Friday, September21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Staatsburg, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
9/17/2018 XTide broke when 1and1 "upgraded" my server. It has been esculated. I am sorry for the problem.

Sunrise 6:41AMSunset 6:55PM Friday September 21, 2018 11:38 AM EDT (15:38 UTC) Moonrise 5:33PMMoonset 3:03AM Illumination 89% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 12 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1028 Am Edt Fri Sep 21 2018
.small craft advisory in effect from 6 pm edt this evening through late tonight...
Today..S winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft this afternoon.
Tonight..SW winds around 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Occasional gusts up to 25 kt early. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Sat night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft.
Mon night..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft.
Tue..E winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Chance of showers.
Tue night..SE winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Chance of showers.
ANZ300 1028 Am Edt Fri Sep 21 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure over the canadian maritimes will move into the open atlantic waters today as a cold front moves through the great lakes region. The front will move through the local area late tonight and into early Saturday morning with canadian high pressure building to the north for the weekend, before shifting east. A warm front will pass through on Tuesday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Staatsburg, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 41.83, -73.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kaly 211503
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
1103 am edt Fri sep 21 2018

Synopsis
A warm front will move north of the region this
afternoon associated with a low pressure system moving towards
western quebec. A cold front will sweep across the region tonight
with a line of showers with embedded thunderstorms with some storms
possibly producing strong winds mainly north and west of the capital
district. Fair weather with seasonably cool temperatures are
expected for the weekend.

Near term through tonight
As of 1100 am edt... A low pressure system continues to move
across s-central ontario towards james bay and western quebec.

The warm front to the system is lifting north across the
adirondacks into the north county of ny and northern new
england. The showers have become sparse over the southern
adirondacks, and the localized light rain drizzle over the
berkshires should diminish around noon. Otherwise, the 12z kaly
sounding shows two strong inversions in place, one just above
850 hpa and one above 600 hpa. There also is a lot of moisture
trapped below 850 hpa evident of the low stratus and clouds on
the goes-16 visible channel this morning. A few thinner spots
are over the catskills.

The 12z kaly sounding also shows nicely the strengthening low-
level jet ahead of the cold front for tonight with h850 winds of
35 knots. The winds in the h925 to h500 layer will continue to
the strengthen throughout the day. In terms of the sfc winds
we are expecting southerly winds of 10 to 25 mph with some
gusts in the 30-45 mph range over the ridge tops of the
catskills, adirondacks and western new england higher terrain,
and some gusts to around 35 mph in the capital region due to
funneling up the hudson river valley. Some changes were made to
the wind grids.

The showers should diminish and we retooled the pops with no
showers thunderstorms for the mid to late pm, and then we tried
to time in the line or lines of showers thunderstorms ahead of
the cold front. It continues to be a high shear low cape
environment for any potential severe thunderstorms. The latest
guidance and cams show a line getting close to the western
adirondacks shortly before 00z, and spreading south and east
through midnight. The greatest threat for any damaging winds
looks to be north and west of albany. The instability becomes
less than 200 j kg quickly over the capital district, southern
vt and eastern catskills prior to midnight based on the latest
nam. We did add gusty winds to the grids, and tried to time the
line low topped narrow cold frontal rainband based on the 12z
3-km hrrr. Spc's latest outlook has kept a slight risk over the
western adirondacks, a marginal risk over the rest of the area,
except dutchess co, and the berkshires and litchfield cty in nw
ct. Again, damaging winds would be the primary threat from any
weakening squall line or broken lines of showers thunderstorms.

Lows will fall back into he 50s to lower 60s with a few upper
40s over the adirondacks.

Short term Saturday through Sunday
The front will exit by daybreak on Saturday, allowing a drier
and more seasonable airmass to filter into the region. High
pressure will build in at the surface as the flow aloft becomes
zonal. Temperatures will be in the upper 50s to upper 60s with
lows in the 40s both Saturday and Sunday. Some high terrain
locations may even cool into the uper 30s both nights.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
As we close out the weekend with the official start of the autumn
season (september 22nd at 954 pm edt), a backdoor cold front with
limited moisture profiles will become quasi-stationary just to the
south of the local area Sunday night. This front will lift and
return as a warm front for Monday as the canadian high slides off
the new england coastline and upstream digging trough axis
approaches. Inbetween will be deep moisture from the tropics
advecting northward Monday night through Wednesday. Pwat anomalies
climb to between 1-2 standard deviations above normal with those
magnitudes increasing toward 3 standard deviations above normal on
Wednesday. So a period of wet weather with embedded heavier bursts
of rain are expected.

