Sunday, June25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Asharoken, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:21AMSunset 8:31PM Sunday June 25, 2017 4:57 AM EDT (08:57 UTC) Moonrise 7:09AMMoonset 9:56PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 334 Am Edt Sun Jun 25 2017
Today..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming sw late this morning and afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon and evening, then 1 ft or less after midnight.
ANZ300 334 Am Edt Sun Jun 25 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A series of weak low pressure troughs forming over land each day will move offshore each night through Tuesday night, while strong high pressure remains well to the southwest. The high will eventually build in on Wednesday. A warm front will approach on Thursday and move through at night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Asharoken, NY
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location: 41, -73.35     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 250722
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
322 am edt Sun jun 25 2017

Synopsis
A series of weak low pressure troughs forming over land each
day will move offshore each night through Tuesday night, while
strong high pressure remains well to the southwest. The high
will eventually build in on Wednesday. A warm front will
approach on Thursday and move through at night. A cold front
approaching from the north on Friday will stall nearby into the
weekend, with unsettled weather.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Aloft, shortwave over the great lakes region this morning looks to
pass well to the north through the day.

At the sfc, weak trough develops this afternoon, with SW or s
flow ahead of it, and westerly flow behind it.

Plenty sunshine in the morning will give way to a few afternoon
clouds, with generally dry conditions. Higher resolution models
point to isolated shower activity this afternoon, but with weak
instability and meager moisture and lift, do believe anything would
be isolated.

Temperatures look quite seasonable, and a few degrees lower than
yesterday. Readings in the 80s expected across the region, with
locations east of the trough slightly cooler due to onshore
winds this afternoon.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Monday
Sfc trough moves east tonight, with winds veering to the west nw.

Yet another weak sfc trough develops over the area Monday.

Aloft, heights fall to the west of the area as next shortwave moves
across the great lakes region.

Any shower weakens this evening, with dry conditions anticipated
tonight. On Monday, more of the same, with morning sunshine giving
way to a few afternoon clouds. Cannot rule out an isolated shower
interior Monday.

Near normal to slightly below normal temperatures are forecast
tonight and Monday, with lower humidity levels.

Long term Monday night through Saturday
Looks fairly dry with comfortable humidity and slightly below normal
temperatures through mid week. A warm front approaches on Thursday
as low pressure passes across southern canada. In its wake, a cold
front sags south into ny state on Friday. The front becomes
stationary near the region into the weekend - which appears will be
"unsettled."
upper trough axis approaches Tuesday, passing Tuesday night. Perhaps
a tad more instability Tuesday and pseudo cold FROPA could trigger a
shower.

Wednesday is dry and then warm advection starts in on Thursday.

Frontal boundary in the region, or just north, on Friday and have
pops in for tsra. Looks to remain unsettled through the holiday
weekend at this time.

Temps come back to near seasonable on Thursday and then go above
Friday into the weekend. No heat issues foreseen though.

Aviation 07z Sunday through Thursday
High pressure well to our south and west will be in control for
the most part through the TAF period. A weak disturbance well to
the NW will approach the region late today, more so for far nw
terminals (kswf and khpn). Slight chance of a late day, evening
shower or thunderstorm for these far NW terminals, but
confidence is too low to put in TAF at this time.

Vfr thru the TAF period. Timing and northern extent of wind
changes only at moderate confidence level. Sea breezes are
expected to develop Sunday late morning afternoon, but exact
timing of onset may be delayed by an hour or two from what is in
tafs. Locations like kbdr, and klga confidence is lower here
regarding seabreeze onset and duration this afternoon.

Outlook for 00z Monday through Thursday
Sunday night Vfr.

Monday Vfr. Coastal sea breezes expected, slight chance of
late day shra TSTM for NW terminals.

Tuesday Vfr. Chance to slight chance of late day shra tstm.

Wednesday Vfr.

Thursday Vfr.

