Wednesday, February20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Marblehead, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:17AMSunset 6:11PM Wednesday February 20, 2019 6:55 PM EST (23:55 UTC) Moonrise 7:39PMMoonset 8:12AM Illumination 98% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ144 Expires:201902202115;;233032 Fzus51 Kcle 201447 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 947 Am Est Wed Feb 20 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez142>145-202115- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- 947 Am Est Wed Feb 20 2019
Rest of today..East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southeast 10 to 15 knots. Snow with freezing rain likely late this morning, then rain, snow and freezing rain likely early this afternoon. Rain late. The lake is mostly ice covered.
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west 15 to 20 knots. Rain in the evening.
Thursday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Mostly cloudy.
Thursday night..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest less than 10 knots. Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 33 degrees, off cleveland 33 degrees and off erie 32 degrees.
LEZ144


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Marblehead, OH
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location: 41.53, -82.72     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 202317
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
617 pm est Wed feb 20 2019

Synopsis
Low pressure crossing the northern great lakes this evening will
take a cold front across the local area. High pressure will
briefly build across the area Thursday night into Friday. A
much stronger storm system will move into the central great
lakes over the weekend.

Near term through Thursday night
Update... No significant changes for the early update.

Original...

the only area that remains under a winter weather advisory is
northwest pa and for the most part only inland portions have a
threat of freezing drizzle for a few more hours.

Second surge of precipitation, rain this time, developing
across in and western oh will work its way across the area this
evening with the front occluded front ending the precip. Not
alot of cold air behind this front, but after evening highs for
the day around 40 lower 40s, temperatures will drop back into
the lower mid 30s by morning. A few scattered snow showers
possible across northwest pa toward morning.

High pressure should be ridging into the region by Thursday
afternoon. Some sunshine will be possible Thursday afternoon
which may help to nudge highs close to 40 degrees.

Quiet weather continues into Thursday night with seasonable lows
in mid 20s expected and a mix of clouds and clearing.

Short term Friday through Saturday night
Broad upper level ridge will persist over the eastern half of
the united states Friday through Saturday and then begin to
amplify along the east coast Saturday night. The amplification
of the upper level ridge will be in response to an upper level
low pressure system diving into the base of a negatively tilted
trough. This in turn will cause surface low pressure over the
oklahoma panhandle to track northeast into the central great
lakes by Sunday. The surface low will deepen rapidly as it moves
out of the mid mississippi valley region into the great lakes.

The surface low will have a steep gradient as it bombs out and
wind will become an issue across the local area heading into the
weekend; especially after the cold front moves east of the area
Saturday night into Sunday morning. Ahead of the cold front,
expecting strong warm air advection to take place and possibly
produce enough instability for not only showers but a few
thunderstorms. The showers will taper off from west to east
Sunday and transition over to a mix of rain snow in the east
Sunday afternoon. Cold air advection will begin to spill in from
west to east Sunday afternoon. Temperatures will be on the
upswing Friday and Saturday with highs Saturday in the lower to
middle 50s most areas and upper 40s northeast. As the strong
warm air advection takes place Saturday night, temperatures
could actually warm a few more degrees Saturday evening before
cooling down with the cold front.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
Upper level trough will be exiting to the east fairly quickly
Sunday night into Monday as a broad upper level ridge begins to
build east into the local area. The upper level ridge will move
off the east coast by Wednesday as yet another deep positively
tilted trough will dive southeast toward the local area
Wednesday.

Deep surface low pressure will move east of the area allowing
gradient to weaken with time Monday. This will allow winds to
gradually relax as well as surface high pressure begins to build
east into the region by Monday evening. The surface high will move
east of the area as a fast moving surface low pressure system moves
east across the central great lakes in response to the upper level
trough diving into the region. Another area of high pressure will
build east into the middle mississippi valley region Wednesday and
extend a ridge east into the forecast area.

More precipitation in the form of snow is possible late Monday night
into Tuesday but the warm air advection in advance of the low
pressure system could change the precipitation over to rain Tuesday.

Then, as low moves east of the area, cold air advection will return
and change the precipitation back over to snow for Tuesday night and
gradually ending from west to east on Wednesday.

No real strong push of cold air is expected during this forecast
period as bulk of the polar jet remains north of the area until late
Wednesday.

Aviation 00z Thursday through Monday
Widespread ifr conditions across the region this evening with
mainly rain moving through. Expect conditions to persist into
the night with gradual improvement late toward morning as drier
air and high pressure begin to build in from the southwest.

MainlyVFR west Thursday. Restriction likely will last into the
morning beforeVFR returns mid day east.

Outlook... Non-vfr east half Thursday. NonVFR possible again
Saturday Sunday.

Marine
Winds will shift around to the southwest tomorrow on the lake
and then become light and variable Thursday night into Saturday.

A strong and rapidly deepening low pressure system will move
northeast into the great lakes region and this will cause winds
to increase and possibly to gale force Sunday and Sunday night
in the wake of the cold front. The low is expected to exit to
the east fairly quickly and winds will diminish late Sunday
night and Monday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... Winter weather advisory until 9 pm est this evening for
paz001>003.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Oudeman
near term... Tk oudeman
short term... Lombardy
long term... Lombardy
aviation... Tk oudeman
marine... Lombardy


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 1 mi55 min E 8 G 9.9 35°F 32°F1007.8 hPa (-3.4)35°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 9 mi55 min ESE 17 G 18 35°F 1007.5 hPa (-3.4)
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 13 mi55 min SSE 6 G 7 39°F 1006.4 hPa (-2.4)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 15 mi130 min SE 1.9 39°F 1010 hPa38°F
LORO1 28 mi85 min SSE 7 G 13 40°F
TWCO1 31 mi35 min ESE 7 G 9.9 35°F 1004 hPa35°F
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 32 mi55 min E 12 G 13 33°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 41 mi55 min E 1.9 G 4.1 33°F 1007.4 hPa31°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Lorain / Elyria, Lorain County Regional Airport, OH31 mi62 minS 84.00 miLight Rain39°F34°F82%1009.4 hPa

Wind History from LPR (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE10NE9NE9NE9NE9NE8NE8E9E11E8E8E6E7E8E9NE9E7E9
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1 day agoNW8NE5NW5CalmNE8NE9NE5NE63E443S3NE4CalmNW4545NE64NE6NE6NE11
2 days agoNE14NE11NE9N6N6NE12N17N14N14
G18
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (18,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.