Thursday, May24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kingston, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:25AMSunset 8:20PM Thursday May 24, 2018 7:25 PM EDT (23:25 UTC) Moonrise 3:15PMMoonset 3:08AM Illumination 76% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 10 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 659 Pm Edt Thu May 24 2018
Tonight..S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then 1 to 2 ft in the afternoon.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat night..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely. Patchy fog after midnight with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning. Showers likely, mainly in the morning with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Mon..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Mon night..S winds around 5 kt, becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue..NW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NW winds around 5 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 659 Pm Edt Thu May 24 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A back door cold front lingering over the eastern waters this evening will gradually dissipate overnight as high pressure otherwise dominates. Another back door cold front will pass through Saturday night into Sunday morning, becoming nearly stationary just to the south through memorial day. Another cold front will follow from the west on Tuesday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kingston, NY
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location: 41.93, -73.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 242052
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
452 pm edt Thu may 24 2018

Synopsis
As high pressure slides eastward off the atlantic coast, very
warm conditions are expected Friday into Saturday, with
increasing amounts of humidity. Some showers or thunderstorms
are possible over the holiday weekend, mainly for Sunday into
Monday.

Near term through Friday
For tonight... Expect mainly clear skies are expected as high
pressure remains in control of our weather, lows will be in the
upper 40s to mid 50s.

On Friday skies will continue to remain mainly clear. It will be
a warmer day than today along with slightly higher levels of
relative humidity. Highs on Friday will be in the mid 70s to mid
80s.

Short term Friday night through Sunday
Aside from some passing clouds, Friday night should remain
rain-free as an upper level wave approaches the region.

Overnight lows will remain fairly mild as well, with
temperatures only dipping into the upper 50s to lower 60s.

By Saturday, a frontal boundary to the north across southern
canada will start dropping southward towards the area.

Additionally, the upper level disturbance over the great lakes will
move closer to the region. Ahead of these boundaries, it will
be another warm day, with highs into the 80s and dewpoints will
be starting to get muggy with readings into the 60s. The latest
gefs indicates that this air mass is 1-2 standard deviations
warmer than normal, with climatology indicated a normal high of
72 degrees. With these two features, a few showers or even a
thunderstorm will be possible later in the day across the area,
but especially across the northern portion of the forecast
area closer to the frontal boundary.

Saturday night into Sunday, rain chances continue for the
entire area as the cold front continues to drop southward. This
front may get hung up for a bit on Sunday across the southern ny before
getting kicked to the east as a stronger upper level wave moves
across the great lakes. This will lead to continued unsettled
weather through the day Sunday. Highs Sunday afternooon will be
10-15 degrees cooler than Saturday, albeit near normal, in the
upper 60s to low 70s.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
The backdoor cold front responsible for the cool and cloudy weather
on Sunday looks to be positioned near nyc southern new england by
00z Monday. For Sunday night, we will be watching a departing low
off the nj mid-atlantic coast along with large scale high pressure
in the midwest. With this high inching eastward overnight, our
backdoor cold front may start to gradually lift northeastward as a
warm front. The increasing warm air advection Sunday night keeps the
potential for showers in the forecast and thus kept the chance pops
for areas in and especially west of the capital district. Decreased
pops to slight chance pops in western new england where the effects
of the low level marine layer may be stronger.

As per usual, the low level cool wedge likely will be tough to scour
out despite the increasing warm air advection aloft. Therefore, low
temperatures should remain cool, falling into the 50s and
potentially even 40s in parts of western new england.

Warm air advection continues after 12z Monday and the cool wedge in
the lower half of the boundary layer should gradually start to erode
away from southwest to northeast. As parts of our region enter the
warm sector, high temperatures turn warmer than Sunday reaching into
the 70s. Dew points should remain a bit high in the upper 50s near
60. Western new england may remain cool as the region could still be
feeling the effects of the high off the new england coast. As the
cool wedge erodes in the western half of the CWA allowing for breaks
of sun, instability looks to increase. Therefore, continued the
threat for scattered showers and thunderstorms on Monday, with the
highest pops in the western half of the cwa.

