Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Naples, NY
March 28, 2024 5:30 AM EDT (09:30 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:56 AM Sunset 7:33 PM Moonrise 10:18 PM Moonset 7:14 AM |
LOZ043 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 1025 Pm Edt Wed Mar 27 2024
Overnight - West winds 5 to 10 knots. Mostly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Thursday - West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Mostly cloudy in the morning, then becoming partly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday night - West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming northwest. Partly to mostly cloudy. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Friday - Northwest winds 10 to 15 knots becoming west and increasing to 30 knots in the afternoon. Mostly Sunny. Waves 1 to 3 feet building to 5 to 8 feet. Waves occasionally around 10 feet.
Friday night - West winds to 30 knots becoming northwest 15 to 25 knots. Becoming mainly clear. Waves 5 to 9 feet subsiding to 3 to 6 feet. Waves occasionally around 11 feet.
Saturday - Northwest winds 15 to 20 knots diminishing to 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers Saturday night. Waves 3 to 6 feet subsiding to 1 to 2 feet. Waves occasionally around 7 feet.
Sunday - Northwest winds 5 to 15 knots. A chance of rain showers during the day. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Monday - Northeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming east. A chance of rain showers during the day, then rain showers likely Monday night. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
the water temperature off rochester is 40 degrees.
the water temperature off rochester is 40 degrees.
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Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
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FXUS61 KBGM 280815 AFDBGM
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 415 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
Rain showers continue today over the Poconos and Catskills as a frontal system moves through. Showers come to an end tonight and dry conditions will persist through the start of the weekend. A weak system will bring scattered showers to the region late Saturday and Saturday night. Temperatures will be cool to finish out the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
315 AM Update...
Lines of rain showers will continue to clip the Poconos and Catskills today as a frontal boundary moves through the region.
Behind the passing front, high pressure will keep conditions dry. The lingering rain showers will come to an end by this evening and dry conditions will persist through the rest of the near term forecast period. With cooler air filtering into the region today, temperatures will be a bit cooler than yesterday only climbing into the 40s. Cloudy skies today will clear out from the west tonight. Given the clearer skies and a colder air mass continuing to push in, temperatures were manually bumped down one to two degrees below guidance.
Mostly to partly sunny skies are expected for Friday. Another cool day is expected as temperatures will once again only max out in the 40s. Some higher elevation locations may fall just short of 40. With the environment drying out, dewpoints were lowered using a blend of Consall, CMC, NBM tenth percentile, and NBM. Low- level flow becomes stronger Friday afternoon, and soundings are favorable for mixing. Gusts of 20 to 30+ mph are expected by the evening hours. Thanks to these gusty winds, apparent temps will be in the 20s and 30s during the day for most locations.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
415 AM update...
An upper level trough is exiting the region Friday night with a fairly tight pressure gradient for at least the first half of the night so gusty winds will still be present. Weak ridging tries to build in by Saturday morning as another shortwave descends into the Great Lakes region Saturday afternoon into the evening. Temperatures at 850 mb look to stay below freezing across much of NY but better odds of NEPA seeing 850 temps getting above freezing ahead of the precipitation moving in.
Given that most of the model guidance has the precipitation moving in late Saturday afternoon and through the overnight hours, there is better chances at seeing snow. As of now, given the time of the year and warmer surface temperatures, snow chances have been limited to higher elevations where wet bulb temperatures remain below 33. Modeled QPF is light, largely staying below 0.2 inches in ensemble members and deterministic runs. With ground temperatures above freezing the lack of heavier QPF where there is snow means it will be tough to get any meaningful accumulations but decided to keep some minor accumulations at elevations above 1600 feet or so.
The shortwave will likely be east of the region Sunday with weak upper level ridging building back in. temperatures moderate quickly, rising back into the mid 40s to low 50s so any snow that is able to stick will not be around for long.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
415 AM update...
The long term stays active as a long wave trough sets up out west with largely SW flow aloft east of the Mississippi River.
Looking at 500 mb, strong blocking develops in western Greenland which will help slow any systems that develop mid to late week as they approach the east coast. There is a good signal for a stronger low to develop Tuesday into Wednesday and then meander through the Northeast through late week. It is uncertain how much cold air there will be or where the low ends up stalling.
If the low can get towards the coast with cold air in place, there will likely be cold valley rain and mountain snow mid to late week but a stall near the Great Lakes would be more warm southerly flow but still wet. Given the high confidence in the storm system existing, chances of precipitation were kept high Tuesday through early Thursday with residual chances into the weekend. There is lower confidence in the weather type so was more generous with the coverage of rain/snow mix.
AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
MVFR to Fuel Alt ceilings are expected through the rest of the early morning hours at all terminals. AVP may see brief LIFR ceilings. Conditions will improve during the daytime hours and all terminals will be back to VFR later this afternoon. Fog may be possible at AVP this morning, though visibilities are not expected to drop below 5 miles. North to northwesterly winds will be fairly light throughout this period with sustained speeds of 5 to 10 kts. Some gusts up to 15 kts will be possible at BGM today.
Outlook...
