Saturday, August18, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Milford, CT

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Sunrise 6:04AMSunset 7:47PM Saturday August 18, 2018 12:31 PM EDT (16:31 UTC) Moonrise 1:59PMMoonset 12:00AM Illumination 47% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1009 Am Edt Sat Aug 18 2018
This afternoon..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers and tstms early, then chance of showers and tstms. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late.
Tonight..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers and tstms likely, mainly in the evening.
Sun..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Sun night..NE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Mon..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..S winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Wed..SW winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the morning.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1009 Am Edt Sat Aug 18 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A cold front will move across the region later today and tonight. The front will remain south of long island through the end of the weekend and into early next weak as a series of lows travel along the frontal boundary. Meanwhile, high pressure over the canadian maritimes will build down along the northeastern seaboard. High pressure gets closer to the local region Monday into Tuesday next week. A frontal system approaches on Wednesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milford , CT
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location: 41.19, -73.05     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 181503
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1103 am edt Sat aug 18 2018

Synopsis
A cold front will move across the region later today and
tonight. The front will remain south of long island through the
end of the weekend and into early next weak as a series of lows
travel along the frontal boundary. Meanwhile, high pressure over
the canadian maritimes will build down along the northeastern
seaboard. High pressure gets closer to the local region Monday
into Tuesday next week. A frontal system from the west moves
across Wednesday into Wednesday night with high pressure
returning thereafter.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
*flash flood watch for NE nj from 2pm til midnight.*
a weak shortwave trough, axis over the eastern great lakes,
will slowly sink southeast today into tonight. At the surface, a
stationary front over central ny, will slowly slide SE into the
region this afternoon and then sink just southeast this
evening.

Isolated shower thunderstorm activity through early afternoon
is expected to become more numerous in the vicinity of the
front as it sinks into the lower hud valley early this afternoon
and then through nyc nj metro and S ct late this
afternoon evening, and then LI this evening.

Main threat today will be areas of urban and poor drainage
flooding and localized flash flooding, as a 45 degree steering
flow to the cold front is not overly conducive to training of
storms. Highest threat of flash flooding will be across the ne
nj river basins where FFG values are extremely low (only 1 2
inch hr), as such a flash flood watch continues through
midnight.

Breaks of Sun and dewpoints in the lower to mid 70s ahead of
the cold front should allow for marginal to locally moderate
instability development. Deep layer shear is marginal at best
and unidirectional westerly (somewhat perpendicular to the cold
front), so not looking at an organized severe threat, but a few
strong to marginally severe storms with wet microburst
potential exists into this evening.

Temperatures today will climb into the lower to mid 80s (upper
80s across nyc nj metro) with dew points remaining in the lower
70s to 75. Heat indices are expected to top out in the lower
90s across nyc nj metro, below heat advisory criteria.

There is a low to moderate risk for the development of rip
currents at the atlantic ocean beaches today.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 am Sunday
The cold front move across the area tonight, with showers and
thunderstorms possible through at least midnight. Again, pwats
remain high until the front passes through, so any precipitation
may be locally heavy at times.

Any threat of thunder and heavy showers should come to an end
across much of the region after midnight, but potential that
locally heavy shower and embedded thunderstorm activity could
linger into the overnight across LI nyc as the cold front sinks
just south of the area and a wave of weak low pressure tracks
east along it.

Lows tonight fall into the 60s to near 70. A mav met blend was
used.

Long term Sunday through Friday
Cooler and a little less humid conditions expected to start out
Sunday through Monday with more rain in the forecast Sunday and
Sunday night as the region gets more NE flow. Airmass warms up
for mid to late in the week, near normal levels with winds
having more westerly and southerly components.

Upper level trough will be slow to exist for the close of the
weekend. Trough axis will be west of the region Sunday and
Sunday night with jet streak across the region. The trough axis
moves across Monday. The steering flow will not promote the
front to move farther south of long island and with weak low
pressure areas forming along it, essentially keeping some rain
showers in the forecast for the region, highest chances along
the coast.

More drying takes place Monday when more ridging aloft and high
pressure at the surface will settle more southwestward along
the northeastern seaboard. Dry conditions remain until midweek
when the next frontal system approaches from the west. Aloft, a
large amplitude trough will be approaching with a stronger
southerly jet ahead of it. This jet moves in Wednesday night
into early Thursday. Chances for showers return Tuesday
afternoon and Tuesday night with highest chances N W of nyc. The
chances for showers continues Wednesday with thunderstorms
possible as well as instability is forecast to increase again
with the airmass getting warmer and more humid. Dry conditions
return Thursday into Friday next week with high pressure
returning.

