Saturday, October21, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kingston, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:15AMSunset 6:05PM Saturday October 21, 2017 11:47 AM EDT (15:47 UTC) Moonrise 8:50AMMoonset 7:32PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1033 Am Edt Sat Oct 21 2017
Today..Light and variable winds, becoming S around 5 kt this afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tonight..SW winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..S winds around 5 kt, increasing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Mon night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of light rain and drizzle after midnight.
Tue..S winds 10 to 15 kt, increasing to 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less, then around 2 ft in the afternoon. Showers likely.
Tue night..S winds 15 to 20 kt, diminishing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas around 2 ft. Showers.
Wed..SW winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
Wed night..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers.
ANZ300 1033 Am Edt Sat Oct 21 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure will build across the waters today then slide east tonight, remaining over the western atlantic through early next week. Meanwhile, a cold front will slowly approach from the west moving through the region late Tuesday or even Wednesday bringing the chance for gale force winds ahead of it Tuesday night.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kingston, NY
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location: 41.93, -73.97     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 211420
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
1020 am edt Sat oct 21 2017

Synopsis
A large ridge of high pressure will result in a delightful
autumn weekend with dry conditions and above normal
temperatures. Unsettled weather returns Tuesday through the
middle of next week associated with a cold front.

Near term through tonight
As of 1020 am edt, the forecast remains on track this morning.

Only minor tweaks to the hourly temps were made based on recent
obs. Sent updates to ndfd and web servers.

Prev disc...

as of 630 am edt... Mostly clear skies as large area of high
pressure and associated subsidence will be in place across the
region through the near term portion of the forecast. H500
heights climb toward 588dm as surface pressures climb toward
1030mb per model comparisons and ensembles. Just occasional
cirrus clouds moving across the sky as highs today will climb to
between 70-75f for valley locations and mid-upr 60s elsewhere
(a good 10-15 degrees above normal). Tonight, should return back
to mainly 40s with some patchy fog possible.

Short term Sunday through Monday
Sunday-Monday... We continue with the tranquil weather as the
ridge hangs on tough as surface reflection slides off the
eastern seaboard. This will allow for an increase in southerly
winds and perhaps even milder temperatures. There are some
subtle hints of low clouds stratus and some drizzle possible
through Monday as low level trajectories originate from the
atlantic. The extra cloud coverage may result in a slightly
cooler afternoon highs but should still see some 70s for valley
locations. For albany, for the month of october, this would mark
up to 15 days with temperatures at or above 70f which places
this month at third place in the records.

As upstream cold front is slower due to the ridge hanging on a
bit longer, we will delay the mention of showers in the forecast
west of albany through Monday.

Long term Monday night through Friday
Upper level ridging will be shifting downstream of the region for
Monday night, with an approaching upper level trough and frontal
boundary heading towards the area from the midwest, great lakes and
ohio valley. Strong southerly flow ahead of this system will start
to advect plenty of moisture into the region for Monday night. Along
with increasing clouds, some showers and areas of drizzle will be
possible, especially towards daybreak Tuesday. With the strong
southerly flow and increasing clouds, overnight lows will be in the
mid to upper 50s, which is more typical of daytime highs for this
time of year, as opposed to overnight lows.

The upper level trough will continue to sharpen and deepen across
the ohio valley as it moves eastward for Tuesday. Meanwhile, surface
low pressure will be strengthening as well, as it lifts to our
northwest across ontario and into quebec. Showers will become
increasing in coverage through the day, with the best chance along
the storm's occluded cold front late in the day or during the
evening. There may be some locally moderate to heavy downpours,
thanks to the strong forcing along this line. Cannot rule out some
gusty winds mixing down with this activity, as the low let jet
reaches 50-60 kts, especially if any embedded convective elements
occurs along the narrow cold frontal rainband. Ahead of this front,
temps should reach well into the 60s to near 70 f once again. Model
and ensemble guidance suggest up to an inch of rainfall is possible,
which is much needed due to the recent dry weather. Although brief
downpours are expected, no flooding is anticipated.

The front should cross Tuesday evening, allowing for steady precip
to taper off for later Tuesday night. Still, cannot totally rule
out some additional showers for late Tuesday night into Wednesday,
as the strong upper level trough becomes negatively tilted, and
cooler air moving in aloft, allows for some lake-enhanced rain
showers within the cyclonic flow, especially for western parts of
the area. Highs on Wednesday, will be cooler, although not totally
chilly just yet, with highs in the mid 50s to mid 60s.

