Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Shelton, CT
March 28, 2024 4:13 AM EDT (08:13 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:39 AM Sunset 7:14 PM Moonrise 10:56 PM Moonset 8:00 AM |
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 307 Am Edt Thu Mar 28 2024
.small craft advisory in effect from this evening through late tonight - .
Today - Light and variable winds, becoming N 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Periods of rain. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Tonight - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Periods of rain, mainly in the evening.
Fri - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri night - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night - W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night - NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon - N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
Mon night - E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain.
ANZ300 307 Am Edt Thu Mar 28 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Low pres develops along the carolina coast today, then tracks over the atlc and E of the waters on Fri. The low reaches the canadian maritimes Sat. A clipper type system passes to the south and east late Saturday and Saturday night. High pressure briefly returns Sunday before another low pressure system impacts the region Monday.
Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 280541 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 141 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front continues to approach from the west tonight. This front will weaken and eventually move across Thursday. The front and a developing area of low pressure to the southeast of this front will move east of the region Thursday night. The low then moves northward into the Canadian Maritimes Friday. A clipper type system passes to the south and east late Saturday and Saturday night. High pressure briefly returns Sunday before another low pressure system impacts the region Monday through Wednesday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
Pockets of light rain and drizzle will continue to move through the region this evening, before a steady shield develops across New Jersey toward midnight, overspreading the region overnight.
Forecast remains on track with only slight adjustment. Previous discussion follows.
A cold front continues to approach from the west. Upper level jet streak SW to NE continues to approach from the west tonight.
From forecast models, it appears that the local region gets closer to the right rear quadrant of this jet streak late tonight into early Thursday morning. There will be increasing divergence aloft, with vertical lift increasing tonight. Rain will overspread the region from west to east, intensifying overnight into early Thursday morning. Rain looks to be mainly stratiform.
At the surface, the cold front continues to approach tonight while simultaneously weakening. Layer precipitable water reaches near 1 to 1.2 inches, above climatology.
Low temperatures are a blend of consensus of raw model data and the NBM 50th percentile, staying in the low to mid 40s.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/
Aloft on Thursday, the upper level jet streak will continue to be maximized north and west of the region, thereby with the local region remaining near the right rear quad. On a larger scale, the upper level trough becomes more negatively tilted.
Meanwhile at the surface, the cold front will continue to weaken and move across the region during the day.
The front may very dissipate during the afternoon. During the afternoon, low pressure in the Atlantic will be moving northeast and will become more of a factor in terms of the local weather. The forecast has more northerly flow across the entire area Thursday afternoon, but not that gusty until towards the evening.
High temperatures Thursday are a blend of consensus of raw model data and the NBM, only getting into the upper 40s to lower 50s.
Rain will continue through the day especially along the coast where divergence aloft appears greater in the models. The divergence is less across the interior areas and with drier air moving in, chances for rain will lower during the afternoon across these interior locations, mainly across interior Northeast NJ and the Lower Hudson Valley.
For Thursday night, rain holds on across the coastal areas, especially Eastern Long Island and Southeast CT. Colder and drier air will advect in from the north. May even have some chances of snow mixing in across parts of the region before all precipitation comes to an end. Winds will become gusty from the north as low pressure deepens out in the Atlantic getting east of the 40N/70W benchmark and high pressure building in from South Central Canada. Gusts up to near 30 mph are forecast and higher gusts are possible, perhaps up to near 40 mph. Forecast lows are mainly in the mid to upper 30s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
No significant changes in the long term period, as precipitation will be ending across the eastern portion of the forecast area Friday morning. With near zonal flow a clipper type system is expected to quickly approach Saturday afternoon and pass to the east and south Saturday night, as the associated upper trough phases with the low over the Canadian Maritimes. Zonal flow become reestablished Sunday night and yet another upper trough and surface frontal system will be quickly approaching for Monday. Initially, a warm front will move toward the area Monday, and then the associated low will move slowly eastward into the region Tuesday and Wednesday. With near seasonal temperatures through much of the extended period, except slightly above for Saturday and Sunday, all liquid precipitation is expected. And NBM temperatures looked reasonable through the extended and were used.
AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A cold front slowly approaches tonight from the west. A wave of low pressure then advances along it from the south into Thursday.
