Thursday, October19, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Spencer, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:23AMSunset 6:18PM Thursday October 19, 2017 11:17 PM EDT (03:17 UTC) Moonrise 6:00AMMoonset 5:39PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ044 Sodus Bay To The Saint Lawrence River Along Lake Ontario- 1020 Pm Edt Thu Oct 19 2017
.small craft advisory in effect through Friday morning...
Overnight..West winds 15 to 20 knots. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 2 to 4 feet building to 3 to 5 feet. Waves occasionally around 6 feet.
Friday..Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots becoming west 5 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Friday night..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming south. Mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..South winds 5 to 10 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday night..South winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 15 knots. Partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday..South winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers Monday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..South winds 10 to 15 knots becoming southwest. Showers likely. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
LOZ044 Expires:201710200915;;115336 FZUS51 KBUF 200220 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 1020 PM EDT Thu Oct 19 2017 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ044-045-200915-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Spencer, NY
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location: 42.29, -76.51     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 200229
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
1029 pm edt Thu oct 19 2017

Synopsis
High pressure will yield plenty of sunshine and mild
temperatures over the next few days. Temperatures will rise
into the 70s this weekend. The pattern will become more
unsettled and slightly cooler next week.

Near term through Friday
1015 pm update...

front moving slowly and still not in cwa. Temperatures holding
in the 60s except for the deepest valleys. Also clouds slow to
leave. Adjusted temperatures and cloud amounts up to 06z.

5 pm update...

minor changes to grids this evening. Temperatures warmer than
forecast and will stay up ahead of cold front. Winds stronger.

310 pm update...

except for a scattering of light fog in the river valleys
Friday morning, clear weather is expected through the near-term
forecast period.

Temperatures will push back into the middle and upper-60s on
Friday as ridging recovers behind a departing cold front.

Short term Friday night through Sunday
Weekend in the short term continues to be dominated by a
powerful ridge at the surface and aloft. This will keep dry and
warm weather in the area, with virtually no chance for
precipitation. Highs Saturday and Sunday will average at least
15 degrees above normal, while clear skies will allow for
chillier nights, only about 5 above normal.

Long term Sunday night through Thursday
Significant differences in the long range guidance continues
leading to some uncertainty in the timing of the cold front
early next week. As usual, the faster GFS brings the front in
around 24 hrs ahead of the euro which waits until nearly Tuesday
night. Best course of action normally seems to be to lean
toward the euro solution without completely disregarding the
gfs. This brings chance pops in the far west Monday, but still
the best chance Tuesday when both models have the front stalled
in our vicinity as the negatively tilted low sweeps northward
through the great lakes. Does look like we will get a needed
soaking from the system that will help mitigate the developing
drought conditions in parts of upstate new york.

Aviation 03z Friday through Tuesday
720 pm update...

little change with mostlyVFR conditions into Friday evening.

Again the only exception might be some river valley fog at elm.

This morning had fog giving brief restrictions to ifr but
yesterday none with similar conditions. Again similar with dry
ground and strong boundary level winds.

Ahead of front this evening is some 6k ft ceilings in central ny
with high clouds above that. Expected to stay well aboveVFR
this evening before the lower clouds exit to east with front.

Southwest to west wind at around 5 kts this evening becoming
west or light and variable late tonight. Friday northwest winds
at 5 to 10 kts.

Outlook...

Friday night to Sunday... MostlyVFR. Possible early morning
restrictions in fog at kelm Saturday and Sunday.

Monday... MostlyVFR but possible restrictions at times due to
showers.

Tuesday... Restrictions likely with occasional rain showers.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Djp
near term... Djp tac
short term... Dgm
long term... Dgm
aviation... Tac


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 81 mi47 min W 12 G 18 61°F 1017.7 hPa
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 89 mi77 min W 9.9 G 14 61°F 1019.3 hPa (+1.7)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 90 mi47 min 58°F 1018.8 hPa

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Ithaca, Ithaca Tompkins Regional Airport, NY13 mi21 minNNW 410.00 miFair55°F48°F80%1019.3 hPa
Elmira, Elmira / Corning Regional Airport, NY22 mi24 minSW 710.00 miA Few Clouds60°F50°F70%1018.8 hPa

Wind History from ITH (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8SE6SE5SE8S8SE8SE8SE8SE5S8S7SW10
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SW9SW5W5W7NW6W7NW4
1 day agoSW4Calm64SW5SW3W5SW4SE3S3S433W4SW4W5S4SW4CalmE4SE6S8S7S8
2 days agoCalmCalmCalmE3CalmE3NE3E3E3E345S55S8S12SW13S7S7S6S5S8S5S4

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.