Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Brinckerhoff, NY
April 23, 2024 2:09 AM EDT (06:09 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 6:01 AM Sunset 7:46 PM Moonrise 7:45 PM Moonset 5:45 AM |
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 957 Pm Edt Mon Apr 22 2024
Overnight - SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue - S winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed - SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely.
Wed night - N winds 15 to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers in the evening.
Thu - NE winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 to 2 ft in the morning, then 1 ft or less.
Thu night - S winds around 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri - SE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night - S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat - S winds 5 to 10 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
ANZ300 957 Pm Edt Mon Apr 22 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - Weak high pressure builds across the area overnight and then offshore on Tuesday as a frontal system approaches from the great lakes. A surface trough followed by a cold front moves through Wednesday. Behind the frontal passage, high pressure builds into the region Wednesday night and Thursday, shifting offshore on Friday. A warm front may lift through the area this weekend.
Area Discussion for - New York City/Upton, NY
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FXUS61 KOKX 230534 AFDOKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 134 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
SYNOPSIS
Weak high pressure builds across the area overnight and then offshore on Tuesday as a frontal system approaches from the Great Lakes. A surface trough followed by a cold front moves through Wednesday. Behind the frontal passage, high pressure builds into the region Wednesday night and Thursday, shifting offshore on Friday. A warm front may lift through the area this weekend and the associated frontal system may linger nearby into early next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
Weak high pressure builds across the area overnight with winds becoming light and variable. Thus, continuing current Frost/Freeze headlines for most of the interior as well as SE coastal CT and eastern LI. Orange county NY is the one zone under a Freeze Warning as the western half of the county should get to or just below freezing. Lows are forecast to range from the lower and mid 30s inland/Pine Barrens of eastern LI/SE Coastal CT, around 40 for much of the coast, and the lower to mid 40s NYC/NJ metro.
During Tuesday, high pressure shifts offshore early as a frontal system approaches from the Great Lakes. A return flow gets established quickly with the winds primarily off the colder ocean and out of the S and SSE. This wind direction should result in a fairly wide temperature spread across the region for the afternoon as areas further west and inland won't be as influenced by the marine air. Went a few degrees warmer than NBM for temps across western third of the area and into far northern CT zones, with some manual adjustments based on climo for this time of year further east.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/
For Tuesday night with the high getting further east and the approach of the next system from the west look for the winds to veer more to the S and perhaps the SSW towards Wed AM. The column will undergo more of a deep layered SW flow. Thus, clouds will increase, especially above 5 kft or thereabouts. A lot will depend on the speed and the timing of the approach of the frontal boundary, but the column may moisten enough that some light showers or sprinkles could very well break out before daybreak Wed, especially across western most locations. Went slight chance to chance PoPs during the pre-dawn hours towards sunrise.
For Wednesday the pre-frontal trough pushes through resulting in widespread shower activity, with the higher PoPs across mainly northern sections for the morning and for the early portion of the afternoon. The winds will become more SW for the first half of the day, then become due W and eventually NW during the afternoon as drier air wraps in quickly, especially at the lower levels. The NAM3km indicates some CAPE in the 5 to 15-20 kft level, but this may be overdone as the HRWFV3 has virtually no CAPE. For now kept out any chance of thunder with chances appearing too low as the column will likely be dry enough to preclude any meaningful convection. The sun should start to break through with a strato-cumulus deck for the later in the afternoon as a W to NW breeze develops. Only looking for up to a tenth of an inch or so of rain with PWATs not even getting to an inch on most guidance. Temperatures will get into the 60s with good mixing later in the afternoon and likely some breaks of sun. A few spots inland could get into the lower 70s if the system moves to the east faster than progged which would result in a longer period of at least partial sunshine in the afternoon.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
The region dries out Wednesday night behind the fropa as the trough axis shifts east and surface high pressure builds in from the Great Lakes. The high remains over the region Thursday, before slipping offshore Friday and setting up southerly flow.
Meanwhile, ridging gradually amplifies and builds over the East Coast through the remainder of the week. Into the weekend, a shortwave over the Central US will attempt to ride up and over the amplified ridge and may send an associated warm front through Sat night or Sunday, but precipitation appears limited as the surface low passes well to the north and west. Forecast confidence lowers after this point with diverging solutions, but lots of time to fine tune.
