Monday, April23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kenosha, WI

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 5:54AMSunset 7:44PM Monday April 23, 2018 9:58 PM CDT (02:58 UTC) Moonrise 12:49PMMoonset 2:38AM Illumination 63% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 9 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ646 Wind Point Wi To Winthrop Harbor Il- 933 Pm Cdt Mon Apr 23 2018
Rest of tonight..North wind 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast 5 to 10 knots after midnight. Slight chance of showers after midnight. Waves 2 to 3 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet early in the morning.
Tuesday..North wind 5 to 10 knots rising to 10 to 15 knots late in the afternoon. Chance of showers in the morning. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Tuesday night..North wind 10 to 20 knots rising to 15 to 25 knots with gusts to around 30 knots in the evening. Mostly cloudy through around midnight then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 1 to 2 feet building to 4 to 7 feet. A small craft advisory may be needed.
Wednesday..North wind 10 to 20 knots becoming 15 to 20 knots in the late morning and early afternoon, then easing to 10 to 15 knots late in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 knots. Sunny. Waves 4 to 6 feet subsiding to 3 to 5 feet late in the afternoon.
LMZ646 Expires:201804241030;;406687 FZUS53 KMKX 240233 NSHMKX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 933 PM CDT Mon Apr 23 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ646-241030-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kenosha, WI
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location: 42.58, -87.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
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Fxus63 kmkx 240240
afdmkx
area forecast discussion
national weather service milwaukee sullivan wi
940 pm cdt Mon apr 23 2018

Update The forecast is on track for tnt-tue. Confined slight
chance of rain to south of mke for late tnt-tue.

Marine Light nnely winds the remainder of tnt-tue. A cold
front will then accelerate down lake mi by early Tue eve. Nnely
winds 15-25 kts with higher gusts will prevail Tue eve-wed. Waves
will become high by late Tue eve and last into Wed aft. Thus a
small craft advisory will be needed Tue nt-wed.

Prev discussion (issued 618 pm cdt Mon apr 23 2018)
update...

the large occluded low over tn will gradually move ewd across tn
tnt-tue. The sely flow around the large low may bring stratus
clouds and a little drizzle or light rain into SE wi late tnt-tue.

The low clouds and any light precipitation should not reach east
central and south central wi. Another mild day on tue, but cooler
near the lake and over SE wi due to more clouds and a nely flow. A
cold front will then accelerate down lake mi and arrive by late
afternoon or early evening for the lake counties and a little
later inland. Thus temps will be cooler for wed.

Aviation(00z tafs)... Low stratus over in and ERN il may
eventually move into SE wi late tnt-tue am. There is a slight
chance of showers or drizzle as well. The low stratus will lift to
a 3.5-4.0 kft deck during early Tue afternoon and may become
scattered. Elsewhere over S wi,VFR conditions are expected tnt-
tue.

Prev discussion... (issued 236 pm cdt Mon apr 23 2018)
discussion...

tonight through Wednesday - confidence... Medium
combo of increasing low level cyclonic flow due to evolution of
inverted trough along with a northern stream shortwave, will
result in a continued small shower chance in the far southeast.

Cold front moves in Tuesday night with a gusty north northeast
wind regime. Could be a spotty shower or two with that feature.

Low level thermal trough lingers into Wednesday. Should have less
wind as surface high starts to build in.

Thursday and Thursday night - confidence... Medium
thermal ridge pokes up ahead of another cold front so should see
temps bounce back from the cooler day Wednesday. The GFS is
faster on bringing in showers into northwest half of CWA Thursday
afternoon, while the ECMWF and extrap of NAM would delay this
until Thursday evening. Blended guidance brings a small chance
into the far northwest in the afternoon so will ride with that for
now.

Friday and Saturday - confidence... Low to medium
the ECMWF develops showers in northwest flow cyclonic regime on
Friday while the GFS shows more low level ridging negating the
shower potential. This difference carries into Saturday with the
ecmwf showing chilly 850 temps while the GFS is well into a warm
air advection regime with 850 temps well above zero c.

Sunday and Monday - confidence... Medium
a rather warm pattern is setting up with a warm south southwest
wind becoming established. Forcing for precip remains to our west
this period. 925 temps proggd into the 10-15c range for Sunday and
deeper into the teens celsius for Monday so may see highs getting
above blended guidance should trends persist. Could also see some
dew points reaching the 50s by Monday.

Aviation(18z tafs)... Expecting some increase in cloud cover with
moisture spreading northward ahead of the low in mid miss vly.

Small shower chances still look good in the southeast corner. Some
lower ceilings (MVFR and ifr) are still possible in the far
southeast per MOS consshort.

Marine... Increasing northerly winds and building waves will likely
bring small craft advisory conditions Tuesday night and Wednesday.

Mkx watches warnings advisories
Wi... None.

Lm... None.

Update... Gehring
tonight Tuesday and aviation marine... Collar
Tuesday night through Monday... Collar


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KNSW3 - Kenosha, WI 3 mi59 min 48°F 1019.6 hPa (+0.0)
WHRI2 - Waukegan Harbor, IL 15 mi39 min E 8 G 19 46°F
MLWW3 - Milwaukee, WI 32 mi49 min N 12 G 14 50°F
FSTI2 43 mi119 min N 8.9 44°F
OKSI2 48 mi119 min N 4.1 G 5.1 45°F
CHII2 - Chicago, IL 49 mi39 min NNW 9.9 G 11 44°F 33°F

Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kenosha, Kenosha Regional Airport, WI4 mi66 minNNE 710.00 miFair52°F25°F35%1020 hPa
Chicago/Waukegan Regional Airport, IL11 mi64 minNNE 1010.00 miFair52°F24°F34%1019.8 hPa
Racine, Batten International Airport, WI13 mi66 minN 11 G 1910.00 miFair49°F25°F39%1020.5 hPa
Burlington Municipal Airport, WI24 mi84 minENE 410.00 miFair52°F25°F36%1020 hPa

Wind History from ENW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrN4N3NE5N4NE4N6N5N3N4NE6NE9NE14NE13NE9E6NE11NE14NE15
G22
NE15NE13NE12NE12NE10NE7
1 day agoCalmW3CalmCalmCalmNE6CalmCalmNE4CalmE5E7NE8E6E10E10E11E12E13E12E10NE7NE8NE6
2 days agoCalmCalmW3CalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmCalmNE3NE3CalmSE3CalmNE3CalmE5E8E8E8SE6E5Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Milwaukee, WI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.