Some additional rainfall is possible for late in the week, although
it will depend on if the upper level trough cuts off over the region
and or if any additional waves of low pressure move up the departing
front just east of the region. For now, will go with chc pops for
Thursday and slight chc for Friday. Although temps should be more
seasonable with the core of the upper trough overhead on Thursday
(highs in the 50s), there could be some warming by later in the
week, as temps aloft rise as the trough starts to depart, with
valley highs back around 60 for Friday.

Aviation 14z Saturday through Wednesday
Vfr conditions are currently in place for most sites thanks to
nearby high pressure, allowing for clear skies and very light or
calm winds. The boundary layer is rather dry, which has
prevented radiational fog from forming in most areas this
morning, despite the good radiational cooling. However, there
have been some brief periods of ifr fog at kgfl due to local
terrain effects and some lingering fog mist is possible there
through 13z.

Otherwise, during the day today, it will continue to be nearly
fully sunny, with just a few passing high cirrus clouds by this
afternoon into this evening and continuedVFR conditions. A
light south to southwest breeze around 5 kts will develop
during daytime heating as well, but winds will go back to being
calm for tonight.

Vfr conditions will continue into tonight for most sites,
although cannot totally rule out some fog mist at kgfl kpsf for
late in the night into early Sunday morning. Elsewhere, the dry
boundary layer and a large enough spread in t TD should prevent
any fog from forming.

Outlook...

Sunday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Sunday night: no operational impact. Patchy fg.

Monday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Monday night: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Tuesday: high operational impact. Breezy definite shra.

Tuesday night: high operational impact. Breezy likely... Ra.

Wednesday: low operational impact. Slight chance of shra.

Fire weather
An area of high pressure will build in through the start of the weekend
from the mid atlantic region and then shift offshore on Sunday
resulting in continued dry and mild conditions.

Rh values will lower 25 to 40 percent this afternoon, and then
recover to 70 to 100 percent for most of the region by Sunday
morning.

Winds will be light to calm to variable in direction at 10 mph
or less this afternoon, and will once again become light to
calm tonight.

Hydrology
No precipitation is expected through this weekend into most of
Monday with high pressure in control, as river flows will remain
at normal to below normal levels.

The next chance of widespread rainfall arrives Monday night
into Tuesday night associated with a cold front. Rainfall
amounts may range from three quarters of an inch to an inch and
a half from this system. Some locally heavy rainfall is
possible.

Another round of wet weather is possible later in the week, but
there remains quite a bit of uncertainty with evolution and
track of the system and the QPF with it.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Bgm
near term... Bgm jvm
short term... Bgm wasula
long term... Frugis
aviation... Frugis
fire weather... Bgm wasula
hydrology... Bgm wasula


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 7 mi77 min 54°F 1027 hPa45°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 67 mi47 min S 5.1 G 6 65°F 65°F1026.5 hPa (+0.7)
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 70 mi62 min SW 3.9 G 3.9 63°F 50°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY21 mi54 minN 010.00 miFair60°F42°F52%1026.8 hPa

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7N73N9NW7N5N4SE4CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmN3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSW10
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SW7SW9S5S4CalmCalmCalmSE4CalmCalmCalmS3CalmNE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSW3
2 days ago335W6CalmS3SE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS34

Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
Click for Map
Sat -- 02:54 AM EDT     4.06 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:50 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:27 AM EDT     -0.01 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 03:15 PM EDT     4.44 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:54 PM EDT     0.03 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.43.33.94.13.832.11.20.50.10.112.23.34.14.44.33.72.71.80.90.300.5

Tide / Current Tables for Hyde Park, Hudson River, New York
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Hyde Park
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Sat -- 02:34 AM EDT     3.47 feet High Tide
Sat -- 07:15 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sat -- 08:49 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sat -- 09:05 AM EDT     0.00 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 02:56 PM EDT     3.82 feet High Tide
Sat -- 06:04 PM EDT     Sunset
Sat -- 07:32 PM EDT     Moonset
Sat -- 09:34 PM EDT     0.02 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.333.43.43.12.31.50.90.300.31.22.23.13.63.83.62.92.11.30.60.10.10.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (11,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.