Sunrise 6:49 AM   Sunset 8:17 PM Moonrise 12:08 PM   Moonset 2:53 AM

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LEZ142 Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh-reno Beach To The Islands Oh- The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 934 Pm Edt Mon Apr 15 2024
Overnight - Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots. Mostly clear. Waves 2 feet or less. Tuesday - East winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet. Tuesday night - East winds 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers in the evening, then showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet. Wednesday - Southeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming south. Showers in the morning, then showers with a chance of Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
see lake erie open lakes forecast for Thursday through Saturday.
the water temperature off toledo is 49 degrees, off cleveland 46 degrees, and off erie 48 degrees.

LEZ100
No data

FXUS61 KCLE 152337 AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 737 PM EDT Mon Apr 15 2024

SYNOPSIS
High pressure will persist across the area through tonight. An area of low pressure will lift a warm front north across the area Tuesday night into Wednesday, extending a cold front east through the area by Wednesday evening. Another cold front will cross the region towards the end of the week.

NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/
Clear skies and a dry airmass persists across the area this evening. No changes needed to the forecast at this time.

Previous discussion...Mainly quiet weather is expected through the near term period under the influence of high pressure.
Showers and perhaps a few rumbles of thunder are possible towards the end of the period late Tuesday night.

For the remainder of today, did lower dew points slightly given the abundance of dry air in the boundary layer underneath a weak inversion. Followed this same trend (50/50 blend of 10% NBM/NBM) for Tuesday as well, resulting in minimum RHs in the low to mid-30s. Low pressure will move into the Upper Midwest by late Tuesday night as it begins to occlude and lifts a warm front north across the area. Showers will become more widespread across the area late Tuesday night into early Wednesday morning, mainly associated with weak isentropic lift. A few rumbles of thunder are possible, although instability will largely be limited.

SHORT TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY NIGHT/
Rain moves across the region Wednesday morning with once again the uncertainty of how much the area can destabilize ahead of a cold front that arrives Wednesday evening. There looks to be plenty of shear but the lower level instability will dictate the strength of what we see during the evening hours. The only thing that looks certain is that we will keep the region wet with another .5 to 1 inch of rain for the event. On Thursday the area looks to be between storm systems with a short period of dry conditions anticipated. The next round of showers may arrive Thursday night as low pressure tracks eastward near the Ohio River.

Highs range from the mid 60's to mid 70's on Wednesday unless cloud cover remains thicker than expected. Cooler in the wake of a cold front THursday with highs mostly in the 60's. Lows range from the mid 40's to mid 50's.

LONG TERM /FRIDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
Rain should end from west to east through Friday afternoon. High pressure then ridges over the CWA from the west Friday evening, then persists into Monday. After highs in the 60's Friday it will be cool Saturday through Monday with highs in the 50's to maybe lower 60's.
It looks to be chilly each night with 30's common. There will be a threat of frost Saturday and Sunday nights.

AVIATION /00Z Tuesday THROUGH Saturday/
A ridge of high pressure over the Central Great Lakes tonight will shift towards New England on Tuesday. VFR conditions are expected to persist through the TAF period although will see an increase in primarily mid and high level cloud cover through the day on Tuesday. Some clouds near 5K feet may work into terminals along the I-75 corridor prior to 00Z Wed. There is also a low chance of showers towards the end of the taf period but more likely that they will hold off until after 00Z so did not include yet.

Winds will be somewhat variable overnight and less than 7 knots.
Winds will generally have an easterly component on Tuesday, ranging from northeasterly off Lake Erie to southeasterly at southern terminals.

Outlook...Non-VFR likely in showers and thunderstorms Tuesday night through Wednesday. Non-VFR may return by Friday into Saturday in rain.

MARINE
Ridge remains over the lake through the night but it will shift to the east through Tuesday afternoon as a warm front moves northward from the middle Mississippi River Valley. Northeast to east winds increase as low pressure moves to the western Great Lakes late Tuesday afternoon into Tuesday night. Speeds will approach 20 knots and will need to be monitored for a small craft advisory as waves build along the longer fetch. A cold front will cross the region Wednesday evening into the overnight with southerly winds becoming southwest to west. Speeds once again approach 20 knots and will need to be monitored for a small craft advisory on Thursday. The next area of low pressure may move eastward near the Ohio River Thursday night.

CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OH...None.
PA...None.
NY...None.
MARINE...None.

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