Thursday, January24, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wickliffe, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:43AMSunset 5:32PM Thursday January 24, 2019 1:30 AM EST (06:30 UTC) Moonrise 9:59PMMoonset 10:14AM Illumination 88% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 18 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Expires:201901240915;;828684 Fzus51 Kcle 240224 Nshcle Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 924 Pm Est Wed Jan 23 2019 For Waters Within Five Nautical Miles Of Shore Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum. Lez145>149-240915- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 924 Pm Est Wed Jan 23 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 7 am est Thursday...
Overnight..West winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northwest. Rain with snow likely late this evening, then rain, a chance of snow and freezing rain after midnight. A chance of snow, freezing rain and sleet late. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. A chance of snow showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Thursday night..West winds 15 to 25 knots. A chance of snow showers in the evening, then snow showers likely overnight. Waves 3 to 6 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. Waves occasionally around 9 feet.
Friday..West winds 20 to 25 knots. Snow showers. Waves 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Saturday through Monday. The water temperature off toledo is 32 degrees, off cleveland 34 degrees and off erie 33 degrees.
LEZ146


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wickliffe, OH
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location: 41.58, -81.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 240618
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
118 am est Thu jan 24 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will move east through the area this afternoon and
this evening with rain transitioning to snow overnight. A series
of storm systems will impact the region through at least early
next week... Bringing a few shots of snow to the area.

Otherwise... A significant cooling trend will take place across
the area... With temperatures expected to remain at or below
freezing through the middle of next week.

Near term through today
Ice jams have developed on the vermilion and chagrin rivers this
evening with rivers coming out of their banks and forcing some
evacuations. Gauges in these locations are unrepresentative. Otherwise
continuing to monitor rises on area rivers as water channels
through the system.

Original... A cold front is just now entering western ohio and
is expected to travel quickly east through the state into NW pa
by tonight. Light to moderate rain will be present ahead of the
front... With scattered showers behind the front. In the past 12
hours... Widespread 0.75 of an inch to an inch of rain was
reported... With a few isolated areas reporting 1.25 to 1.5
inches of rain. This in combination with temperatures in the mid
40s is resulting in a significant melting of the snow
pack... Adding to the total water on the ground. A flood watch
remains in effect until 4 am Thursday with a few area rivers
expected to reach minor flood stage and reports of difficult
driving conditions due to ponding of water on roadways. Expect
another few hundredths of an inch of rain generally west of i-71
and between 0.25 and 0.75 inches of rain east of there through
the evening hours.

Rain will transition to snow from west to east starting this
evening... With complete snow by tomorrow morning. With cold air
filtering into the area behind the cold front expect a
significant cooling trend... With daytime high temperatures in
the upper 20s tomorrow and into the teens and single digits late
Thursday night.

Lastly... As the colder air filters into the area... Lake effect
snow will be possible across the primary snow belt of
northeastern ohio and NW pa. The short term models are in pretty
good agreement that things will get going late Thursday
afternoon into the evening hours... Continuing into at least
Thursday night.

Short term tonight through Saturday night
A series of fast moving
clipper systems will move through the forecast area during the
midterm period. On Friday, a clipper will be exiting the
forecast area. 850mb temperatures behind the system will range
from -15 to -20c. The 12z run of the GFS shows an upper level
short wave rotating across the northern part of the forecast
area by Friday evening. All the ingredients indicate the
potential for lake effect snow Friday through Friday night. The
synoptic moisture is fairly limited so this may be a limiting
factor with accumulations. Another system will quickly follow on
Saturday bringing another shot of light snow to the area.

Neither of the systems on Friday or Saturday appear to be of
long duration and both should be quick hitting events. On
Sunday, moisture will begin to stream over the forecast area in
advance of a more aggressive clipper system. Warm air advection
in advance of this system will bring light precipitation over
most of the forecast area.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
A moderately strong clipper system will approach the region Sunday
night through Monday night. The models are showing an area of low
pressure moving across lake erie Monday night dragging a cold front
with it. This system is forecast to have more moisture associated
with it compared to the systems impacting the region over the
weekend. The models also show a tongue of warmer air surging in
advance of the system. This may produce enough warm air to
transition some of the snow to mixed precipitation or rain briefly.

Cold air will surge behind this system bringing 850mb temperatures
back into the -15 to -20c range. Lake effect snow will occur over
northeast ohio and northwest pennsylvania Tuesday night into
Wednesday.

Aviation 06z Thursday through Monday
Precipitation continues from north central ohio to northwest
pennsylvania as of 6 pm. Precipitation will tend to transition
to a rain snow sleet mix with eastern areas possibly seeing a
window of just snow or possibly ice pellets before tapering off
towards morning. Eastern areas remain ifr with tol fdy
rebounding to MVFR although fdy will likely drop back to ifr at
times. Otherwise conditions will tend to improve to MVFR today.

Winds will back from northwest to west and increase with wind
becoming gusty after 00z.

Outlook... Occasional non-vfr Thursday night through Saturday.

Marine
A cold front will move across the lake this evening.

Winds will shift to the northwest tonight and continue through
Thursday. A series of fast moving weak clipper systems will move
across the lake through the end of the week. A general westerly
flow will occur with these systems with occasional shifts to a
southwest or northwest direction. A stronger system will approach
the lake for the start of next week. Winds will shift to an
easterly direction Sunday night into Monday in advance of this
system.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... Flood watch until 4 am est early this morning for ohz009>014-
017>023-027>033-036>038-047-089.

Pa... Flood watch until 4 am est early this morning for paz001>003.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 7 am est this morning for
lez145>149.

Synopsis... Riley
near term... Tk riley
short term... Garnet
long term... Garnet oudeman
aviation... Kec
marine... Garnet


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 9 mi42 min 33°F 1004.7 hPa30°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 17 mi42 min WSW 15 G 18 34°F 33°F1004.4 hPa34°F
LORO1 39 mi60 min NW 19 G 20 33°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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N12
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G14
NW9
G13
N9

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland / Cuyahoga, OH0 mi2.8 hrsW 100.75 miRain Fog/Mist37°F35°F93%1003.7 hPa
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH11 mi37 minW 132.00 miLight Rain Fog/Mist33°F30°F92%1004.9 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH23 mi39 minNW 119.00 miLight Rain34°F30°F89%1005.8 hPa

Wind History from CGF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--------------SW8S12
G21
S17
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G28
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1 day ago--------------S8SE8SE11
G17
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G24
--S14
G20
SE12
G18
S11
G22
S15
G25
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G23
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G26
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G27
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G24
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G26
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G34
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G34
2 days ago--------------N9N10NW11NW8
G16
N8NW11N8NW7NW8W6NW4SW4CalmSW6SW4S5S5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.