Thursday, January17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Akron, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:46AMSunset 5:25PM Thursday January 17, 2019 4:37 AM EST (09:37 UTC) Moonrise 2:10PMMoonset 3:54AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 324 Pm Est Wed Jan 16 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 pm est this evening...
Tonight..North winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots and becoming east. Mostly cloudy. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 feet or less.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. A chance of snow in the morning, then snow likely in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday night..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Snow. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots. A chance of snow showers in the morning. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Saturday through Monday. The water temperature off toledo is 32 degrees, off cleveland 36 degrees and off erie 34 degrees.
LEZ146 Expires:201901170315;;455592 FZUS51 KCLE 162024 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 324 PM EST Wed Jan 16 2019 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ146>149-170315-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Akron, OH
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location: 41.07, -81.53     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 170932
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
432 am est Thu jan 17 2019

Synopsis
Low pressure over the southern plains will reach the central great
lakes tonight, then continue northeast across quebec on Friday.

Surface high pressure will build back into the area behind this
system on Friday. A stronger low pressure system will track
from the southern plains through the tennessee valley to the
east coast by Sunday bringing significant precipitation followed
by an arctic airmass to the region.

Near term through Friday
Light precipitation is expected today and tonight ahead of a
stronger storm system that will impact the region over the weekend.

We are starting off dry this morning with precipitation noted
upstream across central illinois on the north side of an inverted
surface trough. A broad surface low is over the southern plains this
morning and will track to near toledo by 00z, then continue across
the eastern great lakes overnight. Warm advection precipitation will
develop over the area starting late this morning in northwest ohio,
reaching the i-77 corridor by mid to late afternoon, and nw
pennsylvania this evening. Shallow lift develops in western areas
this morning and can not entirely rule out seeing a little freezing
drizzle before the deeper moisture and lift arrives shortly
after. A few locations have reported freezing drizzle back
towards indianapolis and that will be something to monitor this
morning. Would like to see an expansion of the freezing drizzle
before adding to the forecast, especially given the brief
window but will be something to keep an eye on after the morning
commute. Most of the area expected to see around an inch of
snow. Backed off on the accumulations a little across the south
where a warm nose of air is expected to be pulled north this
evening and may cause snow to mix with or change over to rain.

Raised temperatures into the lower 30s this evening with both
the NAM rap bringing the 0c isotherm at 925 mb up to the
lakeshore. We may also get into a situation where the deeper
moisture departs first leaving insufficient ice nuclei for snow
before precipitation tapers off. Expect surface temperatures to
be above freezing while the precipitation is ongoing so did not
include any freezing rain tonight but will be close.

Will carry a low chance of rain or snow showers in the snowbelt into
Friday although expecting to dry out rather quickly. Little
temperature rise, maybe 2-3 degrees with cold advection expected on
Friday.

Short term Friday night through Sunday
Low pressure will move toward the region from the southern
plains western gulf of mexico region Friday night with increased
warm advection. There will be some dry air in place ahead of it
which should slow the onset of the snow. However by Saturday morning
light snow should be occurring at most locations. This storm system
still has not moved onto the west coast of the us yet so still
plenty of room for error. ECMWF typically handles southwestern us
storm systems best and have leaned heavily on it. There is still
concern that this storm system could still end up being a bit
further south. We will continue to monitor this potential. So for
now we will go with our best estimate and say that 6+ inches of snow
will be possible near and east of a line from upper sandusky to
lorain. The heaviest snow may be near a mount gilead to youngstown
line but we will have to see if any warm air can sneak into these
areas and end up producing lighter amounts. So we will say it again
that there is still plenty of uncertainty with the track of this
storm system. Any wobble will have significant impacts up or down
with snow amounts.

Saturday will see highs in the 20s but gusty northeast winds will
make it feel like it is in the teens. Colder air begins to spill
into the region Saturday night into Sunday. Lows Saturday night
should be in the teens to as low as 10 degrees across NW ohio.

Sunday will not warm much with highs in the teens.

