Wednesday, May24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Bay View, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:01AMSunset 8:53PM Wednesday May 24, 2017 9:34 AM EDT (13:34 UTC) Moonrise 4:31AMMoonset 6:32PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ143 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- 1000 Pm Edt Tue May 23 2017
Overnight..East winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers in the morning...then showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots. Showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the evening...then showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. Showers likely. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 61 degrees...off cleveland 55 degrees and off erie 57 degrees.
LEZ143 Expires:201705240815;;107235 FZUS51 KCLE 240200 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 1000 PM EDT TUE MAY 23 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LEZ142>146-240815-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Bay View, OH
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location: 41.52, -82.86     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 241313
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
913 am edt Wed may 24 2017

Synopsis
Low pressure near southwest ohio will remain nearly stationary
through tonight. The low will slowly move northeast into new england
by Friday. A ridge of high pressure will build eastward across the
area late Friday then another low will head northeast into the area
by Sunday and hang around into Tuesday.

Near term through tonight
Complicated forecast today into tonight as low pressure meanders
near cincinnati through tonight in response to an upper low digging
southeast from ia. Focus of precip initially will be near lake erie
then with daytime heating more sct shra and possible tsra should
develop in other areas.

Another band of forcing will rotate NE across the CWA tonight which
should lead to a fairly widespread band of shra and a few tsra
rotating NE across the cwa. Left a period of high likely low cat
pops expanding northward through the area between 23z and 06z.

Confidence is on the lower end with respect to exact timing and
placement of precip during this period. Models indicate focus of the
precip with be across NW oh and far NE oh NW pa after 06z, with a
lull in precip activity across the central part of the forecast area.

Temperatures are a bit tricky. Cut highs a few degrees for today,
with generally mid upper 60s expected. Much of the higher res raw
model guidance and some MOS suggest low 60s may only be realized,
especially across NE oh, with a more easterly flow, precip during a
bulk of the heating hours and extensive cloud cover. However, will
play it conservative for this forecast issuance and keep highs near
a consensus blend of raw guidance and mos. Kept overnight lows close
to previous forecast in the mid 50s.

Short term Thursday through Friday night
The aforementioned low will begin to fill and translate eastward
out of ohio and through pa on Thursday and Thursday night.

Generally chance pops forecasted Thursday and Thursday night
across the area, but have included a period of likely pops
across the eastern part of the area through the afternoon, with
a slight chance thunder mention. Some lingering pops Thursday
night into Friday across the eastern part of the area, however
mainly dry conditions expected to overspread the area from the
west as ridge builds across the region. Friday afternoon and
evening should be mainly dry across the area. Models continue to
indicate a potential MCV tracking eastward along the cyclonic
side of a quasi zonal subtropical jet stream from the plains
through the region late Friday evening. Have maintained chance
pops during this period, but lower confidence in forecast with
subtle mesoscale features this far out. Temps will remain
seasonable during this period, with no major changes from
previous forecast.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
Looks like the period will be active and fairly wet. The models are
having the usual timing and movement differences with the main
weather features. But... It appears that another area of deepening
low pressure will move across the area over the weekend. Best
chances for precip will be Saturday into Sunday. The low will move
off to the north on Monday but showers will need to stay in the
forecast through at least Tuesday given the cool cyclonic flow
around this low. Have not made many changes to the previous
forecast other than to lower temps a little each day given the
amount of clouds and precip expected.

Aviation 12z Wednesday through Sunday
Radar showing quite a few returns over NE oh and NW pa which is
more than previous thinking. It appears this activity will lift
north of the area this morning. Will go ahead and put some
tempos in for a few hours. The main area of precip is still
expected to develop this afternoon and then spread across most
of the area by 00z thu. Have also seen some pockets of MVFR
cigs this morning. These too should also go away for most of
the day before returning this evening. Some ifr CIGS are
expected to develop tonight. Places like cle may escape this
since the SE flow expected will be downsloping. E to SE flow
will continue most of the day. Speeds will increase late
today... Especially in the east where some gusts in excess of 20
knots are possible. Have not included any thunder in the
forecast but that is something that will need to be watched.

Outlook... Areas of non-vfr through Thursday in showers and
possible thunderstorms and again for the weekend.

Marine
Light easterly flow will gradually increase this afternoon and
evening. Low pressure will move over western ohio tonight causing
the flow at the west end of the lake to take on a northerly
component with east to southeast flow continuing on the east end of
the lake. Speeds will top out in the 15 to 20 knot range but will
have to watch water levels in the western basin to make sure we
don't have coastal flooding. Do not think we will need any small
craft headlines. The low will eventually move off to the east on
Thursday with the flow becoming northwest and eventually west on
Friday. Speeds again should be mainly under 15 knots so not
anticipating any headlines. Another deepening low will impact the
lake over the weekend with the flow returning to southerly on
Saturday and eventually westerly by the end of the weekend as the
low moves off to the northeast. We may small craft headlines behind
this low. Active weather is expected during the periods with rounds
of thunder possible later today and again over the weekend.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Greenawalt
near term... Greenawalt adams
short term... Greenawalt
long term... Kubina
aviation... Kubina
marine... Kubina


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 7 mi47 min E 4.1 G 7 60°F 1002.4 hPa60°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 8 mi35 min E 8 G 9.9 60°F 1001.7 hPa (+0.0)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 21 mi110 min SSE 1 61°F 1002 hPa59°F
45165 25 mi35 min E 9.7 G 14 60°F 62°F1 ft58°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 27 mi35 min SE 7.8 G 9.7 58°F 56°F1002.5 hPa (+0.0)58°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 28 mi45 min ENE 13 G 15 59°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 35 mi47 min ENE 5.1 G 7 61°F 1001.8 hPa56°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH33 mi42 minE 310.00 miPartly Cloudy64°F59°F84%1001.7 hPa

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW63SW45E8NE9E10NE10NE7E8E8E8E5E5E7NE6NE3NE5N4N4NE4E4NE5E3
1 day agoW13
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2 days agoS12S8S12S13S14
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W11W12W7W10W9SW9W13W10W17
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W12SW9SW9W11

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.