Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Providence, RI
April 20, 2024 3:10 AM EDT (07:10 UTC) Change Location
 | Sunrise 5:54 AM Sunset 7:33 PM Moonrise 4:29 PM Moonset 4:39 AM |
ANZ236 Narragansett Bay- 101 Am Edt Sat Apr 20 2024
Rest of tonight - S winds around 5 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Patchy fog. A chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sat - SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Waves around 2 ft. Patchy fog. Showers, mainly in the morning. Vsby 1 nm or less, increasing to 1 to 3 nm in the afternoon.
Sat night - W winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming nw 5 to 10 kt after midnight. Gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Sun - NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Sun night and Mon - W winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft.
Mon night - W winds around 10 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tue and Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Waves around 2 ft.
Wed and Wed night - S winds 10 to 15 kt, becoming w. Gusts up to 25 kt. Waves 2 to 3 ft. A chance of rain.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
seas are reported as significant wave height, which is the average of the highest third of the waves. Individual wave heights may be more than twice the significant wave height.
ANZ200 101 Am Edt Sat Apr 20 2024
Synopsis for massachusetts and rhode island coastal waters - High pres over the waters south of nova scotia continues to move eastward tonight. A cold front then brings showers and a period of breezy conditions for Sat. High pres then returns for Sun and Mon, though with W to nw breezes.
Area Discussion for - Boston, MA
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FXUS61 KBOX 200519 AFDBOX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 119 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024
SYNOPSIS
An approaching cold front will bring a period of showers and a few downpours very late tonight into Saturday morning. Gradual partial clearing and pleasant temperatures are in store for later Saturday. Mostly clear skies and dry weather prevails Sunday and Monday, although both days could feature low relative humidities. Increasing clouds on Tuesday and Tuesday night heralds a frontal passage and rain chances for Wednesday.
Conditions trend drier for late next week. Temperatures should be around seasonable much of next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
955 PM Update...
* Widespread Showers overspread the region between 2 and 8 AM
Previous forecast is pretty much on track. A fair amount of mid level cloudiness have overspread the region this evening...but dry weather prevailed. The shortwave/cold front was still back across western NY into central PA and there was not a ton of showers with it currently
That being said
we do expect forcing/deeper moisture to advect into the region ahead of the front
Therefore
showers will blossom across the region. Most of this activity will not overspread western MA/CT until after 2-3 am and will wait until near or after daybreak to impact much of the I-95 corridor. While there might be a spot shower or two a bit earlier...the main widespread showers will not overspread the region until between 2 and 8 am Saturday morning and perhaps a bit later across the Cape and Islands. Enough forcing and low level moisture are available to support a few brief downpours too. The clouds and increasing low level moisture will hold overnight low temps in the 40s.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/
Should have improving conditions from northwest to southeast from mid-morning to early-afternoon. QPF is in the neighborhood of a quarter and third of an inch, enough to provide the region with a wetting rain. The second-half of the day features mid- level dry air mass, should reduce the cloud cover, giving us a mix of sun and clouds. This should lead to a nice afternoon with highs in the low and middle 60s. Low clouds will be stubborn for the Cape and Island, but should clear our late afternoon, perhaps in time for sunset. Here the highs are slightly cooler in the middle and upper 50s.
Guidance this afternoon does show the a trailing mid-level shortwave that reaches southern New England mid to later afternoon. With this passage, a couple of rouge showers are possible, but should come to an end by sunset.
Overnight skies area clearing and despite s northwest wind at 10 to 15 mph, temperatures fall into the 30s. While much of the area remains above freezing, northern Worcester County and the east slopes of the Berkshires could see morning lows 30-34 degrees. May want to keep that in mind if you bought any potted outdoor plants.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
330PM UPDATE:
Highlights:
* Clear and dry weather Sun and Mon with seasonable temps. Possible elevated fire weather concerns for both days, but especially Mon as NW winds increase.
