Saturday, November18, 2017

Marine Weather and Tides
Harbor, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:08AMSunset 4:49PM Saturday November 18, 2017 5:25 PM PST (01:25 UTC) Moonrise 7:10AMMoonset 5:32PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ330 1126 Pm Pdt Fri Aug 9 2013
.thunderstorms over the waters... Thunderstorms over the waters have weakened but isolated storms will continue overnight. Mariners can expect gusty and erratic winds with the storms along with frequent lightning. If caught on the open water stay below deck if possible...keep away from ungrounded metal objects. Lat...lon 4397 12411 4396 12411 4400 12413 4284 12455 4242 12440 4225 12441 4205 12428 4184 12422 4181 12580 4198 12579 4220 12589 4370 12576 4386 12565 4399 12562 4403 12414
PZZ300 247 Pm Pst Sat Nov 18 2017
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters..High pressure will remain over the coastal waters with mostly light winds and low seas today. South winds will increase again ahead of the next front Sunday with gales and very steep seas likely Sunday afternoon. Winds are expected to decrease some on Monday night but will increase again Tuesday and Wednesday. Unsettled weather will then continue through much of next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Harbor, OR
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location: 42.05, -124.27     debug

Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 182251
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
251 pm pst Sat nov 18 2017

Short term Tonight through Tuesday... Fog was slow to burn off
in the rogue and illinois valleys today and with patches of fog
lingering in the southern portion of the illinois valley. Because
of this, high temperatures will be much cooler than previously
forecast for locations in these valleys. This break from the fog
will be short lived with only a few hours of filtered Sun thanks
to thin cirrus streaming over the area. Another clear, cold night
is expected tonight and this will make for a repeat of last
night's conditions. Fog will fill in the valleys west of the
cascades and another frost advisory has been issued for the umpqua
and coquille basins.

Fog should be less stubborn Sunday as it will be a transition day
back to an active pattern. The ridge axis will shift to the east
and another strong front with tropical origins will make it's way
toward the area Sunday afternoon. Ahead of this front, winds will
increase and have issued wind advisories for the shasta valley
and portions lake and modoc counties in the traditionally windier
locations. Details on this can be found at npwmfr. It could be
gusty in the rogue valley as well Monday afternoon, but have held
off on an advisory for now. Will see how nearer term models
resolve the winds with future model runs and evaluate further.

Heavy rain will also accompany this front and should begin at the
coast by late Sunday evening. The heaviest rain is expected
overnight Sunday into late Monday morning focused on the southern
portion of the coastal range. Although rain will be heavy at
times, it's nothing more than what we've seen in recent events.

Snow levels with this front start off around 6,000 feet, rising to
around 9,000 feet by Monday morning thanks to the tropical nature of
the moisture. Because of this, snow impacts should be minimal and
restricted to the higher passes for a brief time.

By Monday afternoon, precipitation rates begin to taper off as
the bulk of the moisture shifts to the north of the forecast area.

There will be relative lull in winds overnight Monday. The area
will still be under the influence of moist, southwest flow Tuesday
but it seems models have shifted the focus of the heaviest
precipitation into northern oregon and washington. As a result,
qpf amounts have been lowered over the area for the Tuesday
system, with the most precipitation expected over the southern
coastal mountains. Southerly winds will still be a concern
however, and there could be another round of wind headlines
Tuesday. Snow levels will remain high, above 9,000 feet, as we
head into the extended period. Br-y

Long term Wednesday through Saturday... Models continue to show
agreement that the area will remain under the influence of southwest
flow through Thursday as a ridge remains centered inland to the
east and a trough is centered off the pacific northwest. With this
pattern, also expect high snow levels of 8000 ft or more Wednesday
and Thursday. The 12z models indicate that a front may linger near
or just inland of the coast on Wednesday into Thursday and bring
continued areas of rain. Based on the latest models, there is the
potential for widespread rain showers on thanksgiving day.

Another front is forecast to move into the area from the west-
northwest and bring additional rain Thursday night into Friday. Snow
levels are expected to lower to 6000 to 7000 feet on Friday. Models
support a brief period of dry weather late Friday with showers
expected to diminish by Friday evening and night as the upper ridge
builds over the region. This break may be brief though with models
indicating a moist frontal system moving into the area Saturday into
Saturday night. The GFS continues to be faster and moister with this
system. -cc

Aviation 18 18z TAF cycle... Fog and low clouds are lifting very
slowly in the west side inland valleys this morning, and may not
break out at all in the grants pass area. Similar conditions as this
morning are expected in the west side valleys Sunday morning, but
will break out a little earlier as a front moves into the area.


Marine Updated 250 pm pst Saturday 18 november 2017... High
pressure will remain over the coastal waters with mostly light winds
and low seas today. South winds will increase again ahead of the
next front Sunday with gales and very steep seas Sunday afternoon.

Confidence is high that seas will build to around 14 feet
Sunday night from gold beach north, with seas possibly building to
17 feet north of coos bay. Winds could decrease some Monday night
but are expected to increase to near gale again on Tuesday. As a
result we have extended the gale watch through Wednesday. Unsettled
weather will then continue through much of next week. -sven

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... Frost advisory from 2 am to 9 am pst Sunday for orz021-023.

Wind advisory from 10 pm Sunday to 4 pm pst Monday for

Ca... Wind advisory from 10 pm Sunday to 4 pm pst Monday for caz085.

Wind advisory from 10 am Sunday to 10 pm pst Monday for caz081.

Pacific coastal waters... Small craft advisory from 4 am to 4 pm pst Sunday for

Gale warning from 4 pm Sunday to 3 pm pst Wednesday for

Hazardous seas warning from 4 pm Sunday to 3 pm pst Wednesday
for pzz350-356-376.

Mnf cc sbn

Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
46027 - ST GEORGES - 8NM West Northwest of Crescent City, CA 15 mi35 min SE 1.9 G 1.9 51°F 53°F4 ft1022.2 hPa (-0.5)

Wind History for Crescent City, CA
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1 day
2 days

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brookings, Brookings Airport, OR2 mi29 minN 010.00 miFair46°F36°F68%1024.2 hPa
Crescent City, Jack McNamara Field Airport, CA18 mi29 minN 010.00 miFair47°F39°F74%1022.7 hPa

Wind History from BOK (wind in knots)
Last 24hrCalmN3CalmCalmCalm3NE3CalmCalmE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS3SE3S5S5CalmS4CalmCalm
1 day agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmE3CalmCalm--3333CalmW3W4NW3
2 days ago4NW444S7S633S955E3E3SE3SE5S4SE10S8S1046Calm56

Tide / Current Tables for Brookings, Chetco Cove, Oregon
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Click for Map
Sat -- 03:42 AM PST     New Moon
Sat -- 04:56 AM PST     2.47 feet Low Tide
Sat -- 07:09 AM PST     Moonrise
Sat -- 07:11 AM PST     Sunrise
Sat -- 10:51 AM PST     7.33 feet High Tide
Sat -- 04:53 PM PST     Sunset
Sat -- 05:32 PM PST     Moonset
Sat -- 05:46 PM PST     -0.39 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Tide / Current Tables for Crescent, California
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATIONSorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
IR Satellite Image from GEOS

GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT

Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.