An upper level trough in canada then looks to drag a moisture
starved cold front across our region from NW to SE Monday night so
continued low end chance pops for the northern half of the CWA and
slight chance for the southern half between 00z - 12z Tuesday. The
front looks to be southwest of our region by 18z Tuesday and in its
wake, canadian high pressure takes control. This should lead to
clearing skies with highs reaching into the upper 70s low 80s. Dew
points will fall through the day thanks to this air mass change
dropping into the low 50s.

Large scale riding moves into the northeast for Wednesday giving us
a beautiful day. Expect abundant sunshine, highs in the upper 70s
and dew points comfortably in the upper 40s low 50s. High pressure
shifts off the coast Thursday and we will be monitoring a
disturbance in the southeast u.S. With increasing warm air advection
ahead of this system, we will have to monitor the potential for
showers and introduced chance pops to reflect this threat.

Aviation 19z Thursday through Tuesday
High pressure will control the weather through the end of the
taf period ending at 18z Friday with few if any clouds
expected.

North to northwest winds of 4 to 10 kts are expected to become
west this afternoon and remain west overnight. Winds will be
west to southwest on Friday with wind speeds around 10 kts with
gusts over 20 kts at kpsf.

Outlook...

Friday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Saturday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra... Tsra.

Saturday night: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra... Tsra.

Sunday: moderate operational impact. Scattered shra.

Sunday night: moderate operational impact. Scattered shra.

Memorial day: moderate operational impact. Scattered shra... Tsra.

Monday night: moderate operational impact. Scattered shra... Tsra.

Tuesday: low operational impact. Isolated shra.

Fire weather
Dry weather is expected over the next few days. Rh values
should recover back to near 100 percent tonight, before lowering
to 35 to 45 percent during the day on Friday. West winds will
be 10 to 20 mph for Friday. The next chance of rain will be over
the holiday weekend, mainly Sunday into Monday, in the form of
scattered showers and thunderstorms.

Hydrology
No hydrologic issues are anticipated over the next few days.

Dry weather is expected to continue through tomorrow with high
pressure in control. As a result, rivers, streams, lakes, ponds,
reservoirs, brooks, creeks and kills will remain fairly steady
over the next few days.

Our next chance for scattered showers and possible thunderstorms
will be over the holiday weekend. Northern areas will have the
best chance of seeing a shower or thunderstorm on Saturday, with
better chances across the remainder of the area for Sunday into
Monday. Rainfall amounts will be highly variable due to
thunderstorm activity and some locations may stay completely dry.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Frugis 11
near term... 11
short term... Jvm
long term... Speciale
aviation... 11
fire weather... Frugis jvm
hydrology... Frugis jvm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
TKPN6 6 mi38 min Calm G 1.9 74°F 66°F46°F
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 7 mi56 min 77°F 1017 hPa52°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 67 mi44 min S 5.1 G 6 73°F 56°F1017.3 hPa
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 70 mi56 min SSW 5.8 G 7.8 73°F 56°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY21 mi33 minN 010.00 miFair80°F43°F27%1016.3 hPa

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW4CalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW5NW8NW46N7NE75CalmS4CalmCalm
1 day agoS5S4S4S3SE3CalmS4S4SE4CalmCalmCalm4NE9NE9NW8N7N10NW4N8N8NW5NW8NW7
2 days agoCalmSE3E4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE33SW4SE3CalmN3W4S3S3SE3CalmS3

Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 03:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:24 AM EDT     0.40 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:27 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 10:06 AM EDT     3.84 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:52 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:18 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:49 PM EDT     4.19 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.12.31.610.50.51.32.233.63.83.73.12.41.70.90.300.51.52.63.444.2

Tide / Current Tables for Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York
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Hyde Park
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Thu -- 03:07 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 04:03 AM EDT     0.31 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:28 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:46 AM EDT     3.32 feet High Tide
Thu -- 03:14 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:31 PM EDT     -0.02 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:17 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 10:29 PM EDT     3.60 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.41.81.20.60.30.61.32.12.83.23.33.12.51.81.20.60.10.10.71.62.43.13.53.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (19,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.