Ceilings and vsbys continue to gradually lower in areas of rain and/or drizzle. VFR/MVFR conditions are expected to continue to diminish to IFR during this time, likely persisting thru much of today. LIFR conditions will be possible at times as well, though coastal and outlying terminals (KISP, KGON, KBDR, KHPN)
may have a higher chance of seeing LIFR cigs into this morning.
Improvement to MVFR is possible Thursday afternoon for the NYC terminals, becoming more likely toward 00Z Fri. A return to VFR is expected shortly thereafter.
Winds will remain fairly light and a bit variable in direction at around 5 kt overnight and into the Thursday morning push.
Winds then shift to the NNW and increase to 10-15 kt Thursday early afternoon. Gusts develop toward 00Z Fri, upwards of 20 to 25 kt Thu night.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Timing of category changes may be off by several hours.
LIFR cigs possible overnight but timing and coverage uncertain.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
Thursday night: MVFR or lower to start, gradually improving to VFR overnight as rain comes to an end. Increasing N flow, gusts 20 to 25 kt.
Friday: MVFR early, becoming VFR in the afternoon. Slight chance of rain early for KISP and KGON. NW wind gusts 20-25 kt.
Saturday: Mainly VFR during the day. Chance of showers and MVFR at night, possibly mixed with snow for KSWF. W-NW wind gusts 20-25 kt day. Gusts diminish at night.
Sunday: Mainly VFR. NW wind gusts 15-20 kt afternoon into evening.
Monday: MVFR possible with a chance of showers.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Winds are light and variable on the waters, and made only minor adjustments to the winds.
SCA for ocean seas continues, although it is becoming more marginal for seas for western ocean, Sandy Hook to Fire Island offshore waters. To the east, SCA for ocean seas extended through the day Thursday due to higher seas near 5 ft. For Thursday night, pressure gradient tightens with SCA wind gusts expected for all waters and even the potential for gales across the ocean. Gale watch for the ocean has been hoisted for Thursday night with SCA for non-ocean waters.
Small craft advisory gusts will be ongoing across the forecast waters Friday as deepening low pressure tracks northward into the Canadian Maritimes. There is a chance that gusts could approach gale force on the eastern ocean waters late Friday as the low deepens.
SCA gusts will continues into Friday night on all the waters except for New York Harbor as conditions will be gradually improving from the west and south during Saturday into Saturday evening as the low tracks farther to the north through eastern Canada and weakens, as a clipper type system approaches Saturday night. A light flow is expected Sunday through Monday as high pressure moves through the forecast waters and conditions remain below advisory levels across the forecast waters.
HYDROLOGY
Around 1 to 1.5 inches of rain is expected tonight through Thursday night. With mostly a steady stratiform rainfall, not expecting any significant flooding from this. Any locally heavier rainfall could produce some minor nuisance flooding in poor drainage areas but that is it.
Otherwise, no hydrologic impacts are anticipated into the middle of next week.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350- 353.
Gale Watch from this evening through late tonight for ANZ350- 353-355.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for ANZ355.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 141 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
A cold front continues to approach from the west tonight. This front will weaken and eventually move across Thursday. The front and a developing area of low pressure to the southeast of this front will move east of the region Thursday night. The low then moves northward into the Canadian Maritimes Friday. A clipper type system passes to the south and east late Saturday and Saturday night. High pressure briefly returns Sunday before another low pressure system impacts the region Monday through Wednesday.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
Pockets of light rain and drizzle will continue to move through the region this evening, before a steady shield develops across New Jersey toward midnight, overspreading the region overnight.
Forecast remains on track with only slight adjustment. Previous discussion follows.
A cold front continues to approach from the west. Upper level jet streak SW to NE continues to approach from the west tonight.
From forecast models, it appears that the local region gets closer to the right rear quadrant of this jet streak late tonight into early Thursday morning. There will be increasing divergence aloft, with vertical lift increasing tonight. Rain will overspread the region from west to east, intensifying overnight into early Thursday morning. Rain looks to be mainly stratiform.
At the surface, the cold front continues to approach tonight while simultaneously weakening. Layer precipitable water reaches near 1 to 1.2 inches, above climatology.
