Wednesday, July26, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Stottville, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 5:40AMSunset 8:22PM Wednesday July 26, 2017 12:38 AM EDT (04:38 UTC) Moonrise 9:20AMMoonset 10:31PM Illumination 7% Phase: Waxing Crescent; Moon at 3 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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ANZ335 Long Island Sound West Of New Haven Ct/port Jefferson Ny- 1029 Pm Edt Tue Jul 25 2017
Tonight..NE winds around 5 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed..NE winds around 5 kt, becoming se in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less.
Wed night..S winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Thu..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the afternoon.
Thu night..SW winds 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening, then showers likely after midnight.
Fri..SW winds around 5 kt, becoming ne in the afternoon. Seas 1 ft or less. Showers likely.
Fri night..N winds 5 to 10 kt, increasing to 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less. Chance of showers in the evening.
Sat..N winds 10 to 15 kt, diminishing to 5 to 10 kt. Seas 1 ft or less.
Sun..N winds 5 to 10 kt, becoming sw in the evening, then becoming nw after midnight. Seas 1 ft or less.
ANZ300 1029 Pm Edt Tue Jul 25 2017
Synopsis for the long island waters and new york harbor.. High pressure builds across the waters late tonight into Wednesday morning, then to the east Wednesday night ahead of a frontal system approaching from the west. The cold front will slowly approach the area through late week before passing to the east on Friday. Brief high pressure builds across the area again for the weekend.

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Stottville, NY
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location: 42.33, -73.76     debug


Area Discussion for - Albany, NY
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Fxus61 kaly 260152
afdaly
area forecast discussion
national weather service albany ny
952 pm edt Tue jul 25 2017

Synopsis
As an upper level disturbance departs tonight, clouds
will start to break up, although lingering moisture will allow for
some patches of fog. Once any morning fog breaks up, dry and
comfortable weather is expected for Wednesday. An approaching
frontal system will bring some showers and thunderstorms for
Thursday, but clearing conditions are expected for the weekend.

Near term until 6 am Wednesday morning
Showers have dissipated and clearing continuing to spread west
from new england. Did some minor adjustments to cloud cover and
took the isolated showers out of the forecast for the rest of
the night. Cannot rule out a sprinkle or two, though, in some
places tonight as cloud cover mixes out as subsidence increases.

A few more details are in the previous afd which is below...

there could be some patchy fog and low clouds near rivers and
swamps in western new england once the clearing occurs late
tonight and radiational cooling drops temperatures below water
temperatures. So, just a few changes to timing of the end of the
isolated showers and some of the trends in the clearing from
west to east.

In the wake of the departing storm, plenty of lingering low
level moisture remains, which is allowing for a lot of stratus
and stratocu clouds over the area. Although some drier air will
start to work its way into the area tonight, clouds will
probably remain in place for most areas. For where clouds do
break up, some areas of fog may develop, especially by late
tonight. Lows will mainly be in the 50s, although some upper
40s are possible over the central and eastern adirondacks.

Short term 6 am Wednesday morning through Friday
Surface high pressure will allow for dry and comfortable weather
on Wednesday. Although the day may start with some fog low
clouds, it should break up shortly after sunrise. With strong
subsidence overhead, skies should become mostly sunny by the
late morning hours and into the afternoon, with comfortable
temperatures and low humidity. Highs will mainly be in the 70s
on Wednesday.

Dry weather will be short-lived, as the surface high pressure
will exit to the east. The next storm system will be a frontal
system approaching from the great lakes and southern canada, as
a shortwave trough passes by to the north of the area for wed
night into Thursday. Some showers and thunderstorms will be
possible, especially right along the approaching surface
boundary. Best chance will be across northern areas, which will
be closer to the upper level dynamics. Based on expected amounts
of instability, have included thunder within the diurnally
favored afternoon and evening hours. Highs on Thursday look to
reach into the upper 70s for most areas, with dewpoints creeping
back up through the 60s.

The front looks to cross through the area for Thursday night
into Friday morning, which should be ending the threat for
rainfall. With surface high pressure nosing down into the area
from southern canada, the front should drop far enough south to
keep any rain on Friday across the mid-atlantic states, which is
a change in the models from other recent runs. Will continue to
monitor model trends, but it appears (at this point) that our
area should be staying dry to end the week with highs mainly in
the 70s on Friday.

Long term Friday night through Tuesday
High pressure begins to build in Friday night with decreasing cloud
cover, especially in northern areas. The upper pattern becomes
complex through the weekend with an increasing consensus that an
upper low develops south of our region late Friday and tracks south
of long island Saturday and Saturday night. Most sources of guidance
and ensembles keep the deeper moisture and most of the extensive
cloud cover just south of our region. However, the northern extent
of clouds and isolated showers could get into the mid hudson valley
and NW ct Friday night and Saturday before the high pressure builds
into our region from canada and the great lakes. Highs Saturday in
the mid to upper 70s but cooler in higher terrain.

Mean upper troughing remains just east of our region Sunday and
Monday with some upper ridging building east from the great lakes
north of the exiting upper troughing. The upper ridging will aid in
some slow gradual warm advection. So, dry weather and more Sun than
clouds Sunday and Monday as long as upper troughing does exit just
to the east as guidance suggests. Highs Sunday in the upper 70s to
around 80 but lower 70s higher terrain. Highs Monday in the lower to
mid 80s but mid to upper 70s higher terrain.

