Sunday, July23, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Saugerties, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:40AMSunset 8:24PM Sunday July 23, 2017 2:53 AM EDT (06:53 UTC) Moonrise 5:53AMMoonset 8:37PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1254 Am Edt Sun Jul 23 2017
Overnight..E winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers. Vsby 1 to 3 nm.
Sun..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..E winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Mon..E winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming nw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely with chance of tstms in the morning, then chance of showers in the afternoon.
Mon night..N winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening.
Tue..N winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Tue night..NE winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..E winds around 5 kt, becoming s. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming W after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers. Winds and seas higher in and near tstms.
ANZ300 1254 Am Edt Sun Jul 23 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. A frontal boundary remains to our south tonight as a wave of low pressure tracks along it. This front then sags farther to the south on Sunday after the low passes. Another low then moves along the front, tracking off the mid-atlantic coast by Monday morning. Still another area of low pressure that moves through the region Monday and Monday night, exits to the east Tuesday. High pressure builds over the northeast late Tuesday through Wednesday, then drifts off the coast Wednesday night. Another wave of low pressure follows for Wednesday night into Thursday.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Saugerties village, NY
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location: 42.07, -73.93     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 230504
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
104 am edt Sun jul 23 2017

Synopsis
A wave of low pressure will move along a stationary front
located to our south bringing some showers to the southeastern
catskills, mid hudson valley and northwestern connecticut
mainly this evening. A stronger low pressure system approaching
from the great lakes region will bring more widespread showers
along with some thunderstorms to the area Sunday evening through
Monday.

Near term until 6 am this morning
As of 1215 am edt... The local area continues to be sandwiched
between stationary fronts, with one located to our north across
far northern new york and the another to our south in the
vicinity of i-80.

High pressure over hudson bay will shift southward with the
stationary front to our north weakening. Meanwhile, a wave of
low pressure will continue to move eastward along the boundary
to our south. Some light rain showers have been ongoing across
central southern areas this evening, but with this precip
falling out a mid-level clock deck, these showers have been very
light and spotty. Will continue to allow for slight to chc pops
until the late night hours (especially for far southern areas),
but any rainfall will be rather light and won't amount to very
much.

Partly cloudy conditions are expected to develop across the
northern portion of the forecast area with mostly cloudy cloudy
skies across the rest of the area. Lows will be from the mid
50s to mid 60s. It will be muggy especially for areas south and
east of the capital district.

Short term 6 am this morning through Tuesday
Fair weather is expected for much of Sunday as the area is
between systems and some ridging builds in at the surface and
aloft. The ridging aloft will induced ahead of an approaching
trough and opening low. Guidance keeps this feature positively
tilted as it approaches and moves through. Showers will begin to
move into the area late in the day Sunday and will overspread
it at night with showers continuing through the day Monday. The
unstable air is expected to remain to our west and south with
some limited instability possible late Sunday night and Monday;
have slight chance for thunder during that time. The system will
be slow to move through so chances for showers linger through
most of Monday night with chances limited to the northeastern
portion of are into Tuesday.

Highs mainly in the 70s Sunday with some lower 80s up the hudson
river valley. Much cooler Monday with extensive cloud cover and
showers with highs only in the 60s with lower mid 70s in the
mid hudson valley. Highs a bit warmer Tuesday in the mid 60s to
mid 70s; below normal by around 10 degrees.

Less muggy and more comfortable sleeping weather especially
Monday night.

Long term Tuesday night through Saturday
The long term period will begin with dry weather on Wednesday,
transition to wet weather Thursday and Friday, then return to dry
conditions heading into the weekend.

Tuesday night and Wednesday... High pressure will build eastward from
the great lakes resulting in mostly clear skies and pleasant
temperatures. Highs on Wednesday will be in the upper 60s to mid 70s
north of the capital region and upper 70s south of the capital
region.

Thursday and Friday... Expect unsettled weather with a chance of
thunderstorms on Thursday as cold front progresses to the southeast
out of canada. This may become a system of interest in the upcoming
days as the gfs ECMWF are suggesting modest instability, steep mid-
level lapse rates, and negative showalter indices. On Friday, the
ecmwf has a low pressure system developing to our south and moving
northeast while the GFS has a cyclone undergoing rapid cyclogenesis
off the east coast, therefore going with a chance of showers due to
the low confidence. Highs will be in the mid 70s to low 80s with
lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

Saturday... High pressure returns to the region bringing dry weather
and mostly clear skies. Highs will be in the mid 70s to low 80s with
lows in the upper 50s to mid 60s.