As for temperatures, Monday and Tuesday will be rather similar due
to little change in the thermal profiles and increasing clouds
Tuesday as temperatures climb into the 60s. Heading into Wednesday,
between breaks of precipitation, thermal column will be its warmest
as h850 temperatures climb into the middle teens. So 70s are
expected for valley locations with humid conditions. Global model
consensus suggests the cold frontal passage occurs Wednesday night
with improving conditions and seasonable temperatures as high
pressure, with origins from the center of our nation, slides across
the area.

Aviation 15z Friday through Tuesday
MVFR ifr CIGS continue across the region as a band of scattered to
broken showers was progressing to the north and northeast of i90.

This will impact mainly kgfl but a vcsh for kalb will remain in the
forecast. Some light rain or drizzle has produce ifr CIGS vsbys
at kpsf which will last only a few hours until 15z. As the
daylight progresses, the TAF sites should remain dry yet the
stratus will likely linger within the MVFR category. The line of
storms expected along the approaching cold front arrives
tonight. Latest guidance supports a diminishing line of
convection due to limited instability, however, winds will
remain high above the surface so we will continue with the
prob30 at this time.

Southerly winds will occasionally have gusts at or above 20kts, with
llws an issue for kalb-kgfl-kspf. The winds may increase enough
at the sfc for the llws to diminish at 1800 utc or 2100 utc
respectively. Frontal passage overnight will bring a quick
shift toward a west-northwest direction at similar speeds.

Outlook...

Saturday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Sunday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Sunday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Monday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Monday night: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Tuesday: moderate operational impact. Likely shra.

Tuesday night: high operational impact. Likely shra... Tsra.

Wednesday: high operational impact. Likely shra... Tsra.

Fire weather
A low pressure system will impact the region today. The
system's warm front will lift through the area this morning with
southerly winds becoming breezy during the day. A cold front
will sweep across the region late tonight. A line of showers
with embedded thunderstorms is expected ahead of the cold front
with some storms possibly producing strong winds north and west
of the capital district. Fair weather with seasonably cool
temperatures are expected for the weekend.

Hydrology
A low pressure system will impact the region with its warm
front lifting to our north late this morning followed by a cold
front late tonight. North and west of the capital district a
third to about an inch of rainfall is forecast. Much of this
area is in need of rainfall. Lesser amounts are expected to the
south and east. Outside of some ponding of water on roadways
flooding is not expected.

Fair and seasonably cool for the weekend.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed
and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the
advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Jlv wasula
near term... Jlv wasula
short term... Jlv
long term... Bgm
aviation... Bgm wasula
fire weather... Iaa jlv
hydrology... Iaa jlv


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TKPN6 13 mi45 min SSE 9.9 G 12 66°F 72°F63°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 13 mi69 min 64°F 1022 hPa62°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 60 mi45 min S 8 G 13 69°F 74°F1023.5 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 63 mi54 min S 12 G 14 70°F 1 ft60°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
Last
24hr
E3
E5
G8
NE5
G9
S5
G8
SE7
G10
S6
G10
S6
S5
SE4
S8
SE12
G15
S8
G11
SE10
G13
SE11
SE12
S10
S12
SE12
G15
S7
G16
S8
G12
S11
S10
G13
S10
S10
1 day
ago
NE7
G10
NE4
G7
SE12
S6
SE11
S9
SE7
G10
SE6
SE7
G11
E8
G11
E10
G14
NE6
G12
E6
G11
E7
G10
E7
G10
E9
E7
G11
NE6
G10
E7
G11
NE7
N4
G7
NE4
NE5
G10
NE7
2 days
ago
SW8
G16
SW8
G15
N5
G8
N4
NE3
N3
G7
N4
E3
N2
NW1
N1
NW2
N2
N2
N3
N3
NE4
N4
N4
N4
G9
N5
G8
N5
G8
N5
G9
NE10
G13

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY13 mi1.8 hrsSSE 310.00 miOvercast65°F60°F84%1022.8 hPa
Newburgh / Stewart, NY24 mi1.9 hrsVar 510.00 miOvercast66°F62°F88%1024 hPa

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
Last 24hrW33Calm3SW3W4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE4SE4CalmCalmS3S3S4S4SE3S5S33
1 day ago5NE10NE6N8N6N6N6CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN5N5N5N4N3N3CalmCalmN3CalmN4Calm
2 days agoN5N5N7Calm4CalmNW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmN6N6N4

Tide / Current Tables for Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help   One Week of Data
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (11,2,3,4)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.