Wednesday, January24, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Algonac, MI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:47AMSunset 5:34PM Wednesday January 24, 2018 6:44 AM EST (11:44 UTC) Moonrise 11:52AMMoonset 12:12AM Illumination 52% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ166 Lake Erie Open Waters From Ripley To Buffalo Ny- Lake Erie Open Waters From The Islands To Vermilion Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Vermilion To Avon Point Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Avon Point To Willowick Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on-the-lake Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Geneva-on-the-lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 414 Am Est Wed Jan 24 2018
Today..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers this morning, then a slight chance of snow showers this afternoon. Waves in ice free areas 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..Northwest winds 10 knots or less becoming west. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..Southwest winds 10 knots or less. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday night..South winds 10 knots or less. Waves 2 feet or less.
Friday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest 15 to 20 knots. A chance of rain showers Friday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 3 to 5 feet.
Saturday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. Rain likely during the day, then a chance of rain Saturday night. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 2 feet or less.
Sunday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of snow and rain showers during the day, then a chance of snow showers Sunday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet. Wave heights are for ice free areas.
LEZ166 Expires:201801241515;;917888 FZUS61 KCLE 240914 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 414 AM EST Wed Jan 24 2018 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS... High pressure 30.40 inches will cross the western Great Lakes today and the eastern lakes on Thursday. A cold front will cross Lake Erie late Saturday. A trough of low pressure 30.00 inches will linger over the eastern lakes on Sunday. LEZ061-164>169-241515-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Algonac, MI
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location: 42.29, -81.9     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 241129
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
629 am est Wed jan 24 2018

Synopsis
A weak trough will swing across the eastern great lakes
today kicking off a few snow showers in the snowbelt. High pressure
will move across the upper ohio valley tonight. A warm front will lift
across the forecast area Thursday ushering in above normal conditions.

Near term until 6 pm this evening
Trough now south of forecast area, but but some patchy freezing
drizzle in the east with lack of high clouds to seed lower
stratus deck. So mentioned patch freezing drizzle in the east
for 630 update.

Original discussion...

initial trough near a yng to mrn line and will move south of
the forecast area shortly. Secondary trough across the central
lakes will slide across the eastern great lakes late this
morning. With a NW flow just left chance pops going in the
snowbelt. Do not expect much in the way of accumulations. With
the colder air moving in today do not think temps will improve
much through the day.

An upper level trough will swing across the upper ohio valley later
today into this evening. Short wave well south of the forecast
area, but did leave chance pops going across the extreme south late
this afternoon into this evening.

Short term 6 pm this evening through Saturday night
Ridge of high pressure will track across the upper ohio valley
tonight ending the chances for any precip. The ridge will slide
east of the forecast area Thursday allowing a warm front to lift ne
across the forecast area... Ushering in much warmer conditions
through the end of the work week.

The forecast is somewhat tricky Thursday night across extreme inland
northeast oh and inland northwest pa where it could decouple and get
cold (20 to 25f). Elsewhere the south wind will stay up and temps
will not drop much. Friday should be the blue ribbon day of the week
(unless you prefer snow cold) with sunshine. Given the warm start to
the day, the warm 850 mb temps, the sunshine, and the decent south
breeze, we should make 50 or better in most of the area. The
forecast will be a few degrees warmer than most of the guidance.

High clouds will likely start to increase late Friday.

The models have been trending a bit faster with the pacific front on
Saturday which will pinch off the warmth and bring a chance of
showers. There are still some timing differences on the models on
the arrival of the showers but it seems reasonable to have a
chance slight chance of showers from west to east late Friday night
with likely pops in most areas on Saturday.

A lot of the models continue to suggest a wave on the front later
Saturday into Saturday night. The timing, strength and location of
the wave are still up for debate. The forecast will continue with
showers likely Saturday night.

Long term Sunday through Tuesday
Not sure how much, if any, precip may be left over early on Sunday.

If there is lingering precip, there could be a transition to snow
before the precip shifts east. It does not look cold enough for snow
of any significance.

A secondary cold front and strong short wave aloft is progged to
drop across the lower great lakes late Sunday into Monday. Snow
showers will probably flare up, especially across the snowbelt.

Temperatures will drop back to near normal by Monday and below
normal by Tuesday. The ridge should be east of the area by Tuesday
night and the flow will already be coming around from the southwest
and it looks like another warm up mid week next week.

Aviation 12z Wednesday through Sunday
Trough now south of the forecast area. Only weather is some
flurries and patchy freezing drizzle in the east, which should
improve by mid morning. With NW flow still chance for a few show
showers in the snowbelt. Clouds gradually scattered from the
west overnight as high pressure builds in
outlook... Non-vfr possible late Friday night into Saturday
night in -shra.

Marine
Strong low pressure will continue to move northeast off the coast
and west winds will continue to diminish on lake erie and veer
northwest. A trough of low pressure swill linger over the eastern
great lakes today into tonight, then high pressure will slide
across the lake on Thursday and winds will back to south southwest.

The southwest flow will continue until the next front crosses the
lake on Sunday. Winds will become brisk but gale force winds are not
expected.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Djb
near term... Djb
short term... Djb kosarik
long term... Kosarik
aviation... Djb
marine... Kosarik riley


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
AGCM4 40 mi45 min 27°F 1020 hPa (+2.1)
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 49 mi45 min NW 11 G 13 27°F 1020.3 hPa (+2.7)22°F
CLSM4 - St. Clair Shores, MI 53 mi45 min NW 5.1 G 11 27°F 1021 hPa (+2.0)

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Cleveland, Burke Lakefront Airport, OH54 mi52 minNNW 610.00 miOvercast29°F21°F72%1020.8 hPa

Wind History from BKL (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS8SW16SW13SW15SW18
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1 day agoSE15SE14
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SE10S13SW11S13
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2 days agoSE6E3S5S6S5S6SE7S5S8S6S8S7S8S7S7S7S7SE6SE10SE11S9SE6SE12S13

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (6,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.