Monday, July24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Fleischmanns, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:41AMSunset 8:23PM Monday July 24, 2017 4:53 PM EDT (20:53 UTC) Moonrise 7:06AMMoonset 9:23PM Illumination 2% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 1 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Fleischmanns, NY
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location: 42.13, -74.58     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 242013
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
413 pm edt Mon jul 24 2017

Synopsis
An upper level disturbance will bring scattered showers and cool
temperatures to the region through Tuesday. Clearing skies and
warmer temperatures will arrive for mid week.

Near term until 6 am Tuesday morning
Damp, cool weather will persist through tonight.

Story has been pretty consistent this afternoon. Convection
initiates in the warm sector across central ny, but fizzles as
it approaches eastern ny. CAPE - surface and elevated - is
nil across the cwa. It will remain so through tonight. Will
carry chance pops through the night. And will allow for a slight
chance of tsra across the western 1 3rd of CWA in case a rogue
tsra makes it that far east.

Will include some patchy fog tonight under moist conditions. But
with more clouds than clearing expected, anticipate that any fog
will not be more than patchy.

Given expansive cloud cover temperatures will not drop too much.

Lows in the 40s highest elevations to 50s elsewhere.

Short term 6 am Tuesday morning through Thursday
Surface and upper level trough will take its time working
across the region Tuesday. Thus the chance for showers continues
through Tuesday, with a diminishing trend likely through the
afternoon. Instability remains nil tomorrow, so no thunder in
the forecast.

Respectable high pressure for july - 1024 mb - builds in for
Tuesday night and Wednesday bringing clearing skies and
comfortable humidity. Given degree of clearing Tuesday night,
some patchy fog is likely. High temperatures Wednesday will
still be a few degrees below normal, but with abundant sunshine
it will feel quite a bit warmer than today and tomorrow.

A cold front approaches the region Wednesday night. We should be
able to keep the rain at bay for Wednesday night, although far
northern areas could see a slight chance of showers. Under the
influence of southerly flow, temperatures will be near to
slightly above normal.

Differences among models show up on Thursday. The ECMWF brings a
potent surface low toward the region, while the GFS favors a
weak trough crossing the cwa. At this point will maintain chance
pops of shra tsra.

Long term Thursday night through Monday
Upper energy and a cold front tracks through our region Thursday
night into Friday with showers and scattered thunderstorms Thursday
night. Just some lingering scattered showers and thunderstorms
Friday as the front and upper energy exits. Highs Friday in the mid
70s to around 80 but around 70 to lower 70s higher terrain.

The mean upper trough axis slowly builds east of our region Saturday
through Monday with generally dry conditions, high pressure and more
sun than clouds. Temperatures are expected to be a little below
normal behind the cold front even with the sunshine with the mean
flat upper troughing.

Highs Saturday and Sunday in the upper 70s to around 80 but cooler
in higher terrain. High pressure potentially begins to build east
and warm advection begins Monday. Highs Monday in the lower to mid
80s but mid to upper 70s higher terrain. There are some signals in
some long range guidance and ensembles that the upper energy that
tracks east on Friday could strengthen and cut off from steering
flow, which could result in the weekend being cooler, cloudier and a
few showers but will have to keep an eye on trends in long range
guidance.

Aviation 19z Monday through Saturday
Damp easterly flow continues through the TAF period 18z
Tuesday with generally MVFR CIGS and scattered showers. An
isolated thunderstorm will be possible this evening at kgfl.

Depending on how much low level moisture is around tonight, fog
will be possible. Winds will be mainly from the e-ne between 5
and 10 knots through the period.

Outlook...

Tuesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Wednesday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Wednesday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Thursday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra... Tsra.

Thursday night: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra... Tsra.

Friday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra... Tsra.

Friday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Saturday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Fire weather
Chances for showers lingering through Tuesday as a low pressure
gradually moves across the region. Clearing and drier weather
for Tuesday night into Wednesday. No fire weather related
concerns at this time.

Hydrology
Tonight and Tuesday expect chances of showers with only a
slight chance of a thunderstorm confined to the western 1 3rd of
the forecast area. Apart from a rogue thunderstorm,
precipitation amounts look to be less one quarter inch.

Fair weather is expected for the mid week with more chances for
rainfall Thursday and Friday.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Okeefe
near term... Okeefe
short term... Okeefe
long term... Nas
aviation... Snd
fire weather... Okeefe
hydrology... Okeefe


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 36 mi83 min 72°F 1011 hPa67°F
44040 - Western Long Island Sound 97 mi68 min NE 12 G 16 65°F 2 ft59°F
44022 - Execution Rocks 97 mi38 min ENE 12 G 16 67°F 59°F

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure

Wind History from MSV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hr----------------------------------S4S3SW2S4--S6S5
1 day ago------------------------------------------------
2 days ago------------------------------------------------

Tide / Current Tables for Kingston, Hudson River, New York
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Kingston
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Mon -- 02:25 AM EDT     4.95 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:21 AM EDT     -0.64 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:04 PM EDT     4.30 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:19 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:29 PM EDT     -0.32 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
3.44.44.94.94.33.32.110-0.6-0.40.623.144.34.13.32.21.20.4-0.2-0.20.8

Tide / Current Tables for Tivoli, Hudson River, New York
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Tivoli
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Mon -- 02:55 AM EDT     5.26 feet High Tide
Mon -- 05:41 AM EDT     Sunrise
Mon -- 07:03 AM EDT     Moonrise
Mon -- 09:51 AM EDT     -0.67 feet Low Tide
Mon -- 03:34 PM EDT     4.57 feet High Tide
Mon -- 08:22 PM EDT     Sunset
Mon -- 09:20 PM EDT     Moonset
Mon -- 09:59 PM EDT     -0.34 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
2.94.255.34.94.12.91.70.6-0.4-0.701.42.83.84.54.5431.80.80-0.30.2

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.