Thursday, January17, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Put-in-Bay, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:56AMSunset 5:31PM Thursday January 17, 2019 4:04 AM EST (09:04 UTC) Moonrise 2:15PMMoonset 4:02AM Illumination 86% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ163 Expires:201901171530;;481272 Fzus61 Kcle 170848 Glfle Open Lake Forecast For Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland Oh 348 Am Est Thu Jan 17 2019 For Waters Beyond Five Nautical Miles Of Shore On Lake Erie Waves Are The Significant Wave Height - The Average Of The Highest 1/3 Of The Wave Spectrum. Occasional Wave Height Is The Average Of The Highest 1/10 Of The Wave Spectrum.
Synopsis..High pressure 30.40 inches over southern quebec well drift eastward today. Weak low pressure 29.90 inches will move across lake erie Thursday night with a cold front crossing the lake. A second cold front will follow on Friday. Saturday deep low pressure 29.40 inches will move northeastward near or just to the south of the ohio river valley reaching the middle atlantic coast by Sunday morning. High pressure 30.40 inches will build across the lake on Monday. Lez162-163-171530- lake erie open waters from maumee bay to reno beach oh- lake erie open waters from reno beach to the islands oh- 348 am est Thu jan 17 2019
Today..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow late this morning. Snow this afternoon. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Snow in the evening, then a chance of snow after midnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday night..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Snow likely overnight. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..Northeast winds 15 to 25 knots becoming north to 30 knots. Snow. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Sunday..North winds 15 to 25 knots becoming northwest. Waves 5 to 8 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Monday..Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south 10 knots or less. Waves 2 feet or less.
LEZ163


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Put-in-Bay, OH
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location: 41.71, -83.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 170612
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
112 am est Thu jan 17 2019

Synopsis
High pressure will nudge into the area tonight behind the cold
front. Low pressure over the central plains on Thursday will
move east into the ohio valley on Thursday night. High pressure
will build back into the area on Friday. A strong low pressure
over the southern plains on Friday night will move northeast
towards the central appalachians for the weekend. Arctic high
pressure moves in early next week.

Near term through today
No further changes with this mid evening update.

With the early evening update have delayed the onset of the
snow across the i-75 corridor until after 7 am and the
cleveland- akron and points northeast until tomorrow afternoon.

No changes were made to tonight's forecast. Previous discussion
follows.

A weak cold front just moved through the i-80 corridor off the
lake this afternoon. We have some scattered light snow showers
mainly over far northeast ohio into northwest pennsylvania this
afternoon which will decrease by this evening as drier air moves
in. The weak frontal boundary will either wash out or back up
northward by Thursday morning.

The "appetizer" before the main course this weekend will arrive
tomorrow. The next mid level wave in the flow will start to
move across the region late Thursday morning through Thursday
evening. We will see areas of light snow develop to our west and
move in by midday on Thursday from west to east. The best
timing for accumulating snow and some minor travel impacts will
be unfortunately during the late afternoon through mid evening
hours on Thursday. The rush hour evening commute may be a little
tricky with light snow falling. The light snow will end from
west to east very early Friday morning. Generally around an inch
is possible across northern ohio into NW pennsylvania. 1 to 2
inches will be possible closer to central ohio, south of the
highway 30 corridor.

Short term tonight through Saturday night
Friday begins with low pressure over new york and a cold front
just to our northwest. The best moisture associated with the low
will be pulling east however in the morning there is enough
remaining moisture for snow showers east and especially in the
snowbelt. We do dry through the afternoon so am thinking the
best chance will come in the morning. Saturday morning models
have low pressure in arkansas which will be the main weather
maker for our region in the short term. This low will move
northeast through the lower ohio valley Saturday evening and
reach off the new jersey coast by Sunday afternoon. Expect snow
to move into northern ohio from southwest to northeast Saturday
morning reaching eastern counties late morning to early
afternoon. Given the current track of the storm, snowfall will
be heaviest southeast with amounts around a foot from Saturday
through Saturday night. North central and northwest ohio amounts
look closer to 5 to 9 inches. These amounts are very
preliminary. Winds will also cause blowing and drifting with
highest winds from the north to northeast 10 to 25 mph. Highest
winds west half of the area. Sunday expect additional lake
effect snow across the traditional areas. Highs Friday in the
low to mid 30s. By Sunday high will be in the teens.

Long term Sunday through Wednesday
Expect a warming trend Monday through Wednesday with highs
Monday in the lower teens, rising to the low to mid 30s by
Wednesday. Models show increasing disagreement but the best
chance for snow will be Tuesday into Wednesday with low pressure
moving in from the west.

Aviation 06z Thursday through Monday
MVFR stratus remains at eri withVFR elsewhere to start the taf
period. Ceilings will lower to MVFR from south to north into
Thursday ahead of a low pressure system moving out of the
plains. Ifr eventually expected as snow spreads in from the
south and west ahead of the low Thursday afternoon and moves
east across the area through 06z. Tried to time the onset of
snow and delayed eastern terminals by another hour or two. As
the low moves into northwest ohio Thursday evening, warmer air
is pulled into the southern terminals and may cause snow to mix
with rain. A transition to drizzle is even possible as the
deeper moisture departs to the east.

East to northeast winds tonight will veer around to the
southeast at 10 knots or less Thursday morning and eventually
southwest behind the low Thursday night.

Outlook... Non-vfr Thursday afternoon into Friday and again on
Saturday and Sunday. Saturday into Sunday could potentially
feature moderate to heavy snowfall.

Marine
Canceled the remainder of the small craft advisory with winds
that have adequately diminished. Will go with a 2 to 4 foot
forecast with further subsiding.

For tonight, look for northwest flow to become light and turn
easterly as high pressure moves through the lakes. Thursday
winds turn southeast as the high moves east and low pressure
advances through il into western oh by evening. The weak low
will move across the lake Thursday night turning winds northwest
by morning. Winds will remain light through Friday night.

Saturday winds increase from the northeast to 20 to 25 knots by
evening as the gradient increases over the lake between high
pressure to the north and low pressure moving through the mid
mississippi valley. Winds will increase to 30 knots Saturday
night into Sunday turning north on Sunday behind the system.

Northwest winds will diminish Monday. No additional headlines
are expected on the lake through Friday night. Saturday a small
craft advisory will be required and gales will be possible. The
small craft advisory would likely last into early Monday.

Temperatures will also be falling into the teens Saturday night
and Sunday with single digits possible Sunday night making ice
accumulation possible on vessels.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Griffin
near term... Griffin oudeman
short term... Tk
long term... Tk
aviation... Kec
marine... Oudeman


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TWCO1 10 mi25 min ESE 16 G 20 29°F 1022.7 hPa23°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 21 mi41 min E 7 G 12 26°F 33°F1026.3 hPa20°F
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 21 mi35 min ESE 8.9 G 12 26°F 1025.5 hPa19°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 35 mi65 min ESE 9.9 G 13 25°F 1023.7 hPa (-0.7)
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 38 mi80 min ENE 1.9 22°F 1026 hPa17°F
LORO1 49 mi35 min ESE 8.9 G 12 24°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH24 mi72 minE 310.00 miMostly Cloudy24°F18°F77%1026.6 hPa

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSW12SW12SW10SW8SW12SW10SW11W8W9NW7NW7NW8N5NE4NE3NE4E5E5E6E7E5E4E4E3
1 day agoSW9SW7SW8SW7SW8SW11
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2 days agoNW8NW6NW3CalmW5W3W4SW4SW7SW8SW8SW10SW9SW8S6SW6SW6SW6SW5SW5SW5SW6SW7SW10

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (4,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.