* Continued dry, but with SW breezes along with more cloud cover.
* Although not a soaking rain, a frontal system around Wed or Wed night brings our next chance for rains.
* More uncertainty in the late-week pattern, but favoring dry weather.
Details:
Sunday through Tuesday:
Cyclonic flow aloft begins this period, associated with a potent shortwave disturbance which passes over northern New England into Mon. System's passing cold front moves through Mon too, but it will be a dry frontal passage with a windshift to NW and cooler temperatures being the only things really noticeable about the frontal passage. Pattern starts to flatten Mon night into Tue with a broad 1020+ mb high pressure cell ridging into Southern New England.
Dry weather to prevail in this period, even with the frontal passage passing to the north on Mon. Much of this period features mostly clear skies and though it will be a bit breezy from the northwest on Monday, it should be a stretch of pretty nice weather on the whole.
But as is typically the case in the early-spring/pre-greenup period with clear skies and good mixing leading to lower dewpoints, both Sun and Mon could feature elevated fire weather concerns. Of the two days, Mon looks to feature the lowest relative humidities and period of stronger NW winds (gusts 25-30 mph). Highs Sun and Mon look similar each day, in the 50s (upper 50s/near 60 in eastern MA). Lows in the mid/upper 30s Sunday night and in the low to mid 30s Mon night.
For Tue, high pressure shifts offshore early in the day, allowing for returning SW flow bringing modest SW breezes, but also increasing cloud cover (greatest late-day). RHs are a touch higher (35-50 percent) Tuesday so not thinking period of fire weather for Tue. Highs Tue should get to around 60 degrees. Turning mostly cloudy on Tue night ahead of a frontal system for Wed, and the increase in clouds brings milder nighttime lows in the 40s.
Wednesday:
12z ensembles and most deterministic models show a progressive frontal system moving across Southern New England in this period.
There is some timing differences that still need to be sorted out, with the ECMWF camp being slower with the progression (Wed late day into early-overnight Thurs); those differences led to PoP being no higher than Likely. A few days of dry weather preceding this frontal passage could favor a slower timing (e.g. some of the modeled QPF lost to evaporation through dry air layers) but won't deviate farther from NBM output to let the timing uncertainties iron themselves out. This doesn't look to be anything close to the soaking rains that plagued us in March but we should be able to see a period of wetting rains over a quarter-inch or so but not much more.
Late Week:
A bit of uncertainty here with differences in mass field evolution between the drier ECMWF/Canadian GEM and the GFS, which deepens an upper trough which closes off into a closed low near or west of Southern New England. That would bring unsettled weather and cloudier conditions to the area. This solution doesn't seem to have much support from its ensemble; official forecast will keep close to NBM for this period, but with a tilt towards the international guidance favoring drier conditions.
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High- greater than 60 percent.
06z TAF Update...
Today...High Confidence.
Conditions deteriorate to low end MVFR-IFR with localized brief LIFR conditions through 12z as showers blossom across the region. The showers should end northwest of I-95 by lunchtime with conditions improving to VFR. Southeast of I-95...the lower conditions will persist until late afternoon and early evening across the Cape/Islands. SW winds becoming more W at 5 to 15 knots as the day wears along with some 20-25 knot gusts developing during the afternoon across the interior.
Tonight and Sunday...High Confidence.
Any lingering MVFR-IFR conditions across the Cape/Islands dissipate this evening
Otherwise
VFR conditions expected tonight and Sunday. WNW generally 5-10 knots shifting to the WSW Sunday at 10 to 15 knots with some gusts of 20 to 25 knots.
KBOS TAF...High Confidence in TAF.
KBDL TAF...High Confidence in TAF.
Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...
Sunday night through Tuesday: VFR. Breezy.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy. Chance RA.
MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
330PM UPDATE:
Today through Saturday Night...High Confidence.
