Tuesday, August21, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Kenosha, WI

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Sunrise 6:04AMSunset 7:44PM Tuesday August 21, 2018 9:03 PM CDT (02:03 UTC) Moonrise 4:51PMMoonset 1:38AM Illumination 81% Phase: Waxing Gibbous; Moon at 11 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LMZ646 Wind Point Wi To Winthrop Harbor Il- 706 Pm Cdt Tue Aug 21 2018
.small craft advisory in effect through Wednesday afternoon...
Tonight..North wind 15 to 20 knots becoming 15 to 25 knots in the late evening and early morning, then becoming 15 to 20 knots early in the morning. Scattered showers in the evening, then slight chance of showers late in the evening. Waves 3 to 5 feet building to 4 to 6 feet late in the evening, then building to 5 to 7 feet after midnight subsiding to 4 to 6 feet early in the morning.
Wednesday..Northwest wind 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday night..Northwest wind 10 to 15 knots becoming west 5 to 10 knots late in the evening, then rising to 10 to 15 knots after midnight. Clear. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Thursday..West wind 10 to 15 knots easing to 5 to 10 knots late in the morning, then becoming southwest 10 to 15 knots in the afternoon. Sunny. Waves around 1 foot.
LMZ646 Expires:201808220400;;431217 FZUS53 KMKX 220006 NSHMKX Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 706 PM CDT Tue Aug 21 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore on Lake Michigan LMZ646-220400-


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Kenosha, WI
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location: 42.58, -87.87     debug


Area Discussion for - Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
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Fxus63 kmkx 212348
afdmkx
area forecast discussion
national weather service milwaukee sullivan wi
648 pm cdt Tue aug 21 2018

Update Few showers have developed from ketb to kryv, moving
southeast as a result of passing short wave trof and density
discontinuity. Should continue to affect southeast wi next several
hours. MUCAPE around 500 j in the far southeast so isolated t
possible next 1-2 hours.

Aviation(00z tafs) Patchy MVFR ceilings associated with low
level cold air advection to continue next several hours before
ceilings lifting toVFR as drier air surges in.

Prev discussion (issued 403 pm cdt Tue aug 21 2018)
short term...

tonight... Forecast confidence is medium.

Light showers associated with low pressure exiting the area are
moving out of southeast wi this afternoon. It is looking much less
likely for another round of showers late this afternoon evening
with a weak cold front dropping through. The hrrr and NAM models
have backed off a lot and there is no sign up precip upstream.

Winds will remain breezy out of the north-northwest.

Expect clearing skies overnight as drier air works into the
region. Temps will drop into the lower to mid 50s.

Wednesday through Thursday... Forecast confidence is medium.

Dry high pressure will take hold of southern wi on Wednesday and
linger through Thursday. Cyclonic flow aloft will lead to
diurnal cumulus clouds in southeast wi Wed afternoon. We will
start to warm up again with southerly winds on Thursday.

Long term...

Friday through Saturday... Forecast confidence is medium.

An upper low will swing through the upper midwest later in the
week. It's expected to slide across southern wisconsin and bring
us another round of rain. Precipitable water values will be around
1.6 to 1.8 again, so expect efficient rainfall and heavy rain is a
possibility. Rain should begin in southern wi late Thu night and
persist through Friday night.

We will warm into the 80s for Saturday and Sunday. Sunday looks
like a very warm and humid day. This will lead to instability, so
there is a chance of storms by Sunday afternoon into the night.

The better chance for strong storms will be to our north.

Aviation(18z tafs)...

the MVFR ceilings are slower to lift and clear than expected this
afternoon. Look for skies to clear later than expected, but they
should clear early Wednesday morning. Gusty north-northwest winds
will persist through early evening and re-develop Wed afternoon.

Expect diurnal cumulus clouds withVFR bases to develop late
Wednesday morning. These may become broken ceilings for a time
near lake michigan during the afternoon.

Marine...

gusty north-northwest winds will gradually diminish overnight.

Waves will subside as winds become more off-shore. Timing for the
small craft advisory still seems reasonable.

Beaches...

wind direction is marginal for a strong beach hazards statement
since it is now becoming northwesterly rather than north. Given
the lingering high waves, I will keep the beach hazards statement
in effect for the overnight hours, but it is possible we could
cancel it early (by early Wednesday morning).

Mkx watches warnings advisories
Wi... Beach hazards statement through Wednesday afternoon for wiz066-
071-072.

Beach hazards statement until 6 am cdt Wednesday for wiz052-060.

Lm... Small craft advisory until 1 pm cdt Wednesday for lmz645-646.

Small craft advisory until 6 am cdt Wednesday for lmz643-644.

Update... mbk
tonight Wednesday and aviation marine... mbk
Wednesday night through Tuesday... Cronce


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
KNSW3 - Kenosha, WI 3 mi124 min N 11 G 13 72°F 1014.2 hPa (+1.7)
45187 8 mi24 min 70°F 72°F3 ft
WHRI2 - Waukegan Harbor, IL 15 mi84 min NNW 5.1 G 8.9 71°F
45186 15 mi24 min NNW 12 71°F 74°F3 ft
MLWW3 - Milwaukee, WI 32 mi24 min NNW 8 G 8.9 70°F
45174 33 mi24 min N 16 G 23 72°F 73°F5 ft68°F
45013 36 mi57 min NNW 12 G 16 70°F 74°F3 ft1015.6 hPa
FSTI2 43 mi124 min N 12 70°F
45007 - S MICHIGAN 43NM East Southeast of Milwaukee, WI 45 mi74 min NNW 19 G 25 72°F 75°F6 ft1013.5 hPa (+1.7)64°F
CHII2 - Chicago, IL 49 mi34 min N 17 G 18 70°F 66°F
45177 49 mi124 min 73°F1 ft

Wind History for Calumet Harbor, IL
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Kenosha, Kenosha Regional Airport, WI4 mi71 minNNW 7 G 1510.00 miMostly Cloudy70°F63°F79%1014.9 hPa
Chicago/Waukegan Regional Airport, IL11 mi69 minNNW 99.00 miOvercast71°F61°F71%1014 hPa
Racine, Batten International Airport, WI13 mi71 minNNW 610.00 miA Few Clouds69°F60°F73%1015.2 hPa
Burlington Municipal Airport, WI24 mi69 minWNW 510.00 miPartly Cloudy68°F61°F82%1015.9 hPa

Wind History from ENW (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE14
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SW10N3N4--N4NW4NW3NW6N7N9N10
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1 day agoE5E5E6E4E6E7SE5SE5SE5SE4E5E7SE10SE11E12SE15E12
G21
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2 days agoCalmCalmN3NW3S3W3CalmNW3CalmCalmW3CalmNE3E43CalmNE4SE7SE9SE9E10E9E7E6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_A
GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI (22,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Milwaukee, WI
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.