Sunday, May26, 2019 L-36.com


Marine Weather and Tides
Port Orford, OR

Version 3.4
What's New / NOTES
10/6/2018 Colors of tide XTide graphs changed to emphasize that they were upgraded. See next note. Comments welcome.
10/4/2018 I have fixed XTide and updated the harmonic files. There were some name changes so you might have to click EDIT to find the new station name.

Sunrise 5:41AMSunset 8:46PM Sunday May 26, 2019 8:19 PM PDT (03:19 UTC) Moonrise 1:18AMMoonset 11:53AM Illumination 43% Phase: Third Quarter Moon; Moon at 23 days in cycle
NOTE: Some of the data on this page has not been verified and should be used with that in mind. It may and occasionally will, be wrong. The tide reports are by xtide and are NOT FOR NAVIGATION.
Marine Forecasts
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PZZ356 Coastal Waters From Cape Blanco Or To Pt. St. George Ca Out 10 Nm- 229 Pm Pdt Sun May 26 2019
.small craft advisory in effect until 11 pm pdt this evening...
Tonight..NW wind 20 to 25 kt...becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 10 to 20 kt...easing to 5 to 10 kt in the late evening and overnight. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. SW swell 1 to 2 ft at 15 seconds.
Mon..NW wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 3 ft in the morning... Becoming 2 ft or less. Mixed swell sw 1 to 2 ft at 15 seconds and W 1 to 2 ft at 11 seconds.
Mon night..N wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less. Mixed swell sw 1 to 2 ft at 15 seconds and W 2 ft at 11 seconds.
Tue..N wind 10 kt...backing to nw 15 to 20 kt in the afternoon. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 5 to 10 kt. Wind waves 2 ft or less... Becoming 3 to 4 ft in the afternoon. Mixed swell sw 2 ft and W 2 ft.
Tue night..NW wind 25 kt...becoming N 10 to 15 kt after midnight. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 15 to 20 kt...veering to N 10 kt after midnight. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. Mixed swell sw 2 to 3 ft and W 2 ft.
Wed..N wind 10 to 15 kt. Wind waves 3 to 4 ft. Mixed swell sw 2 to 3 ft and W 2 ft.
Wed night..NW wind 15 to 20 kt. Within 5 nm of brookings southward, nw wind 10 to 15 kt...veering to N 5 kt after midnight. Wind waves 3 to 5 ft. Mixed swell sw 3 ft and W 2 ft.
Thu..N wind 15 to 20 kt. Wind waves 4 ft... Building to 6 ft. Mixed swell sw 3 ft and W 2 ft.
Fri..N wind 15 kt...becoming nw 25 kt in the evening, then... Becoming N 15 kt after midnight. Wind waves 4 to 5 ft. SW swell 3 ft...shifting to the W 2 ft.
PZZ300 229 Pm Pdt Sun May 26 2019
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters.. Gusty north winds and steep, choppy seas will continue through this evening then diminish tonight. Relatively light winds and calm seas are expected Monday through Tuesday morning. North winds and wind driven seas return later Tuesday and likely continue through next weekend.


7 Day Forecast for Marine Location Near Port Orford, OR
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location: 42.74, -124.5     debug


Area Discussion for - Medford, OR
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Fxus66 kmfr 262357
afdmfr
area forecast discussion
national weather service medford or
457 pm pdt Sun may 26 2019
updated aviation section

Short term Today through Wednesday... An upper low is currently
over central california, and this low will affect the southern
oregon and northern california weather through tomorrow at least.

Cool and cloudy conditions exist for most of the forecast area
this afternoon under deep northeasterly flow. About 40 lightning
strikes have already been observed in lake county this afternoon,
and these storms will likely spread westward with time. Some
sunshine will help increase instability and increase the chance
for some thunderstorms along and just east of the cascades. West
of the cascades there is a chance of storms to push off the
terrain, but the steering flow switches to northerly in the late
afternoon and may prevent showers storms from reaching the rogue
valley. Therefore, we have a slight chance of storms for most west
side valleys... And emphasis on the word "slight". One significant
note about the rain today is that some is expected to be heavy,
especially in lake, modoc, and eastern siskiyou counties. There's
enough agreement amongst models and post-processed guidance to
highlight this on social media and our weather story, so we have
done this. Confidence isn't high on any flooding, given no
flooding was reported in modoc county during recent heavy
rainfall, but a half inch of rain at alturas is near-record for
this time of year, so we wanted to highlight that.

