Tuesday, October17, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Masthope, PA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:11AMSunset 6:13PM Tuesday October 17, 2017 7:22 AM EDT (11:22 UTC) Moonrise 3:48AMMoonset 4:33PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 27 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 606 Am Edt Tue Oct 17 2017
Today..N winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt late this morning and early afternoon, then becoming W late. Waves 1 to 2 ft this morning, then 1 ft or less.
Tonight..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Wed night..SW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Thu night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..NW winds around 5 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 606 Am Edt Tue Oct 17 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A broad area of high pressure builds in from the west and will remain in control through the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Masthope, PA
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location: 41.42, -75.01     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 171044
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
644 am edt Tue oct 17 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will remain in place over new york and
pennsylvania for the remainder of the week with a gradual
warming trend and dry weather expected.

Near term through Wednesday
330 am update...

the cold temperatures this morning are the main focus in the
near term with high pressure dominating the region through the
middle of the week and beyond.

Frost advisory remains in effect until 8 am for portions of the
finger lakes in ny and the wyoming valley in NE pa, where the
growing season is still in effect.

After some of the coldest temperatures so far this season this
morning, a gradual warming trend will begin to develop this week as
heights rise aloft and a large surface high builds across the
northeast. Temperatures today will be roughly 5 to 15 deg warmer
than yesterday... Topping out in the mid 50s to lower 60s. The
dry air mass will likely keep skies mostly sunny, but a few
afternoon cumulus clouds can't be ruled out.

Skies should clear out this evening and winds will become calm.

This will create favorable conditions for patchy valley fog. The
air mass may be too dry for widespread fog, but should see at
least some patches develop by daybreak Wednesday.

Temperatures will warm into the mid to upper 60s on Wednesday
with mostly sunny skies.

Short term Wednesday night through Thursday night
330 am update... Surface high pressure over the mid-atlantic
will break down some along the NW periphery as a weak short
wave trof slides by to our north on Thursday. A trailing surface
cold front will undergo frontolysis and will likely be too
devoid of moisture and forcing to generate precipitation. This
will mean mostly clear sunny and warmer than normal conditions
for cny nepa with lows Wednesday night in the 40s, and highs
Thursday well into the 60s.

Long term Friday through Monday
330 am update... Ridging over the eastern us will re-establish
itself and become more amplified from Friday through the
weekend. Temperatures at 850 mb will warm to +11 to +13 degrees
c. These values are approximately 1-2 standard deviations above
normal, and forecasts will continue slightly higher than
guidance consensus due to heavy climatological influences on
those numbers at that time range. Looking for highs mainly in
the upper 60s to lower 70s with lows in the 40s, rising to the
lower 50s by Monday morning. Precipitation chances will again be
limited (probably nil) through Sunday evening. Model guidance
is in good agreement with the approach of a cold front early
next week, although there are subtle timing differences.

Canadian and GFS models suggest light QPF well ahead of the
front on Sunday night, while the ECMWF is dry into Monday. For
now, will stick with the slower trend as upper pattern flips to
an amplified ridge west trof east. A decent chance for rain in
our area will exist next Monday.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
MainlyVFR conditions at forecast terminals this morning,
except ifr valley fog at kelm which will likely stick around
through approximately 13z. Otherwise,VFR conditions continue most
of the day with scattered 4-5k ft cumulus developing in the
afternoon. A layer of strong winds just above the surface will
move in from the west and cause favorable conditions for llws at
the ny terminals between 01-10z tonight. The presence of winds
aloft should keep the boundary layer well mixed enough to not
allow fog to form.

Light and variable winds this morning will become southwest
7 to 10 knots with gusts to 15 kt in the late morning and
afternoon. Winds become light and variable again this evening.

Outlook...

Wednesday...VFR.

Wednesday night to Saturday... MostlyVFR. Possible early
morning restrictions in fog at kelm each day.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... Frost advisory until 8 am edt this morning for paz044-047.

Ny... Frost advisory until 8 am edt this morning for nyz015>018.

Synopsis... Bjt rrm
near term... Bjt
short term... Jab
long term... Jab
aviation... Bjt rrm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 71 mi53 min 42°F 1026 hPa39°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 71 mi53 min 45°F 66°F1026.5 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 72 mi53 min 45°F 67°F1026.9 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Monticello, Sullivan County International Airport, NY23 mi27 minW 310.00 miFair29°F27°F92%1027.3 hPa

Wind History from MSV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW9
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1 day agoS35S6S8S12
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmW3W4CalmSW4NW5W4W5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS7S5SW6SW4Calm

Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Newburgh
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Tue -- 04:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 05:05 AM EDT     -0.15 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:58 AM EDT     3.33 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:25 PM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 11:15 PM EDT     3.26 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.82.21.50.80.2-0.20.10.91.82.53.13.33.12.51.81.20.500.10.81.62.42.93.2

Tide / Current Tables for West Point, Hudson River, New York
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West Point
Click for Map
Tue -- 04:40 AM EDT     -0.11 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 04:43 AM EDT     Moonrise
Tue -- 07:10 AM EDT     Sunrise
Tue -- 10:32 AM EDT     2.70 feet High Tide
Tue -- 05:00 PM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Tue -- 05:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Tue -- 06:11 PM EDT     Sunset
Tue -- 10:49 PM EDT     2.65 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.11.510.4-0-0.10.411.72.32.62.72.31.81.20.70.200.30.91.62.12.52.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.