Long term Sunday night through Wednesday
In the wake of the storm system on Sunday the coldest air of the
season will begin to flow into the region. So some lake effect snow
will develop by Sunday afternoon and continue into at least Monday
morning. It will be a northerly flow which will likely favor a
multiple band setup. Drier arctic air will be over the region and
will have impacts on the amount of snow that can occur. It is a
given that there will be more snow during the period Sunday night
into Monday but confidence in a significant lake effect event are
low. The reasons against something significant are inversion heights
below 5000 feet and fairly short residence time of air parcels over
the lake to gather moisture due to the stronger winds. The snow that
does accumulate during this time period will be light and fluffy
compared to what occurs Saturday afternoon into Sunday morning.

High pressure will return to the region on Monday and should end the
lake effect snow showers by Monday evening across NE oh NW pa. This
area of high pressure should control the weather into Tuesday
morning. Tuesday afternoon into Wednesday look to be the timing for
the next storm system.

Sunday night will be the coldest night with most any locations that
clears out dropping below zero. Elsewhere it will still drop to the
single digits. Still cold on Monday with highs in the single digits
and teens. Warmer air arrives by Tuesday into Wednesday. Highs by
Wednesday afternoon should be in the 30s area wide.

Aviation 06z Thursday through Monday
MVFR stratus remains at eri withVFR elsewhere to start the taf
period. Ceilings will lower to MVFR from south to north into
Thursday ahead of a low pressure system moving out of the
plains. Ifr eventually expected as snow spreads in from the
south and west ahead of the low Thursday afternoon and moves
east across the area through 06z. Tried to time the onset of
snow and delayed eastern terminals by another hour or two. As
the low moves into northwest ohio Thursday evening, warmer air
is pulled into the southern terminals and may cause snow to mix
with rain. A transition to drizzle is even possible as the
deeper moisture departs to the east.

East to northeast winds tonight will veer around to the
southeast at 10 knots or less Thursday morning and eventually
southwest behind the low Thursday night.

Outlook... Non-vfr late Thursday night into Friday and again on
Saturday and Sunday. Saturday into Sunday could potentially
feature moderate to heavy snowfall. Non-vfr possible in the
snowbelt Monday.

Marine
High pressure over southern quebec well drift eastward today. Weak
low pressure will move across lake erie Thursday night with a cold
front crossing the lake. A second surge of cool air will follow on
Friday. Saturday deep low pressure will move northeastward near or
just to the south of the ohio river valley reaching the middle
atlantic coast by Sunday morning. This will be the time period when
northeast winds will be the strongest. Small craft advisories are a
definite but will need to monitor for a low end gale. The gale
potential all hinges on the exact path of the low Saturday into
Saturday night. High pressure will build across the lake on
Monday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Kec
near term... Kec
short term... Mullen
long term... Mullen
aviation... Kec
marine... Mullen


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 33 mi38 min 21°F 1026.3 hPa (+0.0)12°F
LORO1 45 mi68 min ESE 8.9 G 12 24°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 50 mi38 min ESE 9.9 G 12 20°F 33°F1026.5 hPa (+0.0)14°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 56 mi53 min E 1.9 22°F 1026 hPa17°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Akron, Akron Fulton International Airport, OH4 mi44 minE 310.00 miOvercast23°F16°F74%1026.2 hPa
Akron Canton Regional Airport, OH11 mi47 minE 710.00 miOvercast23°F15°F72%1026.3 hPa
Portage County Airport, OH18 mi42 minE 610.00 miFair16°F12°F87%1025.4 hPa
Wooster, Wayne County Airport, OH24 mi42 minE 710.00 miOvercast23°F18°F81%1026.4 hPa

Wind History from AKR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW9W13W9SW7SW8SW9SW11SW10W11W9W8W5N9N8NE10NE6NE6NE5CalmE4E6E5E4E3
1 day agoSW5SW4SW6SW6SW7SW11SW9W10SW10SW11W11SW11SW11SW10SW12SW11SW11SW10S9SW12SW12SW12SW9W11
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN6N7N6CalmSW3W7SW5W8W4W8W8W7W8SW5SW6SW6SW6S5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Mid-Atlantic    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.