Friday, March22, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Put-in-Bay, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:31AMSunset 7:48PM Friday March 22, 2019 10:27 AM EDT (14:27 UTC) Moonrise 8:54PMMoonset 7:47AM Illumination 97% Phase: Waning Gibbous; Moon at 16 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ163 Expires:201903222030;;748396 Fzus61 Kcle 221323 Glfle Open Lake Forecast For Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 923 Am Edt Fri Mar 22 2019 For Waters Beyond Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Erie Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum.
Synopsis..A trough averaging 29.70 inches will move across the lake today as low pressure deepens to 29.00 inches off the new england coast. High pressure 30.40 inches over the upper great lakes tonight will drift eastward to the middle atlantic coast early Sunday. A cold front will sag across the lake Sunday night and will become the path for low pressure 29.80 inches to follow as it moves eastward near the ohio river. High pressure of 30.60 inches will build southeast out of canada on Tuesday. Lez162-163-222030- lake erie open waters from maumee bay to reno beach oh- lake erie open waters from reno beach to the islands oh- 923 am edt Fri mar 22 2019
This afternoon..Northwest winds 15 to 25 knots. Snow showers early then a slight chance of snow showers late. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Tonight..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Saturday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Waves 1 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 foot or less.
Saturday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday..Southwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Rain showers likely Sunday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..North winds 15 to 20 knots becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain and snow showers during the day. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 10 knots or less. Waves 2 feet or less.
LEZ163


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Put-in-Bay, OH
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location: 41.71, -83.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 221308
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
908 am edt Fri mar 22 2019

Synopsis
A cold front will drop south across the area today. High
pressure will build southeast from the upper great lakes tonight
into the ohio valley Saturday, moving off the carolina coast by
Sunday. Low pressure will track east through the ohio valley
Sunday night and Monday as a cold front drops south across the
great lakes. High pressure will build across the region Monday
night through midweek.

Near term through Saturday
Surface temperatures across much of the area are starting off in
the mid 30s, cooler in NW pa. Temperatures will struggle despite
longer daylight hours as as a potent cold front pushes through
the area this morning. Enhanced radar returns with this fropa
brought a quick coating of snow, which quickly melted. Wrap
around moisture and added lake enhancement as a thicknesses fall
will bring snow chances back in for the rest of today and into
this evening for the primary snowbelt. The model soundings are
fairly saturated well into the column into this evening,
indicative of more than your standard early spring lake effect
snow. With temperatures already near freezing in the higher
terrain of NW pa, believe there is a likelihood of rapid
accumulations primarily in grassy areas. The potential moisture
will support up to 7 inches of snow, but believe some of this
will be lost initially to melting. Believe when all is said and
done the higher terrain of the primary snowbelt could see 3 to 5
inches of snow through midnight. Higher terrain of eastern
cuyahoga county and geauga counties could see 1 to 3 inches
with the snow this afternoon, though mainly on grassy areas.

Winds will be increasing behind the front with the strong cold
air advection, with gusts 35 to 40 mph highest near the
lakeshore. This could lead to reduced visibilities when snowfall
is at its heaviest, which could be a concern for the evening
commute period. Road temperatures on elevated surfaces will cool
faster and could lead to black ice as well.

Original discussion...

a potent mid level shortwave currently over the central great
lakes will dig southeast through the area, cutting off over
ny pa this afternoon. This will bring a surface cold front south
through the area during the day. Precipitation will develop and
move southeast across the eastern half of the area today with
the passage of the front wave. The timing of best precip
potential is from 15z through 21z, especially across the primary
snow belt with post frontal lake enhancement and upslope. Have
high likely cat pops for the snow belt, with chance pops
extending westward through a good portion of the forecast area
during this time frame. Pops will linger the longest across nw
pa, where lake effect upslope will keep precipitation ongoing
into the evening. Thermal profiles are marginal for rain snow
during the morning hours, especially west of a cleveland to
canton line. The stronger pockets of precip should allow for
diabatic cooling processes and mainly snow, especially as the
afternoon progresses with low level caa. Currently forecasting
inch or less accumulations given the marginal surface
temperatures and late season Sun angle, with mainly
grassy elevated surfaces seeing accumulations. However, where
more moderate snowfall persists across the higher elevations of
nw pa, snow accumulations may become more robust. 2 to 4 inch
accumulations aren't out of the question across the higher
elevations of southern erie northern crawford counties, with
locally higher amounts of 5 to 6 inches possible in eastern erie
county where the snow persists the longest. Drier air will move
into the area tonight, with high pressure building southeast
across the area. Precip should all but end across most of the
area this evening, and in northwest pa shortly after midnight.

