Thursday, June22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Put-in-Bay, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:57AMSunset 9:14PM Thursday June 22, 2017 2:33 PM EDT (18:33 UTC) Moonrise 3:51AMMoonset 6:33PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ163 Lake Erie Open Waters From Maumee Bay To Reno Beach Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Reno Beach To The Islands Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- 954 Am Edt Thu Jun 22 2017
Rest of today..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A slight chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms from late evening on. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west. Showers and Thunderstorms likely. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet...then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..West winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..West winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 2 to 4 feet...then subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms during the day...then a chance of showers Sunday night. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..West winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ163 Expires:201706222030;;638610 FZUS61 KCLE 221354 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 954 AM EDT Thu Jun 22 2017 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS...A warm front will lift north of the lake this afternoon. Low pressure 29.50 inches will move across the central Great Lakes tonight with a cold front moving east across Lake Erie Friday afternoon. A series of reinforcing cold fronts will cross the lake over the weekend as a trough averaging 30.00 inches remains across the eastern Great Lakes. LEZ162>164-222030-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Put-in-Bay, OH
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location: 41.71, -83.07     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 221734
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
134 pm edt Thu jun 22 2017

Synopsis
A warm front will lift across NE oh and NW pa through the
afternoon. Low pressure over the western lakes will move
northeast into canada by Friday, bringing a cold front east
across the region. A broad trough of low pressure will then
remain over the area through the weekend. High pressure at the
surface will begin to move in from the west Monday night into
Tuesday.

Near term through tonight
Nudged highs down slightly with added cloud cover. Most of the
shower thunderstorm activity has shifted into NE oh NW pa.

Expect most of it to end by late afternoon.

Previous discussion...

a stationary front is located across central ohio early this
morning. This will lift north through the area later this
morning into early this afternoon as a warm front. The influence
of an upper-level ridge and drier air aloft should keep most
everyone dry through the morning and early afternoon hours.

As the ridge begins to shift off to the east later this
afternoon, the pathway to the gulf of mexico will open and
ample moisture will stream in from the southwest - thanks to
tropical storm cindy. This will mean a chance for mid-to-late
afternoon thunderstorm development across far northeast ohio
into northwest pennsylvania as the warm front may get hung up in
this area. Forecast shear and thermodynamic profiles are
conducive for strong to perhaps severe storms if any develop in
this area. The main threats would be large hail and strong
winds.

Temperatures this afternoon should warm up nicely with highs
reaching the middle 80s in northwest pennsylvania and the upper
80s to lower 90s elsewhere.

Short term Friday through Sunday night
A cold front will approach from the west Thursday night. Showers
and storms will become widespread out ahead of this front by
late Thursday night into Friday morning. With tropical moisture
in the area, a wet day is expected Friday for everyone. A few
storms may have the potential to become strong to perhaps
severe, however, there remains a lot of uncertainty. The biggest
limiting factor will be the expansive cloud cover and limited
instability. Another concern is the flooding threat. There is
currently too much uncertainty in where the heaviest rainfall
will occur, but there is potential for training thunderstorms
that could lead to flooding.

Any remaining precipitation should be east of the area by
Saturday morning. Saturday should be mostly dry, but can't
entirely rule out the chance of a spotty afternoon shower across
northeast ohio and northwest pennsylvania. Dry conditions should
then be the rule for everyone Saturday night into Sunday
morning.

There will be a chance for showers or storms across the
area Sunday as a shortwave trough embedded within the larger
parent trough moves in from the northwest. The best chances will
be across the northern half of the area.

Friday will see highs near to slightly above seasonal levels.

Slightly cooler temperatures are expected Saturday and Sunday
with highs dipping back into the middle 70s.

Long term Monday through Wednesday
Upper level trough will be overhead to start the long term on Monday
with below normal temperatures. Model are showing some discrepancies
with the amount of moisture which will effect coverage of showers.

Would expect to see at least some diurnally driven showers with an
increase in cloud cover across the eastern half of the area but will
have to refine details with time. Lowered highs a degree or two on
Monday with 850mb temperatures near 6c but these will partially
depend on the amount of cloud cover. Held onto showers near and
downwind of lake erie Monday night with some instability expected to
be focused over the lake. Degree of showers will be driven by the
placement of the trough at that point but lake enhanced showers
appear possible, especially if the ECMWF is right which keeps the
trough in the region longer.

Trough shifts east during the Tuesday to Wednesday time frame
followed by a ridge building aloft. Temperatures will rebound
through mid-week with conditions drying out.

Aviation 18z Thursday through Tuesday
Most of the shower thunderstorm activity has shifted into ne
oh NW pa along a warm front. Expect most of it to end by late
afternoon. After a break in the precipitation we will await the
lift and moisture from what remains of the tropical depression.

Expect showers and a few thunderstorms to move south to north
into the area overnight with some lower MVFR ceilings also
expected.

Southerly winds will increase through the afternoon and then
remain around 12 knots through the overnight.

Outlook... Thunderstorms with heavy rain possible Friday. Low
chance of brief MVFR in showers Sunday into Monday with a cold
front.

Marine
A warm front will lift north across lake erie today with southwest
winds increasing to 15 to 20 knots on the lake tonight. Given the
increasingly stable conditions and offshore flow, not expecting to
need a small craft advisory. A cold front will move east across the
lake Friday evening. There is a brief window of time late Friday
afternoon Friday evening where we will need to be concerned with
small craft advisory conditions as the flow shifts onshore but
should only be 6 hours or less as winds drop off quickly behind the
front Friday night.

A series of cold fronts will move across the lake over the weekend.

Better chances for a small craft advisory will be on Saturday when
westerly winds increase to 15-20 knots and waves build to 3 to 5
feet east of cleveland.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mottice
near term... Mottice mullen
short term... Mottice
long term... Kec
aviation... Mullen
marine... Kec


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
THLO1 - Toledo Light No. 2 OH 10 mi44 min SSW 14 G 15 76°F
45165 10 mi24 min SSW 14 G 19 78°F 71°F1 ft66°F
SBIO1 - South Bass Island, OH 13 mi34 min SSW 11 G 13 77°F 1011.8 hPa (-1.4)
THRO1 - 9063085 - Toledo, OH 21 mi46 min SSW 11 G 17 81°F 1012.1 hPa65°F
MRHO1 - 9063079 - Marblehead, OH 21 mi46 min S 5.1 G 9.9 80°F 1013.3 hPa69°F
HHLO1 - Huron Light, OH 35 mi34 min SSW 9.9 G 18 82°F 1012.9 hPa (-1.0)
45005 - W ERIE 28NM Northwest of Cleveland, OH 36 mi34 min SSW 12 G 14 73°F 69°F1012.4 hPa (-1.3)67°F
OWXO1 - Old Woman Creek, OH 38 mi109 min SW 1 79°F 1015 hPa68°F

Wind History for Marblehead, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Toledo - Toledo Executive Airport, OH24 mi41 minSSW 13 G 1910.00 miA Few Clouds81°F68°F65%1012 hPa

Wind History from TDZ (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr4NE84E6NE4NE4E5E6E6E5E4SE5E3E3SE4SE5S6SW7SW10SW11SW11SW10SW11SW13
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1 day agoW16
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4CalmSW5CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN3N3N6NE4N53NE545
2 days agoW14
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.