Quiet conditions for the rest of Friday and tonight with seas and winds below advisory criteria. An approaching front does bring showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder Saturday morning with a wind shift from ESE/WSW. Showers linger into late Saturday morning/early afternoon. Drying out Saturday evening into the overnight hours. Winds may briefly reach advisory criteria late Saturday night 25 to 28 knots over the waters south of Rhode Island and Block Island. Given how marginal this is, held off on issuing a Small Craft Advisory. Later forecast may want to include if confidence increases.
Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...
Sunday through Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.
Monday through Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt.
Tuesday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.
Wednesday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain.
BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Boston/Norton MA 119 AM EDT Sat Apr 20 2024
SYNOPSIS
An approaching cold front will bring a period of showers and a few downpours very late tonight into Saturday morning. Gradual partial clearing and pleasant temperatures are in store for later Saturday. Mostly clear skies and dry weather prevails Sunday and Monday, although both days could feature low relative humidities. Increasing clouds on Tuesday and Tuesday night heralds a frontal passage and rain chances for Wednesday.
Conditions trend drier for late next week. Temperatures should be around seasonable much of next week.
NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM THIS MORNING/
955 PM Update...
* Widespread Showers overspread the region between 2 and 8 AM
Previous forecast is pretty much on track. A fair amount of mid level cloudiness have overspread the region this evening...but dry weather prevailed. The shortwave/cold front was still back across western NY into central PA and there was not a ton of showers with it currently
That being said
we do expect forcing/deeper moisture to advect into the region ahead of the front
Therefore
showers will blossom across the region. Most of this activity will not overspread western MA/CT until after 2-3 am and will wait until near or after daybreak to impact much of the I-95 corridor. While there might be a spot shower or two a bit earlier...the main widespread showers will not overspread the region until between 2 and 8 am Saturday morning and perhaps a bit later across the Cape and Islands. Enough forcing and low level moisture are available to support a few brief downpours too. The clouds and increasing low level moisture will hold overnight low temps in the 40s.
SHORT TERM /6 AM THIS MORNING THROUGH 6 PM SUNDAY/
Should have improving conditions from northwest to southeast from mid-morning to early-afternoon. QPF is in the neighborhood of a quarter and third of an inch, enough to provide the region with a wetting rain. The second-half of the day features mid- level dry air mass, should reduce the cloud cover, giving us a mix of sun and clouds. This should lead to a nice afternoon with highs in the low and middle 60s. Low clouds will be stubborn for the Cape and Island, but should clear our late afternoon, perhaps in time for sunset. Here the highs are slightly cooler in the middle and upper 50s.
Guidance this afternoon does show the a trailing mid-level shortwave that reaches southern New England mid to later afternoon. With this passage, a couple of rouge showers are possible, but should come to an end by sunset.
Overnight skies area clearing and despite s northwest wind at 10 to 15 mph, temperatures fall into the 30s. While much of the area remains above freezing, northern Worcester County and the east slopes of the Berkshires could see morning lows 30-34 degrees. May want to keep that in mind if you bought any potted outdoor plants.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
330PM UPDATE:
Highlights:
* Clear and dry weather Sun and Mon with seasonable temps. Possible elevated fire weather concerns for both days, but especially Mon as NW winds increase.
* Continued dry, but with SW breezes along with more cloud cover.
* Although not a soaking rain, a frontal system around Wed or Wed night brings our next chance for rains.
* More uncertainty in the late-week pattern, but favoring dry weather.
Details:
Sunday through Tuesday:
Cyclonic flow aloft begins this period, associated with a potent shortwave disturbance which passes over northern New England into Mon. System's passing cold front moves through Mon too, but it will be a dry frontal passage with a windshift to NW and cooler temperatures being the only things really noticeable about the frontal passage. Pattern starts to flatten Mon night into Tue with a broad 1020+ mb high pressure cell ridging into Southern New England.
Dry weather to prevail in this period, even with the frontal passage passing to the north on Mon. Much of this period features mostly clear skies and though it will be a bit breezy from the northwest on Monday, it should be a stretch of pretty nice weather on the whole.
