Wednesday, April25, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Milford, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 5:55AMSunset 7:44PM Wednesday April 25, 2018 1:56 PM EDT (17:56 UTC) Moonrise 3:06PMMoonset 3:54AM Illumination 79% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1240 Pm Edt Wed Apr 25 2018
This afternoon..SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Rain tapering off to isolated showers. Areas of fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Areas of fog. Chance of showers after midnight. Vsby less than 1 nm.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Fri..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Fri night..S winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..W winds around 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Sun night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1240 Pm Edt Wed Apr 25 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure will approach from the south today, and then pass across the area tonight along with a trailing cold front. The low will move into new england on Thursday. Another low will move through on Friday, followed by a cold frontal passage over the weekend. High pressure will then build in early next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Milford , CT
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location: 41.19, -73.05     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 251745
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
145 pm edt Wed apr 25 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure will approach from the south today, and then pass
across the area tonight along with a trailing cold front. The
low will move into new england on Thursday. Another low will
move through on Friday, followed by a cold frontal passage over
the weekend. High pressure will then build in early next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Made some changes based on latest radar and hi-res model trends.

Se h9 LLJ of 50 kt transporting moisture up into the area and
providing low level convergence lift to produce light rain over
most of the area attm. Hi-res models are way overdoing
convective rainfall potential, and now think most of the rain
into this afternoon as the LLJ lifts up across the area should
be light to moderate, with maybe still a rumble of thunder
possible this afternoon across eastern long island and SE ct.

Satellite imagery also shows dry slot riding up from the south,.

So expect rain to come to an end in most places late this
afternoon, and would not rule out some peeks of Sun late in nyc
metro before sunset given partial clearing that is taking place
in southern de and off the southern nj coast.

Gusty e-se winds this morning should diminish this afternoon as
the low approaches and the pressure gradient weakens.

Temps will struggle to rise much, with late day highs expected
once the steadier rain begins to taper somewhat. Blended met,
mav and ecs data.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
Sfc low moves in the general area of nyc tonight as northern
stream possibly phases with weakening shortwave, although
degree of phasing remains in question.

Regardless, winds lighten, and fog may develop due to the recent
rain, light winds and minimal t TD spread.

A few showers are possible as the low and sfc trough pass.

Any fog lifts late tonight as westerly wind flow behind
departing low to the north stirs up the boundary layer, and
drier air moves in. Lows range from the upper 40s to lower 50s
per MOS blend.

On Thursday, sunshine returns, mixed with a few clouds and any
rain showers remain to the north, closer to upper shortwave, sfc
low. Westerly flow will allow for deeper mixing, and temps
rising well into the 60s.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
The ECMWF and GFS are in very good agreement with low pres tracking
thru the area fri. The sys is the remnants of the upr low currently
over neb. The modeling indicates a weak sys as the low runs out
ahead of an approaching upr trof. The thermals indicate all rain.

The timing is late Fri and Fri ngt attm, although some timing changes
cannot be ruled out. A more intense low would be possible if the upr
trof arrives quicker, or if the remnant low slows. A cold front then
brings a chc for some more shwrs on sat. Everything is progged to
clear out on Sun with some fair wx clouds likely as the cold pool
aloft passes thru. The post frontal high reaches pa Sun ngt. This
should be close enough to allow for the winds to decouple and
produce prime radiational cooling cond. As a result, the colder mex
was used for temps Sun ngt as opposed to the warmer model blends.

Frost freeze issues are possible if this unfolds as currently
expected. Fair wx with a warming trend for the beginning of next
week with an upr ridge building into the region.

Aviation 18z Wednesday through Monday
Low pressure approaches today, moves overhead tonight, then
lifts north of the region on Thursday.

Ifr or less through midnight. Light to moderate rain will
continue today. Can not rule out some pockets of moderate rain
this afternoon.

Fog is expected to develop late this afternoon evening and
continue until the winds become westerly (mainly around 08-10z)
lifr stratus and fog expected through the overnight.

Conditions improve toVFR after 08z-12z.

Easterly winds subside this afternoon, becoming light and
variable for evening push. Winds become westerly late
tonight early Thursday morning (08-10z).

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 7 mi44 min E 8 G 14 53°F 47°F1009.3 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 10 mi38 min ESE 7 G 11 55°F 49°F1010.4 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 21 mi41 min E 12 G 16 52°F 1 ft
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 46 mi38 min S 8 G 14 59°F 47°F1009 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Bridgeport, Sikorsky Memorial Airport, CT4 mi64 minENE 131.25 miLight Rain Fog/Mist50°F48°F96%1010.4 hPa
New Haven, Tweed-New Haven Airport, CT11 mi63 minE 91.50 miLight Rain Fog/Mist54°F52°F93%1010.7 hPa
Oxford, Waterbury-Oxford Airport, CT20 mi65 minESE 91.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist55°F54°F96%1012.3 hPa

Wind History from BDR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE8E6E4E5SE7SE6SE8SE8E8NE7NE9E11NE13E12NE10E10E11NE13NE13E13NE11E12E13NE13
1 day agoE9SE10SE7S8S8S7S8SW3S5SW3SW4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3N3NE4E6E5E5E5E7
2 days agoS11S13S12S12S10S13SW6SW7SW4W4W4W4W3CalmCalmN5N4NE3NE7NE12E10SE10E11SE8

Tide / Current Tables for Milford Harbor, Connecticut
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Milford Harbor
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Wed -- 01:56 AM EDT     0.36 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:57 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:07 AM EDT     6.82 feet High Tide
Wed -- 02:25 PM EDT     0.12 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 08:39 PM EDT     7.02 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.90.80.40.823.556.36.86.55.542.51.10.20.31.22.64.35.86.876.25

Tide / Current Tables for Long Hill, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Long Hill
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:18 AM EDT     0.37 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 03:54 AM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 05:58 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 08:56 AM EDT     7.19 feet High Tide
Wed -- 03:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 03:50 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:43 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:29 PM EDT     7.42 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.72.310.40.61.83.65.36.77.26.85.74.42.91.40.40.10.82.44.46.27.37.36.5

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.