Marine Weather and Tide Forecast for Wind Point, WI
March 29, 2024 9:06 AM CDT (14:06 UTC) Change Location
Sunrise 6:35 AM Sunset 7:15 PM Moonrise 12:00 AM Moonset 8:19 AM |
LMZ673 Expires:202403292115;;817276 Fzus63 Kmkx 291347 Glflm
open lake forecast for lake michigan national weather service milwaukee/sullivan wi 847 am cdt Fri mar 29 2024
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan.
waves are provided as a range of significant wave heights, which is the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave, along with the average height of the highest 10% of the waves which will occasionally be encountered.
Synopsis -
variable winds early this morning will become east to southeast by the afternoon as high pressure of 30.1 inches overhead heads eastward. Low pressure of 29.7 inches will approach from the southwest tonight, moving across southern lake michigan tonight. Breezy east to southeast winds ahead of the low will become northerly by later Saturday behind the low. Lighter winds will return to the area on Sunday under high pressure of 30.1 inches. Stronger northeast winds are then expected on Monday ahead of the next approaching low pressure system.
lmz080-669-671-673-675-777-779-870-872-874-876-878-292115- lake michigan from michigan city in to st. Joseph mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from sheboygan to port washington wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from port washington to north point light wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from north point light to wind point wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from wind point wi to winthrop harbor il 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from winthrop harbor to wilmette harbor il 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from wilmette harbor il to michigan city in 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from whitehall to pentwater mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from grand haven to whitehall mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from holland to grand haven mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from south haven to holland mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from st. Joseph to south haven mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- 847 am cdt Fri mar 29 2024
sheboygan wi to pentwater mi south - .
Rest of today - North winds 5 to 10 kt becoming northeast. Waves 1 to 2 ft.
Tonight - East winds 10 to 15 kt becoming southeast 10 to 20 kt. Chance of rain showers in the evening, then rain showers and slight chance of Thunderstorms overnight. Waves 2 to 4 ft.
Saturday - Southeast winds 10 to 20 kt backing to northwest 15 to 25 kt. Chance of rain showers in the morning. Waves 3 to 5 ft.
Saturday night - North winds 15 to 25 kt becoming northeast 10 to 15 kt overnight. Waves 4 to 6 ft occasionally to 8 ft subsiding to 2 to 4 ft.
Sunday - East winds 10 to 15 kt becoming northeast 10 to 20 kt. Chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Waves 1 to 3 ft building to 2 to 4 ft.
Sunday night - Northeast winds 10 to 20 kt. Rain showers likely. Waves 2 to 4 ft building to 3 to 5 ft.
Monday - Northeast winds 15 to 25 kt increasing to 30 kt. Rain. Waves 3 to 5 ft.
Tuesday - North winds to 30 kt. Chance of rain. Waves 4 to 7 ft occasionally to 9 ft.
open lake forecast for lake michigan national weather service milwaukee/sullivan wi 847 am cdt Fri mar 29 2024
for waters beyond five nautical miles of shore on lake michigan.
waves are provided as a range of significant wave heights, which is the average of the highest 1/3 of the wave, along with the average height of the highest 10% of the waves which will occasionally be encountered.
variable winds early this morning will become east to southeast by the afternoon as high pressure of 30.1 inches overhead heads eastward. Low pressure of 29.7 inches will approach from the southwest tonight, moving across southern lake michigan tonight. Breezy east to southeast winds ahead of the low will become northerly by later Saturday behind the low. Lighter winds will return to the area on Sunday under high pressure of 30.1 inches. Stronger northeast winds are then expected on Monday ahead of the next approaching low pressure system.
lmz080-669-671-673-675-777-779-870-872-874-876-878-292115- lake michigan from michigan city in to st. Joseph mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from sheboygan to port washington wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from port washington to north point light wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from north point light to wind point wi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from wind point wi to winthrop harbor il 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from winthrop harbor to wilmette harbor il 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from wilmette harbor il to michigan city in 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from whitehall to pentwater mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from grand haven to whitehall mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from holland to grand haven mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from south haven to holland mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- lake michigan from st. Joseph to south haven mi 5 nm offshore to mid lake- 847 am cdt Fri mar 29 2024
sheboygan wi to pentwater mi south - .
LMZ600
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Area Discussion for - Milwaukee/Sullivan, WI
  (hide/show)  HelpNOTE: mouseover dotted underlined text for definition
FXUS63 KMKX 290911 AFDMKX
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 411 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Rain showers and isolated thunderstorms are forecast for tonight.
- Periods of light to moderate rain are forecast Sunday through Tuesday.
