Thursday, October19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bliss Corner, MA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:00AMSunset 5:56PM Thursday October 19, 2017 5:18 AM EDT (09:18 UTC) Moonrise 6:36AMMoonset 6:17PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ235 Rhode Island Sound- 352 Am Edt Thu Oct 19 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from this afternoon through late tonight...
Today..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt this afternoon. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Tonight..SW winds 15 to 20 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 30 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 2 to 4 ft.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat..NE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming S in the afternoon. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sat night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon..SW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 352 Am Edt Thu Oct 19 2017
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters.. High pressure southeast of new england will provide dry weather and southwest winds today. A dry cold front will move across the waters tonight. Strong high pressure over the appalachians Friday will move east across the southern new england coastal waters this weekend. For information on possible hazardous weather beyond the 24-36 hour forecast period, please visit www.weather.gov/boston and follow the current hazards link above the map on the left.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bliss Corner, MA
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location: 41.46, -71.02     debug


Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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Fxus61 kbox 190748
afdbox
area forecast discussion
national weather service taunton ma
348 am edt Thu oct 19 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will maintain dry weather and warmer than normal
temperatures through the weekend. Precipitation chances will
increase by the middle of next week.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
330 am update...

as forecast well by the narre, areas of low cloudiness and fog
were forming across southern new england... Mainly south of the
mass pike. We have issued a special weather statement for the
fog in eastern ct, ri, and southeast ma valid through about 8
am. Some of the fog was locally dense, especially from plymouth
to new bedford and on upper CAPE cod from falmouth to hyannis.

The fog should lift a few hours after sunrise. Temperatures were
off to a chilly start, with upper 30s to mid 40s across much of
the region.

After areas of fog lift, skies will become sunny today. A weak
upper level short wave trough will move across new england late
this afternoon and early this evening, accompanied by some
high level cirrus clouds. At the surface, a weak, dry cold
front associated with this trough will be approaching the region
during the day. South-southwest winds ahead of this front will
become gusty this afternoon, reaching 35 kts at 925 mb, which
could translate to a few gusts to 25-30 mph possible at the
surface, especially in the late afternoon. Have continued on
the higher side of guidance for maximum temperatures this
afternoon... Mainly in the lower 70s but cannot rule out a few
mid-70s readings in the ct valley and in eastern ma. Cooler over
cape cod and the islands.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Friday
Tonight... Weak front shifts to the east. Clear skies. Winds
shift to the W and weaken overnight. Lows mainly in the 40s
except some 50s CAPE and islands.

Friday... Strong high pressure centered over the appalachians
will provide bright sunshine. Northwest winds may gust to near
20 mph during the afternoon. High temperatures are only
expected to be slightly cooler... In the upper 60s to around 70.

Long term Friday night through Wednesday
* above average temperatures with dry conditions lasting into Monday
* precipitation chances are increasing for the middle of next week.

19 00z guidance remains in excellent agreement through this weekend.

High pressure in control with dry weather and above normal
temperatures continuing.

Some detail difference begin to arise with the handling of a closed
mid level low across the southern tier of the usa early next week.

These detail differences are almost entirely the result of timing
differences in breaking down the strong mid level ridge along the
eastern seaboard. The primary impact of this closed low will be to
provide energy ahead of a cold front toward the middle of next week.

Given the strength of the downstream ridge, will favor the less
progressive guidance, which would be closer to the 00z ecmwf.

That said, it is becoming increasingly likely our region will see
some light precipitation sometime late Monday night into Wednesday,
with the most likely timeframe currently being around Tuesday. This
could change over the next several days as the timing of a slow-
moving front becomes clearer.

Aviation 07z Thursday through Monday
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Friday ... Generally high confidence.

330 am update...

areas of ifr conditions -- ceilings and visibilities -- in low
clouds and fog, mainly south of the mass pike early this
morning. The fog will be locally dense, especially along the
south coast from new bedford to plymouth and on upper CAPE cod
from falmouth to hyannis. Expecting any areas of fog to
dissipate by mid-morning, withVFR and clear skies taking hold.

Just a few cirrus clouds as a front approaches from the west
late in the afternoon.

Sw winds may gust to 23-27 kt this afternoon, especially toward
21z.

Vfr conditions tonight and Friday. Winds shifting to the w
tonight and diminishing, then NW Friday with gusts up to 20 kt.

Kbos terminal... High confidence in taf.

Kbdl terminal... Moderate confidence in TAF this morning, then
high confidence through Friday.VFR conditions. However, there
is a low risk for localized ifr ceilings developing around
daybreak, especially to the east of the airport.

Outlook Friday night through Monday ...

high confidence.VFR.

Marine
Forecaster confidence levels...

low - less than 30 percent.

Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.

High - greater than 60 percent.

Short term through Friday ... High confidence.

Today and tonight... S-sw winds increase this afternoon with
gusts to around 25 kt likely over all waters by late afternoon
and a slight increase in outer seas to near 5 ft. These winds
persist into the overnight but slowly diminish as they shift to
the W late tonight. Small craft advisories are in effect for
all waters.

Friday... Nw winds may gust to 20 kt and seas are forecast to
slowly subisde to 3 to 4 ft.

