Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Cleveland, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 8:50PM Sunday May 26, 2019 2:58 PM EDT (18:58 UTC) Moonrise 1:21AMMoonset 11:57AM Illumination 47% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 22 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LEZ146 Expires:201905261430;;476520 Fzus51 Kcle 260731 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 331 Am Edt Sun May 26 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez144>146-261430- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- 331 Am Edt Sun May 26 2019
Today..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms early, then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms from late morning on. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tonight..Northeast winds 10 knots or less. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Northeast winds 10 knots or less. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday. The water temperature off toledo is 61 degrees, off cleveland 55 degrees and off erie 57 degrees.
LEZ146


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Cleveland, OH
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 41.48, -81.68     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kcle 261752
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
152 pm edt Sun may 26 2019

18z aviation update...

Synopsis
A cold front will slowly push south across the area late this
afternoon, settling south of the area by Monday morning. The
front will remain between the southern great lakes and ohio
valley through the day Monday before lifting north through the
area Monday night into Tuesday, remaining north of the area
through midweek. An unsettled weather pattern will remain over
the region much of next week.

Near term through Monday
Area of precip working into the area from the west has led to
fairly drastic changes with this forecast update. Went near 100%
pops for the next couple of hours as this area of precip moves
east across the area. Expecting a slow diminish of the overall
intensity, with the best chances for stronger convection
confined to areas south of us-30 through about 10 am. Overall,
not much has change with the latest forecast thinking for this
afternoon, however the extent of this precip and upstream radar
returns in in owe to higher confidence in slower lesser
destabilization through the afternoon, with extensive mid level
cloud shield extending back to ia mo.

Original discussion...

immediate focus this morning is upstream convection across in
moving eastward towards western oh. This activity, associated
with an MCV in a broad westerly mid level flow regime and in the
vicinity of the right entrance region of a northward retreating
upper jet streak, is persisting eastward with a few severe wind
reports in far western in. However, hi-res guidance suggests
this activity to slowly diminish in intensity as it moves into
an increasingly stable environment. This should result in more
disorganized scattered shower and thunder activity moving into
the southwest part of the area this morning, quickly moving
eastward across the area through midday. The highest pops will
be across the southwest part of the forecast area, but the more
organized storm activity and potential for stronger convection
should dive south of the forecast area towards central southern
oh where better instability resides.

A stronger MCV mid level energy will eject eastward out of the
mississippi valley this morning and move through
central southern oh this afternoon. There should be a bit of a
lull in precip activity late morning midday through mid
afternoon, which will allow for weak modest destabilization
ahead of a southward advancing cold front approaching the area.

500 mb jet MAX will streak eastward through the southern great
lakes this afternoon, allowing for good deep layer bulk shear.

The main limiting factor to severe thunderstorm potential
across the area this afternoon is the amount of instability
realized with the morning convective cluster delaying minimizing
destabilization. There is also an incoherent surface forcing
mechanism with the synoptic surface front best low level
convergence well north of the area during this time. However,
expect scattered storms to fire, which pose a limited severe
thunderstorm risk across the area. Poor mid level lapse rates
will also be entrenched across the region. Agree with the early
morning SPC day 1 outlook with the best severe chances south of
the area today where better low level lapse rates, instability,
and surface forcing with the probable outflow boundary from the
morning convection coincide. Kept pops generally in the chance
range for the area, but opted for some low likely pops south,
especially this afternoon. Precip chances diminish quickly after
03z, with the surface front pushing south of the area by 06z-
09z. Monday will be dry across the area through late afternoon
with brief ridging drifting across the area before the frontal
boundary returns northeast towards the area by Monday night.

For temperatures today, went close to the higher side of
guidance, with upper 70s to around 80 for most of the area. Lows
tonight will be in the low 50s to low 60s. Highs Monday will be
int he low 70s near the lake to mid upper 70s inland.

Short term Monday night through Wednesday night
Warm front will be returning to northern ohio by Monday evening with
increasing chances of showers thunderstorms. The frontal boundary
will then remain across the region with additional chances of
showers thunderstorms through Wednesday night. May need to watch for
some locally heavy rainfall with the periods of rain moving across
the region with each ripple of low pressure in the middle level
flow. The strongest thunderstorms may occur on Tuesday if the model
timing is correct. Trying to time these ripples will be difficult
with each model handling them differently.

