Tuesday, April25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Spencer, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:06AMSunset 8:01PM Tuesday April 25, 2017 12:40 PM EDT (16:40 UTC) Moonrise 4:57AMMoonset 6:05PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 956 Am Edt Tue Apr 25 2017
Rest of today..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Rain late this morning...then showers likely this afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..East winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 15 knots. Mostly cloudy in the morning...then becoming partly Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..Southeast winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers and Thunderstorms likely Thursday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south less than 10 knots. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Saturday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less becoming north. A chance of showers. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 44 degrees.
LOZ044 Expires:201704252115;;243314 FZUS51 KBUF 251356 NSHBUF NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY ISSUED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 956 AM EDT TUE APR 25 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LOZ043-044-252115-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Spencer, NY
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location: 42.29, -76.51     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 251519
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
1119 am edt Tue apr 25 2017

Synopsis
The chance for showers will continue across the region through
late tonight as an upper level storm system slowly tracks along
the east coast. Temperatures today and tomorrow will continue
to be above the seasonal norm. Drier and more summer like
weather will return Wednesday and Thursday.

Near term /through tonight/
1115 am update... As of midday, one band of light rain was
lifting northward across our northern zones (northern finger
lakes-syracuse-mohawk valley), while another band of rain and
embedded convection was rotating into nj, long island,
southeastern pa, and de. In between, over nepa and ny's
southern tier at this time, only isolated light showers are
occurring.

There is good agreement amongst our near-term high resolution
guidance that the southern band of rain will move into the
forecast area from south-north from about 3-9 pm. Thus, we only
mention isolated showers for much of the area through early
afternoon, before steadier rain comes in thereafter. We think
any elevated convective elements will remain generally east of
the forecast area, so no thunder will be inserted at this
juncture.

Highs this afternoon will range from the lower 50s over the
higher terrain of the poconos and catskills, to the lower 60s
over some of our finger lakes and lake ontario plain locales.

Previous discussion... 355 am edt update...

some light returns are present this morning on the radar as an
uppr lvl low is lifting north across the east coast. For the
most part, most of the area are seeing isolated rain showers,
but coverage area over steuben co, ny are more scattered in
nature. Showers this morning are expected to remain light but
slowly increase in coverage through 15z as atlantic moisture is
being advected into the region. There is a brief lull in
activity over the area mid morning, and then another round of
precip will move into the region from the se. The second round
of precip is expected to be mostly i-81 and east as the the
uppr-lvl trough axis is expected to lift north towards the va
border by 00z wed. The best chance for widespread precip will be
18z today through 00z wed. Precip is expected to quickly
dwindle down after 06z and the majority of the area should be
dry by 12z wed.

Temps this afternoon are expected to range in the mid 50s to low
60s, and expected to remain fairly steady overnight, only falling
into the the uppr 40s to low 50s.

Short term /Wednesday through Thursday night/
355 am edt update...

the uppr-lvl trough will continue to lift to the northeast on wed
and the majority of the region on Wed will be dry with
decreasing cloud coverage. Temps i-81 and west are expected to
reach to uppr 60s to low 70s/and temps i-81 east are expected to
range in the 60s. Thursday will be another nice day and
abnormally warm as strong WAA develops over the region ahead of
the next storm system. Thurs is expected to be dry with temps
reaching the mid to uppr 70s across much the area, with a few
areas reaching the low 80s. A frontal boundary is expected to
move across the region after 00z on Friday. This will bring the
next chance for showers and thunderstorms across the region. The
gfs is much more impressive than the ecmwf, thus decided to
keep pops on the lower end attm.

Long term /Friday through Monday/
4 am update... On the large-scale, a trough will amplify over
the middle of the country this period, while an upper ridge
slowly builds over the western atlantic. A resultant broad sw
flow aloft across cny/nepa will bring generally warmer
temperatures, along with perhaps unsettled conditions, as mid-
level short-waves are likely to be embedded.

On Friday, a cold front will track across cny/nepa while
weakening. At least scattered showers and a few thunderstorms
are still expected.

Next weekend, the position of a w-e oriented surface boundary
will be key to our weather, with very warm temperatures likely
south of the front, and cooler, more showery conditions likely
to the north of it. For now, due to uncertainty, we've retained
a chance of showers and thunderstorms both Saturday and Sunday.

On Monday a surface cold front will sweep through the region
with a good chance for showers and thunderstorms. As for
temperatures, we'll go with daily highs in the lower 70s across
our far northern areas (southern tug hill and mohawk valley
zones), with upper 70s-lower 80s from the southern tier to
northeast pennsylvania. Behind the cold front on Tuesday highs
will drop back into the middle 50s to lower 60s.

Aviation /15z Tuesday through Saturday/
Initial batch of primarily lowVFR showers will move through the
terminals through mid morning. Brief MVFR conditions are possible
until 15z in the southern terminals. A potentially stronger
wave will lift up through the region late this afternoon into
early evening and produce widespread MVFR/alternate required
conditions in light rain. This evening as the wave passes
drizzle/fog and low ceiling will result in widespread alternate
required/ifr conditions.

East/southeast winds increasing this morning to 8-12 knots with
gusts 15-20 knots. Southeast winds this evening around 5-8
knots.

Outlook...

Wednesday through Wednesday night...VFR, other than a brief
restriction/shower still possible early morning for kbgm-kavp.

Thursday...VFR.

Friday-Saturday... Restrictions possible, with at least
scattered showers anticipated along with a chance of thunder.

Bgm watches/warnings/advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Kah
near term... Kah/mlj
short term... Kah
long term... Mlj/rrm
aviation... Rrm


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 81 mi40 min ESE 12 G 18 49°F 1018.4 hPa (-0.6)44°F
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 89 mi40 min E 9.9 G 12 47°F 1017.9 hPa (-1.1)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 90 mi40 min 46°F 1017.1 hPa (-1.1)

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ithaca, Ithaca Tompkins Regional Airport, NY13 mi44 minSE 11 G 1510.00 miOvercast54°F46°F75%1018 hPa
Elmira, Elmira / Corning Regional Airport, NY22 mi47 minSE 10 G 1410.00 miOvercast56°F45°F67%1017.3 hPa

Wind History from ITH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW9NW9NW11NW9NW8W9W7NW4CalmCalmE4E4CalmSE3E5E65E5--E9SE10SE10
G16
SE12
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1 day agoW44W544CalmNW6N6E3CalmCalmSE3E4CalmE6E6E4E6E6CalmNW7NW5W7W8
2 days agoNW12NW10NW10NW12
G17
NW10NW10NW9NW4CalmCalmCalmE3E4CalmE5E5E5E5E4E4CalmCalmCalmCalm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (12,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.