By Tuesday there is a loose consensus for the next weak cold front
to drop south out of canada with little moisture and weak low level
forcing. So, intervals of clouds and Sun with isolated to scattered
showers and thunderstorms. Highs Tuesday in the lower to mid 80s
but mid to upper 70s higher terrain.

Aviation 02z Wednesday through Sunday
High pressure is gradually building in from the north and a
clearing sky is building in from the north and east. Lingering
low level moisture is keeping MVFR ceilings in the kalb, kpsf
and kpou areas but the sky is improving into theVFR range at
kgfl. Based on the slow and gradual clearing trend from the
west, timing ceilings rising toVFR and becoming scattered at
kpsf, kalb and kgfl around or just before daybreak, with kpsf
and kgfl seeing the ceiling breakup first. There could be a
brief period of MVFR fog at kpsf and kgfl if the clearing occurs
early enough. Kpou may not see the break in the ceiling until
just after daybreak.

Once the ceilings have gone, just scattered clouds above 3000
feet the rest of Wednesday morning and afternoon. Light north to
east winds at less than 6 kt will become nearly calm tonight.

Winds become south at less than 10 kt Wednesday morning and
afternoon.

Outlook...

Wednesday night: low operational impact. Slight chance of shra.

Thursday: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra... Tsra.

Thursday night: moderate operational impact. Chance of shra... Tsra.

Friday: low operational impact. Slight chance of shra.

Friday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Saturday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Saturday night: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Sunday: no operational impact. No sig wx.

Fire weather
No fire weather related issues expected, as our area saw a
wetting rain yesterday into last night. Rh values will fall to
40 to 70 percent on Wednesday with very light winds. The next
chance for rain showers and thunderstorms will be on Thursday.

Hydrology
Mainly dry weather is expected tonight into tomorrow with clouds
breaking for some sunshine on Wednesday. The next frontal system
will return the chance for some showers and thunderstorms on
Thursday into Thursday evening. Model guidance is starting to
come together that it should be through by Friday morning, so
dry weather looks to return for Friday into the weekend.

Rainfall amounts will be variable on Thursday due to the track
of showers thunderstorms, but widespread heavy rainfall is not
expected. Aside from a brief burst of heavy rainfall from a
thunderstorm, no flooding issues are anticipated with this
rainfall.

For details on specific area rivers and lakes, including
observed and forecast river stages and lake elevations, please
visit the advanced hydrologic prediction service AHPS graphs
on our website.

Aly watches warnings advisories
Ct... None.

Ny... None.

Ma... None.

Vt... None.

Synopsis... Frugis
near term... Frugis nas
short term... Frugis
long term... Nas
aviation... Nas
fire weather... Frugis
hydrology... Frugis


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
ANMN6 - Hudson River Reserve, NY 23 mi68 min 69°F 1023 hPa67°F
NWHC3 - 8465705 - New Haven, CT 85 mi50 min NNE 5.1 G 7 65°F 74°F1023.7 hPa
BRHC3 - 8467150 - Bridgeport, CT 86 mi50 min NNE 2.9 G 4.1

Wind History for New Haven, CT
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Pittsfield Municipal Airport, MA26 mi44 minN 03.00 miFog/Mist55°F54°F96%1022.9 hPa

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Last 24hrE4CalmCalmE3NE3CalmCalmNE3NE3E3NE5E3E5E4CalmNE3CalmN3E5CalmW3CalmCalmCalm
1 day agoSE8SE6SE7E5E6E4E5E85NE6E7E6
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2 days agoCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmSE3CalmNE6NE7E6E4E74E5E4S5E6SE7E6SE6E4Calm6SE8

Tide / Current Tables for Coxsackie, Hudson River, New York
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Coxsackie
Click for Map
Wed -- 12:25 AM EDT     -0.33 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 06:47 AM EDT     4.66 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:19 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 01:00 PM EDT     -0.74 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 07:25 PM EDT     3.97 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:30 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.2-0.20.723.144.54.642.91.80.9-0.2-0.7-0.30.71.92.83.53.93.832.11.3

Tide / Current Tables for Hudson, Hudson River, New York
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Hudson
Click for MapNote: Values for the Hudson River above the George Washington bridge are based upon averages for the six months May to October

Wed -- 05:42 AM EDT     Sunrise
Wed -- 05:48 AM EDT     5.05 feet High Tide
Wed -- 09:19 AM EDT     Moonrise
Wed -- 12:35 PM EDT     -0.50 feet Low Tide
Wed -- 06:31 PM EDT     4.62 feet High Tide
Wed -- 08:20 PM EDT     Sunset
Wed -- 10:30 PM EDT     Moonset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.
12am1am2am3am4am5am6am7am8am9am10am11am12pm1pm2pm3pm4pm5pm6pm7pm8pm9pm10pm11pm
-0.20.41.73.14.24.954.73.82.61.40.4-0.4-0.40.51.83.144.54.6431.90.9

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Albany, NY (0,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Albany, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.