Monday, April23, 2018 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Naples, NY

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
3/3/2018 - There is a new GOES Satellite for the east coast that required rewriting that part of the code. Please report any issues.
6/25/2017 - NOAA is having a major issue that impact the 7 day forecast load times. Many users are reporting problems. The issue has been reported.
5/23/2017 - Worked with NOAA again to speed up the 7 day forecast load times. Thanks to them for being responsive.

Sunrise 6:12AMSunset 8:04PM Monday April 23, 2018 5:38 AM EDT (09:38 UTC) Moonrise 12:05PMMoonset 1:55AM Illumination 56% Phase: First Quarter Moon; Moon at 8 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
LOZ043 Hamlin Beach To Mexico Bay Along Lake Ontario Including Irondequoit Bay- 431 Pm Edt Sun Apr 22 2018
Tonight..Southwest winds less than 10 knots becoming southeast. Clear. Waves 1 foot or less.
Monday..Southeast winds 10 knots or less becoming east 10 to 15 knots. Sunny. Waves 2 feet or less.
Monday night..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming south. Mainly clear in the evening, then becoming partly cloudy. Waves 2 feet or less.
Tuesday..South winds 5 to 10 knots becoming southeast. A chance of showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 foot or less.
Tuesday night..Southeast winds 5 to 10 knots. Showers. Waves 1 foot or less.
Wednesday..Southeast winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. Showers. Waves 1 to 3 feet.
Thursday..West winds 5 to 15 knots becoming southwest. A chance of showers. Waves 2 to 4 feet subsiding to 1 to 3 feet.
Friday..South winds 5 to 15 knots becoming west. A chance of showers. Waves 2 feet or less. The water temperature off rochester is 39 degrees.
LOZ043 Expires:201804230300;;346558 FZUS51 KBUF 222033 NSHBUF Nearshore Marine Forecast National Weather Service Buffalo NY 431 PM EDT Sun Apr 22 2018 For waters within five nautical miles of shore Waves are the significant wave height - the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave spectrum. Occasional wave height is the average of the highest 1/10 of the wave spectrum. LOZ043-044-230300-

7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Naples, NY
   Hourly   EDIT   Help
location: 42.62, -77.4     debug


Area Discussion for - Binghamton, NY
      (on/off)   Help   NOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
Fxus61 kbgm 230754
afdbgm
area forecast discussion
national weather service binghamton ny
354 am edt Mon apr 23 2018

Synopsis
High pressure will reside over the region through tonight with
continued mostly sunny conditions today. Clouds will increase
tonight with a low pressure system that will bring rain for the
mid week period.

Near term through Tuesday
High pressure over the region will bring us one more sunny day with
light southerly winds today. The high pressure system will then
start to move out of the area tonight. As this occurs, low
pressure will slowly track up the east coast bringing an
increase in clouds Tuesday and some rain spreading into the
region by late in the day.

Went on the warmer end of the model guidance with the forecasted
highs in the 60's across the region. This is largely based on the
increase with model temperatures in the boundary layer and
another day of abundant sunshine expected. This forecasted also
trended dewpoints a bit lower than modeled with the potential
for mixing. While rh values may drop to around 30%, winds will
be light enough to preclude any fire weather concern.

Light southerly winds and increase in high clouds will keep
temperatures several degrees warmer tonight, with lows in the
mid 30's to low 40's. Temperatures Tuesday will be highly
dependent on the amount of cloud cover. Northern portions of the
region from syracuse to rome that see more sunshine look to
have another day well into the 60's. Areas further southeast
that see more clouds will be closer to 60 for actual highs.

The NAM and canadian are on the faster end moving rain into the
region Tuesday afternoon with the ECMWF a few hours slower. For
now, leaned slightly toward the faster model guidance with some
potential for light rain by the afternoon hours and more
widespread rain holding off till Tuesday night. Rain chances
will be highest the further southwest you go across the region
Tuesday afternoon.

Short term Tuesday night through Thursday
355 am update...

rain will continue to overspread the region Tuesday night and
Wednesday as a short wave passing through the great lakes phases
with a cut-off upper low moving from the SRN appalachian mtns newd
to near nj. A weak surface low associated with this system will
track out ahead of the upper low from the carolinas to the new
england coast. A push of warm moist air northward ahead of the low
will prime the air mass for widespread rain showers into Wed night.

The most favorable period for moderate to possibly heavy rain will
be during the day Wednesday with the sfc low near the delmarva
peninsula resulting in tight thermal packing within a moderate
baroclinic zone lifting north through ERN pa and central ny. The
development of a weak-mdt layer of mid lvl f-gen should be enough to
enhance precipitation efficiency during the late morning and
afternoon hours on Wednesday. Rainfall amts from Tue night through
wed night should range from 0.5 to 1 inch... With locally higher
isolated amts in the elevated regions of the poconos and catskills
above 1500 ft.

There are still some timing placement differences among the
guidance, with the NAM and GFS being the most progressive with the
incoming S W phasing with low to the south and pushing it much
quicker to the NE than the cmc and especially the ecmwf, which is
the slowest. How long the rain showers linger Wed night and Thursday
will greatly depend on this transition period. Should see available
deep layer moisture slowly decrease late Wednesday night and through
the day Thursday as the low pressure system exits to the ne.

Kept the higher chances of rain confined to the northern
counties with only low chances for rain showers during the day
Thursday.

Temperatures will remain fairly mild Wed and Thursday with highs in
the 50s and lows in the upper 30s and 40s.