Aviation 05z Sunday through Thursday
Vfr conditions are generally expected to be in place tonight
into Sunday evening. However, a few periods of MVFR ifr could
occur at kpsf through at least 08z sun, as breaks in the mid
level clouds develop, allowing some patchy ground fog to develop
before winds increase behind a weak frontal passage.

Otherwise, based on the latest IR satellite imagery, sky cover
will generally continue to be bkn-ovc tonight. Ceiling heights
have been around 10-15 kft this evening, and these should
continue overnight, although may briefly drop to around 5 kft as
a weak cold front settles south. There could be a few light
spotty rain showers sprinkles at kpou through 08z sun, but this
should have little to no impact on visibility, so will just
mention it as a vcsh for now. Winds will be light variable,
trending into the northeast toward 12z Sun at less than 6 kt.

It should be dry for Sunday, although clouds will stick around,
with bkn CIGS around 10-15 kft. Light NE to E winds will be
around 5-10 kt. More widespread rain showers will return to the
region for later Sunday evening and overnight.

Outlook...

Sunday night: high operational impact. Likely shra... Tsra.

Monday: high operational impact. Likely shra... Tsra.

Monday night: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra.

Tuesday: low operational impact. Slight chance of shra.

Tuesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Wednesday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Wednesday night: low operational impact. Chance of shra... Tsra.

Thursday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra... Tsra.

Fire weather
A wave of low pressure will move along a stationary front
located to our south bringing some showers to the southeastern
catskills, mid hudson valley and northwestern connecticut
mainly this evening. A stronger low pressure system approaching
from the great lakes region will bring more widespread showers
along with some thunderstorms to the area Sunday evening through
Monday with total rainfall amounts of around an inch anticipated.

Hydrology
Hydrologic problems are not anticipated over the next few days.

A wave of low pressure will move along a stationary front
located to our south bringing some showers to the southeastern
catskills, mid hudson valley and northwestern connecticut
mainly this evening. The heavy rain will stay be to our south.

A stronger low pressure system approaching from the great lakes
region will bring more widespread showers along with some
thunderstorms to the area Sunday evening through Monday with
total rainfall amounts of around an inch anticipated.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed
and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the
advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs on our
website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Iaa
near term... Iaa frugis 11
short term... Iaa
long term... Cebulko
aviation... Frugis kl
fire weather... Iaa
hydrology... Iaa


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 4 mi84 min 74°F 1008 hPa73°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 74 mi54 min NNE 4.1 G 7 74°F 1006.2 hPa (-1.6)
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 77 mi54 min NE 7 G 8.9 75°F 76°F1007.1 hPa (-1.4)

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Poughkeepsie, Dutchess County Airport, NY30 mi61 minN 310.00 miOvercast71°F66°F84%1006.9 hPa

Wind History from POU (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmCalmNE4CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmW33SE3SE3NE3CalmNE4NW3CalmN5CalmN3CalmN3
1 day agoCalmCalmS3CalmS3SW4SW4CalmW6W5W6--SW8SW7SW12
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm34SW6SW8SW8SW7SW11SW10W3W9S8N5CalmCalmSE3CalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
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Tivoli
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Sun -- 02:03 AM EDT     5.26 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:40 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 05:47 AM EDT     New Moon
Sun -- 05:53 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 09:01 AM EDT     -0.60 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:40 PM EDT     4.50 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:36 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 09:06 PM EDT     -0.36 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.14.95.354.231.80.8-0.2-0.6-0.11.22.53.74.44.5431.90.90.1-0.401.3

Tide / Current Tables for Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston Point
Click for Map
Sun -- 01:35 AM EDT     5.03 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 05:47 AM EDT     New Moon
Sun -- 05:54 AM EDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 08:31 AM EDT     -0.57 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:13 PM EDT     4.28 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:23 PM EDT     Sunset
Sun -- 08:36 PM EDT     Moonset
Sun -- 08:37 PM EDT     -0.37 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
4.44.954.53.52.31.20.2-0.5-0.50.51.833.84.34.13.42.31.30.4-0.2-0.30.62

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (2,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.