Saturday, July22, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
North Kingsville, OH

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.

Sunrise 6:05AMSunset 8:56PM Saturday July 22, 2017 4:46 PM EDT (20:46 UTC) Moonrise 4:14AMMoonset 7:17PM Illumination 1% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 29 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LEZ168 Lake Erie Open Waters From Ripley To Buffalo Ny- Lake Erie Open Waters From Geneva-on-the-lake To Conneaut Oh- Lake Erie Open Waters From Conneaut Oh To Ripley Ny- 344 Pm Edt Sat Jul 22 2017
Tonight..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers with isolated Thunderstorms this evening...then isolated showers and Thunderstorms after midnight. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Sunday..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms early. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Sunday night..Northwest winds 5 to 10 knots becoming west. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Monday night..Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming northeast. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms in the evening. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday..Northeast winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. Waves 1 to 2 feet.
Wednesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers and Thunderstorms Wednesday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Thursday..West winds 5 to 10 knots becoming north. Waves around 1 foot. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms.
LEZ168 Expires:201707230215;;662571 FZUS61 KCLE 221944 GLFLE Open Lake Forecast for Lake Erie National Weather Service Cleveland OH 344 PM EDT Sat Jul 22 2017 For waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on Lake Erie Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. .SYNOPSIS...A cold front is expected to drop across the lake on Monday. High pressure 30.20 inches from the northern plains will move east to the central Great lakes by Tuesday morning and the east coast by Wednesday. A cold front will drop across the western and northern lakes on Wednesday. LEZ061-168-169-230215-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near North Kingsville, OH
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location: 42.59, -80.98     debug


Area Discussion for - Cleveland, OH
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Fxus61 kcle 222035
afdcle
area forecast discussion
national weather service cleveland oh
435 pm edt Sat jul 22 2017

Synopsis
Broad area of low pressure will move through the central great lakes
through Sunday. A cold front will move south across the area late
Sunday ahead of a trough deepening aloft. High pressure will build
southeast out of canada across the great lakes during the first
half of the week.

Near term through Sunday night
Broad area of weak low pressure remains from the central great lakes
back into the plains. A large area of convection that moved across
the area this morning helped to stabilize the area for much of the
day although some weak instability has developed late. An mcv
is noted on satellite imagery with scattered showers starting
to fill back in across southeast mi along with central and
southern ohio. The stronger storms in central ohio will tend to
move to the south towards the better instability this evening.

The airmass will remain very moist for a few more hours before
drier air starts to arrive from the west later this evening. Pw
values remain near 2 inches and will need to keep a close eye on
a few areas that received a couple inches of rain already
today, mainly in NE ohio. Any additional thunderstorms activity
generally expected to be brief in nature. After some degree of
clearing this evening, the very moist low level airmass suggests
stratus will fill in overnight so will trend cloud cover up
after midnight. Lows will generally be near 70 degrees.

Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected to re-develop on Sunday
with diurnal heating ahead of a trough dropping down from the north.

Best coverage is expected in NE oh NW pa where the better moisture
and low level convergence will be located during the afternoon. The
storm prediction center does have the area in a slight risk for
severe thunderstorms, mainly during the late afternoon and early
evening.

Short term Monday through Wednesday
A trough will be exiting the region off to the east on Monday.

There could still be a few lingering showers around Monday
morning, mainly across far northeast ohio into northwest
pennsylvania. These should move off to the east by the mid-
afternoon hours. High pressure will start to build in by Monday
night and will be the dominate feature through Wednesday with
dry conditions.

Temperatures Monday and Tuesday will be a bit below normal as
northerly winds continue across the area. Look for temperatures to
rebound back to slightly above normal by Wednesday as winds veer
back to a southwesterly direction.

Long term Thursday through Saturday
Low pressure will move east across the great lakes forcing a
cold front southeast across the area. The front will become
nearly stationary across the area while weak waves of low
pressure move east along the boundary. Limited moisture
associated with the cold front will slide southeast into the
local area with the front Wednesday night into Thursday. A
vigorous upper level positive vorticity maximum will slide
southeast in an upper level trough. This feature will help to
enhance further development of the low pressure system across
the ohio river valley by Friday morning. The bulk of the
moisture should be southeast of the area and only limited threat
for showers expected going into the end of the week and first
part of the weekend. Warm air advection will take place ahead of
the cold front Wednesday night into Thursday. As the surface
low pressure slides east of the area Friday night, some weak
cold air advection will take place Friday night into Saturday.

Aviation 18z Saturday through Thursday
Widespread area of rainfall has shifted east with just scattered
showers and a lower chance of thunderstorms for the remainder of
the afternoon into this evening. Ceilings range fromVFR in the
west to ifr in the east. The trend will be for gradual
improvement this afternoon but some locations in the east may
remain MVFR. Given moist ground conditions and clouds
attempting to scatter out, a stratus deck will try to develop
at many sites overnight with MVFR ceilings west ifr ceilings
east. Visibilities will also decline after 06z with a weak
surface trough and low level moisture convergence overhead. ,
outlook... Non-vfr in early morning fog mist may continue during
the first half of the week.

Marine
Winds will generally be light and variable through tonight on lake
erie. Winds will turn to the northwest Sunday around 10 knots and
increase to around 15 knots Monday out of the north. Winds will then
slowly veer around from the north to the northeast by Tuesday,
remaining around 10 knots or so. Winds will veer back to the
southwest by Wednesday at less than 10 knots.

Cle watches warnings advisories
Oh... None.

Pa... None.

Marine... None.

Synopsis... Kec
near term... Kec
short term... Mottice
long term... Lombardy
aviation... Kec
marine... Mottice


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
45132 - Port Stanley 16 mi47 min E 9.7 G 12 74°F 75°F1 ft1007.9 hPa (-1.5)
CBLO1 - Conneaut Breakwater Light, OH 48 mi47 min NNW 7 G 8 76°F 1008.8 hPa (-1.4)
GELO1 - Geneva on the Lake, OH 51 mi67 min NNE 2.9 G 8 76°F
FAIO1 - 9063053 - Fairport, OH 59 mi47 min W 1.9 G 2.9 78°F 1008.1 hPa (-1.9)71°F

Wind History for Fairport, OH
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Erie, Erie International Airport, PA55 mi56 minSSW 510.00 miMostly Cloudy80°F71°F74%1008 hPa

Wind History from ERI (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrW7W4W3W4SW4CalmS4CalmS4CalmS4S4S8S8S7SE4S7S7S6SE8S9SE4S3S5
1 day agoW13
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W10W9SW6SW5S4S4S5S5S5S5S4S3S4S5343W4NW6NW10NW8NW9
2 days agoW10W7W8SW4SW4CalmCalmS3S4CalmS4S4S6CalmCalmS6S10S11SW13SW10
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of GreatLakes    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Cleveland, OH (16,3,4,5)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Cleveland, OH
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.