Sunrise 6:06 AM   Sunset 7:43 PM Moonrise 3:39 PM   Moonset 4:31 AM

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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 742 Pm Edt Fri Apr 19 2024
Tonight - S winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Slight chance of showers late this evening. Chance of showers after midnight, then showers likely late. Sat - W winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers, mainly in the morning. Sat night - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sun - W winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Sun night - W winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Mon - NW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Mon night - NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming N after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue - SE winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Tue night - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 20 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Wed - S winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 to 2 ft. Showers likely. Wed night - NW winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.

ANZ300 742 Pm Edt Fri Apr 19 2024
Synopsis for the long island and connecticut coastal waters - A cold front moves across the region late tonight into early Saturday, followed by a secondary cold front Saturday evening. High pressure then builds in through early next week, but gives way to a frontal system on Wednesday.

FXUS61 KALY 200001 AFDALY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION National Weather Service Albany NY 801 PM EDT Fri Apr 19 2024

SYNOPSIS
A cold front will bring isolated to scattered rain showers to the region tonight. Behind the front, breezy and cool conditions are expected for Saturday with partly sunny conditions and isolated showers. It will remain mostly dry Sunday into Monday with partly sunny skies, but temperatures will continue to be a little below average for late April.

NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/

UPDATE
As of 800 PM EDT, KENX radar shows some weak returns primarily across the Mohawk Valley and southern Adirondacks associated with modest low-level convergence and isentropic lift ahead of a surface cold front. A closed upper-level low is situated over Ontario north of a jet streak across the Midwest.
The best upper-level forcing for ascent is displaced well to the northwest of the Albany CWA across portions of southern Quebec within the poleward exit region of the aforementioned jet.

As a result of the weak synoptic forcing, showers are expected to remain isolated through the overnight. However, ample low- level moisture will support widespread clouds and perhaps areas of drizzle through tomorrow morning, especially across western areas. This thinking is supported by numerous CAMs.

Winds are in the process of diminishing across the area per the latest New York State Mesonet observations post sunset, with generally light winds from the south southeast expected overnight.
The widespread cloud coverage will limit radiational cooling with lows expected to be in the upper 30s to upper 40s.

Overall, the previous forecast remains largely on track with only minor changes to retool POPs, temperatures, and dewpoints using RTMA and mesonet observations.

SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY/

On Saturday, sky cover will gradually improve through the morning hours, as the cold front continues to move east.
However, skies won't clear out completely, as the upper level trough and cold pool move overhead. The afternoon will likely see increasing clouds and some isolated showers as the cooling temps aloft and cyclonic flow promote the development of cu/stratocu. While most areas will be dry on Saturday, a few pop-up showers or sprinkles can't be ruled out by Saturday afternoon, especially over northern areas. Some pea size hail will be possible from any shower as a -30C cold pool drifts across the northern part of the area. Temps will be a little below normal thanks to the upper level cold pool in place. With the decent mixing, winds will be gusty and breezy by Saturday afternoon, with some westerly winds gusting up to 30 mph. It will remain a little breezy into Saturday night with some lingering clouds, although it should be dry with no precip across the area.

Dry weather is expected to continue for Sunday into Sunday night. Upper level trough will continue to be located over the Northeastern US, although the core of the cold pool will remain north of the area over Quebec. Another frontal boundary will be passing across the area, with a reinforcing shot of cooler air, but this moisture-starved front won't be producing any precip for our area. As a result, skies will be mostly clear for Sunday into Sunday night, although it will on the cooler side. It will be breezy once again on Sunday, especially during the afternoon and early evening with gusts around 30 mph.

LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/
Mainly fair weather is expected for Monday and Tuesday as the forecast area is forecast to be under weak upper ridging.
Temperatures on Monday look to start cold, but rise to near normal. On Tuesday, heights rise and look to be be slightly above normal over the southeastern part of the area by afternoon. Temperatures on Tuesday should be near to slightly above normal depending on sunshine. By Wednesday, the next upper trough starts to cross the region with a strong cold front which will likely bring rain showers to the area. Rain showers could end as snow showers Wednesday night across the high terrain as temperatures are forecast to be well below normal behind the front. Cold weather and some possible mountain snow showers linger into Thursday.

AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
Through 00Z/Sunday...A cold front is approaching the TAF sites with broken bands of showers. Expect VFR conditions with cigs 3.5-5 kft AGL to lower to MVFR levels initially at KGFL/KALB between 00Z-03Z/SAT with the showers, and then to expand across to KPSF/KPOU 03Z-06Z/SAT. Widespread MVFR conditions with cigs 1.5-3.0 kft AGL will continue until 11Z-13Z/SAT, when cigs will rise to VFR levels. We did not include IFR cigs at KPSF/KPOU at this time due to low confidence. Some showers may linger south of KALB after 06Z/SAT.

The upper level trough with bring stratocu/cumulus and some mid level clouds in the late morning into the afternoon with the lower bases in the 5-6 kft AGL range. Some isolated to scattered showers are possible too and we included VCSH groups for the possibility especially from KALB/KPSF northward.
However, VFR conditions are expected for the late morning into the afternoon.

Winds will be south to southeast 7-15 KT ahead of the front with some gusts around 25 KT at KALB/KPSF. The winds will shift to the west to southwest in the early morning at 5-10 KT and the increase from the west/northwest at 12-18 KT in the late morning into the afternoon with some gusts 25-30 KT in the afternoon at all the TAF sites.

Outlook...

Saturday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Sunday to Tuesday Night: Low Operational Impact. Breezy. NO SIG WX.
Tuesday Night: Moderate Operational Impact. Breezy. Chance of SHRA.
Wednesday: High Operational Impact. Breezy. Likely SHRA.

ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

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Tivoli
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Fri -- 04:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:01 AM EDT     0.83 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 12:01 PM EDT     3.68 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:32 PM EDT     0.48 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Tivoli, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

Kingston Point
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Fri -- 04:31 AM EDT     Moonset
Fri -- 05:31 AM EDT     0.79 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 06:08 AM EDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 11:31 AM EDT     3.47 feet High Tide
Fri -- 03:38 PM EDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 06:02 PM EDT     0.46 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 07:42 PM EDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION

Kingston Point, Hudson River, New York, Tide feet

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