Tuesday, April25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Huron, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:32AMSunset 8:24PM Tuesday April 25, 2017 8:31 AM EDT (12:31 UTC) Moonrise 5:22AMMoonset 6:29PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh- 947 Pm Edt Mon Apr 24 2017
.small craft advisory in effect until 4 am edt Tuesday...
Rest of tonight..East winds 5 to 15 knots. A slight chance of showers late. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming east. Cloudy in the morning...then becoming partly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday. The water temperature off toledo is 56 degrees...off cleveland 48 degrees and off erie 49 degrees.
LEZ144 Expires:201704250815;;219114 FZUS51 KCLE 250147 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 947 PM EDT MON APR 24 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ144>147-250815-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Huron, OH
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location: 41.4, -82.56     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 251117
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
717 am edt Tue apr 25 2017

Synopsis
The region will continue to be sandwiched between two areas of
low pressure, one to the west and one to the east, today
through Wednesday. Low pressure will eventually track into the
great lakes Thursday bringing a cold front through the area.

High pressure will then build in across the region briefly
Thursday night.

Near term /through Wednesday/
Showers continue across portions of eastern ohio into northwest
pennsylvania this morning. Have updated pops a bit to better
represent the current precipitation. Still no changes in
thinking that the showers will quickly come to an end by late
this morning into early this afternoon everywhere.

Original discussion...

a low over the carolinas will continue to move up the eastern
seaboard today. This has brought widespread clouds to eastern
parts of the area, with more scattered clouds farther west.

There is not much moisture to work with, but we have seen a few
light showers/sprinkles move into northeast ohio and northwest
pennsylvania this morning. Expect a continued chance of light
showers/sprinkles from near cleveland eastward through the
morning hours. Any chance of precipitation will quickly come to
an end by early this afternoon as the low continues its
northeastward trek.

Temperatures this afternoon should be similar to yesterday in
most areas, though it will be a little warmer along coastal
areas. Low temperatures tonight will drop into the lower 50s. A
very warm april day is in store for Wednesday with many
locations likely reaching the lower 80s for highs - generally
15 to 20 degrees above normal.

Short term /Wednesday night through Friday night/
Dry weather will continue through Wednesday night, with low
temperatures closer to the normal daytime high for this time of
year (lower to middle 60s). A low across the upper great
lakes/southern ontario Thursday will force a cold front through
the area Thursday afternoon. This will trigger showers and
thunderstorms progressing from west to east across ohio during
the early to mid afternoon and eventually reaching northwest
pennsylvania by the late afternoon/evening hours.

A strong shear profile will be present Thursday
morning/afternoon along with marginal instability. Therefore,
there is at least a chance of a stronger storm or two. One of
the main limiting factors will be moisture as the low occludes.

High pressure builds back into the area Thursday night in the
wake of the cold front. High temperatures Friday still look to
be above normal with just a slight chance of a shower during the
afternoon hours as the next low approaches from the southwest.

Long term /Saturday through Monday/
Models are in decent agreement with the storm system that will
impact the region Saturday through Monday. Still have concerns that
the models are ejecting this low faster than what will really occur.

If it is slower the lift near the warm front may end up causing a
longer period of showers and thunderstorms Saturday into early
Sunday. At some point the region looks as if it will be in the warm
sector. This will likely be on Sunday but as stated above the timing
is still in question. The cold front may be cross the region Monday
morning with showers/thunderstorms along it.

Temperatures Saturday into Sunday will all hinge on the location of
the warm front. In any event all locations should see highs above
seasonal averages. Uncertainly remains for highs on Monday since we
do not trust the timing of the front moving across the area.

Aviation /12z Tuesday through Saturday/
Light showers have expanded a bit more than earlier anticipated.

So far the easterly downsloping flow has kept MVFR ceilings
from developing. Still something to watch for where the heavier
showers occur but confidence is low that the MVFR ceilings will
develop. The showers will end near or shortly after noon with
middle and high level cloud cover left in its wake.

East to southeast winds will continue for all locations into
the afternoon. A few locations will gust to around 20 knots at
times.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible in advance of a cold front Thursday
and then with showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon into
early Friday morning.

Marine
Winds continue to decrease on lake erie as low pressure moves off
the middle atlantic coast. This has allowed waves to subside to 2 to
3 feet at most locations. The easterly flow may pick back up again
this afternoon but it appears it will be too short lived to warrant
keeping the small craft advisory going. So we will allow the small
craft advisory to come down.

Winds will shift more to the the southeast by Wednesday evening as
low pressure moves to near lake michigan. Winds will become southwest
to west as the cold front crosses the region on Thursday with small
craft conditions anticipated late Thursday morning through the
afternoon. High pressure will briefly build onto the lake Thursday
night into early Friday brining light winds.

Cle watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mottice
near term... Mottice
short term... Mottice
long term... Mullen
aviation... Mullen
marine... Mullen


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 3 mi107 min SSE 2.9 56°F 1011 hPa46°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 13 mi74 min NE 4.1 G 5.1 52°F 51°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 21 mi62 min NE 5.8 G 7.8 47°F 46°F1012.3 hPa45°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 22 mi92 min NE 7 G 8 51°F 1011.4 hPa (+0.8)
45169 42 mi62 min 9.7 G 12 52°F 47°F2 ft1012.8 hPa47°F
45176 43 mi62 min SSE 14 G 16 55°F 52°F2 ft1012.2 hPa48°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 45 mi92 min ENE 13 G 14 51°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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N1

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH21 mi99 minSSE 1110.00 miOvercast55°F43°F64%1011.2 hPa

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE9NE8E7NE9NE11NE14E14--NE10NE10E8SE12
G17
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SE13SE12SE12SE11SE11SE11SE11SE11
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1 day agoS4E4SE7Calm4N8N9N10N8N9NE9NE6NE5CalmCalmCalmCalmE3NE3NE3CalmNE3CalmNE4
2 days agoNE13NE12NE10NE12NE12N15
G18
NE10NE11N10NE9NE7NE5N3CalmCalmN4NE3NE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.