Monday, May20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Huron, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:05AMSunset 8:49PM Monday May 20, 2019 2:23 AM EDT (06:23 UTC) Moonrise 9:47PMMoonset 6:34AM Illumination 99% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Expires:201905200215;;129677 Fzus51 Kcle 191950 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 350 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez142>144-200215- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 350 Pm Edt Sun May 19 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 10 pm edt this evening...
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Showers with isolated Thunderstorms early, then a chance of showers with isolated Thunderstorms late this evening. A chance of showers after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Monday night..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming north 5 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy in the evening, then clearing. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Tuesday..North winds 10 knots or less becoming east. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Wednesday through Friday. The water temperature off toledo is 56 degrees, off cleveland 53 degrees and off erie 51 degrees.
LEZ144


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Huron, OH
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location: 41.4, -82.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 200522
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
122 am edt Mon may 20 2019

06z aviation forecast update...

Synopsis
Low pressure over lake michigan will track northeast
across the great lakes overnight, pulling a cold front across the
area. High pressure will build east across the region Monday night
through Tuesday night. Low pressure will move into the northern
plains on Wednesday, pulling a warm front north across the area.

Near term through today
Prefrontal trough still has some showers and a few thunderstorms
along it. Plenty of shear but very little instability. Still a
chance of a few wind gusts to around 40 mph. Plan to handle
these with an sps as long as they can persist. Current thinking
is they should decrease in coverage through midnight.

Previous discussion...

low pressure is located over lake michigan with a cold front
approaching the indiana illinois state line at 4 pm. Showers
have filled in across NW ohio and will continue to spread east
this evening along the deep moisture axis and pre-frontal
trough. Scattered thunderstorms were noted earlier in michigan
but have only included an isolated mention for tonight in the
forecast area given an overall lack of instability with thick
cloud cover. With that said, a strong wind field remains aloft
with up to 60 knots around 5k feet so even heavy showers could
bring down gusts of 40-50 mph but will be fairly isolated.

Stronger convection has developed upstream along the actual cold
front but will not approach the area until after 00z so expect
a diminishing trend to both coverage and intensity by that
point.

Have cancelled the wind advisory as winds today peaked around 40 mph
in most locations. Gusts of 30-40 mph remain possible for a couple
more hours but overall trend will be downward given the thickening
cloud cover and rain filling in. Showers will be mostly done except
for downwind of lake erie by Monday morning where a low chance will
remain. A much cooler day is expected with high temperatures running
20 degrees below today's values. Clouds will gradually clear Monday
night as high pressure expands over the region. Lows on Monday night
will be cool in the lower 40s.

Short term tonight through Wednesday night
Tuesday will be fair with high pressure centered north of the area.

Temperatures will be on the cooler side, but will recover for
Wednesday and Thursday as the upper ridge builds overhead. Have
some mention of precip both Wednesday and Thursday with lower
confidence. Moisture streams northward from the mississippi
valley gulf mid week. Cannot rule out precip on Wednesday or
Thursday. A warm front will be in the vicinity Wednesday and
Thursday may see precip round the top of the upper ridge with a
weak disturbance.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
The ridge holds for Friday, but begins to break down over the
weekend allowing for a cold front to settle in the vicinity of the
lower great lakes upper oh valley. Again low precip chances remain
in the forecast each day with timing uncertainties. Temperatures
will be mild, but a bit cooler by Sunday if the front is beginning
to settle southward.

Aviation 06z Monday through Friday
Vfr conditions will become MVFR ceilings with a stratus deck
between 2k and 3k feet moving in around 09z to 12z in the
morning. MVFR ceilings will stay around for much of the day with
gradual improvement by toVFR by late afternoon and evening
around 00z.VFR will remain through Monday night into Tuesday
morning. The other aviation issue will be the gusty westerly
winds developing later this morning through the afternoon. West
winds will pick up 12 to 15 knots with gusts up to 25 knots
possible. Gusts will relax by 00z this evening.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible in isolated to scattered thunderstorms
wed-fri.

Marine
Southwest winds have been strong enough today across the western
third of the nearshore waters to substantiate the small craft
advisory. This segment still GOES til 10pm tonight and do not
anticipate needing it beyond that. A cold front will be crossing the
lake tonight with west winds in its wake for Monday. Winds increase
enough that the eastern two thirds of the lake will have waves in
excess of 4 feet and have raised the small craft advisory for
Monday. High pressure builds across the region for later Monday
through early Wednesday. A warm front lifts north across the lake
Thursday morning and linger through Friday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 8 am this morning to midnight edt
tonight for lez145>149.

Synopsis... Kec
near term... Kec mm
short term... Oudeman
long term... Oudeman
aviation... Griffin
marine... Oudeman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 1 mi83 min SW 8.9 G 14 66°F 1006.8 hPa (+0.4)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 3 mi98 min SW 1.9 65°F 1008 hPa62°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 13 mi35 min SSW 4.1 G 12 64°F 57°F1007.3 hPa62°F
LORO1 20 mi53 min SW 14 G 16 67°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 22 mi83 min SW 17 G 18 62°F 1007.2 hPa (+0.7)
45169 42 mi33 min WSW 9.7 G 18 59°F 52°F2 ft1010.1 hPa
TWCO1 42 mi33 min E 15 G 17 65°F 1004.2 hPa61°F
45165 43 mi33 min SW 5.8 G 7.8 62°F 58°F1 ft60°F
45176 43 mi33 min N 7.8 G 9.7 61°F 54°F1 ft

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH21 mi30 minWSW 910.00 miMostly Cloudy65°F57°F78%1007.6 hPa

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS56S8S6S9S8SW11SW13
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G36
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1 day agoE6NE7NE7NE6NE8NE7E7E7E6S9S9W7W8W8NW7N4CalmE10E8S7S7S10S9S8
2 days agoSW6W5SW833SW4NW10N5N7NE7NE11
G17
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G16
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G18
NE4E8NE7N3NE6NE4NE7E5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.