Temperatures average near, to just below, normal for late April. The coolest day looks to be Thursday, with northerly flow helping to lower H85 temps to as low as -3C. This should translate to afternoon highs in the 50s across the region, or about 10 degrees below normal. In addition, frost/freeze headlines will likely be needed Wed and Thu night, at least for portions of the local area as temperatures outside the urban metro fall into the 30s. Only slight moderation Fri/Sat, before the warm front attempts to lift through, and the resultant SW flow should warm the air mass into the 70s, particularly west of the Hudson and away from maritime influence. With only subtle adjustments, stayed closed to national blended guidance for this update.
AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Weak high pressure builds across the area overnight and then offshore on Tuesday as a frontal system approaches from the Great Lakes.
VFR.
Winds generally light and variable to a light SW flow overnight, then becoming southerly with winds increasing. Gusts develop late morning, and more likely during the afternoon, less than 10kt. Southerly flow gradually weakens at night.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Gusts on Tuesday may be more occasional and late in the afternoon.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
Late Tuesday night: VFR. A chance of showers late, mainly at the NYC metro terminals, and northwest, eastern terminals toward morning.
Wednesday: VFR, with a chance of MVFR in showers, mainly in the morning. SW winds 10-15G15-25kt, becoming W-NW in the afternoon, then northerly at night 5 to 10kt.
Thursday-Friday: VFR.
Saturday: Mainly VFR. Chance of showers. S winds G15-20kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Primarily 2 ft ocean seas prevail through tonight with high pressure in control and a relatively weak pressure gradient overall. Sub small craft conditions will prevail across the coastal waters through at least the first half of Tuesday, followed by small craft conditions becoming more likely later in the afternoon and evening for the Harbor and the western half of the ocean as a hybrid Ambrose jet induced wind attempts to develop. The prevailing southerly flow should result in small craft conditions developing further east on the ocean later Tuesday night and into Wednesday as ocean seas increase primarily to 5 to 6 ft. Ocean seas gradually subside late Wednesday night with weakening NW flow, falling below advisory levels by Thursday morning. Winds and seas then remain below advisory levels on all forecast waters into the start of the weekend.
HYDROLOGY
No hydrologic concerns attm.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for CTZ005>008-011- 012.
NY...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for NYZ068>070-079- 081.
Freeze Warning until 8 AM EDT this morning for NYZ067.
NJ...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for NJZ002.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to midnight EDT tonight for ANZ338.
Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM to 6 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ350.
Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ353.
Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ355.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service New York NY 134 AM EDT Tue Apr 23 2024
SYNOPSIS
Weak high pressure builds across the area overnight and then offshore on Tuesday as a frontal system approaches from the Great Lakes. A surface trough followed by a cold front moves through Wednesday. Behind the frontal passage, high pressure builds into the region Wednesday night and Thursday, shifting offshore on Friday. A warm front may lift through the area this weekend and the associated frontal system may linger nearby into early next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 PM THIS EVENING/
Weak high pressure builds across the area overnight with winds becoming light and variable. Thus, continuing current Frost/Freeze headlines for most of the interior as well as SE coastal CT and eastern LI. Orange county NY is the one zone under a Freeze Warning as the western half of the county should get to or just below freezing. Lows are forecast to range from the lower and mid 30s inland/Pine Barrens of eastern LI/SE Coastal CT, around 40 for much of the coast, and the lower to mid 40s NYC/NJ metro.
During Tuesday, high pressure shifts offshore early as a frontal system approaches from the Great Lakes. A return flow gets established quickly with the winds primarily off the colder ocean and out of the S and SSE. This wind direction should result in a fairly wide temperature spread across the region for the afternoon as areas further west and inland won't be as influenced by the marine air. Went a few degrees warmer than NBM for temps across western third of the area and into far northern CT zones, with some manual adjustments based on climo for this time of year further east.
SHORT TERM /6 PM THIS EVENING THROUGH 6 PM WEDNESDAY/
For Tuesday night with the high getting further east and the approach of the next system from the west look for the winds to veer more to the S and perhaps the SSW towards Wed AM. The column will undergo more of a deep layered SW flow. Thus, clouds will increase, especially above 5 kft or thereabouts. A lot will depend on the speed and the timing of the approach of the frontal boundary, but the column may moisten enough that some light showers or sprinkles could very well break out before daybreak Wed, especially across western most locations. Went slight chance to chance PoPs during the pre-dawn hours towards sunrise.
