Tuesday, October24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Binghamton, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:26AMSunset 6:08PM Tuesday October 24, 2017 7:09 AM EDT (11:09 UTC) Moonrise 10:47AMMoonset 8:36PM Illumination 18% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 4 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Binghamton, NY
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location: 42.11, -75.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 241026
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
626 am edt Tue oct 24 2017

Synopsis
A strong cold front, will cross the area this morning. Gusty
winds, along with showers and maybe a thunderstorm, will
accompany this system. Drying conditions with partial clearing
will occur this afternoon behind the front. Temperatures will
trend cooler for Wednesday and Thursday.

Near term through tonight
200 am update...

prospects for gusty winds this morning, especially at higher
elevations, remains the main near term concern. Though secondary
threats exist for severe thunderstorms and localized excessive
rainfall, it is becoming apparent that these threats are
trending even lower than prior thinking. The little threat that
does remain will be primarily our the far eastern part of the
area this morning to midday; that is, poconos to catskills.

Rapidly deepening low pressure can be found in northern
michigan, with negatively-tilted cold front extending across
southern ontario into western new york and central pennsylvania.

The surface front will slow down while moving through our area
today. However, it has become clearer now that the shortwave
aloft will run out ahead of it, which take ribbon of deeper
moisture into the hudson valley by this afternoon. So despite
very high amount of shear (0-1km helicity of several hundred
m2 s2), there are other factors counting against prospects for
severe convection and heavy rain, including getting into
negative vorticity advection behind the shortwave, as well as
right exit region of 300mb jet aloft.

Instead of via convection itself, our primary wind threat will
be with the 60-70 knot south-southwesterly low level jet
currently over the region early this morning, within the lowest
few thousand feet above ground level. Local mesonet sites are
indicating higher elevations gusting into the 35-45 mph range.

Heavier showers may manage to briefly mix gusts approaching 50
mph especially along the frontal band. Behind it however, low
level jet quickly GOES away. Storm prediction center keeps a
marginal to slight risk for severe thunderstorms in the far
eastern part of our area, as front may gin up a renewed semi-
convective line with a few hundred j kg CAPE as it heads towards
the hudson valley late morning onward. Thus if anyone ends up
tipping barely severe in terms of wind gusts, it will probably
be somewhere within the poconos to catskills later this morning.

Prospects for excessive rainfall, while not zero, appear to be
quite small because of trend for more progressive convective
line and also the dry antecedent conditions.

Behind the front, we should spend much of the afternoon drying
out with at least partial sunshine. Diurnal heating will roughly
balance with cool air advection. Temperatures are mainly in the
60s to near 70 at this early hour, and highs today will turn out
to be not much different.

Tonight, any lingering showers in the eastern zones will come
to an end early, and the sky will trend towards partly cloudy
with temperatures settling into mainly the 40s. Much of the
area west of i-81 can expect a mostly clear dawn.

Short term Wednesday through Friday night
250 am update...

an abrupt change to the mild october weather is forecast for
the short term period, as a cool but dry trough drops down from
canada across the great lakes and sweeps across ny and pa.

Isolated light rain showers are possible under the cool core,
especially Thursday afternoon.

Temperatures will struggle through the 50s on Wednesday and
Thursday, with overnight minimums dropping into the middle-30s
and lower-40s.

A brief warm-up is forecast for Friday when winds shift to the
southwest ahead of a cyclone moving through michigan.

Temperatures could reach into the middle-60s if enough Sun is
realized Friday afternoon.

Long term Saturday through Monday
252 am update...

minor updates were made to the long term period based on new wpc
guidance and super blend grids.

A storm system sliding along the ny canadian border will bring
showers to the region on Saturday. Much cooler air will filter
down into ny and pa behind this system for the beginning of next
week.

230 pm update...

strong WAA will take place and push temperatures on Saturday
into the upper 50s and lower 60s. There are some differences in
the timing of this weekend system with the GFS being the
fastest, bringing in the rain by Friday night, and the ecmwf
being the slowest, not bringing in the precip until Sunday
morning. Either way, the main idea is for the upper trough to
the west to stretch out as it translates ewd and slide through
ny pa and most of the northeast very slowly. Could see a
prolonged period of rain, moderate to heavy at times possibly
into early next week. Will need to keep an eye on this system as
it evolves through the upcoming model guidance runs.

Temperatures will see a cooling trend later this week into next week
as well, with highs and lows closer to normal for this time of year.

Aviation 12z Tuesday through Saturday
Gusty showers along a fast-moving frontal system will pull
out of the terminals between 13z and 15z.

Behind the front, ceilings will rise back toVFR levels, with a
scattered to broken deck between 6000 and 12000 feet today.

Winds will taper off to 6 to 10 knots out of the southwest.

Outlook...

Wednesday through Thursday... Occasional restrictions possible
in scattered showers.

Thursday night through Friday...VFR.

Saturday... Occasional restrictions possible in showers.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... Wind advisory until noon edt today for paz040-048-072.

Wind advisory until 8 am edt this morning for paz038-039-043-
044-047.

Ny... Wind advisory until noon edt today for nyz009-036-037-045-046-
057-062.

Wind advisory until 8 am edt this morning for nyz015>018-
022>025-044-055-056.

Synopsis... Mdp
near term... Mdp
short term... Djp
long term... Bjt djp
aviation... Djp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 99 mi52 min W 7 G 8 64°F 1002.3 hPa60°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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G26
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S11
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G14
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G15
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G12
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ago
S11
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SW3
G6
NW4
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NE1
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S3
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G13
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S8
SE9
G13
S8
G13
S10
S10

Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY9 mi17 minSSE 13 G 2210.00 miLight Rain63°F61°F93%1003.6 hPa

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS5S5S8
G16
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S8S12
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G31
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G35
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G25
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G28
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G22
1 day agoSE4S4S5S9S7SW7S8S8SE7SE7S6S7S9S9S9S8S8SE8S6S7S7S4S6SE8
2 days agoS4SW5W5SW443W7SW6SW5SW3S3SW7S5SW6S3S4S4S4S5S5S4SE4S5S4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (7,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.