Monday, March19, 2018

Marine Weather and Tides
Masthope, PA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:59AMSunset 7:10PM Monday March 19, 2018 10:23 PM EDT (02:23 UTC) Moonrise 7:29AMMoonset 8:33PM Illumination 11% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ338 NEw York Harbor- 734 Pm Edt Mon Mar 19 2018
.gale watch in effect from Tuesday evening through late Wednesday night...
Tonight..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft after midnight.
Tue..NE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Chance of rain and snow in the afternoon.
Tue night..NE winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts 30 to 35 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Rain, snow and sleet. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed..NE winds 20 to 25 kt with gusts up to 35 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. Sleet in the morning. Rain and snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Wed night..N winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts 30 to 35 kt early. Waves around 2 ft. Snow, mainly in the evening. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Thu night..NW winds around 10 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W in the afternoon. Waves 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E after midnight. Waves 1 ft or less. Chance of rain and snow. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
ANZ300 734 Pm Edt Mon Mar 19 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds from the northwest through tonight. An area of low pressure will approach from the southwest on Tuesday. Stronger low pressure will then develop off the southern mid atlantic coast Tuesday night, move slowly southeast of the area Wednesday into Wednesday night, and pass to the east on Thursday. High pressure will then build from southern canada on Friday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Masthope, PA
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location: 41.42, -75.01     debug

Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 200050
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
850 pm edt Mon mar 19 2018

High pressure will provide mainly clear skies but cold
temperatures through tonight. Expect increasing clouds through
the day on Tuesday, with a chance of snow in northeast pa by late
afternoon. A coastal low pressure system then impacts the area
Tuesday night through Wednesday evening, bringing accumulating
snow to much of northeast pa and sullivan county ny. The rest
of the area stays cold with flurries and a few snow showers.

Near term through Tuesday
850 pm update...

weak high pressure remains in place along with a very dry air
mass this evening. Skies remain mostly clear with light winds
and temperatures into the 20s and lower 30s. No significant
changes made to the forecast.

345 pm update... High pressure will remain in control of our
weather for tonight. This will keep mainly clear skies around,
with cold temperatures expected. Overnight lows will be in the
single digits to teens in our ny zones, with teens and lower 20s
for NE pa. Light northeast winds are forecast tonight, less than
10 mph. On Tuesday, clouds will gradually increase from the
south with NE pa becoming overcast prior to midday. Central ny
should stay partly to mostly cloudy through the day. There will
be a slight chance of snow late in the day south of i-84 in ne
pa. The rest of the CWA should stay dry. High temperatures will
be in the upper 20s to 30s areawide.

Short term Tuesday night through Wednesday night
400 pm update...

main forecast challenge remains evolution of a complicated
coastal system. The 12z guidance today made some rather major
shifts... Now indicating a stronger, more phased system tracking
through the ohio valley to along the mid-atlantic.

The latest nam, GFS and ECMWF are now all in fairly good
agreement on this complex weather system. Therefore, used a
blend of this guidance and wpc for pops, QPF and snow amounts.

Tuesday night, two pieces of upper level energy phase over
kentucky, spinning up a closed 700 and 500 mb low. At the same
time a surface low forms over sc, and moves NE just of virgina
beach by 2am Wednesday. There will be some light snow or snow
showers over NE pa prior to 2 am Wednesday, but during the
predawn hours steadier snow should develop south of ny pa border
eastward into sullivan county ny. An inch or two of snow will be
possible Tuesday night south of tunkhannock, honesdale and monticello.

The mid and upper level low continues to track due east across
virgina by daybreak Wednesday, and begins to capture the
deepening surface low. Models are now in excellent agreement
that a 985mb low will be located just east of ocean city md by
2pm Wednesday. The surface low stalls or drifts slowly
northeast through the day Wednesday as it becomes a vertically
stacked system to 500mb. A band of moderate snow is expected to
develop south of the ny pa border and east of i-88 through the
day Wednesday. The snow could even be heavy at times over the
poconos and into sullivan county ny. This is where the best lift
and mid-level frontogenesis is progged to be centered. There
will likely be a very sharp cutoff to the accumulating snow on
the northern and western side of this system. At this time,
current guidance indicates elmira, binghamton, cortland and
norwich are expected to only see some flurries or a brief period
of light snow... With less than 1 inch. While further north
toward penn yan, syracuse and rome there may not be any snow at
all. It is important to note that some of the ecs, GEFS and sref
members do spread heavier snow amounts further back to the
north and west... Into parts of central ny. At this time, these
snowier solutions seem to have a low probability of
occurrence... But cannot be completely ignored. Future model
trends will need to be watched closely to see if the track of
the low and northern extent of the precip shield shift at all.