Marine
Lingering rough ocean seas subside as the day progresses. Will
cancel western ocean waters, west of fire island inlet.

As the day progresses, seas do subside across the remainder of the
ocean waters.

For the longer term, tranquil on Monday and continuing through
Thursday morning. Ocean seas will likely build to SCA criteria
late Thursday and continue as such on Friday.

Hydrology
No hydrologic impacts expected through at least the end of next
week.

Tides coastal flooding
Astronomical tides are running very high, especially during the
nighttime high tide cycles. Will need to watch high tide cycle
tonight for localized minor coastal flooding. Main area to watch
would be across the nassau south shore bays, where water levels
should briefly touch or barely exceed minor thresholds.

Equipment
* the kokx doppler weather radar (wsr-88d) remains unavailable
due to required maintenance. The radar could return to
service as early as Sunday.

* surface observations from kfrg (farmingdale, ny) are not
available. Observations from khpn (white plains, ny and khvn
(new haven,ct) are being disseminated through backup methods.

All is due to an faa communication line outage. Return to
service time is unknown.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 2 pm edt this
afternoon for anz350.

Small craft advisory for hazardous seas until 11 am edt this
morning for anz353.

Synopsis... Pw
near term... Pw
short term... Pw
long term... Tongue pw
aviation... Je
marine... Pw
hydrology... Pw
tides coastal flooding...

equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 13 mi42 min Calm G 1.9 68°F 62°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 15 mi39 min Calm G 1.9 69°F 1012.7 hPa
44022 - Execution Rocks 22 mi42 min N 1.9 G 1.9 69°F 60°F
44069 25 mi57 min N 5.8 G 7.8 71°F 76°F65°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 26 mi39 min E 1.9 G 4.1 69°F 65°F1013.5 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 31 mi39 min NW 2.9 G 4.1 69°F 70°F1013.5 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 38 mi42 min WSW 3.9 G 3.9 70°F 1 ft60°F
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 41 mi39 min 72°F 68°F1013.4 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 45 mi39 min NNW 5.1 G 6 1014.2 hPa
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 47 mi67 min W 5.8 G 5.8 68°F 67°F3 ft1013.4 hPa (+0.8)64°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 49 mi45 min 72°F 72°F1013.7 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT17 mi65 minN 310.00 miOvercast71°F59°F66%1013.1 hPa
Islip, Long Island Mac Arthur Airport, NY19 mi2 hrsNW 310.00 miFair69°F61°F76%1012.7 hPa
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY20 mi3 hrsN 310.00 miFair68°F57°F69%1012.4 hPa

Wind History from BDR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW6SW9SW5S9SW7SW8SW10SW12NW13
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W7SW5SW6CalmSW4W4NW8E3CalmN3
1 day agoCalmSE3SW5SW4SW5SW5S8S11S10S12S12SW9S12S15S12S12SW7SW10SW4SW3SW8SW7SW8SW8
2 days agoNE4N3CalmE4SW5S5S5S7SW9SW9S14S12S12S12S8SW6SW4SW5SW4SW3CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Eatons Neck Point, Long Island, New York
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Eatons Neck Point
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Sun -- 12:29 AM EDT     9.13 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 07:12 AM EDT     -1.20 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 01:08 PM EDT     8.32 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:23 PM EDT     -0.42 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:29 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:55 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
997.963.61.3-0.4-1.2-0.80.73.15.77.68.37.96.64.52.30.6-0.3-0.213.25.7

Tide / Current Tables for Greens Ledge, Connecticut
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Greens Ledge
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:19 AM EDT     8.97 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 06:47 AM EDT     -1.20 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 07:09 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 12:55 PM EDT     7.99 feet High Tide
Sun -- 07:04 PM EDT     -0.40 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 08:30 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 09:56 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
8.98.77.25.12.80.7-0.8-1.2-0.31.63.85.97.587.35.73.71.80.3-0.40.11.73.96.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.