Sunday, March26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Vernon Center, NJ

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:47AMSunset 7:18PM Sunday March 26, 2017 5:18 AM EDT (09:18 UTC) Moonrise 6:09AMMoonset 5:48PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 318 Am Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
Today..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Slight chance of light rain early this morning...then chance of light rain late this morning and afternoon. Patchy fog this morning. Patchy fog this afternoon with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight..E winds 15 to 20 kt...diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Light rain likely. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon..SE winds around 10 kt...becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Patchy fog in the morning. Rain likely...mainly in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt...diminishing to around 5 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of rain in the evening.
Tue..SE winds around 5 kt...becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of rain.
Tue night..S winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming nw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 to 2 ft. Chance of rain in the evening.
Wed..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Waves 1 to 2 ft...then 1 ft or less... Then around 2 ft after midnight.
Thu..N winds 10 to 15 kt...diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft in the morning...then 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 318 Am Edt Sun Mar 26 2017
Synopsis for long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure over new england will gradually slide east through the weekend...allowing a warm front to our south to approach the region Sunday night into Monday. A couple of weak frontal boundaries will be in the vicinity Monday night and Tuesday...followed by a cold front moving through during Tuesday night. High pressure then builds in for Wednesday and Thursday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Vernon Center, NJ
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location: 41.21, -74.51     debug


Area Discussion for - Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA
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Fxus61 kphi 260721
afdphi
area forecast discussion
national weather service mount holly nj
321 am edt Sun mar 26 2017

Synopsis
Canadian high pressure will build into our area today. Low
pressure moving from the mississippi valley into the great lakes
will allow a warm front to move northward through the region on
Monday, followed by a cold front Tuesday night. Canadian high
pressure will build into our area Wednesday through Friday. By
next weekend, low pressure moving into the ohio valley may send
a warm front toward the region.

Near term /until 6 pm this evening/
High pressure across quebec/maine will move offshore today while
weak low pressure slowly moves to near chicago by evening. A
steady onshore flow will continue across our area thru the day.

This will promote an abundance of low clouds and fog along with
some light rain and drizzle at times. Pops will be greatest
across the northern areas where we have hi chc pops and the pops
taper off s/e to slgt chc across SRN de. Unlike Saturday,
temperatures will be below normal, with highs only in the 40s in
most areas, and a few low 50s over delmarva.

Short term /6 pm this evening through 6 am Monday/
The overall pattern will not change much tonight with high
pressure north/east and weak low pressure moving closer across
the great lakes. The onshore flow will continue and the chances
for more measurable rains will increase tonight. The best
chances will again be across the southern poconos, lehigh valley
and north nj where we will have categorical pops. The pops
decrease back to likely over the del valley and cntrl nj and the
chc pops over south nj and SRN de. Patchy fog and drizzle will
occur between the bouts of rain. Overall QPF will not be that
great, a few hundredths across the south and up to 1/4 inch up
north.

Long term /Monday through Saturday/
Will be updated shortly.

Aviation /07z Sunday through Thursday/
The following discussion is for kphl, kpne, kttn, kabe, krdg, kilg,
kmiv, kacy and surrounding areas.

Not a particularly great day for flying across the delaware
valley and surrounding areas with a prolonged onshore flow and
low clouds expected today and tonight. CIGS are lowering across
the area early this morning from N to S over the region behind
the cold front which crossed the area earlier. Ocnl drizzle and
fog will occur as the lower level moisture thickens up. Overall
confid in tafs as to when precip will occur is limited. NE to e
winds mostly 10 to 15 kts today and tonight.

Outlook...

Marine
We will keep the SCA flags as they are on the waters and just
raise the next segment with the 330 am issuance, instead of
waiting until 6 a.M. The onshore flow will continue today and a
gradual building of seas will continue. Scattered showers and
patchy fog expected.

Outlook...

Tides/coastal flooding
In the wake of a backdoor frontal passage, a 36 hour period of
onshore flow is expected through Monday morning, with easterly
wind gusts up to 25 mph at times. Astronomical tides are also
increasing, coincident with the new moon this Monday, march 27.

The estofs remains most aggressive out of the guidance suite,
with near minor flooding for the sunrise Monday high tide along
the de and nj oceanfront, and it has has outperformed the other
guidance recently. Both the nos and etss are more conservative.

The wind will also be trending more parallel (southerly) to the
shore by sunrise Monday, so there remains uncertainty with
regard to water levels reaching the minor flooding threshold.

Phi watches/warnings/advisories
Pa... None.

Nj... None.

De... None.

Md... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Monday for anz452-453.

Small craft advisory until 8 am edt Monday for anz450-451.

Synopsis... Drag
near term... O'hara
short term... O'hara
long term... Drag
aviation... Drag/o'hara
marine... Drag/o'hara
tides/coastal flooding... Franck


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MHRN6 43 mi49 min NE 12 G 15
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 44 mi49 min 39°F 41°F1029.3 hPa
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 44 mi49 min 40°F 42°F1029.4 hPa
ROBN4 - 8530973 - Robins Reef, NJ 45 mi49 min NE 14 G 16 39°F 1029.6 hPa
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY 48 mi49 min 7 G 12 39°F 39°F1029.7 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Sussex, Sussex Airport, NJ6 mi26 minNNE 610.00 miOvercast35°F32°F89%1030 hPa
Andover, Aeroflex-Andover Airport, NJ18 mi25 minNNE 5 mi35°F33°F93%1030 hPa

Wind History from FWN (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3E3NE6NE8NE7NE13NE12NE11CalmNE8NE8NE7NE9NE7NE8NE8NE5NE4NE6NE6
1 day agoCalmCalmSW3SW5S9SW10
G17
SW7SW4SW5SW10
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CalmCalmCalmW3CalmCalmSW3CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days ago3W3W3N4N7W8W9NW10
G14
SW654NW6W5NW3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3CalmSW3CalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Haverstraw, Hudson River, New York
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Haverstraw
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Sun -- 04:25 AM EDT     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 06:07 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:56 AM EDT     3.66 feet High Tide
Sun -- 04:51 PM EDT     -0.25 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 05:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 10:18 PM EDT     3.64 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.41.60.90.400.10.922.93.53.73.52.921.10.4-0.1-0.20.31.42.53.33.63.6

Tide / Current Tables for Haverstraw (Hudson River), New York Current
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Haverstraw (Hudson River)
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:01 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 03:37 AM EDT     -1.33 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 06:07 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 06:48 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 07:17 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 09:30 AM EDT     1.00 knots Max Flood
Sun -- 12:27 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 04:04 PM EDT     -1.41 knots Max Ebb
Sun -- 05:45 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:14 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 07:44 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Sun -- 09:54 PM EDT     1.01 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0-0.6-1-1.3-1.3-1.1-0.7-0.20.5110.70.3-0.4-0.9-1.2-1.4-1.3-0.9-0.50.20.810.8

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Philadelphia/Mount Holly, PA (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.