Wednesday, May24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fishkill, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:26AMSunset 8:19PM Wednesday May 24, 2017 9:26 AM EDT (13:26 UTC) Moonrise 4:55AMMoonset 6:54PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 702 Am Edt Wed May 24 2017
Today..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Light rain early this morning...then chance of light rain late this morning.
Tonight..E winds 5 to 10 kt...increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less...then around 2 ft after midnight. Chance of rain after midnight.
Thu..E winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Showers in the morning...then showers likely with chance of tstms in the afternoon.
Thu night..E winds 10 to 15 kt...becoming ne 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 2 to 3 ft. Patchy fog in the evening. Showers likely. Vsby 1 to 3 nm in the evening.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely in the morning...then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Fri night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..NW winds 5 to 10 kt...becoming s. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 702 Am Edt Wed May 24 2017
Synopsis for long island waters and new york harbor.. A low pressure system tracks southeast of long island today followed by brief high pressure tonight. A slow moving low pressure system then impacts the waters Thursday into Friday. Weak high pressure returns for Saturday before another frontal system impacts the waters for the latter half of the holiday weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fishkill, NY
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location: 41.53, -73.93     debug


Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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Fxus61 kokx 241138
afdokx
area forecast discussion
national weather service new york ny
738 am edt Wed may 24 2017

Synopsis
A low pressure system tracks southeast of long island this
morning with high pressure briefly building in this afternoon
and evening. A slow moving low pressure system affects the area
Thursday into Friday before weak high pressure returns again for
Saturday. Another frontal system will then impact the area for
the latter half of the holiday weekend.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Areas of light rain falling from a mid level cloud deck will
begin to dissipate in coverage the next couple of hours as low
pressure passes to the south and east.

With a broad upper low to the west, expect cloudy conditions to
continue through the afternoon despite precipitation ending
from west to east. In combination with cloud cover, an onshore
component towards the coast will keep temperatures a few degrees
below climatological normals.

Short term 6 pm this evening through 6 pm Thursday
Continued cloud cover ahead of the broad upper low to the west
will keep temperatures overnight closer to normal. Rainfall will
increase from southwest to northeast by morning as the upper low
and a slowly deepening surface low move into the area. An
extended period of southwest flow will continue to advect gulf
moisture northward, leading to possibly moderate rain at times
through the day. As the warm front lifts through the area by
afternoon, elevated instability may support a slight chance of
thunderstorms, though no severe weather is expected at this
time.

As the surface low deepens, the tightening pressure gradient
will lead to strengthening onshore flow, which will keep
temperatures well below normal and also lead to coastal impacts
with above normal tides. See tides coastal flooding for
associated impacts.

Long term Thursday night through Tuesday
An unsettled weather pattern continues through this period as an
upper low lifts out of the northeast on Friday, while another
another drops into the midwest and great lakes states over the
weekend. Upper level ridging between the two systems briefly
builds across the area for the first half of the weekend.

Models are in good overall agreement in taking surface low
pressure over the mid atlantic states Thursday night south and
east of the area and then into the gulf of maine on Friday.

Showers and isolated thunderstorms Thursday night will taper off
on Friday with lingering clouds and showers through much of the
day as deep-layered cyclonic flow remains across the region
behind the departing low.

Conditions will then briefly dry out Friday night into Saturday
as both ridging aloft and at the surface translates east across
the area. Things get a little more tricky heading in Sunday as
another frontal system approaches the area. There are
differences amongst the global models, in particular with the
ecmwf and ggem, as both more aggressive with a frontal wave
ejecting east out ahead of the main frontal system. However, the
00z ECMWF has trended toward the gfs, with a late day warm
frontal passage on Sunday, followed by a weak cold frontal
passage late Monday. There remains some uncertainty with the
timing of warm advection rainfall Sunday into Sunday night. It
could possibly hold off until late in the day. Scattered
convection is then forecast for memorial day along and ahead of
the cold front. Conditions briefly dry out Monday night into
Tuesday before the upper trough and another cold front approach
Tuesday night.

Temperatures during the period will be near seasonable levels.

Aviation 11z Wednesday through Sunday
Low pressure passes south of long island this morning. Weak
high pressure briefly builds in behind the low this afternoon.

Another, deeper, low pressure system then approaches from the
west late tonight and Thursday.

Vfr conditions are expected through 06z. Some light rain,
falling out of a mid-deck, can be expected through 15-16z.

Ceilings fall belowVFR late after 06z tonight as the next low
pressure system approaches. Conditions fall to ifr or less
in rain towards 12z.

Light and variable winds become northeasterly less than 10 kt
this morning. Winds then become easterly late in the day as the
next low approaches. There may be a brief period of light
northerly winds 17z to 20z.

Ny metro enhanced aviation weather support...

detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts,
can be found at: http:

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 34 mi57 min 58°F 1007 hPa55°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 44 mi42 min NE 7.8 G 9.7 58°F 54°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 46 mi42 min 59°F 54°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 47 mi39 min N 4.1 G 7 58°F 1006.9 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY8 mi34 minW 310.00 miOvercast57°F52°F83%1007.4 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY9 mi42 minVar 520.00 miMostly Cloudy59°F55°F88%1008.5 hPa
Montgomery, Orange County Airport, NY18 mi33 minNNW 310.00 miOvercast59°F53°F81%1007.9 hPa

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4CalmW5--N5N4W5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW3
1 day agoS75S8SE5S4SE4CalmSE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN4
2 days agoCalm34W8S7SW10
G15
SW7S9S7S10S7S6S74S5SE4S6SE5S5S3SE4SE546

Tide / Current Tables for New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York
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New Hamburg
Click for Map
Wed -- 04:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:17 AM EDT     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 11:43 AM EDT     3.30 feet High Tide
Wed -- 06:24 PM EDT     -0.28 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:54 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.63.12.31.50.70.1-0.2-00.81.92.73.23.332.31.50.70.1-0.2-0.20.71.933.7

Tide / Current Tables for Haverstraw (Hudson River), New York Current
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Haverstraw (Hudson River)
Click for Map
Wed -- 03:32 AM EDT     -1.52 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 04:55 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 05:29 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 07:18 AM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 09:24 AM EDT     0.97 knots Max Flood
Wed -- 12:12 PM EDT     -0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 03:47 PM EDT     -1.46 knots Max Ebb
Wed -- 06:53 PM EDT     Moonset
Wed -- 07:19 PM EDT     0.00 knots Slack
Wed -- 08:16 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 09:46 PM EDT     1.30 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0-0.7-1.2-1.5-1.5-1.2-0.8-0.20.50.90.90.60.1-0.5-1.1-1.4-1.5-1.2-0.8-0.20.51.21.31.1

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for New York City/Upton, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Upton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.