Outlook Friday night through Monday ... High confidence.

Great boating weather as high pressure prevails through this
upcoming weekend with sub small craft advisory conditions.

Fire weather
Ahead of a very weak cold front, s-sw winds will gust 20-25 mph
across much of the region this afternoon. There is a chance of
a few gusts to 25-30 mph by 4 or 5 pm. Relatively mild
conditions (highs in the low-mid 70s) and continued dry
dewpoints in the mid 40s to low 50s will yield min rh values
between 30 and 35 percent. With an overall recent lack of
precipitation, there could be an elevated fire weather risk for
today. A special weather statement has been issued highlighting
this risk.

On Friday, NW winds will be a little less, closer to 20 mph, but
the minimum rh will be closer to 30 percent. Thus there could
again be some risk of elevated fire potential.

Box watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ma... None.

Ri... None.

Marine... Small craft advisory from 2 pm this afternoon to 4 am edt
Friday for anz231>234-250-251-254.

Small craft advisory from 2 pm this afternoon to midnight edt
tonight for anz230-236.

Small craft advisory from 4 pm this afternoon to 6 am edt
Friday for anz235-237-255-256.

Synopsis... Field belk
near term... Field
short term... Field
long term... Belk
aviation... Field belk
marine... Field belk
fire weather... Field


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
BUZM3 - Buzzards Bay, MA 4 mi78 min SW 12 G 13 62°F 1024.7 hPa (-0.7)
NWPR1 - 8452660 - Newport, RI 17 mi48 min SW 5.1 G 5.1 61°F 62°F1024.1 hPa
PRUR1 18 mi48 min 58°F 56°F
FRXM3 18 mi48 min 57°F 55°F
FRVM3 - 8447386 - Fall River, MA 19 mi48 min 56°F 64°F1024.8 hPa
BZBM3 - 8447930 - Woods Hole, MA 19 mi48 min 61°F 63°F1024.4 hPa
BLTM3 - 8447387 - Borden Flats Light at Fall River, MA 19 mi48 min S 1.9 G 2.9 59°F 1023.5 hPa
PTCR1 - 8452951 - Potter Cove, Prudence Island, RI 21 mi48 min W 2.9 G 4.1 57°F 1024.3 hPa
NAXR1 - Narragansett Bay Reserve, RI 21 mi93 min WSW 1.9 54°F 1002 hPa54°F
QPTR1 - 8454049 - Quonset Point, RI 22 mi48 min WSW 4.1 G 5.1 55°F 63°F1024.4 hPa
CPTR1 - 8452944 - Conimicut Light, RI 25 mi48 min SSW 4.1 G 6 56°F 63°F1024.1 hPa
WAXM3 - Waquoit Bay Reserve, MA 28 mi93 min Calm 57°F 1025 hPa56°F
PVDR1 30 mi48 min SW 2.9 G 4.1 55°F 1024.3 hPa54°F
FOXR1 - 8454000 - Providence, RI 31 mi48 min SSW 1 G 1.9 52°F 64°F1024 hPa
44020 - NANTUCKET SOUND 44 mi88 min WSW 9.7 G 12 61°F 61°F1 ft1024.6 hPa (-0.7)61°F
44090 45 mi48 min 60°F

Wind History for Newport, RI
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Newport, Newport State Airport, RI15 mi25 minS 31.25 miFog/Mist56°F55°F100%1024.2 hPa
New Bedford, New Bedford Regional Airport, MA16 mi25 minN 00.25 miFog43°F43°F100%1024.2 hPa
Marthas Vineyard Airport, MA21 mi25 minSW 30.25 miFog42°F42°F100%1024.9 hPa

Wind History from UUU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr3Calm3435NW544NW4S66SW43Calm3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3S3
1 day agoN10N8N10
G15
N10N12N7N83W64CalmS5S5S5S53CalmCalmCalmCalm3W344
2 days agoNW10NW7NW8NW12
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NW9NW12NW9NW10NW10N7NW9
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N6N11
G21

Tide / Current Tables for Westport Harbor Entrance, Massachusetts
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Westport Harbor Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:10 AM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 06:36 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:12 AM EDT     3.72 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:41 PM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:12 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 05:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:17 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 08:32 PM EDT     3.37 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.60-0.2-0.10.41.32.43.33.73.52.81.910.3-0.1-0.20.10.81.82.73.33.32.81.9

Tide / Current Tables for Westport River Entrance, Massachusetts Current
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Westport River Entrance
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:26 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 06:36 AM EDT     2.71 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 06:36 AM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 07:01 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:57 AM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:29 AM EDT     -2.45 knots Max Ebb
Thu -- 03:12 PM EDT     New Moon
Thu -- 03:49 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Thu -- 05:56 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 06:17 PM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 06:59 PM EDT     2.68 knots Max Flood
Thu -- 09:20 PM EDT     -0.01 knots Slack
Thu -- 11:50 PM EDT     -2.45 knots Max Ebb
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-2.2-1.8-1.3-0.40.61.72.52.61.6-0.1-1.6-2.4-2.4-2-1.5-0.80.21.32.22.72.10.6-1.1-2.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Boston, MA (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Boston, MA
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.