There is a moderate risk for the development of rip currents at
the atlantic ocean beaches Sunday.

Aviation 14z Saturday through Wednesday
A cold front approaches today, and moves across the region this
evening.

Vfr through early afternoon. Tstms with MVFR and brief vsby
reductions to ifr in heavier rainfall move through in the latter
half of the afternoon. Timing may be off by 1-2 hours. A return to
vfr behind the tstms before lowering back to MVFR overnight with
additional -shra possible for city terminals and kteb kisp.

Sw-wsw winds around 10 kt bcmg w, possibly wnw in near tstms. Tstm
gusts may exceed 25 kt in tafs. Nw-n winds behind the cold front
early this evening around 10 kt.

Outlook for 12z Sunday through Wednesday
Sun Potential for MVFR conditions in shra and NE winds of
8-12kt.

Mon-tue Vfr.

Tue night-wed Chance of shower TSTM with MVFR conds.

Marine
Winds and seas remain below SCA levels through tonight across
the forecast waters. Any showers and thunderstorms that move
across the waters will be capable of producing gusty, erratic
winds, chaotic seas and reduced visibilities in heavy rain.

Sca conditions are possible on the ocean waters Sunday as winds
and seas increase. Some marginal SCA wind gusts are possible
for non-ocean waters with otherwise sub SCA conditions expected
for all non-ocean waters. Then, sub-sca conditions are expected
for all the forecast waters early into the middle of next week
but there is a possibility the SCA seas could linger into Monday
for the ocean. Ocean seas could reach SCA criteria again
Wednesday night into Thursday.

Hydrology
*flash flood watch for NE nj in effect from 2pm til midnight.

Main threat today will be areas of urban and poor drainage
flooding and localized flash flooding, as a 45 degree steering
flow to the cold front is not overly conducive to training of
storms. Highest threat of flash flooding will be across the ne
nj river basins where FFG values are extremely low (only 1 2
inch hr), as such a flash flood watch continues through
midnight.

There is a low probability that this flood threat could
continue into the overnight for nyc and li.

Otherwise, no significant rainfall is expected from Sunday through
the end of the forecast period.

Equipment
Nyc NOAA weather radio station kwo-35 (162.55 mhz) remains off
the air for an extended period of time.

Okx watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Nj... Flash flood watch from 2 pm edt this afternoon through this
evening for njz002-004-006-103>108.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Bc jm
near term... Nv
short term... Bc
long term... Jm
aviation... Jc
marine... Bc jm
hydrology... Nv jm
equipment...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 7 mi37 min S 7 G 8.9 78°F 77°F1009.3 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 10 mi31 min SW 8.9 G 9.9 76°F 81°F1009.9 hPa (-0.8)
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 21 mi46 min WSW 7.8 G 9.7 77°F 77°F1 ft
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 32 mi46 min SW 5.8 G 7.8 78°F 73°F
44069 34 mi31 min SW 9.7 G 12 77°F 81°F77°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 42 mi46 min SSW 5.8 G 5.8 77°F
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 46 mi31 min 78°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT4 mi39 minSW 910.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F73°F79%1009.9 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT11 mi38 minSW 67.00 miMostly Cloudy79°F75°F88%1009.9 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT20 mi40 minVar 510.00 miMostly Cloudy78°F73°F85%1011.4 hPa

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1 day agoSW12SW12SW10SW9W8
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Tide / Current Tables for Milford Harbor, Connecticut
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Milford Harbor
Click for Map
Sat -- 03:49 AM EDT     First Quarter
Sat -- 05:27 AM EDT     6.27 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 11:37 AM EDT     0.65 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:59 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 05:53 PM EDT     6.88 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:46 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.51.42.74.25.46.26.15.44.22.91.70.80.71.42.64.15.56.66.96.45.342.51.3

Tide / Current Tables for Long Hill, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Long Hill
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:43 AM EDT     0.52 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:49 AM EDT     First Quarter
Sat -- 06:04 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 06:15 AM EDT     6.69 feet High Tide
Sat -- 12:57 PM EDT     0.79 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 01:59 PM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 06:40 PM EDT     7.35 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:47 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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0.70.61.32.84.45.96.76.55.74.53.221.10.81.32.74.467.17.36.75.64.33

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.