Showers quiet down tonight due to loss of surface heating. On
Monday the area will still be influenced to some extent by the
large scale circulation that will be over southwest utah by then.

Upper level energy will move southward down the western edge of
the trough, traversing the forecast area during the afternoon.

This will combine with instability (much more sunshine and surface
heating Monday compared to today) to generate the chance for
thunderstorms for the eastern two thirds of the forecast area, to
include basically areas from the illinois valley and roseburg
eastward. One thing to note about tomorrow is that the convection-
allowing models (cams) and post-processed SREF calibrated
thunderstorm guidance are not showing much chance for storms west
of the cascades. Confidence is lower than normal for this part of
the forecast based on this disagreement. Normally we'd like to see
at least either the cams or SREF guidance indicating storms.

On Tuesday the shower and thunderstorm chances are confined to areas
from the cascades eastward, and on Wednesday afternoon similar
conditions are expected. Westerly flow aloft should keep shower and
thunderstorm activity in areas along and east of the cascades.

One main weather change for Tuesday and Wednesday will be a trend
towards warmer afternoon temperatures. Normal high temperatures near
medford are 76 for this time of year... And for klamath falls it's
68. We'll likely exceed those temperatures by Tuesday and warm by a
few additional degrees on Wednesday. This will only be the second
time we reach above normal readings in the past 2 weeks.

Long term Thu, may 30th through Sun night, jun 2nd... Overall,
this long term period will feature temperatures 5 to 10 degrees
above normal, except near normal temperatures along the coast when
the wind flow is onshore. There will be a gradual warming trend
that's expected to peak Saturday, june 1st with most interior
valley locations expected to reach 75 to 85 degrees for highs. In
general, precipitation chances initially along and near the
cascades will shift south and eastward with time as westerly flow
increases aloft.

More specifically, a 300mb jet maximum riding through the western
edge of the upper level trough from the northwest on Thursday is
expected to give rise to another round of showers and thunderstorms
from along and near the cascades eastward. Due to increasing NW flow
in the low levels, thunderstorms are not expected west of the
cascades.

By Friday dynamics for showers and thunderstorms will have shifted
south and east, primarily to eastern siskiyou and klamath counties
eastward.

This trend is likely to continue into Saturday, with the risk for
lightning thunder over for our area. A few showers still could form
in southern lake, SE siskiyou, and modoc counties.

By Sunday an upper level trough pushing into british columbia,
washington, and oregon may result in a push of marine of stratus and
fog inland onto the west side and provide enough dynamics along with
building heat to result in a slight possibility of showers and
thunderstorms over SE siskiyou, southern lake, and modoc counties.

Aviation For the 27 00z tafs...

the rest of this afternoon and evening... Showers and isolated
thunderstorms are expected, primarily from the cascades eastward. It
will largely be dry west of there; however, some showers may push
out over the interior west side valleys east of krbg and in jackson
county. Expect a mix ofVFR MVFR, but with local ifr in heavier
showers and thunderstorms.

Overnight through Monday morning, a mix ofVFR, MVFR, and ifr is
expected, with the lower conditions most likely to occur west of
kmfr, including koth and krbg. Conditions should improve late
Monday morning or early Monday afternoon for most areas. Then,
some additional showers and thunderstorms will develop Monday
afternoon and evening, once again predominantly from the
cascades eastward. -spilde

Marine Updated 200 pm pdt Sunday, 26 may 2019... Low pressure over
northern california and strong high pressure offshore will continue
to drive gusty north winds and wind driven seas over the waters this
afternoon. Winds and associated seas diminish rapidly from north to
south this evening and tonight as the low pressure moves farther
inland and pressure gradients relax. Relatively light winds and calm
seas are expected Monday into Tuesday morning. Then, a thermal
trough develops along the coast later Tuesday, which remains in
place through the remainder of the week and next weekend. This will
drive moderate to strong north winds and steep to very steep wind
driven seas, especially over the waters south of CAPE blanco.

