Wednesday, March20, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Binghamton, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 7:05AMSunset 7:16PM Wednesday March 20, 2019 5:09 AM EDT (09:09 UTC) Moonrise 5:56PMMoonset 6:13AM Illumination 99% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Binghamton, NY
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location: 42.11, -75.91     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 200642
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
242 am edt Wed mar 20 2019

Synopsis
As high pressure passes, a light southwest wind will bring a
dry and warmer day. A system developing over the western great
lakes will bring a chilly rain Thursday, though it may begin as
snow at higher elevations especially east of interstate 81. The
system will then merge with a different one moving up the
coast, keeping things unsettled through early in the weekend.

.Near term through Thursday

225 am update...

apt weather today for the vernal equinox, which is at 558 pm
edt, however a system will arrive Thursday with a chilly rain,
perhaps mixed with a little wet snow in the higher terrain.

High pressure and a dry air mass allowed for what was left of a
few flurries, to fall apart in the evening. Some clouds can
still be found in patches in the finger lakes as well as the
catskills upper susquehanna areas at around 6-8 kft agl, but
many other locations are mostly clear and have experienced
some radiational cooling. As such, temperatures range from as
low as around 20, to as high as near 30 early this morning.

The high will quickly scoot offshore today, with a southwesterly
return flow along with a good amount of Sun helping to realize
warm air advection this afternoon. Temperatures will boost
rapidly to reach highs of upper 40s-lower 50s. Some lower
elevations of the central southern tier and finger lakes could
even get into mid 50s. Dewpoints meanwhile will remain rather
low, as is often the case this time of year during abrupt warm
air advection, sending relative humidity values to only 25-35
percent for most locations this afternoon.

An upper trough will dig into the western great lakes,
meanwhile a surface low will develop over virginia late tonight
and eventually press up towards the nj-ny coast by Thursday
evening. Models have trended slower with the evolution of the
squeeze play tonight, because of the pieces taking longer to
merge and due to the amount of dry air initially resident over
our region that will have to be overcome. However, eventually
the cyclogenesis just to our southeast and a surge of moisture
from the pivot of the upper trough with forced ascent from jet
support, will cause a chilly rain to break out into Thursday.

Some wet snow could be mixed in initially at higher elevations,
especially east of i-81 and particularly if the shield of
precipitation can develop soon enough early Thursday morning. A
few to several tenths of an inch of rain appears likely for
northeast pa to eastern southern tier-catskills ny during the
day Thursday, with more on the way.

Short term Thursday night through Friday night
235 am update...

significant uncertainty with the development and progress of
the system for Thursday night into Friday with the euro be the
most aggressive and deepest with the low and suggests there
could be a quick accumulation of snow after rain before daybreak
Friday. Other models have far less QPF and less cold air.

Situation will need to be monitored but for now have marginally
increased the qpf, pops, and snow amounts, mainly over the
higher terrain east of i81 over nepa and the catskills. Previous
discussion below.

As Thursday's trough advances eastward and nocturnal cooling
occurs, rain will change to snow showers Thursday night.

Energy from the trough will transfer to the coast Friday
morning, and a new storm will spin toward new england. A mix of
rain and snow showers will continue on Friday with highs in the
upper-30s to lower-40s.

Cold air behind the storm will push across the lakes Friday
night and increase the level of snow shower activity downwind of
lake ontario and lake erie.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
235 am update... Made only minor updates to the long term.

Difficult forecast for the end of the period as a very strong
cold front drops south through the area. Significant temperature
differences are expected across the front along with non-
diurnal dailys expected. Exact position of the front is key and
hard to pin down at this time with model spatial and timing
differences. Previous discussion below.

Chilly air leftover after the atlantic storm moves northward
will keep temperatures a few degrees below normal on Saturday. A
few snow showers or flurries are possible up the lake plain.

Milder air under a flattening ridge will return on Sunday and
push temperatures to between 50 and 55 degrees under fair skies.

Another slug of cold air will dive southward into ny on Monday
and set off additional snow showers.

Aviation 07z Wednesday through Sunday
06z update...

vfr conditions are expected to persist this TAF period courtesy
of dry high pressure passing over the region. Few to scattered
cumulus will occur at times, around 5-6 kft with other
occasional higher clouds 10-20 kft. Quiet overall though with a
variable or very light southeast wind early this morning,
becoming south to southwest 6-10 knots late morning through
afternoon, before backing somewhat in the evening.

Outlook...

late Wednesday night through Thursday... Restrictions likely in
rain showers as a system enters the region. It may start with
snow mixed in for krme.

Thursday night through Friday night... Restrictions possible in
snow or mixed rain-snow showers on the back side of a system.

Saturday... Intermittent restrictions possible for at least
ksyr-krme from lingering snow showers, especially morning.

Saturday night through Sunday... MainlyVFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mdp
near term... Mdp
short term... Dgm djp
long term... Dgm djp
aviation... Mdp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 99 mi52 min SSE 7 G 8

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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W26
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G30
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N12
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N7
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Binghamton, Binghamton Regional Airport, NY9 mi77 minSSE 310.00 miFair28°F17°F63%1027.1 hPa

Wind History from BGM (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrCalmSW3SW3W5SW6W7NW9NW76NW11
G16
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5NW6NW4N3N3NE4E3S4S3S3SE3SE3S4
1 day agoW4W4W3W3W5W5NW8CalmW9W6NW5W4N10NW5NW4N8NW3NW3W4W5SW5SW5W4W4
2 days agoNW12
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G27
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NW12NW7N8N4N3W3CalmSW4W4W5W4W4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (5,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.