SHORT TERM
Issued 411 PM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Today through Sunday night:
A fairly mild day is expected away from Lake MI as high pressure slowly moves away. There will be intermittent cloudiness over south central WI via mid to upper level warm advection. A shortwave trough and sfc low will then approach from the central Great Plains for tnt. The sfc low will track to the srn tip of Lake MI by 12Z Sat, but preceded by 850-700 mb warm, moist advection and frontogenesis, and supported aloft by PVA. PWs will increase to 0.80-1.00 inches with very marginal elevated CAPE present on fcst soundings. Thus expect isold to scattered storms with widespread showers.
The low will move away Sat AM but a few showers could linger over east central WI. Stratus clouds are expected to last through much of the day as subsidence and drying is minor. More rain may then develop for Sunday as a weak 700 mb shortwave trough helps tighten up the confluent flow and tropospheric temp gradient between nrn and srn streams. Warm advection and frontogenesis at 700 mb will probably provide enough lift to overcome drier lower layers. Rain chances increase to 60-70 percent later in the day.
Gehring
LONG TERM
Issued 411 PM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Monday through Thursday:
The zonal flow that set up over the Midwest and Northeast over the weekend will break down as a trough advances from the desert southwest. As the trough in the desert southwest advances northeast Monday, a second trough/shortwave is expected to descend from northwest Canada. As these two features begin to intersect over the Great Lake Region, Monday into Tuesday there will be some phasing issues to keep a close eye on. Looking at 500mb deterministic runs of the GFS, Euro and Canadian for Monday, all of them seem to be very similar with some upper level jet dynamics working into the state from the positively tilted trough in the desert southwest. Then as the second trough moves down from Canada and begins to phase with the southern system, that better upper level jet dynamics gets pulled south of the state. The ensembles seem to mostly cluster around these solutions as well, which is unusual for a system this far out. One noticeable difference as you start to look lower in the atmosphere (850 mb to the surface)
is the GFS seems to slow down and strengthen the system more than the Euro and Canadian.
With the better upper level support Monday and the surface low pressure system expected to pass just to the south of the state (with the current model agreement). POPs are at there highest during the day Monday (around 60-80%) before lowering as this system pulls east and the better upper level support shifts out of southern Wisconsin. Guidance continues to strengthen this system as it moves east into Michigan. On the backside of the low, Tuesday, there is a small chance (30% or less) for continued precipitation until the lift has moved out of the region.
Now looking at this system as a whole there is still some details to parse out. Namely the strength of this system and potential phasing issues between the northern and southern 500 mb troughs.
Any phasing issues that creep back into the solution or any moderating of this systems strength will likely cause the entire system to shift east and south overtime. So those will be two things to keep an eye on moving forward. There is also a potential for some rain/snow mix on the backside of this system Monday night into Tuesday. Given the decreasing lift and cooler air expected to move in confidence is low (around 25% or less) for mixy precip to develop due to overnight lows struggling to reach freezing across much of southern Wisconsin. If any mixed precip were to develop confidence is very low on anything actually accumulating.
By mid week, a ridge and surface high pressure look to make a return. Dry conditions look to be in store for Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures look to warm through midweek as well.
Patterson
AVIATION
Issued 411 PM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024
VFR conditions today into the evening followed by low stratus and showers quickly developing late this evening into the overnight. MVFR Cigs will initially form but then fall well below 1 kft during the early morning hours of Saturday.
Gehring
MARINE
Issued 411 PM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024
High pressure of 30.1 inches will gradually move across Lake Michigan today bringing light and variable winds. East winds will increase tonight ahead of approaching low pressure of 29.6 inches. The low will move across the far southern part of the lake Saturday morning, then winds will become northerly with gusts around 20 knots. Low pressure of 29.5 will move from the central Great Plains to the lower Great Lakes from Monday into Wednesday. Brisk north to northeast winds will dominate through Tuesday before becoming northwest. Gusts may approach 30 knots at times with building waves. Small Craft Advisories may be needed from Sheboygan to Winthrop Harbor from Monday into Wednesday.
Gehring
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...None.
LM...None.
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Milwaukee/Sullivan WI 411 AM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024
KEY MESSAGES
- Rain showers and isolated thunderstorms are forecast for tonight.
- Periods of light to moderate rain are forecast Sunday through Tuesday.
SHORT TERM
Issued 411 PM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Today through Sunday night:
A fairly mild day is expected away from Lake MI as high pressure slowly moves away. There will be intermittent cloudiness over south central WI via mid to upper level warm advection. A shortwave trough and sfc low will then approach from the central Great Plains for tnt. The sfc low will track to the srn tip of Lake MI by 12Z Sat, but preceded by 850-700 mb warm, moist advection and frontogenesis, and supported aloft by PVA. PWs will increase to 0.80-1.00 inches with very marginal elevated CAPE present on fcst soundings. Thus expect isold to scattered storms with widespread showers.