Conditions are likely to be hazardous to small craft from Tuesday
afternoon on, and winds may approach gale force during the
afternoons and evenings toward the end of the period. -wright

Mfr watches warnings advisories
Or... None.

Ca... None.

Pacific coastal waters... Small craft advisory until 11 pm pdt this evening for
pzz350-356-370-376.



Weather Reporting Stations
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Stations Dist Age Wind Air TempWater Temp WavesPressureDewPt
PORO3 - 9431647 - Port Orford, OR 0 mi37 min NNW 12 G 18 56°F 48°F1014.8 hPa
CHAO3 - 9432780 - Charleston, OR 43 mi43 min NNW 8 G 9.9

Wind History for Port Orford, OR
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Airport Reports
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AirportDistAgeWind ktVisibilitySky/WeatherTempDewPtHumidityPressure
Brookings, Brookings Airport, OR47 mi23 minSSE 510.00 miFair56°F48°F77%1014.9 hPa

Wind History from BOK (wind in knots)
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Last 24hrNW3CalmW33NW6N4CalmN5NW3NW5NW5CalmCalmNW8W5NW106NW54NW7W8W73SE5
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2 days agoN7NE4CalmSE4SE4CalmCalmS3SE4CalmCalmCalmCalmW4CalmS3SE8NW11
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G26
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Tide / Current Tables for Port Orford, Pacific Ocean, Oregon
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Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.


Tide / Current Tables for Wedderburn, Rogue River, Oregon
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Wedderburn
Click for Map
Sun -- 12:26 AM PDT     2.92 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 02:16 AM PDT     Moonrise
Sun -- 05:32 AM PDT     4.61 feet High Tide
Sun -- 05:46 AM PDT     Sunrise
Sun -- 09:34 AM PDT     Last Quarter
Sun -- 12:38 PM PDT     0.61 feet Low Tide
Sun -- 12:53 PM PDT     Moonset
Sun -- 07:38 PM PDT     5.05 feet High Tide
Sun -- 08:43 PM PDT     Sunset
Tide / Current data from XTide NOT FOR NAVIGATION
Sorry tide depth graphs only, please select another station.

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2.933.33.74.24.64.64.33.62.81.91.10.70.611.82.73.74.5554.74.23.6

Weather Map and Satellite Images
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wmap_P
GOES Local Image of PacificNorthwest    EDIT
NOTE: East coast views moved to GEOS-16. They are experimental and not well supported by NOAA so they may not be correct so be warned. This change required redoing a large amount of the GOES code. If the image you are expecting is not showing, please let me know. You may need to use the EDIT function to update your location.
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Other links: Northern Pacific     Contential US     Full GOES-East
Wind Forecast for Medford, OR (23,6,7,8)
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Ground Weather Radar Station Medford, OR
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weather_mapweather_map weather_map

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Disclaimer:
The information on this web site has not been checked for accuracy. It is for entertainment purposes only and should be independently verified before using for any other reason. There are five sources. 1) Documents and manuals from a variety of sources. These have not been checked for accuracy and in many cases have not even been read by anyone associated with L-36.com. I have no idea of they are useful or accurate, I leave that to the reader. 2) Articles others have written and submitted. If you have questions on these, please contact the author. 3) Articles that represent my personal opinions. These are intended to promote thought and for entertainment. These are not intended to be fact, they are my opinions. 4) Small programs that generate result presented on a web page. Like any computer program, these may and in some cases do have errors. Almost all of these also make simplifying assumptions so they are not totally accurate even if there are no errors. Please verify all results. 5) Weather information is from numerious of sources and is presented automatically. It is not checked for accuracy either by anyone at L-36.com or by the source which is typically the US Government. See the NOAA web site for their disclaimer. Finally, tide and current data on this site is from 2007 and 2008 data bases, which may contain even older data. Changes in harbors due to building or dredging change tides and currents and for that reason many of the locations presented are no longer supported by newer data bases. For example, there is very little tidal current data in newer data bases so current data is likely wrong to some extent. This data is NOT FOR NAVIGATION. See the XTide disclaimer for details. In addition, tide and current are influenced by storms, river flow, and other factors beyond the ability of any predictive program.