Long term Thursday night through Sunday
355 am update...

weak ridging aloft and an associated weak surface high moving
through Thursday night and Friday will likely keep weather
conditions quiet before the next system moves in for the weekend.

There still remains radically differing solutions among the
deterministic guidance with the latest 00z ECMWF pushing through a
basic looking cold front on Saturday, with a round of cool rain
showers, and high pressure building back in on Sunday. The 00z gfs
brings a low up the coast with high pressure behind it and a
trailing cold front further to the west... Which washes out as it
lifts to the north on Saturday with limited precip before high
pressure builds in late in the weekend. The 00z cmc develops a large
cut-off upper low over the tn valley Friday night and lifts this
system to the NE Sat and Sat night with widespread rain showers
expected and a cool and dry air mass filling in behind the
system on Sunday. Will have to await further model runs as the
week progresses to get a better handle on how the pattern will
actually develop.

Temperatures on Friday may actually be above normal with afternoon
highs in the lower 60s. Overnight lows in the 30s and lower 40s are
likely through the weekend. Highs on Sat and Sun may only reach into
the lower to mid 50s. There is a glimmer of spring on the horizon as
most models have the polar jet shifting well to the north next week
and the strongest push of warm air this season... With temperatures
well above average.

Aviation 08z Monday through Friday
Vfr through the TAF period. Skies will be clear with some south
to southwest winds from 5 to 10 knots in the afternoon today.

Some cirrus will start moving into the region after 00z tonight. High
confidence.

Outlook...

Tuesday morning...VFR. High confidence.

Tuesday afternoon... Restrictions possibly late day with rain
showers, primarily kavp, kelm, kith, kbgm.

Tuesday night through Wednesday night... Restrictions possible
in rain showers. Medium confidence.

Thursday through Friday... PrimarilyVFR.

Bgm watches warnings advisories
Pa... None.

Ny... None.

Synopsis... Mwg
near term... Mwg
short term... Bjt
long term... Bjt
aviation... Djp mwg


Weather Reporting Stations
   EDIT       (on/off)   Help   NOTE: Click on distance to see the station location on a map
Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
RPRN6 - Rochester, NY 46 mi39 min S 2.9 G 2.9 40°F 1030.8 hPa (+0.3)
RCRN6 - 9052058 - Rochester, NY 46 mi57 min 37°F 1029.7 hPa
OSGN6 - 9052030 - Oswego, NY 75 mi57 min S 7 G 11 36°F 1030.2 hPa27°F

Wind History for Oswego, NY
(wind in knots)    EDIT      (on/off)   Help
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
Last
24hr
S4
W7
G11
W7
W11
W11
G14
W11
W8
G11
W6
G10
W6
G11
W7
W4
G10
W5
G11
W6
G11
W6
G9
W3
SE1
SE2
S3
G9
SE3
G6
S5
G10
S7
G11
S7
G11
S8
S7
G11
1 day
ago
W9
G13
W11
G14
W10
G13
W13
G19
W15
G20
W15
W14
G20
W12
G17
W11
G15
W10
G13
W14
G21
W12
G17
W13
G20
W12
G15
SW8
G11
W12
G17
W11
G16
W11
G15
W11
G16
SE5
G11
SW4
G11
W7
G12
SW4
G10
S5
G9
2 days
ago
NW17
W16
G20
NW18
W14
G20
NW16
NW12
G15
NW11
W13
G19
W13
G17
W17
W19
G26
W21
W16
G20
W19
G24
W16
G23
W16
G24
W16
G22
W11
G15
SW7
G12
W5
G12
W8
G11
W11
W7
G10
W8
G11

Airport Reports
    EDIT      (on/off)   Help   Click EDIT to display multiple airports
AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Dansville, Dansville Municipal Airport, NY17 mi45 minSE 610.00 miFair33°F23°F66%1031 hPa
Penn Yan, Penn Yan Airport, NY19 mi46 minN 010.00 miFair31°F24°F76%1030.6 hPa

Wind History from DSV (wind in knots)
6
AM
7
AM
8
AM
9
AM
10
AM
11
AM
12
PM
1
PM
2
PM
3
PM
4
PM
5
PM
6
PM
7
PM
8
PM
9
PM
10
PM
11
PM
12
AM
1
AM
2
AM
3
AM
4
AM
5
AM
Last 24hrSE6SE7SE6SE4CalmNW5W6W8
G15
N7
G15
NW10NW103NW7NW7NW3S3SE3E3S3SE3SE8SE7SE6SE6
1 day agoS3CalmSE53N3N7NE5N6
G14
N8
G16
N11N13
G19
NW10NW7NW7W5CalmS3CalmSE4SE5SE5SE5SE5S4
2 days agoNW9NW6NW10
G16
NW13NW10NW8NW13
G18
NW8NW10
G20
NW8NW10NW8NW13NW10W4N3NW3SE4CalmS4CalmCalmCalmS3

Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT   RT Ports Option   Weekend mode (on/off)   (on/off)   Help
Tide / Current Tables for
   EDIT      (on/off)   Help
Weather Map and Satellite Images
       (on/off)   HelpWeather Map
wmap_A
GOES Local Image of Northeast    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
target = "new">Link to Loop

Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Binghamton, NY (5,6,7,8)
      (on/off)   Help

Ground Weather Radar Station Binghamton, NY
   (on/off)   Help
weather_mapweather_map weather_map

Ad by Google

Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.