Thursday, May24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Mystic, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:19AMSunset 8:10PM Thursday May 24, 2018 9:59 AM EDT (13:59 UTC) Moonrise 3:07PMMoonset 2:59AM Illumination 73% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ237 Block Island Sound- 716 Am Edt Thu May 24 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from Friday afternoon through Friday evening...
Today..N winds around 5 kt, becoming se this afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Fri..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Fri night..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 3 to 5 ft.
Sat..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Sat night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, becoming E 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 4 ft. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..NE winds around 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Sun night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers.
Mon..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Mon night..E winds around 5 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Patchy fog. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 716 Am Edt Thu May 24 2018
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. Easterly flow today becomes southerly into Friday as high pressure settles southeast. A cold front will slowly settle across the waters from the north on Saturday. This front will become mainly stationary over the waters for Sunday and Monday. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Mystic, CT
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location: 41.34, -71.97     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 241133
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
733 am edt Thu may 24 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will dominate the weather through Saturday. A
backdoor cold front pushes across the area Saturday night into
Sunday morning, becoming nearly stationary just south and west
of the area through memorial day. Another cold front follows on
Tuesday with high pressure building in behind.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Minor changes to forecast based on latest observations.

Heights will gradually rise today as a longwave trough to the
east shifts further into the northern atlantic and ridging to
the west builds.

Sfc high pressure builds from the west today with just some thin
cirrus and perhaps a few CU this aftn from convergence along
seabreeze boundaries. Highs will range from mid 70s to around
80 across much of the tri-state area. Lower 80s are expected in
metro ny nj.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Friday night
Upper level ridging over the great lakes will flatten through
fri night as it traverses eastward as a result of vortexes
remaining over the labrador sea and northern greenland and a
shortwave trough over the western canadian provinces tracking
east.

At the sfc, a return flow develops tonight as high pres shifts
off the new england mid atlantic coasts and continues slowly
into the western atlantic through Fri night. This will result
in an increasingly warm and humid airmass. Expect mostly clear
skies with just some cirrus and perhaps a few CU Fri aftn early
eve. There is also the potential for stratus mainly Fri night
(2nd night of southerly flow) across eastern LI and SE ct. Have
hinted at this in the forecast with partly cloudy skies
developing Fri night. Patchy fog is also a possibility mainly in
rural areas both tonight and Fri night.

Long term Saturday through Wednesday
A broad upper level ridge across the southern two thirds of the
country will get suppressed a bit south through early next week
as a short wave trough progresses across the great lakes and
northeast states. Model differences exist with the magnitude of
the latter feature, which sends a weak cold front across the
region Tuesday. In the case of the gfs, the boundary more or
less washes out as frontal wave passes to the south.

The better agreement though comes with sending a backdoor cold
front across the region Saturday night into Sunday morning,
putting an end to a string of days well above normal. Showers
and thunderstorms are also seeming more likely Saturday night
into Sunday morning as the front interacts with modest
instability, but a weakly sheared environment.

Showers will likely linger into Sunday, but chances should
diminish as high pressure builds southward across new england.

Sufficient overrunning ahead of the approaching upper trough
will be worthy of keeping the mention of showers in through
memorial day. There could even be some scattered thunderstorms
Sunday afternoon west of nyc, depending on how far to the south
and west the boundary stalls.

Additionally, with an easterly flow, temperatures continue to
trend down Sunday and Monday. It may be a bit more tricky Monday
with breaks in the cloud cover as the high weakens, especially
for locations across the interior.

Warmer weather then returns for the Tuesday through Wednesday
timeframe as high pressure builds both aloft and at the surface.

Aviation 12z Thursday through Monday
High pressure builds over the region today.

Vfr conditions are expected through the TAF period, however there's
a low to moderate chance that ifr stratus shifts into kgon this
afternoon and a low chance that it then spreads into kisp kbdr this
evening.

Nnw winds this morning will shift around to local seabreezes in the
afternoon, except kswf. Speeds around 10 kt.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 6 mi50 min N 11 G 13 68°F 1024.4 hPa42°F
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 7 mi42 min N 7 G 12 68°F 51°F1019 hPa
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 20 mi42 min 58°F 56°F1019.4 hPa
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 34 mi42 min NE 6 G 7 59°F 58°F1019.5 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 36 mi42 min N 4.1 G 6 60°F 53°F1019.1 hPa
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 39 mi42 min ENE 2.9 G 5.1 62°F 1019.3 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 39 mi45 min WSW 5.8 G 5.8 61°F
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 39 mi75 min NE 5.1 62°F 1019 hPa56°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 42 mi42 min ESE 1 G 1.9 60°F 64°F1019.3 hPa
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 44 mi42 min ENE 4.1 G 6 64°F 59°F1018.6 hPa
PVDR1 44 mi42 min NNE 6 G 8.9 65°F 1019.4 hPa53°F
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 45 mi70 min Calm G 1.9 57°F 55°F3 ft1019.5 hPa (+2.6)53°F
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 49 mi42 min NE 7 G 8 60°F 1019.3 hPa
FRXM3 49 mi42 min 59°F 54°F

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT4 mi64 minNNE 10 G 1710.00 miFair68°F46°F45%1018.8 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI9 mi67 minN 7 G 1510.00 miFair70°F46°F42%1019 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY18 mi66 minN 3 mi64°F53°F68%1019.5 hPa
Block Island State Airport, RI23 mi64 minN 410.00 miFair61°F55°F84%1019.8 hPa

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW10SW10SW11SW10SW16
G20
W14SW12SW11W11W7W4CalmW5NW8NW8NW6N6N4N3N5N5N5N6N10
G17
1 day agoS6SW5S4S7S5S3S4SE5CalmN4SE6CalmE4SE5CalmCalmCalmCalmSW44CalmW3NW5W4
2 days agoN7CalmSW8SW8S8S7S7S7S8SW8SW5W7W3S3CalmS6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S3

Tide / Current Tables for Noank, Mystic River entrance, Connecticut
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Noank
Click for Map
Thu -- 12:00 AM EDT     0.28 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 02:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:21 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 05:48 AM EDT     2.41 feet High Tide
Thu -- 12:19 PM EDT     0.20 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:06 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 06:21 PM EDT     2.71 feet High Tide
Thu -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.30.511.522.32.42.221.61.10.50.20.30.81.31.92.42.72.72.421.50.9

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:08 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 02:59 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 05:00 AM EDT     2.58 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 05:22 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:13 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:12 AM EDT     -3.03 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 02:28 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 03:07 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 05:28 PM EDT     2.86 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 08:08 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 08:44 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:45 PM EDT     -3.24 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-2.6-1.6-0.21.32.32.62.31.60.3-1.2-2.4-3-2.8-2-0.70.82.12.82.82.21.1-0.4-2-3

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.