Wednesday, January17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fishkill, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:16AMSunset 4:55PM Wednesday January 17, 2018 1:20 PM EST (18:20 UTC) Moonrise 8:34AMMoonset 6:36PM Illumination 1% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 951 Am Est Wed Jan 17 2018
Today..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw early this afternoon, then increasing to 10 to 15 kt late. Seas 1 ft or less. Rain and snow late this morning, then chance of snow early this afternoon. Slight chance of snow late. Vsby 1 to 3 nm late this morning and early afternoon.
Tonight..NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Thu..W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Thu night..NW winds around 10 kt. Seas around 1 ft.
Fri..W winds around 10 kt. Seas around 1 ft.
Fri night..SW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat..SW winds around 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sat night..W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..N winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 951 Am Est Wed Jan 17 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure will move north across nantucket into the gulf of maine today. High pressure will then build in from the southwest through Thursday, then to the south through Friday, and into the western atlantic this weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fishkill, NY
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location: 41.53, -73.93     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 171733
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
1233 pm est Wed jan 17 2018

Synopsis
Low pressure tracks from south of long island into the gulf of
maine today. High pressure then builds in from the southwest
through Thursday, then to the south through Friday, and then
moves into the western atlantic this weekend. A warm front will
slowly lift to the north on Monday, then a cold front will pass
through on Tuesday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Minor changes with this update to reflect latest radar trends.

Back edge of the snow is pushing from west to east. Have kept
likely pops through 19z for extreme eastern LI and southeast
ct. Winter headlines for ny have been allowed to expire and
plan on allowing ct headlines to expire at 18z.

Low level cold advection in the wake of the coastal low should
lower temperatures into this afternoon. Temps are expected to be
mostly 30-35 across the area by sunset.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
A closed 700-500 hpa low tracks across the mid atlantic states
tonight, then to the SE of long island on Thursday, as northern
stream shortwave ridging builds into the area. Given that the
best forcing stays to the S tonight, and subsidence from the
ridging on Thursday, it should be dry both periods. As far as
cloud cover goes, should see decreasing cloud cover tonight from
w to e, then mostly sunny sky conditions on Thursday.

Lows tonight should be up to 5 degrees below normal and highs on
Thursday around 5 degrees below normal.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
Surface high pressure will build to our south through Friday. An
upper trough passing through Thu night into Fri morning should bring
an increase in clouds but no precip. Temps on Friday should be
slightly above avg.

As low pressure passes to the north and high pressure to the south
on sat. Expect a brisk W flow to develop, especially along the
coast. These winds should weaken on Sunday as the low continues
east. GFS and ECMWF disagree a little as to whether the flat upper
ridge to the south or the flat trough to the north will prevail, but
at any rate temps will continue to trend above avg into the weekend,
with highs 45-50 if not a little higher.

An amplifying but progressive upper trough entering the plains
states late this weekend will send sfc low pressure NE toward the
upper great lakes. A leading warm front will approach our area late
Sunday night into mon, and its progress may be delayed by high
pressure to the ne. There could be some spotty wintry precip inland
late Sunday night into Mon morning, otherwise light rain into mon
evening. Followed slower model trend with a cold front trailing from
the great lakes low, with its approach late Mon night into tue. We
could be setting up for a moderate to locally heavy rain event
during this time as the low taps atlantic moisture via a
strengthening llj, with both it and difluent flow aloft likely
providing enhanced lift, and a possible triple-point low passing
nearby and concentrating low level convergence.

Aviation 17z Wednesday through Monday
Updated to delay the onset ofVFR conditions. Precipitation
will gradually diminish from west to east between 19 and 22z.

Expect a slow improvement to MVFR thenVFR through the evening.

Winds will strengthen this evening with gusts to around 20 kt.

Gusts may continue a few hours into the overnight before
diminishing, only to strengthen again after sunrise on Thursday.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TKPN6 33 mi50 min N 6 G 7 32°F 32°F31°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 34 mi50 min 32°F 1023 hPa29°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 47 mi56 min N 4.1 G 6 35°F 35°F1021.7 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY8 mi27 minN 00.50 miSnow Freezing Fog30°F28°F92%1022.6 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY9 mi35 minWNW 41.00 miLight Snow Fog/Mist30°F30°F100%1022.7 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY18 mi26 minW 42.50 miLight Snow Fog/Mist32°F28°F88%1022.4 hPa

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmN3N4CalmNW3NW3NW3CalmCalmCalmNW3Calm
1 day agoN53NW3N6CalmCalmCalmNW3N5N3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalm
2 days agoN8N12
G19
N9NE9NE8NE7NE8NE10
G17
NE5N5NE4N54N5N4N5N6N3N8NE7N5NW3N7NW6

Tide / Current Tables for New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York
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New Hamburg
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:15 AM EST     2.56 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:45 AM EST     -0.03 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:19 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:33 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:26 PM EST     3.11 feet High Tide
Wed -- 04:53 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:36 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 07:21 PM EST     -0.23 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.52.52.11.50.90.40.1-00.51.42.22.83.13.12.72.11.30.70.1-0.2-0.10.61.42.1

Tide / Current Tables for Haverstraw (Hudson River), New York Current
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Haverstraw (Hudson River)
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:31 AM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:15 AM EST     -1.20 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 07:18 AM EST     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:32 AM EST     Moonrise
Wed -- 07:45 AM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 09:58 AM EST     0.99 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 01:06 PM EST     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 04:49 PM EST     -1.36 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:54 PM EST     Sunset
Wed -- 05:37 PM EST     Moonset
Wed -- 08:30 PM EST     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 10:24 PM EST     0.73 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
0.3-0.2-0.7-1-1.2-1.1-0.8-0.50.20.810.90.60.1-0.5-0.9-1.3-1.4-1.2-0.9-0.30.30.70.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (13,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.