Saturday, February24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Akron, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:04AMSunset 6:13PM Saturday February 24, 2018 3:00 AM EST (08:00 UTC) Moonrise 12:33PMMoonset 2:27AM Illumination 66% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- 404 Pm Est Fri Feb 23 2018
Tonight..West winds 10 to 20 knots becoming northwest less than 10 knots. Patchy fog early. A slight chance of rain late. Waves in ice free areas 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Northeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Rain showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots becoming west. A chance of rain showers in the morning. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 2 feet or less. Wave heights are for ice free areas. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday. The water temperature off toledo is 36 degrees...off cleveland 34 degrees and off erie 33 degrees.
LEZ146 Expires:201802240315;;443222 FZUS51 KCLE 232104 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 404 PM EST Fri Feb 23 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>148-240315-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Akron, OH
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location: 41.07, -81.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 240607
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
107 am est Sat feb 24 2018

Synopsis
A cold front will finish crossing the area this evening, but
will stall across the ohio river. A panhandle low will develop
and track across the central great lakes bringing a warm front
north late Saturday and finally sweeping a cold front across
the entire region late Saturday night early Sunday morning. High
pressure will move overhead for early next week.

Near term through tonight
Added some fog near the lakeshore and across NW pa through the
morning with the cooler air off the lake interacting with the
warm moist air over land.

Otherwise made only minor changes to temperatures to reflect
current trends.

Previous... Rainfall today ended up being slightly less than
thought going into today and that is good news as we head into
the weekend and the next significant round of rainfall. A few
sprinkles or a brief light rain possible early this evening, but
overall a quiet night. There is fog out over the lake as
indicated by a web cam and observation earlier out of port
clinton. There is some concern that this fog will push inland
across the east lakeshore and or hug the coastline this evening.

Have added the mention of fog primarily for erie pa.

By early Saturday morning winds will be coming around the dial
and will have a north-northeast wind for much of the day. This
will impact temperatures near the lakeshore, especially across
the west half. We will have to wait much of the day for the warm
front to push north. The warmest temperatures of the day across
the area will occur Saturday night into Sunday morning.

Tightened the gradient for the precip chances during the
daytime Saturday, keeping only a slight chance chance across the
far north. The wave along the front is minor with a more west
to east track influence. The bigger concern will arrive for
Saturday night.

Held off on any flood watch. Will allow another model run suite
to occur and also try and get a better handle on the convective
nature the precip will likely take on Saturday night. Right now
as it stands, flash flood guidance suggest we can only take
about 1.2 inches of rain in 6 hours to start to cause troubles.

Minor river flooding will be possible too with similar amounts.

Have added the mention of thunderstorms in the forecast for
Saturday night.

After numerous shortwaves working to break down the high across
the atlantic SE u.S., this wave Saturday night will fortunately
be the one to finally push a cold front through and out of the
area.

Short term Sunday through Monday night
A strong cold front will wrap in from the west on Sunday with
precipitation quickly ending from west to east. In advance of
the front, downsloping southerly winds may be strong in erie, pa
with gusts of 35-45 mph possible. Then as the front moves
through, some of the stronger winds aloft may try to mix down,
especially in northwest ohio. The mixing depth will increase
with downward momentum bringing stronger gusts down to the
surface. Southwest winds of 15 to 25 mph with gusts of 35-45 mph
will be possible for a few hours. High temperatures on Sunday
will occur in the morning with temperatures falling behind the
front into the upper 40s to lower 50s.

Skies are expected to clear by Sunday afternoon which raises a
question about fog developing Sunday night. The ground will be very
moist following the recent rainfall and winds will be light as high
pressure builds up the ohio valley. Not enough confidence to include
fog in the forecast but will need to be considered over the weekend.

Temperatures remain above normal as the high builds to the east and
southerly return flow develops. Dry conditions expected through mid-
week which will help rivers and high water to recede from the
weekend rainfall.

Long term Tuesday through Friday
Models in good agreement Tuesday night, with high pressure centered
off the mid atlantic coast and a ridge across the eastern great
lakes. After that the trend is continued wet and warm, but models
definitely out of phase with the upcoming systems. GFS moves the
next system through late Wednesday into Wednesday night, while the
ecmwf on the other hand is almost a day behind, moving the system
through Wednesday night into Thursday. Previous forecast similar to
ecmwf timing so I see no reason to flip flop forecast this far out
when so much doubt as to the timing. Both models hint at a return
of more seasonal conditions by the end of the forecast period. Deep
upper low tracks SE across the lakes with the 850mb temps dipping to
-7c by 12z Saturday. We will see.

Aviation 06z Saturday through Wednesday
All locations are at least MVFR tonight with areas of ifr
across the south where the deeper moisture is located. Cooler
air advecting off of lake erie will likely cause some issues
near the lakeshore through at least sunrise. This may impact
keri and kcle with some lower visibilities.

Otherwise we will see ceilings lower everywhere through the
morning as the first ripple of low pressure produces a period
of rain across the area. There should be ifr conditions with
the rain through the morning. We then may see a brief lull
between pieces of jet energy at some point during the
afternoon. Ceilings will likely try to improve but do not think
we will improve beyond MVFR conditions at most locations. This
next wave arrives for the evening and continues into the
overnight with ifr conditions returning with occasionally
moderate rainfall.

Winds will be light through the reminder of the night. Shifting
to a northeasterly direction through the morning. Winds should
gradually shift to the southeast and south overnight and
increase. Gusts above 20 knots may be common by sunrise on
Sunday as a cold front approaches.

Outlook... Non-vfr in rain and low ceilings Wednesday.

Marine
Some open water is starting to develop along the south shore of lake
erie. Ice floes may be possible over the weekend as winds increase.

Winds will develop out of the east at 15-25 knots on Saturday
afternoon and night as low pressure tracks from the plains to the
midwest. The front will bring a wind shift to the southwest with
winds increasing to 20-30 knots Sunday morning. Winds will drop off
quickly from Sunday night into Monday as high pressure expands into
the ohio valley.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Oudeman
near term... Kubina mullen oudeman
short term... Kec
long term... Djb
aviation... Mullen
marine... Kec


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 33 mi43 min WNW 1.9 G 5.1 38°F 1023.2 hPa36°F
LORO1 45 mi31 min NNW 9.9 G 9.9 40°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 50 mi43 min WNW 14 G 15 39°F 1023.5 hPa38°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 56 mi76 min NW 1.9 41°F 1023 hPa39°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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SW9
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G17
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Akron, Akron Fulton International Airport, OH4 mi67 minNW 510.00 miOvercast50°F44°F80%1022.3 hPa
Akron Canton Regional Airport, OH11 mi70 minNNW 710.00 miOvercast49°F44°F83%1022.7 hPa
Portage County Airport, OH18 mi66 minNNW 47.00 miOvercast44°F42°F93%1022.3 hPa
Wooster, Wayne County Airport, OH24 mi65 minNNW 58.00 miOvercast47°F44°F90%1022.8 hPa

Wind History from AKR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr4S4SE4S6CalmE5SE8S3S7S16
G21
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NW8NW8NW7NW6N9NW5
1 day agoNE6NE10NE8NE6E8NE9NE9E7E9
G20
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2 days agoS12
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NW10NW7N14N9N11N12N10N10N10N11N10N10N8N6NE6NE6N8N7NE6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (3,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.