Wednesday, October18, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Huron, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:46AMSunset 6:45PM Wednesday October 18, 2017 7:55 PM EDT (23:55 UTC) Moonrise 5:23AMMoonset 5:35PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 1002 Am Edt Wed Oct 18 2017
This afternoon..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday night..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest less than 10 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 62 degrees...off cleveland 66 degrees and off erie 63 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201710182015;;043396 FZUS51 KCLE 181402 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 1002 AM EDT Wed Oct 18 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>144-182015-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Huron, OH
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location: 41.4, -82.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 182345
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
745 pm edt Wed oct 18 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will remain over the upper ohio valley into Sunday
before shifting off the east coast. A cold front will
eventually cross the local area Sunday night into Monday.

Near term through Thursday night
Updated the hourly temperature and dew point forecast this
evening from the observed data and the diurnal curve and
tweaked the sky cover for those few cirrus out there, otherwise
no changes for the early evening update.

Original near term discussion...

the weather can't get any quieter than it will be the next 36
hours. High pressure will continue to dominate the weather and
with the exception of a brief increase in high clouds
tomorrow... Skies will be mainly clear. Looking at forecast
soundings and new model guidance... Temperatures should continue
to slowly moderate. Have trended a little warmer than guidance
for highs tomorrow.

Short term Friday through Saturday night
Fairly quiet short term period expected as persistent ridging
continues over the eastern conus. This will allow for southerly
flow WAA and dry conditions Friday through Saturday night. No major
changes to the previous forecast, however did bump up high
temperatures a degree or two on Saturday, which looks like the day
with the least cloud cover and warmest 850mb temps. Highs should
reach the mid 70s Saturday and Sunday. A cold front will approach
the region from the west on Sunday. 12z guidance has come in slower,
specifically the ecmwf, which is now in line with the timing of the
gfs gem. Went with a dry forecast for the daytime on Sunday, as
there is no guidance that indicates precip in the forecast area
before 00z.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
The long term does not offer any clearer picture for timing of the
cold front across the area. Will hold with the previous timing of
likely chances split between Sunday night and Monday. 12z ECMWF has
now come back away from its 00z fast outlier solution. But basically
it will take some time to resolve how much split flow develops and
then the impact on timing for this front. Overall trend though for
early next week will be for cooler and cloudier weather. Another
shortwave from south-central canada will dig the east coast trough
deeper and allow more of the cooler air to sink across the great
lakes. So, depending on shortwave timing, will likely have lake
effect influence through Tuesday and or Wednesday. After seasonable
temperatures Monday, we will be below normal by Wednesday.

Aviation 00z Thursday through Monday
Vfr will continue. A low level jet from the southwest will
develop tonight and mentioned low level wind shear as there will
be a significant speed change in the lowest 2k on landing take
off. The shear will diminish Thursday morning. Southwest winds
will become more westerly Thursday afternoon and a bit gusty in
places as a dissipating cold front drops across lake erie. The
wind will die down Thursday evening.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible in shra late Sunday into Monday.

Marine
High pressure will remain in control over lake erie tonight, with
continued southwest flow through Thursday afternoon. A weak trough
will cross the lake Thursday afternoon, with winds shifting around
to the northwest for a brief period Thursday night. Some small craft
conditions may arise Thursday afternoon evening, mainly across the
eastern end of the lake, but will hold off for now. High pressure
regains control Friday, with fairly light southerly winds through
most of the weekend.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 9 am Thursday to midnight edt
Thursday night for lez147>149.

Synopsis... Kosarik kubina
near term... Kosarik kubina
short term... Greenawalt
long term... Oudeman
aviation... Kosarik
marine... Greenawalt


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 1 mi56 min S 6 G 11 66°F 1020.3 hPa (-0.7)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 3 mi71 min Calm 61°F 1021 hPa40°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 13 mi38 min S 4.1 G 6 65°F 1021.3 hPa42°F
LORO1 20 mi26 min S 7 G 8.9 66°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 21 mi26 min S 14 G 18 67°F 65°F1021.1 hPa49°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 22 mi56 min S 13 G 14 67°F 1020.3 hPa (-1.1)
45169 42 mi26 min S 9.7 G 12 67°F 66°F1 ft52°F
45176 43 mi26 min S 9.7 G 12 66°F 66°F1 ft1021.8 hPa51°F
45165 43 mi16 min S 7.8 G 12 65°F 62°F46°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 45 mi36 min SSW 9.9 G 9.9 65°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH21 mi63 minSSW 710.00 miFair62°F36°F38%1022.3 hPa

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW5SW6SW6SW6S4S4S4CalmS5S4S4S3SW3S5SW4S7SW10S11SW10
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1 day agoCalm------------------------------W11
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.