Tuesday, April25, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Kingsville, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:24AMSunset 8:20PM Tuesday April 25, 2017 2:23 PM EDT (18:23 UTC) Moonrise 5:15AMMoonset 6:24PM Illumination 0% Phase: New Moon; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ168 Lake Erie Open Waters From Ripley To Buffalo Ny- Lake Erie Open Waters From Geneva-on-the-lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 945 Am Edt Tue Apr 25 2017
Rest of today..East winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast. Showers likely late this morning...then a chance of showers early this afternoon. A slight chance of showers late. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tonight..Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east 10 knots or less. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Wednesday..East winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast 5 to 15 knots. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday night..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..Southwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west in the afternoon...then becoming southeast in the evening becoming south overnight. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less.
Saturday..South winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the morning... Then showers and Thunderstorms likely in the afternoon. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 1 foot or less building to 1 to 3 feet. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ168 Expires:201704252015;;243070 FZUS61 KCLE 251345 GLFLE OPEN LAKE FORECAST FOR LAKE ERIE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CLEVELAND OH 945 AM EDT TUE APR 25 2017 FOR WATERS BEYOND FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE ON LAKE ERIE .SYNOPSIS...LOW PRESSURE 29.50 INCHES WILL MOVE INTO THE WESTERN LAKES AND WEAKEN. WEDNESDAY NIGHT ANOTHER LOW 29.30 INCHES WILL MOVE NORTH ALONG A FRONT REACHING CENTRAL LAKE MICHIGAN BY THURSDAY MORNING. THE LOW WILL CONTINUE NORTH OF THE LAKES THURSDAY SWEEPING THE COLD FRONT EAST ACROSS THE LAKE THURSDAY AFTERNOON AND EVENING. FRIDAY HIGH PRESSURE 30.00 INCHES WILL BUILD ONTO THE LAKE FROM THE NORTHWEST. SATURDAY A WARM FRONT WILL APPROACH THE LAKE FROM THE SOUTH. LEZ061-168-169-252015-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Kingsville, OH
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location: 42.59, -80.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 251757
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
157 pm edt Tue apr 25 2017

Synopsis
The region will continue to be sandwiched between two areas of
low pressure, one to the west and one to the east, today
through Wednesday. Low pressure will eventually track into the
great lakes Thursday bringing a cold front through the area.

High pressure will then build in across the region briefly
Thursday night.

Near term /through Wednesday/
Update... Light rain drying up quickly now and satellite shows
thinning clouds from the south so forecast on track. Have made
adjustment to sky grids to reflect increasing sun. Also adjusted
pop grids down to slight chance early northeast oh and
northwest pa but shouldn't be much.

Original discussion...

a low over the carolinas will continue to move up the eastern
seaboard today. This has brought widespread clouds to eastern
parts of the area, with more scattered clouds farther west.

There is not much moisture to work with, but we have seen a few
light showers/sprinkles move into northeast ohio and northwest
pennsylvania this morning. Expect a continued chance of light
showers/sprinkles from near cleveland eastward through the
morning hours. Any chance of precipitation will quickly come to
an end by early this afternoon as the low continues its
northeastward trek.

Temperatures this afternoon should be similar to yesterday in
most areas, though it will be a little warmer along coastal
areas. Low temperatures tonight will drop into the lower 50s. A
very warm april day is in store for Wednesday with many
locations likely reaching the lower 80s for highs - generally
15 to 20 degrees above normal.

Short term /Wednesday night through Friday night/
Dry weather will continue through Wednesday night, with low
temperatures closer to the normal daytime high for this time of
year (lower to middle 60s). A low across the upper great
lakes/southern ontario Thursday will force a cold front through
the area Thursday afternoon. This will trigger showers and
thunderstorms progressing from west to east across ohio during
the early to mid afternoon and eventually reaching northwest
pennsylvania by the late afternoon/evening hours.

A strong shear profile will be present Thursday
morning/afternoon along with marginal instability. Therefore,
there is at least a chance of a stronger storm or two. One of
the main limiting factors will be moisture as the low occludes.

High pressure builds back into the area Thursday night in the
wake of the cold front. High temperatures Friday still look to
be above normal with just a slight chance of a shower during the
afternoon hours as the next low approaches from the southwest.

Long term /Saturday through Tuesday/
Models are in decent agreement with the storm system that will
impact the region Saturday through Monday. Still have concerns that
the models are ejecting this low faster than what will really occur.

If it is slower the lift near the warm front may end up causing a
longer period of showers and thunderstorms Saturday into early
Sunday. At some point the region looks as if it will be in the warm
sector. This will likely be on Sunday but as stated above the timing
is still in question. The cold front may be cross the region Monday
morning with showers/thunderstorms along it.

Temperatures Saturday into Sunday will all hinge on the location of
the warm front. In any event all locations should see highs above
seasonal averages. Uncertainly remains for highs on Monday since we
do not trust the timing of the front moving across the area.

Aviation /18z Tuesday through Sunday/
Drier air moved into the region clearing out this morning's rain
as it lifted north. Some mid level clouds are lingering in the
east but should lift out this afternoon. As for a lake breeze
believe eri will be impacted but cle should remain just south of
the wind shift.VFR conditions expected to continue into the
overnight. Prevailing southeast flow will continue tonight. As
winds go light towards dawn areas that received rain could see
some MVFR conditions notably eri/yng.

Outlook... Non-vfr possible in advance of a cold front Thursday
and then with showers and thunderstorms Thursday afternoon into
early Friday morning.

Marine
Winds continue to decrease on lake erie as low pressure moves off
the middle atlantic coast. This has allowed waves to subside to 2 to
3 feet at most locations. The easterly flow may pick back up again
this afternoon but it appears it will be too short lived to warrant
keeping the small craft advisory going. So we will allow the small
craft advisory to come down.

Winds will shift more to the the southeast by Wednesday evening as
low pressure moves to near lake michigan. Winds will become southwest
to west as the cold front crosses the region on Thursday with small
craft conditions anticipated late Thursday morning through the
afternoon. High pressure will briefly build onto the lake Thursday
night into early Friday brining light winds.

Cle watches/warnings/advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Mottice
near term... Tk/mottice
short term... Mottice
long term... Mullen
aviation... Jamison
marine... Mullen


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 48 mi63 min ENE 11 G 12 48°F 1011.9 hPa
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 51 mi84 min NE 11 G 14 55°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 59 mi54 min NE 8 G 8.9 59°F 1010.4 hPa55°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Erie, Erie International Airport, PA55 mi33 minNW 710.00 miFair66°F54°F65%1010.9 hPa

Wind History from ERI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNE16
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NE15NE9NE7NE4NE5CalmE3SE54SE8
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CalmSE6E3SE4N43SE6SE63SE8NW7
1 day agoN7N5N6CalmN5CalmS3CalmCalmCalmS3S3S4CalmCalmS3E6NE10NE11NE9N8NE7NE12NE19
2 days agoNE8NW3W5NW7W4NW3CalmS3CalmS3CalmS3S3CalmS3S3SW4S4S5S5S5N8NW5N6

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (14,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.