The low will move away Sat AM but a few showers could linger over east central WI. Stratus clouds are expected to last through much of the day as subsidence and drying is minor. More rain may then develop for Sunday as a weak 700 mb shortwave trough helps tighten up the confluent flow and tropospheric temp gradient between nrn and srn streams. Warm advection and frontogenesis at 700 mb will probably provide enough lift to overcome drier lower layers. Rain chances increase to 60-70 percent later in the day.
Gehring
LONG TERM
Issued 411 PM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024
Monday through Thursday:
The zonal flow that set up over the Midwest and Northeast over the weekend will break down as a trough advances from the desert southwest. As the trough in the desert southwest advances northeast Monday, a second trough/shortwave is expected to descend from northwest Canada. As these two features begin to intersect over the Great Lake Region, Monday into Tuesday there will be some phasing issues to keep a close eye on. Looking at 500mb deterministic runs of the GFS, Euro and Canadian for Monday, all of them seem to be very similar with some upper level jet dynamics working into the state from the positively tilted trough in the desert southwest. Then as the second trough moves down from Canada and begins to phase with the southern system, that better upper level jet dynamics gets pulled south of the state. The ensembles seem to mostly cluster around these solutions as well, which is unusual for a system this far out. One noticeable difference as you start to look lower in the atmosphere (850 mb to the surface)
is the GFS seems to slow down and strengthen the system more than the Euro and Canadian.
With the better upper level support Monday and the surface low pressure system expected to pass just to the south of the state (with the current model agreement). POPs are at there highest during the day Monday (around 60-80%) before lowering as this system pulls east and the better upper level support shifts out of southern Wisconsin. Guidance continues to strengthen this system as it moves east into Michigan. On the backside of the low, Tuesday, there is a small chance (30% or less) for continued precipitation until the lift has moved out of the region.
Now looking at this system as a whole there is still some details to parse out. Namely the strength of this system and potential phasing issues between the northern and southern 500 mb troughs.
Any phasing issues that creep back into the solution or any moderating of this systems strength will likely cause the entire system to shift east and south overtime. So those will be two things to keep an eye on moving forward. There is also a potential for some rain/snow mix on the backside of this system Monday night into Tuesday. Given the decreasing lift and cooler air expected to move in confidence is low (around 25% or less) for mixy precip to develop due to overnight lows struggling to reach freezing across much of southern Wisconsin. If any mixed precip were to develop confidence is very low on anything actually accumulating.
By mid week, a ridge and surface high pressure look to make a return. Dry conditions look to be in store for Wednesday and Thursday. Temperatures look to warm through midweek as well.
Patterson
AVIATION
Issued 411 PM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024
VFR conditions today into the evening followed by low stratus and showers quickly developing late this evening into the overnight. MVFR Cigs will initially form but then fall well below 1 kft during the early morning hours of Saturday.
Gehring
MARINE
Issued 411 PM CDT Fri Mar 29 2024
High pressure of 30.1 inches will gradually move across Lake Michigan today bringing light and variable winds. East winds will increase tonight ahead of approaching low pressure of 29.6 inches. The low will move across the far southern part of the lake Saturday morning, then winds will become northerly with gusts around 20 knots. Low pressure of 29.5 will move from the central Great Plains to the lower Great Lakes from Monday into Wednesday. Brisk north to northeast winds will dominate through Tuesday before becoming northwest. Gusts may approach 30 knots at times with building waves. Small Craft Advisories may be needed from Sheboygan to Winthrop Harbor from Monday into Wednesday.
Gehring
MKX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
WI...None.
LM...None.
Stations | Dist | Age | Wind | Air Temp | Water Temp | Waves | inHg | DewPt |
45214 | 13 mi | 91 min | 40°F | 2 ft | ||||
KNSW3 - Kenosha, WI | 42 mi | 66 min | NW 1.9G | 35°F | 30.11 | |||
MLWW3 - Milwaukee, WI | 43 mi | 26 min | N 1.9G | 35°F | ||||
45161 | 45 mi | 26 min | 2 ft | |||||
HLNM4 - 9087031 - Holland, MI | 47 mi | 48 min | 0G | 36°F | 41°F | 25°F | ||
MKGM4 - Muskegon, MI | 47 mi | 26 min | NW 6G | 40°F | 30.11 | 29°F |
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