Even small changes could mean a big difference in snowfall
amounts across our cwa.

Temperatures will be in the upper teens to mid 20s Tuesday
night... Warming into the upper 20s to mid-30s on Wednesday.

Where snow is falling lightly, it will likely have a difficult
time accumulating on paved surfaces during the day on Wednesday.

Where snow rates are higher, there will be a better chance to
see accumulations on untreated roads sidewalks through the day
Wednesday. North-northeast winds between 10-20 mph with a few
higher gusts are forecast on Wednesday. This could cause some
localized blowing drifting snow... Mainly over the higher
elevations of the poconos.

For now, we have continued to stepped up snow chances in the
wyoming valley-poconos-catskills areas Tuesday night into
Wednesday, with about 2-5 inches of snow accumulation southeast
of a tunkhannock to monticello line, and 4-8 inches towards
hazleton and much of pike county. Issued a winter storm watch
for pike county Tuesday evening through Wednesday evening, where
confidence was greatest that much of the county could see 6
inches of snow. Only a small shift north and west would bring
these higher amounts into most of the rest of NE pa and sullivan
county ny. As it stands now, these areas may very well eventually
need a winter weather advisory for snow.

This does have the look of a system in which there could be a
very sharp gradient between no snow at all, and a significant
accumulation. That line could very well be somewhere over our
forecast area. Anyone with travel plans, especially heading
south and east, will want to keep an eye on this one.

Long term Thursday through Monday
215 pm update... Overall, a quiet period is in store, behind the
prior east coast storm.

From Thursday into Saturday, a narrow short-wave ridge at
upper-levels of the atmosphere will move over cny nepa, while
high pressure at the surface noses down from eastern canada.

This will bring dry weather, with a continuation of below normal
temperatures. Night-time lows will be cold, mainly in the
teens-mid 20s, with afternoon highs mostly in the 30s-lower

Models begin to diverge towards the end of the weekend, with
some suggestions that a frontal zone could bring some light
precipitation. For now, we've indicated a chance for light rain
or snow on Sunday.

Aviation 01z Tuesday through Saturday
High pressure will bringVFR conditions and clear skies to our
terminals through Tuesday afternoon. High clouds will increase
during the late afternoon in advance of an approaching storm.

Winds will be light and variable through the morning hours.

Northerly winds of 5 to 10 knots are forecast for the afternoon.


Tuesday night through Wednesday evening... MainlyVFR at ny
terminals. Snow likely with associated restrictions at kavp.

Wednesday night through Saturday... MainlyVFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... Winter storm watch from Tuesday evening through late Wednesday
night for paz048.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mjm
near term... Bjt mjm
short term... Mjm
long term... Mlj
aviation... Djp

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 71 mi53 min 30°F 1015 hPa10°F
BGNN4 - 8519483 - Bergen Point West Reach, NJ 71 mi53 min 41°F 41°F1014.5 hPa
BATN6 - 8518750 - The Battery, NY 72 mi53 min 41°F 41°F1015.1 hPa

Wind History for Bergen Point West Reach, NY
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1 day
2 days

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Monticello, Sullivan County International Airport, NY23 mi27 minNNW 510.00 miFair25°F3°F40%1015.8 hPa

Wind History from MSV (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmCalm----N3Calm--N4N6N5NW6--NW12
1 day ago----N9N9--NW10NW5NW7NW6NW7NW11NW9NW10
2 days agoW13

Tide / Current Tables for Newburgh, Hudson River, New York
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Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Mon -- 01:35 AM EDT     3.09 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 08:31 AM EDT     -0.17 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 01:58 PM EDT     3.04 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:07 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:43 PM EDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:29 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for West Point, Hudson River, New York
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West Point
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Mon -- 01:15 AM EDT     2.50 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:00 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 08:12 AM EDT     -0.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 08:24 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 01:41 PM EDT     2.44 feet High Tide
Mon -- 07:06 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 08:26 PM EDT     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 09:28 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.