Sunday, April22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Lorain, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:35AMSunset 8:18PM Sunday April 22, 2018 2:16 PM EDT (18:16 UTC) Moonrise 11:21AMMoonset 1:22AM Illumination 49% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ145 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 900 Pm Edt Sat Apr 21 2018
Overnight..East winds 10 knots or less. Mostly cloudy early, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Sunny. Waves building to 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday night..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. Mostly clear. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves subsiding to 2 feet or less. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday. The water temperature off toledo is 44 degrees...off cleveland 40 degrees and off erie 39 degrees.
LEZ145 Expires:201804220815;;306686 FZUS51 KCLE 220100 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 900 PM EDT Sat Apr 21 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>149-220815-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Lorain, OH
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location: 41.46, -82.17     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 221753
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
153 pm edt Sun apr 22 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will continue to move slowly east toward eastern new
york and pennsylvania by this evening. Low pressure will move to
the tennessee valley by Monday and then linger across the southern
portions of the ohio valley into Tuesday. The low will extend a
trough of low pressure north into the local area Monday and Tuesday.

High pressure will build southeast into the lower mississippi valley
by Thursday morning extending a ridge northeast into the local area.

A strong cold front will move east across the area Thursday
night.

Near term through Monday
Rather strong surface inversion indicated on 12 utc soundings
has been eroded and temperatures have warmed already to the
forecasted MAX temperature so will raise the temperatures a few
degrees. Cirrus cloud cover has thinned some so will decrease
cloudiness too.

Previous discussion...

surface high pressure will continue to dominate the local
weather through Monday. The rex block pattern is expected to
slowly shift east to the central mississippi valley region by
this afternoon. This will keep the local area under the
influence of upper level ridging and a continued pattern of fair
weather across the area. The main issues we are faced with is
the middle and high level cloudiness sliding east across the
area. Model and satellite trends are for this moisture to slide
slowly south of the area tonight and bring a return to sunshine
by Monday morning. Moisture will really begin to push northeast
across the area Monday afternoon in advance of the approaching
slow moving low pressure system. The good news is that
temperatures are beginning to respond to the upper level ridge
and surface high pressure and they will continue to warm over
the next 36 hours. Highs today will be in the lower to middle
60s most areas with exception being the lakeshore. Lows tonight
are expected to be milder in the lower to middle 40s. Then, for
Monday, further warming will take place with highs in the middle
to upper 60s; cooler near the lake.

Short term Monday night through Wednesday night
Upper level closed low starting the period over tennessee will
open as it lifts northeast towards pennsylvania on Wednesday.

The southeasterly flow in advance of the system will advect
moisture north into the area Monday night with showers
expanding, especially across eastern areas on Tuesday. Models
have been trending wetter and have raised pops to likely across
the eastern half of the area for Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday
evening where lift is maximized. Ahead of the upper low.

Temperatures on Tuesday will be cool given the increase in
clouds and shower activity. By Wednesday surface low pressure
will have shifted east to new york while a stronger trough aloft
deepens over the great lakes region. This will result in
increasing northerly flow and cold advection on Wednesday with
temperatures trending cooler, especially downwind of lake erie
in NE ohio and NW pa. A chance of showers will also linger in
the east while western areas begin to dry out as surface ridging
begins to build in from the west.

Long term Thursday through Saturday
Temperatures trend warmer on Thursday as southwest flow ramps up
ahead of the next trough approaching the region. After a cool start
to the day, highs on Thursday will be in the upper 50s most areas
with cooler temperatures near lake erie.

Models continue to advertise a cool pattern to end the week although
struggling with the evolution of the upper level trough and how much
cold air will follow the front. With the 00z 22 cycle, the GFS and
canadian were the cooler models with another closed upper low
developing while the ECMWF was more progressive with the trough and
not as cold. Little confidence in details at this time given the
recent run to run variability but high confidence in below normal
temperatures in the extended periods.

Aviation 18z Sunday through Friday
High pressure over the region will give way to low pressure over
the lower mississippi valley as it moves into the lower ohio and
tennessee valleys on Monday. Varying amounts of high clouds
will prevail into Monday morning. Mid level clouds will begin to
move into the region Monday afternoon. Light northeast winds
will continue and then winds will gradually veer more to the
southeast on Monday. Low dewpoints will ensure that no fog
forms.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible Monday night into Wednesday night.

Marine
High pressure over the region will become focused along the new
england coast by Monday. Northeast winds will increase to near 15
knots along the south shore of lake erie with waves building to 2-3
feet late today. On Monday the winds will veer around to the
southeast allowing waves in the nearshore waters to drop back closer
to 1 foot.

Low pressure over the tennessee valley on Tuesday will move across
the eastern lakes Wednesday while merging with a stronger low
pressure system along the east coast. Easterly winds on Tuesday will
back to the north on Wednesday and increase as colder air is pulled
south across the lake. Northerly winds will increase to 10-20 knots
leading to building waves with onshore flow.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Lombardy
near term... Laplante
short term... Kec
long term... Kec
aviation... Laplante
marine... Kec


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
LORO1 2 mi46 min ENE 11 G 13
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 19 mi91 min NE 7 46°F 1029 hPa36°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 20 mi76 min ENE 15 G 18 42°F 1027.1 hPa (-0.7)
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 29 mi46 min ENE 17 G 19 44°F 1028 hPa32°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 30 mi46 min NE 12 G 15 43°F 1029 hPa34°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 37 mi76 min NE 16 G 20 46°F 1029.4 hPa (-0.6)

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH8 mi23 minNE 1710.00 miFair55°F24°F30%1028.2 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH16 mi25 minNNE 1310.00 miMostly Cloudy55°F30°F40%1029.1 hPa

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN7N6NE9N7N5NE11NE11NE6NE9--NE7NE5NE6NE9NE8NE8NE8NE12NE12NE13NE10NE13NE14NE17
1 day agoN10
G16
N10
G18
N8
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N6
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NE10NE9NE9NE74CalmNW53NW5NW5CalmCalmCalm44--NE7N5N9N7
2 days agoNW20
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NW18N12
G25
N9NE13NE12NE9N3NW8NW6NW8NW8NW10NW10NW7NW7NW9NW10N10NE11
G14
NE13NE9N8
G18

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.