Sunday, May28, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Wickliffe, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:54AMSunset 8:52PM Sunday May 28, 2017 6:33 AM EDT (10:33 UTC) Moonrise 7:57AMMoonset 10:52PM Illumination 9% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ146 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 933 Pm Edt Sat May 27 2017
Overnight..East winds 10 knots or less. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..East winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Sunday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest and increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Showers and Thunderstorms likely in the evening...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 10 to 15 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Tuesday through Thursday. The water temperature off toledo is 62 degrees...off cleveland 57 degrees and off erie 57 degrees.
LEZ146 Expires:201705280815;;316094 FZUS51 KCLE 280133 NSHCLE NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 933 PM EDT SAT MAY 27 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE WAVES ARE THE SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT - THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST 1/3 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. OCCASIONAL WAVE HEIGHT IS THE AVERAGE OF THE HIGHEST 1/10 OF THE WAVE SPECTRUM. LEZ146>149-280815-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Wickliffe, OH
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location: 41.58, -81.48     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 280823
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
423 am edt Sun may 28 2017

Synopsis
A warm front will lift north across the area today followed by a
weak cold front arriving from the west tonight. A surface ridge
will expand from plains across the ohio valley on memorial day
followed by a stronger cold front on Tuesday. High pressure will
build into the area on Wednesday.

Near term through tonight
Morning surface analysis depicts low pressure over illinois
with the warm front extending east towards dayton. The warm
front will lift back north into the area this afternoon as the
low moves to southeast michigan by around 20z. The warm front is
expected to stall in the vicinity of lake erie and the humidity
will be noticeably higher by this afternoon as dewpoints reach
the mid to upper 60s across all but the far northeast. Highs are
forecast to reach the mid to upper 70s and went near mav
guidance most areas except a little cooler at eri where flow may
switch around off the lake. Ml CAPE values are forecast to
reach 1500-1700 j kg across NW and north central ohio this
afternoon. Thunderstorm initiation is expected in the 19-21z
time frame as shortwave energy and accompanying mid-level
moisture catches up with the warm front. Shear will increase
through the column during this time and will expect convection
to become increasingly organized as we head towards evening. The
storm predication center has placed the area in a slight risk
of severe thunderstorms with damaging winds and hail being the
primary threat late afternoon into this evening. Will also need
to watch for rotation with storms along the warm front and near
lake erie where backed surface winds will lead to higher 0-1km
shear. The tornado potential is low but can not be ruled out
entirely. Storms will increase in coverage from west to east
this evening as large scale ascent increases along the cold
front and in advance of the trough aloft. Much drier air arrives
from the west behind the cluster of storms and precip should be
east of the area by around 2 am. Lows should only drop into the
upper 50s behind the front overnight.

Short term Monday through Wednesday night
A ridge will expand east into the ohio valley on memorial day
with winds backing to southwest ahead of a stronger front that
will arrive Monday night. Winds will be fairly breezy with good
mixing and partly to mostly sunny skies. Temperatures may over-
achieve in this pattern and with most sites only a degree or two
lower than Sunday but will feel more comfortable as dewpoints
continue to fall.

Several models are showing a ribbon of deeper moisture sliding
northeast across the area in advance of the cold front late Monday
night. Will continue with low 20-30 pops along the front as a few
spotty showers could develop.

Temperatures will be cooler again Tuesday into Wednesday as the
upper level trough moves east across the great lakes region.

Shortwave energy moving around the trough combined with diurnal
heating on Wednesday may cause scattered showers to develop,
mainly in the east.

Long term Thursday through Saturday
Overall the region will hang on to the troughing across the great
lakes from an upper low centered across james bay that will drift
across quebec through the end of the week. A surface ridge will be
holding on across the southeast u.S. This high looks to influence the
upper ohio valley Thursday, but the area becomes vulnerable toward
Friday Saturday as a stronger impulse rotates around the periphery of
upper low. Therefore have held on to the dry forecast for Thursday,
but have the mention of precipitation on Friday and Saturday... Low
chances for now with plenty of uncertainty in details timing this
far out. Used a blend of guidance for temperatures through the end
of the week, which places us fairly close to normals.

Aviation 06z Sunday through Thursday
Vfr conditions to start, but variable conditions expected for
the daytime Sunday as a warm front lifts north and followed by a
cold front during the evening with showers thunderstorms.

Some concern about either some MVFR stratus or br forming from
mfd cak to yng pre-dawn early morning. Somewhat low confidence
in its occurrence. Then beyond 16z or so TS will begin to
develop along a warm front that will push north across the oh
terminals. This will bring one round of storms and another round
follows closely behind with the cold front. For now have vcts
prevailing during this window. Of course ifr a good bet with the
ts. Decent clearing to take place in the wake of the front
across western oh before 06z mon, while eastern terminals will
likely remain MVFR for a while longer. Light east winds will
veer to the south and pick up in the warm sector. West winds
follow behind the cold front.

Outlook... Areas non-vfr conditions Sunday overnight with
lingering showers thunderstorms across the far east. Non-vfr
at times Monday night through Thursday in showers thunderstorms
as an upper level trough persists over the central great lakes.

Marine
East winds will take place on the lake for much of today while a
warm front pushes north across ohio. Thunderstorms are expected
especially from late afternoon through the evening. Some may be
strong to severe. As low pressure tracks toward the western basin
this evening winds will veer to the south and southwest tonight.

West-southwest winds will follow in the wake of the cold front for
the overnight. By Monday morning the lake will be choppy across the
east end with the long fetch. A small craft advisory may end up
being needed for the pa waters Monday memorial day and possibly
again on Tuesday. The west to southwest flow will continue into
Thursday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Kec
near term... Kec
short term... Kec
long term... Oudeman
aviation... Oudeman
marine... Mullen oudeman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CNDO1 - 9063063 - Cleveland, OH 9 mi45 min E 1 G 2.9 58°F 1009.4 hPa53°F
45176 15 mi33 min ESE 3.9 G 3.9 60°F 61°F1009.8 hPa (-0.8)58°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 17 mi45 min 58°F 1009.8 hPa54°F
45169 18 mi33 min E 5.8 G 7.8 59°F 58°F1 ft1010.3 hPa (-0.8)57°F
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 33 mi73 min ESE 1.9 G 2.9 52°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 49 mi33 min ENE 9.7 G 12 58°F 58°F1009.2 hPa (-1.6)56°F

Wind History for Cleveland, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH11 mi40 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy60°F55°F86%1009.2 hPa
Cleveland Hopkins International Airport, OH23 mi42 minN 010.00 miMostly Cloudy61°F52°F72%1009.7 hPa

Wind History from CGF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr--------------S6S4SE4E6E8N7N8N12N10NE10N12NE10NE6E10E5E5SE4
1 day ago--------------NW8W12
G20
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NW12NW12NW14NW14NW14W12W12
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W10W9NW4CalmSE4SE5
2 days ago--------------SE9
G17
E8SE8SE10S6S4S6S5SW6W7NW7W7--S5S7S5W5

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.