Tuesday, January16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Friendsville, PA

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:26AMSunset 5:00PM Tuesday January 16, 2018 8:25 AM EST (13:25 UTC) Moonrise 7:01AMMoonset 4:49PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Friendsville , PA
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location: 41.88, -75.96     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 161126
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
626 am est Tue jan 16 2018

Synopsis
Develop low pressure system will produce widespread accumulating
snow across new york and pennsylvania today and tonight. Quiet
weather is expected into the weekend with gradually warming
temperatures.

Near term through Wednesday
350 am update...

main concern in the near term is focused around the incoming winter
storm expected to produce widespread accumulating snow across
central ny and NE pa today into Wednesday morning.

The winter weather advisory for snow has been expanded another tier
of counties west... To include ithaca, utica, and elmira.

The primary changes made to the forecast include a broader area of 3
to 5 inches of snow... Aligned with the expansion of the advisory,
and also a slight increase in snow amounts to the east... Especially
in the higher terrain locations.

A positively tilted, deep cold upper trough pushing through the great
lakes and into the ohio valley this morning is the primary forcing
mechanism for widespread snow in ny and pa. The combination of
strong upper forcing from a 140kt jet ahead of the trough... A modest
push of moisture from the south in front of the system and an
enhanced layer of mid level f-gen is will create favorable
conditions for continuous snow across the region today and into
tonight. The system is fairly slow-moving, so this will allow for a
longer period of accumulation.

The time when the heaviest snow is expected to fall is this
afternoon and evening when the low levels become most unstable and
also the thermal packing in the mid levels enhances the ne-sw
oriented 700mb f-gen band, which will increase snow production and
push snowfall rates into the 0.5 to 1" per hour rate range.

Total snowfall should range from 6 to 8 inches in the srn
catskills and a good portion of NE pa... Including the poconos.

Higher amounts close to 9 inches are not out of the question in
the higher terrain locations. Snow will range from 3 to 6
inches further to the west... Including binghamton, utica,
ithaca, cooperstown, elmira.

A weak surface low forms off the jersey coast later tonight ahead of
the upper trough and lifts quickly to the NE by Wed morning. This
enhancement will likely trigger a bit more snow in the srn
catskills and the poconos after midnight tonight than previously
expected. So, as mentioned above, have increased snow amts in
this area. Also... May need to extend the advisory beyond 5 am
wed morning.

Otherwise, the snow should taper off during the morning hours
Wednesday as the best forcing shifts east NE and weak ridging aloft
builds in behind the system. There may be a period of light lake
effect snow in oneida county into Wed afternoon, but inversion
heights around 5000 ft and a decent amt of dry air advecting in with
winds out of the west should limit snowfall to less than 1 inch.

Temperatures will be fairly mild today with highs topping out in the
upper 20s. Lows tonight will fall back into the lower teens in the
west and upper teens lower 20s east. Highs Wednesday will rise into
the upper teens and lower 20s.

Short term Wednesday night through Thursday night
2 am update...

brief shot of cold air this period with a broad upper level trough
over the northeast us. The low level flow is 280 so most of the snow
showers will be across the far north with the best accumulations in
the tug hill plateau of northern oneida county. Snow amounts will
not be significant. Moisture remains shallow with 850mb temperatures
not enough to create much lift. A short wave GOES through Thursday
evening providing some enhancement.

Temperatures not too far from average. Only a little low. Highs mid
20s in the higher terrain of the east to around 30 chemung valley to
nepa. Thursday night lows in the teens.

Long term Friday through Monday
2 am update...

Friday lake effect snow continues across the far north. Expected to
end late in the day. Seasonable temperatures with high in the low
30s. Friday night dry with lows in the 20s. Warming trend as flow
shifts to the southwest.

Models similar in handling the next big system. A warm front lifts
through Sunday night followed by a cold front late Monday. The
strong surface low lifts northeast through the western great lakes.

This weekend with and ahead of the warm front will be light rain
showers and some snow showers mostly for central ny. High
temperatures in the 40s Monday so precipitation will be all rain,
but could end as snow Monday night. For now progressive with an inch
or less of rain. Most of the snow will melt and run off. This rain
and snow melt will rise rivers again. Could still be a problem with
ice jams in the rivers and rivers higher now from last weekends
event.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
MVFR toVFR ceilings this morning with occasional ifr vsbys in
light snow. Conditions will deteriorate by late morning and
especially the afternoon as the heavier snow develops.

The lowest restrictions... Below ifr... Are still expected at
kbgm, kith, kavp, and krme. The snow will be somewhat lighter at
kelm and ksyr, mostly MVFR to ifr. The snow may be heavy at
times between 16z and 02z. The snow will taper off west to east
after 06z tonight with conditions slowly improving but light
snow continuing at kbgm and kavp at least until 12z.

S-se winds 5-10 kt this morning and afternoon, will switch to
the NW after 03z at ksyr, kith, kelm... And after 07z at krme,
kbgm and kavp.

Outlook...

Wednesday... Flight restrictions in lake effect snow possible at
krme, withVFR conditions elsewhere.

Thursday... MainlyVFR.

Friday... GenerallyVFR conditions expected. Some localized
restrictions in snow showers possible.

Saturday... PrimarilyVFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... Winter weather advisory until 5 am est Wednesday for
paz038>040-043-044-047-048-072.

Ny... Winter weather advisory until 5 am est Wednesday for nyz009-
024-025-036-037-044>046-055>057-062.

Synopsis... Bjt
near term... Bjt
short term... Tac
long term... Tac
aviation... Bjt mlj


Weather Reporting Stations
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY24 mi85 minS 77.00 miOvercast21°F19°F93%1026.4 hPa

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrE7SE7E6SE5SE5SE8
G16
SE9SE6SE8SE7SE8SE8SE8SE8S8S6--------------S7
1 day agoN4N5N8N7NW7N9N9N8N8N5NE5NE7NE6E6NE4NE5E6NE6NE7E3E8E6E6E8
2 days agoN15
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N13NW11NW10
G18
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NW8NW8NW8NW6NW6NW8
G18
NW6NW10N8NW7N8N6N6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (8,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.