But as is typically the case in the early-spring/pre-greenup period with clear skies and good mixing leading to lower dewpoints, both Sun and Mon could feature elevated fire weather concerns. Of the two days, Mon looks to feature the lowest relative humidities and period of stronger NW winds (gusts 25-30 mph). Highs Sun and Mon look similar each day, in the 50s (upper 50s/near 60 in eastern MA). Lows in the mid/upper 30s Sunday night and in the low to mid 30s Mon night.
For Tue, high pressure shifts offshore early in the day, allowing for returning SW flow bringing modest SW breezes, but also increasing cloud cover (greatest late-day). RHs are a touch higher (35-50 percent) Tuesday so not thinking period of fire weather for Tue. Highs Tue should get to around 60 degrees. Turning mostly cloudy on Tue night ahead of a frontal system for Wed, and the increase in clouds brings milder nighttime lows in the 40s.
Wednesday:
12z ensembles and most deterministic models show a progressive frontal system moving across Southern New England in this period.
There is some timing differences that still need to be sorted out, with the ECMWF camp being slower with the progression (Wed late day into early-overnight Thurs); those differences led to PoP being no higher than Likely. A few days of dry weather preceding this frontal passage could favor a slower timing (e.g. some of the modeled QPF lost to evaporation through dry air layers) but won't deviate farther from NBM output to let the timing uncertainties iron themselves out. This doesn't look to be anything close to the soaking rains that plagued us in March but we should be able to see a period of wetting rains over a quarter-inch or so but not much more.
Late Week:
A bit of uncertainty here with differences in mass field evolution between the drier ECMWF/Canadian GEM and the GFS, which deepens an upper trough which closes off into a closed low near or west of Southern New England. That would bring unsettled weather and cloudier conditions to the area. This solution doesn't seem to have much support from its ensemble; official forecast will keep close to NBM for this period, but with a tilt towards the international guidance favoring drier conditions.
AVIATION /06Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Forecast Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Moderate - 30 to 60 percent.
High- greater than 60 percent.
06z TAF Update...
Today...High Confidence.
Conditions deteriorate to low end MVFR-IFR with localized brief LIFR conditions through 12z as showers blossom across the region. The showers should end northwest of I-95 by lunchtime with conditions improving to VFR. Southeast of I-95...the lower conditions will persist until late afternoon and early evening across the Cape/Islands. SW winds becoming more W at 5 to 15 knots as the day wears along with some 20-25 knot gusts developing during the afternoon across the interior.
Tonight and Sunday...High Confidence.
Any lingering MVFR-IFR conditions across the Cape/Islands dissipate this evening
Otherwise
VFR conditions expected tonight and Sunday. WNW generally 5-10 knots shifting to the WSW Sunday at 10 to 15 knots with some gusts of 20 to 25 knots.
KBOS TAF...High Confidence in TAF.
KBDL TAF...High Confidence in TAF.
Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...
Sunday night through Tuesday: VFR. Breezy.
Tuesday Night: VFR. Breezy. Slight chance SHRA.
Wednesday: Mainly VFR, with local IFR possible. Breezy. Chance RA.
MARINE
Forecaster Confidence Levels:
Low - less than 30 percent.
Medium - 30 to 60 percent.
High - greater than 60 percent.
330PM UPDATE:
Today through Saturday Night...High Confidence.
Quiet conditions for the rest of Friday and tonight with seas and winds below advisory criteria. An approaching front does bring showers and perhaps a rumble of thunder Saturday morning with a wind shift from ESE/WSW. Showers linger into late Saturday morning/early afternoon. Drying out Saturday evening into the overnight hours. Winds may briefly reach advisory criteria late Saturday night 25 to 28 knots over the waters south of Rhode Island and Block Island. Given how marginal this is, held off on issuing a Small Craft Advisory. Later forecast may want to include if confidence increases.
