Tuesday, January22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Darien, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 4:59PM Tuesday January 22, 2019 7:09 AM EST (12:09 UTC) Moonrise 7:57PMMoonset 9:24AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 408 Am Est Tue Jan 22 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 7 am est this morning...
.freezing spray advisory in effect until 6 am est early this morning...
.low water advisory in effect until 7 am est this morning...
Today..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt early, becoming W 5 to 10 kt by noon. Seas around 2 ft this morning, then 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
Wed night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm after midnight.
Thu..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Seas around 2 ft. Rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the morning.
Thu night..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Fri..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night..W winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Sat..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 408 Am Est Tue Jan 22 2019
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Strong high pressure will build in through today, then pass east tonight. A cold front and wave of low pressure approaches Wednesday and passes Thursday. Thereafter, a series of weak fronts pass across the area through the weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Darien CDP, CT
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location: 41.05, -73.45     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 220854
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
354 am est Tue jan 22 2019

Synopsis
Strong high pressure will build in through today, then pass east
tonight. A cold front and wave of low pressure approaches
Wednesday and passes Thursday. Thereafter, a series of weak
fronts pass across the area through the weekend and into next
week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Deep-layered ridging for the region today brings sunshine mixed with
afternoon clouds. Winds subside through the day as the surface ridge
axis approaches and moves in during the afternoon. Associated
subsidence will limit the mixing depth, but this will be a moderated
airmass, so it won't be as cold as it was yesterday. It'll still be
below normal, with highs mostly 25-30. Wind chills through mid-
morning will be from around 0 to 10 below.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Wednesday
Weak warm advection and partly to mostly cloudy skies will help
prevent tonight's temperatures from falling as low as they have for
the past couple of nights. Low temperatures will still however end
up at least a couple degrees below normal.

For Wednesday, weak low pressure moves through the great lakes
region. Warm advection continues over here during the day with a s-
sw flow. Temperatures and chances of pcpn therefore rise through the
day. Models agree that pcpn chances are mainly in the afternoon, but
can't rule out something reaching the ground late in the morning
mainly west of the hudson river. Thermal profiles support rain from
aloft with a strong enough warm nose, although mixed with sleet
should anything fall in the morning. However at the surface,
temperatures for some areas north and west of nyc could still be
freezing until early afternoon. Temperatures rise into the mid-upper
30s by day's end for these areas, with lower 40s at and near the
coast.

Long term Wednesday night through Monday
Closed upper low remains in the vicinity of hudson bay as a longwave
trough extends across the middle of the country downstream from
pacific ridge.

In time, heights across the east fall as the trough makes some
progress east as the upper low traverses slowly south.

At the surface, a cold front approaches Wednesday night, with a wave
of low pressure developing on the front along the appalachians
Wednesday night, passing in our vicinity Thursday.

Thereafter, a series of frontal boundaries or troughs pass through
the weekend and into next week.

Temps warm Wednesday night into Thursday as southerly flow
increases. Increasing lift due to WAA and increasing moisture
through the column will lead to moderate to at times heavy rain
later at night and into Thursday ahead of the wave of low pressure.

Once this front passes, drier and colder air settles back in on nw
flow Thursday night into Friday.

In fact, after a mild, above normal day Thursday, colder and below
average air moves back in Friday-Saturday, before moderating again
later this weekend and into early next week.

In general, much of the weekend can be characterized as unsettled with
multiple weak disturbances moving through.

Aviation 09z Tuesday through Saturday
Canadian high pressure builds over the area today, then slides
offshore into tonight.

Vfr through the TAF period.

Nw winds diminish this morning. Gusts should abate throughout by
around 07-09z as speeds decrease to around 10-15kt. Speeds continue
to slowly decrease to less than 10 kt, at all terminals, as winds
gradually back to the wnw-w by early-mid afternoon. Winds become
light and variable areawide by late afternoon early evening and
remain so through at least 06z Wednesday.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 17 mi40 min NW 5.1 G 7 10°F 37°F1035.1 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 33 mi40 min WNW 8.9 G 9.9 11°F 34°F1035.6 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 38 mi40 min 14°F 37°F1036.5 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 42 mi40 min NW 19 G 22 14°F 1037 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 43 mi100 min WNW 19 G 25 17°F 38°F4 ft
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 47 mi40 min 15°F 35°F1037.1 hPa
MHRN6 47 mi40 min WNW 12 G 19
44065 - Entrance to New York Harbor 49 mi40 min NW 23 G 29 20°F 43°F1035.7 hPa13°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
White Plains - Westchester County Airport, NY14 mi74 minW 1010.00 miFair12°F0°F56%1035.1 hPa
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT19 mi18 minW 410.00 miFair11°F0°F58%1035.5 hPa
Danbury, Danbury Municipal Airport, CT22 mi17 minW 410.00 miFair5°F-2°F69%1035.3 hPa
Farmingdale - Republic Airport, NY22 mi17 minNW 9 G 1510.00 miFair14°F0°F53%1035.5 hPa

Wind History from HPN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW18
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NW15W7W9W10W9
1 day agoE10
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2 days agoN4NE4E4E6E7E8E6E7E7E7E5E8E9
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Tide / Current Tables for Greens Ledge, Connecticut
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Greens Ledge
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:38 AM EST     -0.90 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:23 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 11:47 AM EST     8.59 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:58 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:12 PM EST     -1.46 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:57 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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7.66.44.52.40.5-0.7-0.80.32.34.66.78.28.67.75.83.41.2-0.6-1.4-10.52.756.8

Tide / Current Tables for Saugatuck River entrance, Connecticut
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Saugatuck River entrance
Click for Map
Tue -- 05:40 AM EST     -0.87 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:12 AM EST     Sunrise
Tue -- 08:23 AM EST     Moonset
Tue -- 11:47 AM EST     8.35 feet High Tide
Tue -- 04:57 PM EST     Sunset
Tue -- 06:14 PM EST     -1.40 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 06:57 PM EST     Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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7.46.24.42.30.6-0.6-0.80.22.24.46.588.37.55.63.41.2-0.5-1.4-10.42.64.86.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.