Saturday, May26, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oak Harbor, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 6:02AMSunset 8:56PM Saturday May 26, 2018 12:24 AM EDT (04:24 UTC) Moonrise 5:01PMMoonset 3:44AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ143 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 345 Pm Edt Fri May 25 2018
Tonight..South winds 10 knots or less. Mostly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday night..South winds less than 10 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Light and variable winds. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Monday through Wednesday. The water temperature off toledo is 63 degrees...off cleveland 52 degrees and off erie 52 degrees.
LEZ143 Expires:201805260215;;518610 FZUS51 KCLE 251945 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 345 PM EDT Fri May 25 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>149-260215-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oak Harbor, OH
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location: 41.61, -83.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 260145
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
945 pm edt Fri may 25 2018

Synopsis
High pressure extending west into the ohio valley from the mid
atlantic coast will slowly weaken tonight and into Saturday as
low pressure slowly drops into the western great lakes. Saturday
afternoon a weak disturbance aloft will move through the area.

Sunday the disturbance will move east as high pressure aloft
builds in from the southwest.

Near term through Saturday
Just minor changes to sky cover and temps overnight.

Previous... High pressure extending west from the mid atlantic
coast will continue to keep skies clear through the evening and
early tonight. A disturbance in the upper midwest will track
east overnight, likely bringing in mid and upper level broken
ceilings by morning across the west. Expecting more low level
moisture in place on Saturday and as the upper level disturbance
moves closer am concerned about the potential for
afternoon evening convection. Models indicate li's -3 to -5
although best instabilities still remain to our west and south
through the afternoon. Still, will continue with chance pops.

Will begin in the west during the morning and expand across the
entire area for the afternoon. Saturday evening the best chances
will be east as drier air moves into the west. Will taper to
slight chance extreme east southeast after midnight. Lows in the
low to mid 60s. Highs Saturday low to mid 80s.

Short term Saturday night through Monday night
A surface trough passing through the area on Saturday night will
clear much of the area out for Sunday. A drier airmass with less
cloud cover will allow for temperatures to soar well above normal.

Therefore, have continued the trend with temperatures higher than
guidance for Sunday. Could see an isolated shower storm that would
be diurnally driven but lack of forcing will make it isolated at
best. Another front will push through the area Sunday night and
stall just south of the area, bringing an even drier airmass into
the region for Monday, allowing for Monday to be the warmest day of
the holiday weekend. With ridging aloft and a tropical system
cutting off moisture to the south, difficult to see any convection
developing for Monday or Tuesday and will go with a dry forecast.

Increasing cloud cover ahead of the next system will make Tuesday
somewhat cooler than Monday but will still push the temperature
forecast above guidance as there is no reason why mid 80s aren't a
possibility.

Long term Tuesday through Friday
Plenty of weather to watch for the long term over northern ohio and
northwest pennsylvania. The extended guidance depicts an upper
trough over the northern plains by Tuesday morning with subtropical
storm alberto over the gulf coast region. The extended models differ
greatly on the strength of the trough and tropical system and
therefore differ on what will impact the weather for our region. The
gfs solution keeps the remnant tropical system to the south and east
of our area and in turn keeps the upper trough and surface low from
the plains further north into the northern lakes. This would give
our area some wet weather at some point but any weather would be
mostly disorganized. The ECMWF solution has a weaker tropical system
that would be more easily absorbed into the upper level flow. This
would bring the remnant system over the region and plenty of rain to
deal with. At this time, will go with a blended solution of guidance
but will need to monitor for what will probably be a wet long term
forecast period. Temperatures will fall back closer to normal during
the long term, but perhaps still a couple degrees warmer than the
seasonal averages.

Aviation 00z Saturday through Wednesday
Quiet weather will continue overnight with just some increasing
high clouds late. Lake breezes will end after sunset with
mainly light flow overnight. Will see more clouds on Saturday
and by afternoon a few pop up showers or storms could develop.

Best chances for this will be in the south and will go with a
vicinity mention at a couple spots just as a heads up. S to sw
flow under 10 knots will continue with the flow again becoming
onshore near the lake during the afternoon.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible Saturday evening through Sunday.

Marine
Generally a pretty good weekend for marine activities on the shores
of lake erie. High pressure over the area will persist tonight and
into Saturday allowing for light southerly winds. A surface trough
will move across the lake on Saturday night bringing a chance of
showers and storms for Saturday. However, once this trough clears,
benign weather will continue for the next several days. A weak front
will cross the lake Sunday night into Monday, allowing winds to be
light and variable as high pressure settles in north of the region.

Waves will be 1 to 2 feet through much of the forecast period. No
marine headlines are expected at this time.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Tk
near term... Tk kubina
short term... Sefcovic
long term... Sefcovic
aviation... Kubina
marine... Sefcovic


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45165 10 mi35 min S 3.9 G 5.8 74°F 70°F58°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 14 mi85 min S 5.1 G 5.1 74°F 1009.3 hPa (+0.0)
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 16 mi145 min SE 6 G 6 74°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 20 mi55 min SW 1.9 G 2.9 75°F 1009.5 hPa51°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 21 mi55 min S 1.9 G 4.1 75°F 1010.2 hPa55°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 33 mi85 min S 6 G 8 74°F 1009.5 hPa (-0.3)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 36 mi100 min Calm 67°F 1010 hPa56°F
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 38 mi35 min S 5.8 G 7.8 69°F 64°F1009.3 hPa63°F
LORO1 49 mi55 min S 9.9 G 11 78°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH20 mi32 minS 510.00 miFair70°F53°F55%1009.2 hPa

Wind History from TTF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmW5CalmCalmCalmCalmSW3SW5SW7SW9SW9
G17
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G16
SW7S9S6SE5CalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoCalmNW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW7CalmCalmCalmS3S5SE4SE4SE6SE5SE5CalmSE3CalmS7
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3CalmNW3NW7NW7W8NW7NW4NW4SE7SE6S11SE7SE6
G14
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S5CalmSE3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.