Thursday, June21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Saugerties, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/20/2018 -- NOAA is having problems with the data feed that I use to draw the graphs. They are aware of the issue and working to resolve it. Sometimes changing the location by about a mile will give a correct graph. 3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.

Sunrise 5:19AMSunset 8:36PM Thursday June 21, 2018 1:04 AM EDT (05:04 UTC) Moonrise 2:12PMMoonset 1:42AM Illumination 53% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 941 Pm Edt Wed Jun 20 2018
Overnight..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming E late. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain late this evening, then rain with vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Thu..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the morning.
Thu night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers after midnight.
Sat..E winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely.
Sat night..SE winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of tstms. Showers likely, mainly in the evening.
Sun..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..W winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers and tstms.
Mon..NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the morning.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 941 Pm Edt Wed Jun 20 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. Low pressure riding along a stalled frontal boundary will track just south of the region overnight. This low exits to the east Thursday morning with weak high pressure building over the region. High pressure retreats to the north and east on Friday as the next frontal system approaches. This frontal system will move across the region this weekend. High pressure returns for next week.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saugerties village, NY
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location: 42.07, -73.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 210125
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
925 pm edt Wed jun 20 2018

Synopsis
A weak wave of low pressure will spread showers across the lower
to mid-hudson valley and northwest connecticut tonight, while
areas from the capital district on north remain dry. A large
area of high pressure over eastern canada will bring dry
seasonably warm weather Thursday and Friday. The next chance of
showers will then be on Saturday as low pressure approaches from
the west.

Near term until 6 am Thursday morning
As of 925 pm edt... Much of the forecast area has cleared out
with mid and high clouds confined to the far southeast portion
of the forecast area where some widely scattered to scattered
showers remain for the next several hours. Some radar returns
can be seen over southern new york and northwest connecticut,
however these have had very little precipitation hitting the
ground. The only other area of cloud cover which may impact
northern areas later tonight would be the clouds associated with
a cold front near the canadian border which continues to move
southeastward. Lows tonight will be in the upper 40s to lower
60s.

Short term 6 am Thursday morning through Friday night
Thursday and Friday will be nice early summer days with high
pressure over eastern canada bringing a dry, seasonably warm
northeasterly flow into Friday. Have gone with a blend of mos
guidance for temperatures through the period with near normal
values near 80 during the day. Nighttime temperatures Thursday
night will be a bit cooler than normal due to mainly clear skies
with low dew points resulting in lows ranging from the 40s
across the north country to the 50s from the capital district
southward.

The next chance of showers will be late Friday night and
Saturday as a mid-level low pressure area approaches from the
west. Meanwhile, a low-level frontal boundary over the mid-
atlantic region will begin to lift north. Showers will increase
from southwest to northeast across the area starting late Friday
night as these systems approach our area. For now thunder
chances look to be rather low into Saturday with no real
instability as surface ridging along the northeast coast will
keep our area from warming and destabilizing. Based on this have
gone with just a slight chance of thunder Saturday afternoon
although the chance of showers looks pretty high. Clouds and
showers will keep temperatures cooler on Saturday with highs in
many places not much higher than 70.

Long term Saturday through Wednesday
330 pm Wed june 20 2018
the long term forecast period will begin with multiple shortwave
troughs and active weather, and will end with high pressure building
into the region.

Saturday night through Monday... An approaching shortwave and
associated low over the great lakes will bring a chance of showers
and thunderstorm to the region Saturday night into Sunday afternoon.

The best chance for thunderstorms will be late Sunday afternoon with
a secondary and more moist cold front progressing through the
region. The ECMWF gfs both suggest some surface based instability
and shear over the region further suggesting the potential for
thunderstorms late Sunday. Low pressure will redevelop over new
england into Monday and a couple weak lingering boundaries look to
swing through the region. This will keep conditions mostly cloudy
with a chance for some scattered rain showers throughout the day on
Monday. Highs on Sunday will be mild in the 70s to low 80s while
highs on Monday will be a bit cooler in the upper 60s to mid 70s.

Lows will be in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

Tuesday into Wednesday... High pressure will build into eastern new
york and western new england from the northwest on Tuesday and
remain settled over the region through Wednesday. This will provide
ample sunshine and southwest flow advecting temperatures in the low-
to-mid 80s into the region. Lows throughout this period will be in
the 50s.

Aviation 02z Thursday through Monday
A disturbance passing south of long island tonight will bring
the possibility of some widely scattered to scattered showers
or light rain for the mid hudson valley and southwest new
england tonight.

Vfr conditions are expected at all TAF sites through the end of
the TAF period ending at 00z Friday. Generally expect few to sct
clouds AOA 7 kft for kgfl and kalb with bkn clouds AOA 9 kft for
kpsf and kpou overnight before becoming few to sct around 12 kft
on Thursday. Have placed a vcsh in the TAF for kpou overnight in
case a few showers do result in precipitation that reaches the
ground.

The winds will become light to calm again tonight. Winds become
north to northeast at less than 10 kts Thursday morning.

Outlook...

Thursday to Friday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Friday night: low operational impact. Slight chance of shra.

Saturday: high operational impact. Likely shra... Tsra.

Saturday night: high operational impact. Likely shra... Tsra.

Sunday: moderate operational impact. Likely shra... Tsra.

Fire weather
Seasonable temperatures for the remainder of the week with
minimum rh values falling into the 30 to 50 percent range each
day. Light southwesterly winds today will become north-
northwesterly at 6 to 12 mph Thursday, and light south to
southeasterly Friday. Aside from some showers tonight over
portions of ulster, dutchess, and litchfield counties, dry
weather is expected for the remainder of the week.

Hydrology
A dry and seasonable airmass takes hold through the remainder
of the week. Aside from some showers tonight over
portions of ulster, dutchess, and litchfield counties, dry
weather is expected for the remainder of the week. The next
chance for widespread precipitation will be over the weekend.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Mse
near term... Mse 11
short term... Mse
long term... Cebulko
aviation... 11 nas
fire weather... Thompson
hydrology... Thompson


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 4 mi94 min 65°F 1008 hPa60°F
TKPN6 4 mi64 min Calm G 0 67°F 74°F58°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 74 mi64 min S 1.9 G 2.9 69°F 62°F1008.2 hPa (+0.0)
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 77 mi64 min SSW 1.9 G 1.9 69°F 68°F1009 hPa (+0.0)

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY30 mi72 minN 010.00 miOvercast69°F62°F78%1008 hPa

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmS35SW73SE3CalmCalmSE3CalmCalmCalmCalmSW6
1 day agoSW5SW5S3CalmNW3N3N9N7N12
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3SW9SW9S8SW9SW8
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Tide / Current Tables for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
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Tivoli
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Thu -- 01:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:32 AM EDT     0.50 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 09:10 AM EDT     4.11 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 04:02 PM EDT     0.06 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:35 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:55 PM EDT     4.39 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.51.71.10.60.61.22.23.13.84.13.93.32.51.710.40.10.41.42.53.44.14.44.1

Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:41 AM EDT     Moonset
Thu -- 03:01 AM EDT     0.51 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 05:20 AM EDT     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:41 AM EDT     3.88 feet High Tide
Thu -- 02:12 PM EDT     Moonrise
Thu -- 03:31 PM EDT     0.10 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 08:34 PM EDT     Sunset
Thu -- 09:25 PM EDT     4.16 feet High Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
21.30.80.50.81.72.63.33.83.93.52.821.30.70.20.20.91.92.93.64.14.13.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (1,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.