Outlook /Sunday Night through Wednesday/...
Sunday through Sunday Night: Winds less than 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.
Monday through Tuesday: Winds less than 25 kt.
Tuesday Night: Low risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas locally approaching 5 ft.
Wednesday: Moderate risk for Small Craft Advisory winds with gusts up to 25 kt. Areas of seas approaching 5 ft. Chance of rain.
BOX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
MA...None.
RI...None.
MARINE...None.
toggle option: (graph/table)
Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show) Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.| Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
| KPVD THEODORE FRANCIS GREEN STATE,RI | 6 sm | 19 min | SW 03 | 3 sm | Overcast | Mist | 45°F | 45°F | 100% | 30.02 |
| KSFZ NORTH CENTRAL STATE,RI | 9 sm | 14 min | var 03 | 10 sm | Overcast | 45°F | 45°F | 100% | 30.00 | |
| KUUU NEWPORT STATE,RI | 20 sm | 10 min | S 04 | 10 sm | Overcast | 45°F | 43°F | 93% | 30.01 | |
| KTAN TAUNTON MUNI KING FIELD,MA | 21 sm | 18 min | var 03 | 10 sm | Overcast | 48°F | 43°F | 81% | 30.01 |
Providence
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:39 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:56 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 06:29 AM EDT 4.22 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:43 AM EDT 0.68 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:28 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:50 PM EDT 4.67 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:32 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 04:39 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:56 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 06:29 AM EDT 4.22 feet High Tide
Sat -- 11:43 AM EDT 0.68 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:28 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:50 PM EDT 4.67 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:32 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Providence, Rhode Island, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.9 |
| 1 am |
| 1 |
| 2 am |
| 1 |
| 3 am |
| 1.5 |
| 4 am |
| 2.4 |
| 5 am |
| 3.5 |
| 6 am |
| 4.1 |
| 7 am |
| 4.1 |
| 8 am |
| 3.6 |
| 9 am |
| 2.6 |
| 10 am |
| 1.5 |
| 11 am |
| 0.8 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.7 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 2 pm |
| 1.1 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.4 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.3 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.5 |
| 6 pm |
| 4.4 |
| 7 pm |
| 4.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 4.2 |
| 9 pm |
| 3.3 |
| 10 pm |
| 2.1 |
| 11 pm |
| 1.1 |
Nayatt Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:24 AM EDT 0.50 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:39 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:56 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 06:24 AM EDT 4.22 feet High Tide
Sat -- 12:17 PM EDT 0.46 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:28 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:44 PM EDT 4.73 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:32 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Click for Map
Sat -- 12:24 AM EDT 0.50 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:39 AM EDT Moonset
Sat -- 05:56 AM EDT Sunrise
Sat -- 06:24 AM EDT 4.22 feet High Tide
Sat -- 12:17 PM EDT 0.46 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 04:28 PM EDT Moonrise
Sat -- 06:44 PM EDT 4.73 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:32 PM EDT Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Nayatt Point, Narragansett Bay, Rhode Island, Tide feet
| 12 am |
| 0.5 |
| 1 am |
| 0.6 |
| 2 am |
| 0.9 |
| 3 am |
| 1.6 |
| 4 am |
| 2.6 |
| 5 am |
| 3.6 |
| 6 am |
| 4.2 |
| 7 am |
| 4.1 |
| 8 am |
| 3.4 |
| 9 am |
| 2.3 |
| 10 am |
| 1.3 |
| 11 am |
| 0.7 |
| 12 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 1 pm |
| 0.5 |
| 2 pm |
| 0.9 |
| 3 pm |
| 1.6 |
| 4 pm |
| 2.6 |
| 5 pm |
| 3.7 |
| 6 pm |
| 4.5 |
| 7 pm |
| 4.7 |
| 8 pm |
| 4.1 |
| 9 pm |
| 3 |
| 10 pm |
| 1.8 |
| 11 pm |
| 0.9 |
Boston, MA,
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