Monday, April24, 2017 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Naples, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
5/19/2016 - There were issues with the 3 day airport observation history. I switched to another data source. Let me know if you see any issues with the data feeds.
3/12/2015 - Added section for Gulf current for users in the GMZ marine zones.
This was requested by a user. If you have requests, please let me know.

Sunrise 6:10AMSunset 8:05PM Monday April 24, 2017 9:21 AM EDT (13:21 UTC) Moonrise 4:25AMMoonset 4:56PM Illumination 3% Phase: Waning Crescent; Moon at 28 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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LOZ043 Niagara River To Sodus Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 743 Pm Edt Sun Apr 23 2017
.small craft advisory in effect from 5 am edt Monday through Monday evening...
Tonight..South winds 10 knots or less becoming northeast and increasing to 15 to 20 knots after midnight. Mainly clear this evening...then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday..Northeast winds 15 to 20 knots becoming east. Mostly Sunny. Waves 3 to 5 feet subsiding to 2 to 4 feet.
Monday night..East winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 10 to 15 knots. A chance of showers overnight. Waves 2 to 4 feet.
Tuesday..East winds 10 to 15 knots. Showers likely. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Tuesday night..East winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of showers in the evening. Waves 2 feet or less.
Wednesday..East winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southeast. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers during the day...then a chance of showers and Thunderstorms Thursday night. Waves 1 foot or less.
Friday..West winds 10 knots or less becoming north. A chance of showers Friday night. Waves 1 foot or less. Winds and waves higher in and near Thunderstorms. The water temperature off rochester is 45 degrees.
LOZ043 Expires:201704240315;;165122 FZUS51 KBUF 232343 NSHBUF NEARSHORE MARINE FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY 743 PM EDT SUN APR 23 2017 FOR WATERS WITHIN FIVE NAUTICAL MILES OF SHORE LOZ042-043-240315-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Naples, NY
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location: 42.62, -77.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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Fxus61 kbgm 241119
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
719 am edt Mon apr 24 2017

Synopsis
High pressure is moving off the new england coast, yet it will
still manage to keep dry and mild conditions going today with
highs in the 60s to near 70. Late tonight through Tuesday,
light rain will move into the region, as a weak storm center
tracks up the eastern seaboard. A few showers may linger into
Wednesday morning east of interstate 81.

Near term /through tonight/
315 am update...

departing high pressure will still have enough influence for
one more dry day, before showers move in tonight into Tuesday
courtesy of an extension of a low pressure system centered over
the carolinas.

A few high thin clouds currently reside over the twin tiers to
catskills, but overall the sky is mostly clear. It is not quite
a chilly as last night yet radiational cooling is still
occurring for the usual spots. There is a valley-to-ridge
spread in temperatures, with the surface inversion being quite
shallow. At 3 am, upper 30s can be found in cortland, norwich,
sidney, elmira and rome. However, it is still upper 40s in avoca
pa and for the hilltop of binghamton airport.

Surface high pressure is exiting off the new england coast, yet
will still have enough of an influence along with the resident
dry air mass to keep our weather dry today. Variable wind will
become light east-southeast, but not enough to bring in much of
a marine influence and thus most of the region will still get a
good deal of sunshine allowing temperatures to once again reach
60s-lower 70s. High clouds will start thickening, however, for
wyoming valley to poconos of pa early-to-mid afternoon, and
into the catskills by late afternoon. This is a hint of a
distant yet approaching system.

A compact upper low is currently dropping into the southeast,
which is initiating a weak cyclogenesis around coastal georgia.

That low will vertically stack, making its progress slow as it
moves up the carolinas today through tonight, reaching the outer
banks by Tuesday. Despite being centered so far away, aloft a
vorticity lobe will extend from it up through our region along
with increasing moisture through the mid-to-upper levels
especially late tonight through Tuesday. It may also be preceded
by one or more embedded shortwaves. Initially, resulting rain
will struggle to reach the ground due to dry low level air and
surface ridging, but enough top-down moistening will eventually
occur allowing showers to break out. Everyone will end up
getting some rain out of this, especially during the day
Tuesday, but amounts will be higher generally southeast of a
sayre pa to binghamton-oneonta ny line. A few tenths of an inch
or so will be possible in northeast pa to catskills ny through
00z Wednesday.

Monday now looks rain-free, as the models have slowed the
arrival of the next system from previous runs. Clouds should
thicken up during the afternoon, though, especially across nepa
and the catskills. Afternoon highs will range in the 60s, with
some of our lake ontario plain and central southern tier zones
perhaps reaching 70, as sunshine prevails longer in these areas.

Given the clouds and precipitation, Tuesday will be cooler, with
highs in the 50s-near 60.