For Wednesday the pre-frontal trough pushes through resulting in widespread shower activity, with the higher PoPs across mainly northern sections for the morning and for the early portion of the afternoon. The winds will become more SW for the first half of the day, then become due W and eventually NW during the afternoon as drier air wraps in quickly, especially at the lower levels. The NAM3km indicates some CAPE in the 5 to 15-20 kft level, but this may be overdone as the HRWFV3 has virtually no CAPE. For now kept out any chance of thunder with chances appearing too low as the column will likely be dry enough to preclude any meaningful convection. The sun should start to break through with a strato-cumulus deck for the later in the afternoon as a W to NW breeze develops. Only looking for up to a tenth of an inch or so of rain with PWATs not even getting to an inch on most guidance. Temperatures will get into the 60s with good mixing later in the afternoon and likely some breaks of sun. A few spots inland could get into the lower 70s if the system moves to the east faster than progged which would result in a longer period of at least partial sunshine in the afternoon.
LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY/
The region dries out Wednesday night behind the fropa as the trough axis shifts east and surface high pressure builds in from the Great Lakes. The high remains over the region Thursday, before slipping offshore Friday and setting up southerly flow.
Meanwhile, ridging gradually amplifies and builds over the East Coast through the remainder of the week. Into the weekend, a shortwave over the Central US will attempt to ride up and over the amplified ridge and may send an associated warm front through Sat night or Sunday, but precipitation appears limited as the surface low passes well to the north and west. Forecast confidence lowers after this point with diverging solutions, but lots of time to fine tune.
Temperatures average near, to just below, normal for late April. The coolest day looks to be Thursday, with northerly flow helping to lower H85 temps to as low as -3C. This should translate to afternoon highs in the 50s across the region, or about 10 degrees below normal. In addition, frost/freeze headlines will likely be needed Wed and Thu night, at least for portions of the local area as temperatures outside the urban metro fall into the 30s. Only slight moderation Fri/Sat, before the warm front attempts to lift through, and the resultant SW flow should warm the air mass into the 70s, particularly west of the Hudson and away from maritime influence. With only subtle adjustments, stayed closed to national blended guidance for this update.
AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/
Weak high pressure builds across the area overnight and then offshore on Tuesday as a frontal system approaches from the Great Lakes.
VFR.
Winds generally light and variable to a light SW flow overnight, then becoming southerly with winds increasing. Gusts develop late morning, and more likely during the afternoon, less than 10kt. Southerly flow gradually weakens at night.
...NY Metro (KEWR/KLGA/KJFK/KTEB) TAF Uncertainty...
Gusts on Tuesday may be more occasional and late in the afternoon.
OUTLOOK FOR 06Z WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY...
Late Tuesday night: VFR. A chance of showers late, mainly at the NYC metro terminals, and northwest, eastern terminals toward morning.
Wednesday: VFR, with a chance of MVFR in showers, mainly in the morning. SW winds 10-15G15-25kt, becoming W-NW in the afternoon, then northerly at night 5 to 10kt.
Thursday-Friday: VFR.
Saturday: Mainly VFR. Chance of showers. S winds G15-20kt.
Detailed information, including hourly TAF wind component forecasts, can be found at: https:/ www.weather.gov/zny/n90
MARINE
Primarily 2 ft ocean seas prevail through tonight with high pressure in control and a relatively weak pressure gradient overall. Sub small craft conditions will prevail across the coastal waters through at least the first half of Tuesday, followed by small craft conditions becoming more likely later in the afternoon and evening for the Harbor and the western half of the ocean as a hybrid Ambrose jet induced wind attempts to develop. The prevailing southerly flow should result in small craft conditions developing further east on the ocean later Tuesday night and into Wednesday as ocean seas increase primarily to 5 to 6 ft. Ocean seas gradually subside late Wednesday night with weakening NW flow, falling below advisory levels by Thursday morning. Winds and seas then remain below advisory levels on all forecast waters into the start of the weekend.
HYDROLOGY
No hydrologic concerns attm.
OKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for CTZ005>008-011- 012.
NY...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for NYZ068>070-079- 081.
Freeze Warning until 8 AM EDT this morning for NYZ067.