Dry conditions and clearing skies will prevail late Friday night
through the day on Saturday. Highs will top out near 40 today
across the western half of the forecast area, with temperatures
holding steady in the mid 30s across northeast ohio and
northwest pa through midday, falling into the low 30s this
afternoon behind the front. Winds will ramp up out of the north
northwest with the frontal passage, with gusts during the day
today in the 30-40 mph range. A cool night is expected with lows
in the low to mid 20s for most of the area. Highs on Saturday
will range from the mid upper 30s across northwest pa to the low
to mid 40s across northern ohio.

Short term Saturday night through Monday night
High pressure will be in control of the region Saturday night before
drifting off the middle atlantic coast by Sunday morning. Expect dry
conditions through at least Sunday morning. Beyond this time we will
begin to feel the impacts of low pressure that will track eastward
near the ohio river valley. The best chances of rain will be Sunday
night into early Monday, then end from west to east Monday
afternoon. There could be a few snow showers that mix in across ne
oh into NW pa Monday morning but accumulations are not expected at
this time. High pressure should take control of the region by Monday
night.

Sunday should be a warm day with most locations near or slightly
above 50. If the cloud cover does not thicken up by Sunday afternoon
we may be able to add a couple degrees. Cooler on Monday in the wake
of the area of low pressure with highs in the upper 30s to lower
40s.

Long term Tuesday through Thursday
High pressure will then dominate the region Monday night through
Tuesday night. The high should move of the middle atlantic coast on
Wednesday with a warmer southerly wind anticipated. Warm advection
will increase Wednesday night into Thursday as low pressure begins
to take shape over the central plains. There could be a few showers
that sneak into NW ohio by Thursday night but we have plenty of time
to monitor this potential.

Tuesday will be the cold day of the long term with highs in the mid
30s to lower 40s. It will then warm each day through Thursday. Highs
Thursday afternoon should reach the middle to upper 50s.

Aviation 12z Friday through Tuesday
A quick moving cold front will drop south across the area
today, which will keep conditions MVFR to possibly ifr,
especially downwind of lake erie. Precip is expected at eastern
terminals, especially keri kcle kyng and possibly kcak kmfd.

Snow showers will bring ifr conditions at times to terminals
downwind of lake erie, with coverage becoming more scattered
this afternoon into this evening before ending. High pressure
moves into the region tonight with clearing skies expected
across the area after 06z through the end of the period. West
winds will become northwest behind the front today, gusting to
30-35 kts before subsiding after 00z.

Outlook... Non-vfr conditions Friday afternoon through Saturday
morning. Non-vfr likely Monday.

Marine
Clipper type storm system will sweep across the region today with
northwesterly winds increasing in its wake. Believe 30 knots will
cover it but am slightly concerned we could have a very short lived
gale that occurs from noon to around 6 pm. For now will go with a
small craft advisory for the entire lakeshore. The small craft
advisory will persist the longest on the east half of the lake. The
east half should see small craft advisory conditions until Saturday
morning. High pressure builds over the lake on Saturday with lighter
winds. The high should then be nudged eastward off the middle
atlantic coast by Sunday morning. As low pressure moves eastward
near the ohio river valley Sunday night into Monday we should see
north to northeast winds increase. Sunday night into Monday will be
another period where we will need to monitor for a small craft
advisory.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... Winter weather advisory until midnight edt tonight for paz002-
003.

Marine... Small craft advisory until 11 am edt Saturday for lez146>149.

Small craft advisory until 10 pm edt this evening for
lez142>145.

Synopsis... Greenawalt
near term... Greenawalt jamison
short term... Mm
long term... Mm
aviation... Greenawalt
marine... Mm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 10 mi87 min NW 19 G 22 37°F
TWCO1 10 mi27 min NNW 17 G 21 38°F 1007 hPa (+2.1)32°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 13 mi27 min NW 18 G 19 36°F 1009.9 hPa (+1.6)
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 21 mi39 min 37°F 38°F1010.3 hPa33°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 21 mi39 min 37°F 1010.6 hPa29°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 35 mi27 min NW 9.9 G 17 36°F 1008.1 hPa (+1.7)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 38 mi102 min WSW 2.9 37°F 1009 hPa34°F
LORO1 49 mi57 min WNW 16 G 20 36°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH24 mi34 minNNW 19 G 2510.00 miOvercast and Breezy38°F30°F73%1011.4 hPa

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE4NE5N3N3NE3NW9NW10W11W14NW13--W7W14
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1 day agoS11SW13S12SW12SW14
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2 days agoSW6W8SW12SW6SW9SW11SW12
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (10,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.