Short term /Tuesday through Wednesday night/
The area will continue to be affected by a coastal low Tuesday night
into Wednesday. In fact, forecast models continue to trend a
lower slower with the departure of this system and its
associated rain and showers over the region.

To begin the period Tuesday evening, the low will be near the
north carolina / virginia coast with a deep layer SE flow of
moisture continuing to bring periods of rain and showers into
the area... Heaviest and steadiest east of i-81. This will
continue to be the trend through most of the night as the back
edge of the precip look to only move east slowly.

Heading into Wednesday, there still could be some lingering rain and
showers in the morning... Especially from around i-81 east as
the area will be situated in the deformation zone along the
northern and western periphery of the vertically stacked low
which will be situated near the delmarva. Expect any lingering
rain/showers in the morning to taper off in the afternoon but
with mostly cloudy skies continuing through most of the day.

Additional rain amounts from Tuesday evening until the rain ends
Wednesday should not be too heavy... Possibly a quarter to half
inch in spots over the poconos and catskills with less farther
north and west. Highs Wednesday will range from the 60s east to
around 70 across the lake plain.

Wednesday night, coastal low continues to move away off to the
east with a southerly flow of warm advection already setting up
ahead of the next system approaching from the west. This will
result in mild overnight lows mostly in the low to mid 50s.

Long term /Thursday through Sunday/
330 am update... No major changes were made to the long range
forecast with this update... Just some tweaks. The period is
still progged to feature above average temperatures with most
days seeing the chances for showers or storms... Though forecast
details remain uncertain. For further information, see previous
discussion below.

Previous discussion... A narrow ridge of high pressure will
allow strong large scale subsidence to dominate the region most
of Thursday. The ridge will usher in a much warmer air mass with
temperatures climbing into the mid to upper 70s, close to 80
thur afternoon. Boundary layer moisture will also increase, with
sfc dwpts into the upper 50s and lower 60s, which will allow
the instability to rise ahead of an incoming front. This next
front will slide in from the west later in the day Thursday and
thur night, and interact with the unstable air mass to produce
showers and thunderstorms. This cold front will not have a whole
lot of punch with it as the parent low pressure will remain
well to the north and move quickly into quebec. The front will
wash out later in the day Friday, but still be capable of
tapping into lingering instability to trigger a few showers and
storms. Another push of warm/moist air will be felt into the
weekend as the broad upper ridge over the sern us expands and
lifts to the north. The lingering boundary will lift slightly to
the north and remain capable of tapping into the unstable
air... With continuing chances of showers and storms.

Aviation /12z Monday through Friday/
Vfr/unrestricted conditions today through most of tonight with
high pressure in charge. Light and variable wind will eventually
become east or southeast around 6-12 knots later today into
especially tonight. Clouds will thicken a lower with approach of
system tonight. High end MVFR ceiling should reach kavp-kelm-
kbgm towards dawn, and spotty light showers. The more widespread
restrictions will wait until after 12z Tuesday.

Outlook...

Tuesday through Tuesday night... Restrictions possible, as
showers move across portions of the region.

Wednesday through Wednesday night...VFR, other than a brief
restriction/shower still possible early morning for kbgm-kavp.

Thursday through Friday... Restrictions possible, with at least
scattered showers anticipated along with a chance of thunder.

Bgm watches/warnings/advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mdp
near term... Mdp
short term... Pcf
long term... Bjt/pcf
aviation... Mdp


Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 46 mi82 min ENE 15 G 18 41°F 1024 hPa (+2.7)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 46 mi52 min 40°F 1023.2 hPa
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 75 mi52 min NE 16 G 20 41°F 1022.3 hPa35°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dansville, Dansville Municipal Airport, NY17 mi28 minN 010.00 miFair45°F36°F71%1023.2 hPa
Penn Yan, Penn Yan Airport, NY19 mi29 minN 010.00 miFair47°F37°F69%1021.9 hPa

Wind History from DSV (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrSE5E5E6NW10N8N8NW7NW6N7NW11NW6CalmCalmSE3S3CalmSE5CalmS3SE3SE6CalmNW3Calm
1 day agoNW10NW10NW11N9NW8NW8N10N10NW12NW7CalmS3CalmSE3CalmS3SE4S3SE3SE4SE4SE4SE6SE7
2 days agoNW9W11
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NW6NW3NW6W7NW5NW4NW4NW6NW9W4NW43NW10

Tide / Current Tables for
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Tide / Current Tables for
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Weather Map and Satellite Images
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Weather Map
wmap_A
IR Satellite Image from GEOS
east_satellite

GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
Geos

Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (9,2,3,4)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.