NJ...Frost Advisory until 8 AM EDT this morning for NJZ002.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from 4 PM this afternoon to midnight EDT tonight for ANZ338.
Small Craft Advisory from 5 AM to 6 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ350.
Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ353.
Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 PM EDT Wednesday for ANZ355.
| Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
| NPXN6 | 20 mi | 100 min | E 1.9 | 40°F | 30.15 | 29°F | ||
| ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY | 32 mi | 100 min | ESE 1 | 39°F | 30.12 | 27°F | ||
| TKPN6 | 32 mi | 52 min | S 2.9G | 41°F | 50°F | 30.16 | 30°F | |
| BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT | 46 mi | 52 min | N 2.9G | 45°F | 30.09 | |||
| 44022 - Execution Rocks | 47 mi | 40 min | S 3.9 | 47°F | 30.12 | 40°F |
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPOU HUDSON VALLEY RGNL,NY | 6 sm | 16 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 36°F | 30°F | 81% | 30.12 | |
| KSWF NEW YORK STEWART INTL,NY | 12 sm | 84 min | E 04 | 10 sm | Clear | 45°F | 32°F | 61% | 30.12 | |
| KMGJ ORANGE COUNTY,NY | 20 sm | 15 min | calm | 10 sm | Clear | 34°F | 28°F | 80% | 30.11 |
New Hamburg
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:03 AM EDT 3.20 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:26 AM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 06:04 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 06:39 AM EDT 0.21 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:19 PM EDT 2.91 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:41 PM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 06:53 PM EDT 0.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:44 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:03 AM EDT 3.20 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:26 AM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 06:04 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 06:39 AM EDT 0.21 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 12:19 PM EDT 2.91 feet High Tide
Mon -- 06:41 PM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 06:53 PM EDT 0.20 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 07:44 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
New Hamburg, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 3.2 |
| 1 am |
| 3 |
| 2 am |
| 2.5 |
| 3 am |
| 1.9 |
| 4 am |
| 1.2 |
| 5 am |
| 0.7 |
| 6 am |
| 0.3 |
| 7 am |
| 0.2 |
| 8 am |
| 0.7 |
| 9 am |
| 1.4 |
| 10 am |
| 2.1 |
| 11 am |
| 2.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 2.9 |
| 1 pm |
| 2.8 |
| 2 pm |
| 2.5 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.9 |
| 4 pm |
| 1.2 |
| 5 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 7 pm |
| 0.2 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.6 |
| 9 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.2 |
| 11 pm |
| 2.8 |
Haverstraw (Hudson River)
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:26 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:04 AM EDT -1.25 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:26 AM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 06:05 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 07:48 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 09:58 AM EDT 0.73 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 12:38 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:18 PM EDT -1.20 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:41 PM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 07:44 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 07:54 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:11 PM EDT 0.91 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Mon -- 12:26 AM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:04 AM EDT -1.25 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 05:26 AM EDT Moonset
Mon -- 06:05 AM EDT Sunrise
Mon -- 07:48 AM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 09:58 AM EDT 0.73 knots Max Flood
Mon -- 12:38 PM EDT -0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 04:18 PM EDT -1.20 knots Max Ebb
Mon -- 06:41 PM EDT Moonrise
Mon -- 07:44 PM EDT Sunset
Mon -- 07:54 PM EDT 0.00 knots Slack
Mon -- 10:11 PM EDT 0.91 knots Max Flood
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Haverstraw (Hudson River), New York Current, knots
| 12 am |
| 0.2 |
| 1 am |
| -0.3 |
| 2 am |
| -0.8 |
| 3 am |
| -1.1 |
| 4 am |
| -1.2 |
| 5 am |
| -1.2 |
| 6 am |
| -0.9 |
| 7 am |
| -0.5 |
| 8 am |
| 0.1 |
| 9 am |
| 0.6 |
| 10 am |
| 0.7 |
| 11 am |
| 0.6 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.3 |
| 1 pm |
| -0.2 |
| 2 pm |
| -0.7 |
| 3 pm |
| -1 |
| 4 pm |
| -1.2 |
| 5 pm |
| -1.1 |
| 6 pm |
| -0.9 |
| 7 pm |
| -0.5 |
| 8 pm |
| 0.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 10 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.8 |
Upton, NY,
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