Thursday, November22, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Catskill, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 6:53AMSunset 4:31PM Thursday November 22, 2018 6:19 AM EST (11:19 UTC) Moonrise 5:33PMMoonset 6:53AM Illumination 100% Phase: Full Moon; Moon at 14 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 319 Am Est Thu Nov 22 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through this evening...
Today..NW winds 15 to 20 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas 2 to 3 ft.
Tonight..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Gusts up to 25 kt this evening. Seas around 2 ft in the evening, then 1 ft or less.
Fri..NW winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Fri night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sat..S winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the afternoon.
Sat night..E winds 10 to 15 kt with gusts up to 25 kt. Seas around 2 ft. Rain.
Sun..N winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming ne after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of drizzle after midnight. Patchy fog after midnight.
Mon..E winds around 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Patchy fog in the morning. Chance of rain and drizzle in the morning, then rain likely in the afternoon.
Mon night..NW winds 10 to 15 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of rain in the evening.
ANZ300 319 Am Est Thu Nov 22 2018
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds in through Friday then shifts offshore Friday night. A complex frontal system approaches Saturday and moves through Saturday night into Sunday morning. Weak high pressure then briefly follows through Sunday night. Another frontal system then affects the waters Monday.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Catskill, NY
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location: 42.22, -73.83     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 220830
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
330 am est Thu nov 22 2018

Synopsis
Behind an arctic cold front, bitter cold temperatures will be
in place for today into Friday. Temperatures will slowly
moderate over the weekend with the potential for some rain or a
wintry mix by late Saturday.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Wind chill advisory will continue until noon thanksgiving for the
southern green mountains of vermont, the western and southern
adirondacks, eastern catskills, schoharie valley, and the berkshires.

Thanksgiving day of 2018 will be remembered as one of the coldest on
record (see records in our climate section) as an arctic area of
high pressure settles over the region. Highs today will only be in
the single digits to lower 20s. Wind chill values especially this
morning will be 15 to 25 below zero in the advisory area and 5 above
to 12 below zero elsewhere. Winds will be from the northwest at 10
to 15 mph with gusts up to 30 mph.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Saturday
The ridge of high pressure will be centered over our region tonight
and then shift slowly east of the region on Friday. Through this
period expect mainly clear skies which will allow the temperature to
plummet once again tonight. Lows will range from 5 below to 7 above
zero. Highs on Friday will be in the upper teens to upper 20s.

Friday night will continue to be clear with increasing clouds
Saturday morning as a storm system over the gulf coast states starts
to take shape and will eventually move northeast up the eastern
seaboard. It should stay dry until Saturday afternoon at which time
rain and perhaps some sleet across the higher terrain will
overspread the area from southwest to northeast. A light sleet
accumulation is possible across the higher terrain. Lows Friday
night will be in the mid teens to lower 20s with highs on Saturday
in the mid 30s to lower 40s.

Long term Saturday night through Wednesday
Quite a messy weather pattern setting up for the holiday weekend
into next week with upper level troughiness persisting across the
northeast.

We begin the period with widespread precipitation as an upper level
shortwave lifts northeast across our region. Temperatures will
actually be slightly above normal overnight, with most of the precip
falling as rain. A rain-snow mix will be possible in the higher
terrain. This wave is expected to exit the region Sunday morning,
resulting in a brief period of clearing and dry weather the second
half of the day.

A low pressure system approaches the forecast area from the ohio
valley Sunday night, spreading precipitation into new york and new
england Monday morning. This precip may start out as a rain-snow mix
before changing over to all rain during the afternoon as
temperatures rise into the upper 30s to upper 40s. The low then
pivots northward, allowing for colder air to filter back into the
region, ultimately changing rain back to snow for many locations
Monday night. Depending on the evolution and track of this system
will determine precip type and intensity. But for now, it does look
like the bulk of the precip will fall as rain then change back over
to snow. Snow showers could continue into mid-week as the upper
level trough rotates additional energy overhead. Temperatures
Tuesday through mid-week will generally be in the 30s to low 40s
each day, with overnight lows in the 20s to low 30s.

There is potential for some river points to reach at least action
stage depending on how much rainfall (versus snow) there will be, so
this will have to be monitored.

