Sunrise 6:24 AM   Sunset 8:06 PM Moonrise 3:09 PM   Moonset 3:58 AM

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This is a Weather Statement Zone, please check the Date to see if it has expired
PZZ310 Coos bay bar- coastal waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca out 10 nm- waters from cape blanco or to pt. St. George ca from 10 to 60 nm- 134 pm pdt Wed may 29 2013 a long-duration moderate to strong north wind event is expected to last from this weekend into early next week. Winds should begin to increase Friday into Saturday - .peaking Sunday with storm force wind gusts possible. Very steep and hazardous waves will accompany this wind event and mariners should prepare for dangerous conditions at sea. The strongest winds and highest seas will occur beyond 5 nm from shore.

PZZ300 226 Pm Pdt Fri Apr 19 2024
Synopsis for the southern oregon coastal waters - North winds have generally calmed across the waters today and calmer conditions are expected through tonight. A weak front will result in increasing south winds early Saturday morning, then winds will shift to the west late Saturday morning and afternoon. North winds will increase Sunday with the strongest winds and steepest seas south and southwest of cape blanco.

FXUS66 KMFR 192122 AFDMFR

Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Medford OR 222 PM PDT Fri Apr 19 2024

DISCUSSION
This afternoon through Monday morning...High pressure is in control today, leading to sunny skies and dry conditions.
Afternoon temperatures will be on the warm side again today, running about 10 to 15 degrees warmer than normal for late April and more on par with early June.

Dry conditions will continue into Saturday and through the day Saturday for most of the area. A weak front will push into the region Saturday and flatten the ridge Saturday night into Sunday.
This front will run into a pretty dry air mass, so not much precipitation is expected for the area. The best chances for accumulating precipitation will be along the coast (40%-70%), in the Umpqua Basin (20%-30%) and along the Cascades from Crater Lake northward (20%-40%). Even the areas that do receive precipitation are only expected to measure around 0.10"-0.20" west of the Coast Range with only a few hundreths expected elsewhere. The remainder of the area will likely remain dry with some increased cloud cover and gusty winds across the region. Widespread gusts of 25 to 35 mph are expected east of the Cascades with gusts of 15 to 25 mph expected for areas west of the Cascades.

The front shifts east of the area Saturday night with high pressure building in on Sunday/Monday. Frost/freezing conditions are possible during this period of dry weather during the late nights/early mornings in the valleys west of the Cascades. It will only be nominally cooler on Sunday, with high temperatures closer to normal across NW sections, but remaining at least a few degrees above normal elsewhere. Monday will warm up substantially (up 5-10 F over Sunday). Another thermal trough will strengthen in NorCal resulting in another round of N-NE winds late Sunday through Monday. This should even bring the milder weather to portions of the SW coast (including Brookings). The remainder of the work week looks more active as we head into the extended period. /BR-y

.Extended Discussion (Monday through Friday)...Dry weather will continue through Monday with upper ridging building into the area albeit not a strong upper ridge that will quickly push east as an upper trough approaches from the west. Tuesday, the upper trough axis remains west of the forecast area, but there's enough evidence to suggest increasing instability along with a weak trigger Tuesday afternoon and early evening and could be enough to warrant a slight chance of thunderstorms along the Cascades, portions of the Eastside and western Siskiyou County Tuesday afternoon into early Tuesday evening.

We'll catch a break Tuesday night with weak upper troughing over our area, but energy is pretty weak so were not expecting precipitation.

Wednesday upper troughing remains and instability will once again increase during the day. The operational ECMWF and GFS differ with respect to the strength of the upper trough. The upper trough is more pronounced and shows more convective feedback in terms of QPF.
However the individual ensemble members paint a different picture with the majority showing a weaker solution. The GFS shows a weaker upper trough and thus less in the way of QPF. Therefore the forecast will lean towards the weaker ECMWF ensembles and operational GFS solution with showers mainly along and east of the Cascades and northern Coos and northwest Douglas County.

Upper troughiness remains over our area the rest of next week which will result in cooler temperatures and a higher chance for showers over a good portion of the forecast area. -Petrucelli



AVIATION
19/18Z TAFs...Other than some high clouds at times and a slight uptick in diurnal breezes this afternoon, VFR will prevail area wide through the next 24 hours. Coastal areas won't be nearly as gusty as yesterday. A very weak cold front approaches the coast at the end of the TAF period, which will bring increased cloudiness and light rain Saturday afternoon. -Spilde/CSP



MARINE
Updated 200 PM Friday, April 19, 2024...North winds have generally calmed across the waters today, and relatively calm conditions will continue through tonight. A weak cold front will bring increasing south winds early Saturday morning, but they are expected to remain below small craft. The front will move inland late Saturday morning with winds becoming westerly behind it.

A thermal trough will set up along the south coast Sunday with north winds increasing across the waters and moderate to strong winds south of Cape Blanco Sunday afternoon. Associated with this, there's areas with a 50% chance for gale force gusts in the southwest outer waters (areas about 20 NM from shore south of Gold Beach). These gusty winds will result in steep to very steep wind-driven seas across the waters, with conditions depreciating to the south.
Moderate to strong north winds and steep to very steep seas will persist into early next week.
-CSP



MFR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES
OR...None.

CA...None.

PACIFIC COASTAL WATERS...None.

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Port Orford, Pacific Ocean, Oregon, Tide feet

Bandon
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Fri -- 04:25 AM PDT     1.99 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 04:57 AM PDT     Moonset
Fri -- 06:28 AM PDT     Sunrise
Fri -- 10:04 AM PDT     5.31 feet High Tide
Fri -- 04:07 PM PDT     Moonrise
Fri -- 04:31 PM PDT     0.76 feet Low Tide
Fri -- 08:05 PM PDT     Sunset
Fri -- 10:54 PM PDT     5.80 feet High Tide
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Bandon, Coquille River, Oregon, Tide feet

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