Wednesday, June20, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Put-in-Bay, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:56AMSunset 9:13PM Wednesday June 20, 2018 3:15 PM EDT (19:15 UTC) Moonrise 12:45PMMoonset 12:49AM Illumination 49% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 7 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ163 Lake Erie Open Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- 927 Am Edt Wed Jun 20 2018
Rest of today..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots. Scattered showers with isolated Thunderstorms, then isolated showers late. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..Northeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming east 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet.
Thursday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
Friday..East winds 15 to 20 knots becoming southeast. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day, then showers likely Friday night. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west. Showers likely with a chance of Thunderstorms during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ163 Expires:201806202015;;829955 FZUS61 KCLE 201327 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 927 AM EDT Wed Jun 20 2018 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS...Low pressure 29.80 inches over Indiana will track across central Ohio this afternoon. High pressure 30.10 inches will push south into the upper Great Lakes Thursday, then track east and move off the New England Coast Friday. Low pressure 29.70 inches will track northeast across the central lakes Saturday into Saturday night. LEZ162-163-202015-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Put-in-Bay, OH
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location: 41.71, -83.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 201654
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
1254 pm edt Wed jun 20 2018

Synopsis
Weak low pressure will track eastward along a stalled frontal
boundary that is located over central ohio. In the wake of the
low this evening high pressure will ridge into the central great
lakes through early Thursday. A stronger low pressure system
will move from the plains and impact the region through the
weekend.

Near term through Thursday
Update... No big changes.

Previous discussion...

warm advection at 850 mb was occurring ahead of low pressure
that was located over eastern indiana. This area of warm
advection should continue to drive the development of scattered
showers through the morning. As we warm the lower levels of the
atmosphere this afternoon we will add in some
isolated scattered thunderstorms as well. Best chances for
thunder will be near and south of a line from warren to marion
where convergence will exist in the wake of the low. The frontal
boundary that this low is tracking along will drift southward
to southern ohio overnight. This will allow high pressure to
build into the region from central ontario. This high moves
east to the new england states on Thursday with low level
moisture levels increasing through the day. Will keep Thursday
dry with the expectation that some downsloping flow will erode
anything that approaches.

Cloud cover and the showers thunderstorms will keep the region
slightly cooler than yesterday. Highs will range from around 70
degrees near the lake to the lower 80s south. Some areas of fog
will be possible across inland locations Thursday morning as
lows dip into the 50s inland, around 60 near the lake. Increasingly
filtered sunshine on Thursday will allow for a warmer day with
most locations in the 70s.

Short term Thursday night through Saturday night
Little change to the overall short term pattern. Models
continue to develop large upper low which tracks across the
central great lakes this weekend. Rain will gradually move into
the area on Friday. GFS continues to be the faster of the models
moving the precip in Thursday night. Trended toward the slower
ecmwf for now. The surface reflection of the low forecast into
nw oh by daybreak Saturday gradually lifting into new england
Saturday night. Could see a widespread inch before all said and
done. Near normal temps expected with highs mainly in the upper
70s.

Long term Sunday through Tuesday
Some lingering showers Saturday night will finally give way to dry
conditions on Sunday as high pressure builds south over the forecast
area. High pressure will dominate the weather through the end
of the forecast period. High pressure will be centered over the
forecast area on Monday then shift off the mid atlantic coast
Tuesday. This will allow for a gradual warm up as the upper
level ridge begins to build back of the area on Tuesday.

Aviation 12z Wednesday through Sunday
Stationary front currently stuck across our southern tier of
counties from the fdy vicinity to the mfd area and points east.

Conditions mostly MVFR across the area withVFR only at keri and
expect little change through the day. Convection starting to
occur INVOF the boundary south of fdy I expect will expand a bit
as it drifts E ese remaining mostly south of mfd. Further north
expect minimal development through the afternoon. Rain in the
erie area will drift east through mid afternoon. This
evening overnight drier air moves in from the north as high
pressure briefly builds in. Expecting conditions to lift toVFR
through the evening and early overnight with this drier air
although could see early morning fog development especially at
mfd cak and yng taking conditions to MVFR ifr. For Thursday
expecting mainlyVFR from mid morning on.

Outlook... Non-vfr conditions are also possible Friday into
Saturday in showers and thunderstorms.

Marine
Choppy conditions will develop on the lake today as winds turn to
the northeast at 10 to 15 knots. Northeast flow continues but
winds diminish tonight into Thursday as high pressure builds
over the lake. Small craft may be needed starting Thursday night
as east to northeast winds increase to 15 to 20 knots. Winds
back to the southeast Friday ahead of approaching low pressure
system. More thunderstorms develop this weekend as low pressure
tracks across the central great lakes late Friday into Saturday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mullen
near term... Tk mullen
short term... Djb
long term... Djb
aviation... Tk
marine... Djb


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 10 mi35 min NE 13 G 14 66°F
45165 10 mi25 min NE 9.7 G 14 68°F 74°F2 ft60°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 13 mi75 min ENE 6 G 8.9 67°F 1010.9 hPa (-0.9)
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 21 mi45 min ENE 7 G 11 68°F 1011.4 hPa61°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 21 mi45 min NE 8 G 11 67°F 1011.7 hPa63°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 35 mi75 min E 7 G 8 69°F 1009.8 hPa (-0.7)
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 36 mi35 min NE 12 G 14 66°F 70°F1011.5 hPa61°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 38 mi90 min NNE 1.9 69°F 1011 hPa64°F
LORO1 49 mi45 min NE 9.9 G 11 68°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH24 mi22 minNE 610.00 miOvercast71°F62°F73%1011 hPa

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE11
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NE9E10E10E5E4NE7NE6NE7NE6E4E5NE4NE3NE5E6NE7NE6
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1 day agoSW18
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W6W7W6W9NW10NW6N6NE8NE6NE5NE5NE6N7NE9NE9E8NE9NE10
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2 days agoSW7SW12SW8SW14SW9SW7SW6SW5SW7SW5SW6SW8SW6SW6SW7SW8SW7SW13
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (15,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.