Low temperatures are a blend of consensus of raw model data and the NBM 50th percentile, staying in the low to mid 40s.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM FRIDAY/
Aloft on Thursday, the upper level jet streak will continue to be maximized north and west of the region, thereby with the local region remaining near the right rear quad. On a larger scale, the upper level trough becomes more negatively tilted.
Meanwhile at the surface, the cold front will continue to weaken and move across the region during the day.
The front may very dissipate during the afternoon. During the afternoon, low pressure in the Atlantic will be moving northeast and will become more of a factor in terms of the local weather. The forecast has more northerly flow across the entire area Thursday afternoon, but not that gusty until towards the evening.
High temperatures Thursday are a blend of consensus of raw model data and the NBM, only getting into the upper 40s to lower 50s.
Rain will continue through the day especially along the coast where divergence aloft appears greater in the models. The divergence is less across the interior areas and with drier air moving in, chances for rain will lower during the afternoon across these interior locations, mainly across interior Northeast NJ and the Lower Hudson Valley.
For Thursday night, rain holds on across the coastal areas, especially Eastern Long Island and Southeast CT. Colder and drier air will advect in from the north. May even have some chances of snow mixing in across parts of the region before all precipitation comes to an end. Winds will become gusty from the north as low pressure deepens out in the Atlantic getting east of the 40N/70W benchmark and high pressure building in from South Central Canada. Gusts up to near 30 mph are forecast and higher gusts are possible, perhaps up to near 40 mph. Forecast lows are mainly in the mid to upper 30s.
LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
No significant changes in the long term period, as precipitation will be ending across the eastern portion of the forecast area Friday morning. With near zonal flow a clipper type system is expected to quickly approach Saturday afternoon and pass to the east and south Saturday night, as the associated upper trough phases with the low over the Canadian Maritimes. Zonal flow become reestablished Sunday night and yet another upper trough and surface frontal system will be quickly approaching for Monday. Initially, a warm front will move toward the area Monday, and then the associated low will move slowly eastward into the region Tuesday and Wednesday. With near seasonal temperatures through much of the extended period, except slightly above for Saturday and Sunday, all liquid precipitation is expected. And NBM temperatures looked reasonable through the extended and were used.
AVIATION /06Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
A cold front slowly approaches tonight from the west. A wave of low pressure then advances along it from the south into Thursday.
Ceilings and vsbys continue to gradually lower in areas of rain and/or drizzle. VFR/MVFR conditions are expected to continue to diminish to IFR during this time, likely persisting thru much of today. LIFR conditions will be possible at times as well, though coastal and outlying terminals (KISP, KGON, KBDR, KHPN)
may have a higher chance of seeing LIFR cigs into this morning.
Improvement to MVFR is possible Thursday afternoon for the NYC terminals, becoming more likely toward 00Z Fri. A return to VFR is expected shortly thereafter.
Winds will remain fairly light and a bit variable in direction at around 5 kt overnight and into the Thursday morning push.
Winds then shift to the NNW and increase to 10-15 kt Thursday early afternoon. Gusts develop toward 00Z Fri, upwards of 20 to 25 kt Thu night.
NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Timing of category changes may be off by several hours.
LIFR cigs possible overnight but timing and coverage uncertain.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY...
Thursday night: MVFR or lower to start, gradually improving to VFR overnight as rain comes to an end. Increasing N flow, gusts 20 to 25 kt.
Friday: MVFR early, becoming VFR in the afternoon. Slight chance of rain early for KISP and KGON. NW wind gusts 20-25 kt.
Saturday: Mainly VFR during the day. Chance of showers and MVFR at night, possibly mixed with snow for KSWF. W-NW wind gusts 20-25 kt day. Gusts diminish at night.
Sunday: Mainly VFR. NW wind gusts 15-20 kt afternoon into evening.
Monday: MVFR possible with a chance of showers.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Winds are light and variable on the waters, and made only minor adjustments to the winds.
SCA for ocean seas continues, although it is becoming more marginal for seas for western ocean, Sandy Hook to Fire Island offshore waters. To the east, SCA for ocean seas extended through the day Thursday due to higher seas near 5 ft. For Thursday night, pressure gradient tightens with SCA wind gusts expected for all waters and even the potential for gales across the ocean. Gale watch for the ocean has been hoisted for Thursday night with SCA for non-ocean waters.