Aviation 08z Thursday through Monday
A period of quiet weather is upon us as high pressure gradually
builds into the region. This will result inVFR conditions
through at least 06z Fri with perhaps some scattered high level
clouds.

Brisk and occasionally gusty winds will be northwest at 10 to
18 kts with gusts into the mid 20kts range through thanksgiving
day. Winds will then weaken to 10 kts or less by around
00z fri.

Outlook...

Friday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Saturday: moderate operational impact. Chance of ra.

Saturday night: high operational impact. Definite ra.

Sunday: moderate operational impact. Chance of ra.

Sunday night: low operational impact. Slight chance of ra.

Monday: high operational impact. Definite ra.

Monday night: high operational impact. Likely shra... Shsn.

Tuesday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra... Shsn.

Fire weather
Behind an arctic cold front, bitter cold temperatures will be
in place for today into Friday. Temperatures will slowly
moderate over the weekend with the potential for some rain or a
wintry mix by late Saturday.

Hydrology
River flows will continue to lower into the first half of the
weekend week with colder than normal temperatures continuing. No
hydro problems are anticipated through Saturday.

Moderating temperatures along with chances for rain are
expected later in the weekend into early next week. Rivers
levels will likely start to rise, with rainfall amounts possible
near or in excess of an inch. Some mixed precipitation will
occur over higher elevations. Snow melt in the mountains looks
to be rather limited due to temperatures mainly in the 30s and
40s through early next week. We will be monitoring trends in
river levels during this time.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including observed
and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please visit the
advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs on our
website.

Climate
The record low maximum temperature for albany on thanksgiving
day is 19 degrees, set on november 28th 1901. The record low
minimum temperature on thanksgiving for albany is 5 degrees, set
on november 23rd 1972.

Albany's record low maximum temperature for november 22nd is 25
degrees set in 1880. The low daily mean temperature is 18.5
degrees also set in 1880. The record low minimum temperature for
november 22nd is 9 degrees set in 1969.

Daily records for albany are from 1874 to 2017.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... Wind chill advisory until noon est today for nyz032-033-042-
047-051-058-063-082.

Ma... Wind chill advisory until noon est today for maz001-025.

Vt... Wind chill advisory until noon est today for vtz013-014.

Synopsis... 11 jpv
near term... 11
short term... 11
long term... Jlv
aviation... Jlv
fire weather... 11 jpv
hydrology... 11 jpv
climate...



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 15 mi49 min 15°F 1029 hPa1°F
TKPN6 15 mi31 min N 4.1 G 7 37°F
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 80 mi37 min N 6 G 11 19°F 50°F1027.5 hPa
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 81 mi31 min N 17 G 20 19°F 49°F1027.6 hPa

Wind History for Bridgeport, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pittsfield Municipal Airport, MA32 mi25 minW 13 G 2010.00 miFair4°F-5°F66%1026.3 hPa

Wind History from PSF (wind in knots)
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1 day agoNE3N4CalmN3CalmNW3NW3W6W4W7W7NW7W7NW15
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNW7NW6W3NW3W3CalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalm3

Tide / Current Tables for Catskill, Hudson River, New York
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Catskill
Click for Map
Thu -- 01:31 AM EST     3.94 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:53 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 06:54 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:02 AM EST     -0.22 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 01:42 PM EST     4.60 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:28 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 04:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 08:44 PM EST     -0.27 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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3.43.93.93.52.61.50.60-0.20.21.42.83.94.54.64.23.42.31.30.5-0.1-0.20.41.7

Tide / Current Tables for Coxsackie, Hudson River, New York
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Coxsackie
Click for Map
Thu -- 02:53 AM EST     3.96 feet High Tide
Thu -- 05:53 AM EST     Moonset
Thu -- 06:54 AM EST     Sunrise
Thu -- 08:52 AM EST     -0.09 feet Low Tide
Thu -- 03:15 PM EST     4.93 feet High Tide
Thu -- 04:27 PM EST     Sunset
Thu -- 04:32 PM EST     Moonrise
Thu -- 09:32 PM EST     -0.05 feet Low Tide
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.73.43.843.52.51.50.90.2-0.10.41.62.93.94.64.94.73.72.51.70.90.100.7

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.