.

For now it appears that jose and or remnants will meander about 250-
300 miles to the southeast of montauk Thursday through this weekend.

This would likely keep the associated rain shield just off to the
east. This combined with high pressure over the area will then
likely keep us dry through the period with above-normal temperatures
as heights build aloft. It still may be on the breezy side,
particularly on Thursday and Friday. For Monday and Tuesday, will
continue to keep both periods dry for consistency while global
models attempt to sort out the details of jose from run to run.

Rough surf will continue to be likely at least through the end of
this week and may continue into early next week.

Aviation 12z Wednesday through Sunday
Tropical cyclone jose will remain off southern new england
coast today.

Bands of showers pivoting to the east may occasionally move into
kgon and kisp. Intensity is mainly light although vsby could
briefly drop to MVFR or even ifr. Otherwise... Ceilings are
mainly MVFR this morning improving to MVFR-vfr this afternoon.

Gusty N flow will gradually shift to the nnw. Gusts will
continue in the 20-30 kt range at the city terminals, and closer
to 25-35 kt at eastern terminals. Winds gradually decrease
through the evening.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts,
can be found at:
http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 20 mi46 min 69°F 68°F1007.2 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 20 mi154 min NNE 21 G 27 71°F 4 ft71°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 26 mi74 min 67°F 67°F13 ft1005.7 hPa (+0.0)67°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 28 mi46 min NNE 6 G 11 70°F 68°F1008.5 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 36 mi46 min NE 6 G 15 72°F 73°F1010 hPa
44069 45 mi64 min NNE 19 G 27 71°F 71°F69°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 47 mi52 min NNE 16 G 22 72°F 72°F1009.7 hPa

Wind History for New London, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
The Gabreski Airport, NY19 mi71 minN 18 G 2610.00 miOvercast and Breezy71°F64°F81%1008.3 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY22 mi70 minNNE 14 G 23 mi69°F66°F93%1007.8 hPa

Wind History from FOK (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNE4NE6E7NE6NE9NE7NE7NE8NE10NE9NE10NE9NE8NE8NE13
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalm--NE5--SE6SE6E7SE63Calm3E5E3NE4NE3NE4NE3NE5NE5E4NE5E5

Tide / Current Tables for Noyack Bay, Long Island Sound, New York
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Noyack Bay
Click for Map
Wed -- 01:30 AM EDT     New Moon
Wed -- 05:48 AM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:48 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:10 PM EDT     2.90 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:13 PM EDT     -0.00 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:49 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:22 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.82.62.11.50.80.20.10.411.62.22.72.92.82.31.71.10.400.10.61.31.92.4

Tide / Current Tables for Shinnecock Canal, Railroad Bridge, New York Current
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Shinnecock Canal
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:44 AM EDT     -1.88 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 01:30 AM EDT     New Moon
Wed -- 04:15 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:35 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 06:58 AM EDT     1.73 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 09:54 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 01:09 PM EDT     -1.87 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:37 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 06:50 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 07:16 PM EDT     1.71 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 07:23 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 10:16 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-1.7-1.9-1.6-1.1-0.30.81.61.71.50.9-0.1-0.9-1.6-1.9-1.7-1.3-0.60.41.41.71.61.20.3-0.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.