Small craft advisory gusts will be ongoing across the forecast waters Friday as deepening low pressure tracks northward into the Canadian Maritimes. There is a chance that gusts could approach gale force on the eastern ocean waters late Friday as the low deepens.
SCA gusts will continues into Friday night on all the waters except for New York Harbor as conditions will be gradually improving from the west and south during Saturday into Saturday evening as the low tracks farther to the north through eastern Canada and weakens, as a clipper type system approaches Saturday night. A light flow is expected Sunday through Monday as high pressure moves through the forecast waters and conditions remain below advisory levels across the forecast waters.
HYDROLOGY
Around 1 to 1.5 inches of rain is expected tonight through Thursday night. With mostly a steady stratiform rainfall, not expecting any significant flooding from this. Any locally heavier rainfall could produce some minor nuisance flooding in poor drainage areas but that is it.
Otherwise, no hydrologic impacts are anticipated into the middle of next week.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
NJ...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM EDT Friday for ANZ331-332-335-338-340-345.
Small Craft Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for ANZ350- 353.
Gale Watch from this evening through late tonight for ANZ350- 353-355.
Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for ANZ355.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 9 mi | 55 min | N 1.9G | 46°F | 45°F | 29.99 | ||
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT | 10 mi | 55 min | S 1G | 45°F | 42°F | 30.05 | ||
44022 - Execution Rocks | 44 mi | 43 min | NNE 3.9 | 45°F | 30.00 | 45°F | ||
KPTN6 - 8516945 - Kings Point, NY | 48 mi | 55 min | N 2.9G | 46°F | 44°F | 30.02 |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KBDR IGOR I SIKORSKY MEMORIAL,CT | 9 sm | 21 min | ENE 03 | 3 sm | Overcast | Hvy Rain Mist | 46°F | 46°F | 100% | 30.01 |
KHVN TWEEDNEW HAVEN,CT | 11 sm | 20 min | calm | 2 sm | Overcast | Lt Rain Mist | 46°F | 45°F | 93% | 30.02 |
KOXC WATERBURYOXFORD,CT | 14 sm | 22 min | calm | 6 sm | Overcast | Rain Mist | 45°F | 45°F | 100% | 30.03 |
KMMK MERIDEN MARKHAM MUNI,CT | 21 sm | 13 min | calm | 1/2 sm | Overcast | Rain Mist | 46°F | 45°F | 93% | 30.02 |
KDXR DANBURY MUNI,CT | 22 sm | 20 min | E 04 | 6 sm | Overcast | Rain Mist | 46°F | 45°F | 93% | 30.01 |
Tide / Current for Long Hill, Housatonic River, Connecticut
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Long Hill, Housatonic River, Connecticut, Tide feet
Stratford
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:02 AM EDT 5.75 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:41 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:00 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 08:59 AM EDT 0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:28 PM EDT 5.20 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:14 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:05 PM EDT 0.49 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:55 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:02 AM EDT 5.75 feet High Tide
Thu -- 06:41 AM EDT Sunrise
Thu -- 08:00 AM EDT Moonset
Thu -- 08:59 AM EDT 0.05 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:28 PM EDT 5.20 feet High Tide
Thu -- 07:14 PM EDT Sunset
Thu -- 09:05 PM EDT 0.49 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 10:55 PM EDT Moonrise
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Stratford, Housatonic River, Connecticut, Tide feet
12 am |
4.2 |
1 am |
5.3 |
2 am |
5.7 |
3 am |
5.5 |
4 am |
4.6 |
5 am |
3.4 |
6 am |
2.1 |
7 am |
1.1 |
8 am |
0.3 |
9 am |
0.1 |
10 am |
0.5 |
11 am |
1.7 |
12 pm |
3.1 |
1 pm |
4.4 |
2 pm |
5.1 |
3 pm |
5.1 |
4 pm |
4.5 |
5 pm |
3.5 |
6 pm |
2.4 |
7 pm |
1.5 |
8 pm |
0.8 |
9 pm |
0.5 |
10 pm |
0.8 |
11 pm |
1.9 |
Upton, NY,
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