Thursday night into Friday...VFR (High confidence)
Saturday...Mainly VFR (Moderate confidence)
Saturday night through Sunday...A few rain showers and associated restrictions.(Moderate confidence)
Monday...Mainly VFR; low chance of showers. (Moderate confidence)
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Binghamton NY 415 AM EDT Thu Mar 28 2024
SYNOPSIS
Rain showers continue today over the Poconos and Catskills as a frontal system moves through. Showers come to an end tonight and dry conditions will persist through the start of the weekend. A weak system will bring scattered showers to the region late Saturday and Saturday night. Temperatures will be cool to finish out the week.
NEAR TERM /THROUGH FRIDAY/
315 AM Update...
Lines of rain showers will continue to clip the Poconos and Catskills today as a frontal boundary moves through the region.
Behind the passing front, high pressure will keep conditions dry. The lingering rain showers will come to an end by this evening and dry conditions will persist through the rest of the near term forecast period. With cooler air filtering into the region today, temperatures will be a bit cooler than yesterday only climbing into the 40s. Cloudy skies today will clear out from the west tonight. Given the clearer skies and a colder air mass continuing to push in, temperatures were manually bumped down one to two degrees below guidance.
Mostly to partly sunny skies are expected for Friday. Another cool day is expected as temperatures will once again only max out in the 40s. Some higher elevation locations may fall just short of 40. With the environment drying out, dewpoints were lowered using a blend of Consall, CMC, NBM tenth percentile, and NBM. Low- level flow becomes stronger Friday afternoon, and soundings are favorable for mixing. Gusts of 20 to 30+ mph are expected by the evening hours. Thanks to these gusty winds, apparent temps will be in the 20s and 30s during the day for most locations.
SHORT TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH SUNDAY/
415 AM update...
An upper level trough is exiting the region Friday night with a fairly tight pressure gradient for at least the first half of the night so gusty winds will still be present. Weak ridging tries to build in by Saturday morning as another shortwave descends into the Great Lakes region Saturday afternoon into the evening. Temperatures at 850 mb look to stay below freezing across much of NY but better odds of NEPA seeing 850 temps getting above freezing ahead of the precipitation moving in.
Given that most of the model guidance has the precipitation moving in late Saturday afternoon and through the overnight hours, there is better chances at seeing snow. As of now, given the time of the year and warmer surface temperatures, snow chances have been limited to higher elevations where wet bulb temperatures remain below 33. Modeled QPF is light, largely staying below 0.2 inches in ensemble members and deterministic runs. With ground temperatures above freezing the lack of heavier QPF where there is snow means it will be tough to get any meaningful accumulations but decided to keep some minor accumulations at elevations above 1600 feet or so.
The shortwave will likely be east of the region Sunday with weak upper level ridging building back in. temperatures moderate quickly, rising back into the mid 40s to low 50s so any snow that is able to stick will not be around for long.
LONG TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/
415 AM update...
The long term stays active as a long wave trough sets up out west with largely SW flow aloft east of the Mississippi River.
Looking at 500 mb, strong blocking develops in western Greenland which will help slow any systems that develop mid to late week as they approach the east coast. There is a good signal for a stronger low to develop Tuesday into Wednesday and then meander through the Northeast through late week. It is uncertain how much cold air there will be or where the low ends up stalling.
If the low can get towards the coast with cold air in place, there will likely be cold valley rain and mountain snow mid to late week but a stall near the Great Lakes would be more warm southerly flow but still wet. Given the high confidence in the storm system existing, chances of precipitation were kept high Tuesday through early Thursday with residual chances into the weekend. There is lower confidence in the weather type so was more generous with the coverage of rain/snow mix.
AVIATION /08Z THURSDAY THROUGH MONDAY/
MVFR to Fuel Alt ceilings are expected through the rest of the early morning hours at all terminals. AVP may see brief LIFR ceilings. Conditions will improve during the daytime hours and all terminals will be back to VFR later this afternoon. Fog may be possible at AVP this morning, though visibilities are not expected to drop below 5 miles. North to northwesterly winds will be fairly light throughout this period with sustained speeds of 5 to 10 kts. Some gusts up to 15 kts will be possible at BGM today.
Outlook...
Thursday night into Friday...VFR (High confidence)
Saturday...Mainly VFR (Moderate confidence)
Saturday night through Sunday...A few rain showers and associated restrictions.(Moderate confidence)
Monday...Mainly VFR; low chance of showers. (Moderate confidence)
BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
PA...None.
NY...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY | 46 mi | 42 min | 38°F | |||||
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY | 46 mi | 30 min | W 7G | 38°F | 30.14 | |||
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY | 75 mi | 42 min | W 14G | 39°F | 30.06 | 31°F |
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Airport Reports
EDIT (hide/show)  Help Click EDIT to display multiple airports. Follow links for more data.Airport | Dist | Age | Wind kt | Vis | Sky | Weather | Temp | DewPt | RH | inHg |
KDSV DANSVILLE MUNI,NY | 17 sm | 13 min | NW 07 | 10 sm | Overcast | 37°F | 25°F | 60% | 30.11 | |
KPEO PENN YAN,NY | 19 sm | 37 min | WNW 08 | 10 sm | Overcast | 37°F | 28°F | 70% | 30.09 | |
KIUA CANANDAIGUA,NY | 20 sm | 23.9 hrs | WNW 07 | 10 sm | Overcast | 36°F | 27°F | 69% | 30.10 |
Binghamton, NY,
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