Tuesday, January16, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Kingsville, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 7:49AMSunset 5:19PM Tuesday January 16, 2018 8:28 PM EST (01:28 UTC) Moonrise 7:24AMMoonset 5:08PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 0 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ168 Lake Erie Open Waters From Ripley To Buffalo Ny- Lake Erie Open Waters From Willowick To Geneva-on-the-lake Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Geneva-on-the-lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 312 Pm Est Tue Jan 16 2018
Tonight..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots. A chance of snow showers. The lake is mostly ice covered.
Wednesday..Southwest winds 10 to 15 knots increasing to 15 to 20 knots. A chance of snow showers through early afternoon.
Wednesday night..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots increasing to 30 knots.
Thursday..Southwest winds to 30 knots.
Thursday night..Southwest winds 15 to 25 knots.
Friday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots.
Saturday..Southwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of rain Saturday night.
Sunday..South winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain. Waves omitted due to the lake being mostly ice covered.
LEZ168 Expires:201801170330;;548536 FZUS61 KCLE 162012 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 312 PM EST Tue Jan 16 2018 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS... A ridge averaging 30.70 inches will persist over the Ohio valley into Wednesday night. Meanwhile a trough averaging 29.80 inches will pass north of the Great Lakes on Thursday. A warm front will lift north toward Lake Erie over the weekend. LEZ061-167>169-170330-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Kingsville, OH
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location: 42.59, -80.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 162335
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
635 pm est Tue jan 16 2018

Synopsis
A trough of low pressure will move east across the area tonight.

High pressure will build southeast toward the deep south and extend
a ridge north into the local area by Thursday. The high will be the
dominating weather feature across the area through Thursday. A weak
trough will swing east across the area Thursday night.

Near term through Wednesday night
Lowered temps several degrees for the 630 update. Would have
dropped more, but winds will stay up all night and expect
clouds to move in overnight to help keep temps from tanking.

Original discussion...

a surface trough will slide east across the area as a reflection of
the upper level trough. The upper level trough will remain
positively tilted as it moves to the east coast Wednesday night.

Flow should remain fairly well aligned overnight for some lake
effect snow showers to continue along the lake shore of erie county
pennsylvania. Snow is expected to be light. Another area of snow
will slide into northwest ohio in advance of the surface trough.

Moisture streaming northeast continues to place youngstown in an
area of light snow or flurries. This is basically ending during the
evening hours.

As trough swings through tonight, the rest of the forecast period
looks to be dry as high pressure begins to dominate the local area.

Cold pool of arctic air will slide east across the local area
tonight but will begin to modify slightly. Therefore, I am
anticipating low temperatures will be a couple degrees warmer
tonight compared to this morning. As high pressure takes over, we
should start to see a gradual warming trend starting tomorrow. Highs
tomorrow should be about 10 degrees warmer than today. 850 mb
temperatures start to flirt with the 0 degree c mark by Wednesday
night.

Short term Thursday through Friday night
An upper level shortwave will brush far northeastern oh
Thursday evening into Friday morning bringing a slight chance of
snow showers to erie county pa early Friday morning.

Otherwise... Upper level high pressure will build over the area
Thursday night into at least the first part of the weekend. This
will result in a warming trend across the forecast area... With
daytime high temperatures just above freezing Friday afternoon.

By Saturday... Temperatures are forecast to warm into the mid
40s... Around 6 to 10 degrees above normal for this time of year.

Light rain returns as early as Saturday afternoon as a warm front
lifts north across the area.

Long term Saturday through Tuesday
The long term begins Saturday night with models in agreement showing
a surface high a cross the southeastern states and low pressure in
the central plains. Mild southerly flow will be across the ohio
valley between these two systems. With this overrunning flow out of
the deep south would expect sufficient moisture will be in the area
for clouds so will have with mostly cloudy skies Saturday night.

Will only have a low chance pop given lack of any stronger forcing.

Sunday models diverge on moisture with the ECMWF remaining drier
while the GFS would support at least chance pops with a warm front
in the area. Will side closer to the GFS here and have chance pops
for the day. Sunday night models bring a cold front into the area
from the west ahead of a deepening low in the upper midwest. May not
be a lot occurring in the evening but the front comes in after
midnight so will continue with likely pops west half. On Monday will
have likely pops east as the front continues east. By afternoon
models show wrap around moisture back into the northwest so will
have likely pops there as well. Precip should be mostly rain but
could begin to see a change late afternoon northwest so will have a
mix. Will continue a mix everywhere Monday evening then turn precip
to snow as it ends overnight. Tuesday looks dry. Sunday and Monday
temps above normal however temps will be dropping during the
afternoon on Monday. Tuesday looks close to normal.

Aviation 00z Wednesday through Sunday
Trough will swing across forecast area overnight. Expect MVFR
cigs to develop with a few flurries.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible late Sunday.

Marine
Southwest winds will generally remain at or below 10 kts
through Wednesday afternoon. By Wednesday afternoon surface high
pressure will strengthen over ar with deep surface low pressure
north into canada resulting in an increase in southwest winds. Winds
will remain between 15 and just over 20 kts through at least
Saturday morning as surface pressure gradient remain tight across
the region. Winds will begin to subside Saturday morning and become
more southerly by Sunday.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Lombardy
near term... Djb lombardy
short term... Riley
long term... Tk
aviation... Djb
marine... Riley


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 48 mi39 min WSW 8.9 G 13 14°F 1030.5 hPa
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 59 mi41 min SW 18 G 20 12°F 1031.1 hPa6°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Erie, Erie International Airport, PA55 mi38 minSW 55.00 miLight Snow13°F5°F70%1031.7 hPa

Wind History from ERI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrS13S9S9S7S7SW76W9W7W7SW3W6W7W7W7W7W9W8W10W10W10W10SW9SW5
1 day agoS4SE4SE4SE6SE8E3SE6SE6SE7SE11SE16SE13SE10SE10S10
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2 days agoN8N5N7N6NW7NW3NW5N4CalmS4S6SW6SW6SW5SW5CalmE3W5N6NE5SE4NE3E3Calm

Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
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IR Satellite Image from GEOS
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GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
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Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (20,4,5,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.