Wednesday, January17, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Oak Harbor, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:53AMSunset 5:32PM Wednesday January 17, 2018 4:07 AM EST (09:07 UTC) Moonrise 8:12AMMoonset 6:14PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ143 Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on- The Lake Oh-lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Geneva-on-the- Lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Nearshore Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 344 Am Est Wed Jan 17 2018
Today..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers this morning, then a slight chance of snow showers early this afternoon. The lake is mostly ice covered.
Tonight..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Mostly cloudy in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy.
Thursday..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Sunny.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered. SEe lake erie open lakes forecast for Friday through Sunday. The water temperature off toledo is 34 degrees...off cleveland 33 degrees and off erie 32 degrees.
LEZ143 Expires:201801171515;;573428 FZUS51 KCLE 170844 NSHCLE Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Cleveland OH 344 AM EST Wed Jan 17 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LEZ142>149-171515-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Oak Harbor, OH
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location: 41.61, -83.11     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 170602
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
102 am est Wed jan 17 2018

Synopsis
A trough of low pressure will move east across the area tonight.

High pressure will build southeast toward the deep south and extend
a ridge north into the local area by Thursday. The high will be the
dominating weather feature across the area through Thursday. A weak
trough will swing east across the area Thursday night.

Near term through today
Wind chills are near -10 in many areas where skies are clear.

Expecting an expansion of the cloud field overnight to limit
temperatures from falling more than a few degrees more. Winds
are also expected to decrease to near 5 mph in most areas. Given
the generally light winds and marginal values near
-10, do not plan to issue a wind chill advisory at this time.

Original discussion... A surface trough will slide east across
the area as a reflection of the upper level trough. The upper
level trough will remain positively tilted as it moves to the
east coast Wednesday night.

Flow should remain fairly well aligned overnight for some lake
effect snow showers to continue along the lake shore of erie county
pennsylvania. Snow is expected to be light. Another area of snow
will slide into northwest ohio in advance of the surface trough.

Moisture streaming northeast continues to place youngstown in an
area of light snow or flurries. This is basically ending during the
evening hours.

As trough swings through tonight, the rest of the forecast period
looks to be dry as high pressure begins to dominate the local area.

Cold pool of arctic air will slide east across the local area
tonight but will begin to modify slightly. Therefore, I am
anticipating low temperatures will be a couple degrees warmer
tonight compared to this morning. As high pressure takes over, we
should start to see a gradual warming trend starting tomorrow. Highs
tomorrow should be about 10 degrees warmer than today. 850 mb
temperatures start to flirt with the 0 degree c mark by Wednesday
night.

Short term tonight through Friday night
An upper level shortwave will brush far northeastern oh
Thursday evening into Friday morning bringing a slight chance of
snow showers to erie county pa early Friday morning.

Otherwise... Upper level high pressure will build over the area
Thursday night into at least the first part of the weekend. This
will result in a warming trend across the forecast area... With
daytime high temperatures just above freezing Friday afternoon.

By Saturday... Temperatures are forecast to warm into the mid
40s... Around 6 to 10 degrees above normal for this time of year.

Light rain returns as early as Saturday afternoon as a warm front
lifts north across the area.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
The long term begins Saturday night with models in agreement showing
a surface high a cross the southeastern states and low pressure in
the central plains. Mild southerly flow will be across the ohio
valley between these two systems. With this overrunning flow out of
the deep south would expect sufficient moisture will be in the area
for clouds so will have with mostly cloudy skies Saturday night.

Will only have a low chance pop given lack of any stronger forcing.

Sunday models diverge on moisture with the ECMWF remaining drier
while the GFS would support at least chance pops with a warm front
in the area. Will side closer to the GFS here and have chance pops
for the day. Sunday night models bring a cold front into the area
from the west ahead of a deepening low in the upper midwest. May not
be a lot occurring in the evening but the front comes in after
midnight so will continue with likely pops west half. On Monday will
have likely pops east as the front continues east. By afternoon
models show wrap around moisture back into the northwest so will
have likely pops there as well. Precip should be mostly rain but
could begin to see a change late afternoon northwest so will have a
mix. Will continue a mix everywhere Monday evening then turn precip
to snow as it ends overnight. Tuesday looks dry. Sunday and Monday
temps above normal however temps will be dropping during the
afternoon on Monday. Tuesday looks close to normal.

Aviation 06z Wednesday through Sunday
Weak surface trough will slide across lake erie overnight with a
light snow showers possible at eri. Elsewhere clouds range from
low MVFR across central ohio to MVFRVFR sinking south across
lake erie. Expecting a general expansion of MVFR clouds
overnight but can not rule out some pockets of ifr, especially
late tonight into Wed morning, mainly south. Clouds may try to
scatter out in some areas in the morning but will be broken at
times in the afternoon as moisture off lake huron arrives.

Remaining low clouds will clear from west to east late afternoon
into the evening. Winds will be light out of the southwest
overnight, increasing to 10-15 knots during the afternoon and
evening.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible Saturday afternoon into Sunday.

Marine
Southwest winds will generally remain at or below 10 kts
through Wednesday afternoon. By Wednesday afternoon surface high
pressure will strengthen over ar with deep surface low pressure
north into canada resulting in an increase in southwest winds. Winds
will remain between 15 and just over 20 kts through at least
Saturday morning as surface pressure gradient remain tight across
the region. Winds will begin to subside Saturday morning and become
more southerly by Sunday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Lombardy
near term... Kec lombardy
short term... Riley
long term... Tk
aviation... Kec
marine... Riley


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 14 mi67 min WSW 12 G 13 7°F 1034.3 hPa (-0.0)
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 16 mi57 min WSW 13 G 14 8°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 20 mi49 min WSW 6 G 8.9 5°F 1032.3 hPa0°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 21 mi49 min WSW 5.1 G 8 8°F 1032.8 hPa4°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 33 mi67 min SW 8.9 G 12 3°F 1030.8 hPa (-0.0)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 36 mi82 min SSW 4.1 3°F 1032 hPa-3°F
LORO1 49 mi37 min SSW 9.9 G 11 4°F

Wind History for Toledo, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH20 mi74 minSW 85.00 miLight Snow Fog/Mist6°F1°F83%1034.3 hPa

Wind History from TTF (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW9SW8SW9SW9--W9SW11------SW9SW8W10SW10SW9SW7SW6SW7SW7W5W6W4SW3SW4
1 day agoSE8SE6SE5SE5SE5SE6SE6E6SE9SE9SE5SE5SE6SE3SE3CalmCalmCalmSW3SW5SW5SW10SW11SW7
2 days agoCalmSW3CalmSW3CalmCalmS7S8S10S8S10S7S8S5S7S6SE5S7SE7SE4SE6SE6SE7SE6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.