Tuesday and Wednesday should see highs range from the mid 70s to mid
80s.

Long term Thursday through Sunday
Models indicate that a stronger cold front will sweep across the
area on Thursday with a round of stronger thunderstorms possible.

High pressure then builds into the central great lakes by Friday
morning and may persist into Saturday. So a couple days with no
mention of showers thunderstorms seems like the forecast to go with
for now. Highs through the long term should be very close to
seasonal averages.

Aviation 18z Sunday through Friday
A mid level wave will track across the region this
afternoon evening as a cold front tracks south into the area.

This has a chance to produce some isolated tsra later this
afternoon, although it is still uncertain to pin down down the
coverage and exact timing of any storms. The threat for tsra shra
should end in the evening hours around the 00z- 03z timeframe.

Winds will begin to turn northerly, as the approaching front
passes through the region this evening. Winds will be fairly
light throughout the period, barring any higher thunderstorm
gusts.VFR conditions are expected by Monday morning for all taf
sites.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible for periods of time through Thursday,
primarily centered around rounds of convection.

Marine
Cold front will cross the lake by the afternoon then stall across
southern ohio overnight. Strongest winds will be just ahead of the
front from the southwest west then shift around to the east
overnight as high pressure moves east across the central great lakes
reaching western quebec by Monday morning. A frontal boundary will
then meander near lake erie Monday through Wednesday. Southwesterly
winds may increase to around 15 knots on Wednesday which may build
waves to 2 to 4 feet.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Greenawalt
near term... Greenawalt
short term... Mm
long term... Mm
aviation... Griffin kahn
marine... Greenawalt


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 5 mi47 min NW 1.9 G 5.1 62°F 58°F1016.4 hPa59°F
45176 7 mi29 min NE 3.9 G 5.8 58°F 57°F1 ft
45169 12 mi29 min NW 5.8 G 5.8 59°F 56°F1 ft1019.8 hPa
45164 17 mi59 min 55°F1 ft
LORO1 27 mi69 min W 9.9 G 13 68°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 29 mi41 min WSW 8.9 G 9.9 64°F 61°F1016.4 hPa64°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 40 mi39 min NNE 3.9 G 5.8 60°F 54°F1017 hPa60°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 44 mi74 min S 1 71°F 1017 hPa68°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 46 mi59 min SW 5.1 G 7 71°F 1015.6 hPa (-0.3)

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
Last
24hr
W9
G13
SW6
G10
W13
W15
SW4
G9
SW8
G11
SW6
G9
SW8
G11
SW7
G11
SW7
G12
SW8
G11
S4
G8
SW3
G7
SW5
G9
SW2
G6
SW3
G7
SW6
G9
SW6
G9
SW6
G12
SW4
G7
SW5
NW8
W1
NW5
G8
1 day
ago
NE6
NE6
E6
G9
NE5
E6
E2
E1
G5
E6
SE1
SE1
E1
E2
G5
NW1
G4
W1
G8
S3
G7
E2
G10
SE2
G8
S4
G8
S5
G12
SW7
G12
SW11
G16
SW10
G15
SW11
G18
SW13
G22
2 days
ago
W14
W15
W11
G14
SW5
G10
SW7
G10
SW7
W11
G14
SW6
NW11
G14
NW5
W4
SW4
W5
W4
W3
SW2
W2
W5
W2
N3
N6
NE2
NE5
N3

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH3 mi66 minWNW 78.00 miA Few Clouds66°F61°F84%1016 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH11 mi68 minNW 710.00 miMostly Cloudy76°F66°F74%1016.7 hPa
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH13 mi74 minNW 107.00 miOvercast72°F64°F78%1016.6 hPa

Wind History from BKL (wind in knots)
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
Last 24hrW14SW7W11W15SW8SW11SW11SW11SW11SW10SW13SW11
G19
SW12SW9SW10SW11SW9SW10SW7SW7SW11W7NW6NW7
1 day agoN7N9NE9NE6NE6E3NE8NE7CalmE3SE5SE12SE11SE15SE9SE14S13S12S13SW14
G21
SW19
G25
SW18SW15
G23
SW14
G24
2 days agoW17W19W17W9SW8SW10W10SW9SW8NW8W5W5W6W3SW3SW6SW5W5W3N3NW5NW4N6N5

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (14,3,4,5)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.