Tuesday, May22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Gales Ferry, CT

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:21AMSunset 8:09PM Tuesday May 22, 2018 3:37 PM EDT (19:37 UTC) Moonrise 12:54PMMoonset 1:54AM Illumination 55% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ330 Long Island Sound East Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 553 Am Edt Tue May 22 2018
Today..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming se late this morning and afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers this afternoon.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Numerous showers, mainly in the evening. Patchy fog. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..W winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 553 Am Edt Tue May 22 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A warm front will approach this morning and lift through the waters late this afternoon or during the evening. A cold front follows late tonight into Wednesday morning. High pressure returns behind the frontal passage and remains through Saturday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Gales Ferry, CT
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location: 41.4, -72.1     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 221440
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1040 am edt Tue may 22 2018

Synopsis
A warm front will approach through today and lift into the area
this evening. A cold front follows late tonight into Wednesday
morning. High pressure returns behind the frontal passage and
remains through Saturday. Another frontal system impacts the
area on Sunday and Monday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
A shortwave trough will track through the great lakes today
with its associated sfc low arriving in western ny state this
evening. Onset of rain is slightly slower than 24 hours ago,
especially the NAM and cmcreg which hold any pcpn off in nyc
until late this aftn. Hi-res models including the hrrr, 3km nam,
and all members of spc's href bring showers in this morning
from W to e. Have compromised on the timing, although leaned
towards the latter (faster) solutions.

Otherwise, an overrunning pattern strengthens this morning with
additional showers overspreading the area. Marginal elevated
instability develops late this aftn N and W and have adjusted
timing of thunder in the grids to confine it mainly to orange
county late.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Thursday night
Warm front lifts into the area this eve, but may struggle to
lift through until parent low pressure traversing northern new
england drags it through. There is also the possibility that it
doesn't completely clear the local area before the cold front
catches up to it tonight. Showers continue this eve, but should
become more sct in nature on the south side of the warm front
and also as the cold front moves through. Marginal elevated
instability overnight will allow for the possibility of a few
rumbles of thunder. This could result in a few isold storms with
moderate to heavy rain, especially this eve as pwats MAX out
between 1.5 to 1.75 inches. Have also added fog into the
forecast with the approach passing of the warm front and light
winds tonight.

Cold front tracks across the area late tonight and pushes south
of the area Wed morning. A stray shower is possibly from nyc
and points east Wed morning with the front nearby. Skies will
clear Wed morning with a thermal trough developing and seabreezes
likely Wed aftn as high pressure builds in from the great
lakes.

Dry weather and above normal temps are expected Wed and thu.

Long term Friday through Monday
The cold front will be moving east of the tri-state area Wednesday
morning, with still a low chance of a shower mainly SE of the lower
hudson valley. Cold air advection behind the front will be weak, and
with a mostly sunny afternoon, high temperatures will be above
normal with most areas ranging from the mid 70s to lower 80s. High
pressure then passes through the region on Thursday and remains in
control on Friday. Dry weather continues both days with highs a
couple degrees above normal on Thursday, and then warming up even
more on Friday.

There remains some uncertainty for the holiday weekend as global
models and ensembles disagree on the surface features that would
impact our weather. Have gone closer to wpc ECMWF depiction of a
cold front dropping down from the north on Saturday and perhaps
stalling over us at some point on Sunday, remaining in the vicinity
into Monday. Chances of showers and thunderstorms will be present
all 3 days, but for now have the overall lowest chances during
Saturday.

Aviation 14z Tuesday through Saturday
A warm front slowly approaches from the southwest through this
afternoon. The warm front lifts into the region this evening
with a cold front moving across late tonight into early
Wednesday.

Expect gradually lowering ceilings and rain showers moving in
from west to east going into the afternoon.VFR initially but
conditions lower to MVFR mid to late this afternoon as rain
showers become steadier. Ifr develops by tonight. An isolated
thunderstorm is possible late this afternoon into tonight.

Se winds 5-10 kt will become more easterly and decrease in speed
this afternoon into tonight. Some variability in direction is
expected overnight before a more NW flow of 5-10 kt develops.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component fcsts, can
be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
NLNC3 - 8461490 - New London, CT 3 mi49 min S 2.9 G 6 60°F 51°F1020.1 hPa
LDLC3 - New London Ledge CT - Ledge Light Weather 7 mi42 min S 6 G 8 58°F 1025.5 hPa50°F
MTKN6 - 8510560 - Montauk, NY 25 mi49 min 60°F 54°F1020.1 hPa
44039 - Central Long Island Sound 35 mi37 min Calm G 3.9 58°F 1 ft
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 39 mi49 min S 12 G 13 59°F 58°F1020 hPa
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 42 mi49 min SSW 6 G 6 58°F 55°F1019.9 hPa
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 44 mi49 min SSW 2.9 G 8.9 61°F 1019.7 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 44 mi49 min S 2.9 G 4.1 59°F 59°F1020.3 hPa
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 44 mi112 min SSW 4.1 63°F 1020 hPa52°F
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 46 mi49 min SSE 14 G 16 60°F 59°F1019.5 hPa
PVDR1 46 mi49 min SSE 14 G 16 62°F 1019.5 hPa54°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 47 mi49 min S 14 G 16 62°F 56°F1019.1 hPa
44017 - 23 Nautical Miles Southwest of Montauk Point, NY 49 mi47 min SSE 3.9 G 3.9 57°F 55°F2 ft1020 hPa (-2.0)54°F

Wind History for New London, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Groton / New London, Groton / New London Airport, CT6 mi41 minS 310.00 miOvercast58°F52°F81%1020.1 hPa
Westerly, Westerly State Airport, RI16 mi44 minS 610.00 miOvercast64°F51°F63%1020.3 hPa
Chester, Chester Airport, CT22 mi82 minS 79.00 miLight Drizzle61°F53°F77%1020.3 hPa
Montauk, Montauk Airport, NY24 mi43 minN 0 mi62°F53°F73%1020.4 hPa

Wind History from GON (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS7S7S8SW8SW5W7W3S3CalmS6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S3S6SW5S4S7S5S3
1 day agoS5SW11SW7NW7NW6NW5NW6NW10
G16
NW8NW8N6N7N5N3CalmN9N11N8N7CalmSW8SW8S8S7
2 days agoE12E16
G20
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G16
E4E5E3CalmSE3S3CalmS5S6SW7SW6SW6SW9SW10SW10SW6S5SW3SW6S7SW3

Tide / Current Tables for Smith Cove entrance, Connecticut
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Smith Cove entrance
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Tue -- 01:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 03:55 AM EDT     2.85 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:46 AM EDT     0.14 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 12:54 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 04:44 PM EDT     2.70 feet High Tide
Tue -- 08:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:15 PM EDT     0.39 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
1.11.82.32.72.82.72.31.81.30.70.30.20.51.11.72.22.62.72.52.11.71.20.70.4

Tide / Current Tables for The Race, Long Island Sound, New York Current
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The Race
Click for Map
Tue -- 01:53 AM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 02:42 AM EDT     2.64 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 05:23 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 06:02 AM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 09:08 AM EDT     -3.14 knots Max Ebb
Tue -- 12:27 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Tue -- 12:54 PM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 03:20 PM EDT     2.77 knots Max Flood
Tue -- 06:45 PM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Tue -- 08:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 09:43 PM EDT     -2.98 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.11.52.42.62.21.30.1-1.4-2.6-3.1-2.8-1.9-0.70.82.12.72.62.11-0.4-1.8-2.8-2.9-2.4

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.